Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 2–2 Livingston

Saturday 14 February 2026, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 27 · Half-time 2–2 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 6,032

Dundee FC Murray 3', 5'

Livingston L. Smith 15', Pittman 19'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCLivingston
Goals22
xG0.911.29
Expected Points1.041.65

Dundee FC 24%Draw 31%Livingston 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–2, 5%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+10%9%4%9%10%4%4%6%5%2%1%2%1%14%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSamuels on for Halliday, 32'Jones on for Dhanda and S. Wright on for Yogane, 46'Reilly on for Cotterill, 69'Kerr on for Montano, 46'May on for Danso, 63'Bokila on for Muirhead and Sylla on for Tait, 79'Tamm on for L. Smith, 85'Murray 3'Murray 5'L. Smith 15'Pittman 19'Livingston 1.29Dundee FC 0.9100.511.50153045607590HTSamuels on for Halliday, 32'Jones on for Dhanda and S. Wright on for Yogane, 46'Reilly on for Cotterill, 69'Kerr on for Montano, 46'May on for Danso, 63'Bokila on for Muirhead and Sylla on for Tait, 79'Tamm on for L. Smith, 85'Murray 3'Murray 5'L. Smith 15'Pittman 19'1.290.91Dundee FCLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCLivingston

0.91 +0.07xG1.29 +0.27
1.51 +0.76xG on target1.81 +0.79
16 +6.4Shots15 +5.6
7 +4.1Shots on target3 −0.4
3 +1.9Big chances2 +0.6
23 +9Touches in the opposition box24 +4
71% +29Possession29% −16
528 +184Passes220 −152
86% +11Pass accuracy67% −7
80% +45Field tilt20% −20
64 +32Final-third entries24 −9
13 +6.7Box entries10 +1.5
12.2 −9Passes per defensive action19.1 +6
10 +6.8Corners2 −2.7
5 −9Tackles12 −6
3 −5.0Interceptions8 −0.7
37 +4Clearances52 +19
1 −2.7Saves5 +2.1
8 −1.3Fouls12 −2.4
1 −0.3Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Congreve 39', 0.17 xGMurray 40', 0.10 xGYogane 44', 0.08 xGCongreve 45+2', 0.05 xGHamilton 65', 0.05 xGD. Wright 40', 0.04 xGCongreve 13', 0.03 xGCongreve 45+1', 0.03 xGCongreve 50', 0.03 xGMurray 24', 0.02 xGMurray 58', 0.02 xGCongreve 89', 0.02 xGCongreve 45+2', 0.01 xGCongreve 90+4', 0.01 xGMurray 3', 0.18 xG, goalMurray 5', 0.07 xG, goal31%0.28 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal21%0.19 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal33%0.30 xGWide in the box: 7 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals15%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Tait 18', 0.16 xGL. Smith 42', 0.14 xGFinlayson 90+3', 0.14 xGMuirhead 42', 0.06 xGWilson 27', 0.05 xGKabongolo 57', 0.04 xGPittman 26', 0.03 xGMay 69', 0.02 xGL. Smith 83', 0.02 xGMcGowan 88', 0.02 xGMay 90+4', 0.02 xGMuirhead 70', 0.01 xGL. Smith 71', 0.01 xGPittman 19', 0.32 xG, goalL. Smith 15', 0.25 xG, goal11%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals73%0.93 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.93 xG, 2 goals5%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals10%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCLivingston

0.62 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.70 8 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.33 3 shots, 1 goal
0.29 4 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (83%) · Dundee FC 0.81, Livingston 0.56 xG
Dundee FC ahead
16 min (17%) · Dundee FC 0.10, Livingston 0.72 xG

Line-ups

1164227482021241715McCrackenHallidayAstleyGrahamD. WrightHamiltonCongreveDhandaCotterillYoganeMurrayYellow cardGoalGoal32'46'69'46'Dundee FC 4-1-4-1Steven Pressley2823275198202526159PriorKabongoloWilsonMcGowanFinlaysonPittmanDansoTaitMontanoL. SmithMuirheadGoalYellow cardGoal63'79'46'85'79'Livingston 3-5-2Marvin Bartley

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 32' Samuels for Halliday
  • 46' Jones for Dhanda
  • 46' S. Wright for Yogane · yellow card 90'
  • 69' Reilly for Cotterill

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Kerr for Montano
  • 63' May for Danso
  • 79' Sylla for Tait
  • 79' Bokila for Muirhead · yellow card 90+1'
  • 85' Tamm for L. Smith

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0101
HallidayRB320.000.0110.0663
Astley CB900.000.1520.151611
GrahamCB900.000.0300.21219
D. WrightLB900.040.0420.06119
HamiltonDM900.050.0210.0356
CongreveRM9010.350.3930.43180
DhandaCM460.000.1810.0630
CotterillCM690.000.010−0.1301
YoganeLM4610.080.0210.0221
MurrayST9020.390.040−0.0202
SamuelsDF580.000.0200.0162
JonesMF440.000.011−0.0413
S. Wright FW440.000.032−0.0205
ReillyMF210.000.0100.0230

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0334
KabongoloCB900.040.0000.01011
WilsonCB900.050.1000.10620
McGowanCB900.020.0100.0436
FinlaysonRWB900.140.1220.0959
PittmanCM9010.350.0210.02110
DansoCM630.000.0210.0374
TaitCM790.160.0710.0322
Montano LWB460.000.0300.0822
L. SmithST8510.420.0410.1771
MuirheadST790.070.2820.0421
KerrDF440.000.1310.1425
MayFW270.040.1210.0000
SyllaMF110.000.0000.0013
Bokila FW110.000.0000.0001
TammFW50.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Graham and Dhanda: 3 passesGraham and Cotterill: 3 passesGraham and Yogane: 3 passesAstley and D. Wright: 3 passesAstley and Hamilton: 3 passesCongreve and Dhanda: 3 passesAstley and Congreve: 4 passesCongreve and Murray: 4 passesCotterill and Yogane: 4 passesHamilton and Dhanda: 5 passesMcCracken and Graham: 6 passesMcCracken and Astley: 7 passesAstley and Dhanda: 7 passesGraham and Astley: 8 passesD. Wright and Cotterill: 8 passesD. Wright and Yogane: 9 passesHalliday and Astley: 11 passesD. Wright and Hamilton: 11 passesGraham and D. Wright: 13 passesHalliday and Dhanda: 17 passesHalliday and Congreve: 18 passesMcCracken: 9 completed passesHalliday: 24 completed passesGraham: 22 completed passesAstley: 23 completed passesD. Wright: 24 completed passesHamilton: 14 completed passesCongreve: 13 completed passesDhanda: 20 completed passesCotterill: 9 completed passesYogane: 8 completed passesMurray: 2 completed passes1162247482021241715McCrackenHallidayGrahamAstleyD. WrightHamiltonCongreveDhandaCotterillYoganeMurrayStarters until 32' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Prior and McGowan: 3 passesWilson and Danso: 3 passesTait and Danso: 3 passesPittman and Muirhead: 3 passesL. Smith and Muirhead: 3 passesWilson and Finlayson: 4 passesFinlayson and Danso: 4 passesMontano and L. Smith: 4 passesTait and L. Smith: 4 passesWilson and Tait: 6 passesDanso and L. Smith: 6 passesPrior: 8 completed passesMcGowan: 7 completed passesWilson: 9 completed passesKabongolo: 3 completed passesFinlayson: 7 completed passesMontano: 6 completed passesTait: 10 completed passesPittman: 4 completed passesDanso: 13 completed passesL. Smith: 9 completed passesMuirhead: 6 completed passes2852723192625820159PriorMcGowanWilsonKabongoloFinlaysonMontanoTaitPittmanDansoL. SmithMuirheadStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
AstleyD. Wright16
GrahamAstley15
D. WrightAstley13
McCrackenGraham13
HallidayCongreve12

Livingston

FromToPasses
WilsonFinlayson7
DansoL. Smith7
TaitWilson5
L. SmithTait4
FinlaysonDanso4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

1−3.76−1.216−1.710+2.23−1.57+2.49+2.46−1.96−0.59+4.45+0.37+4.08+2.93−2.13−0.53+0.41−0.41−1.71−2.00−2.02+0.41−0.210.00−2.10−0.61+0.71+0.41+0.70−0.33−5.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Livingston

0−5.26−2.229+11.914+6.811+5.88+1.25−3.12−4.88+0.18+0.21−3.82−3.05+1.012+6.660.04+0.24−0.23+0.42−1.62−2.22−0.61−1.03+1.63+1.11−1.81−0.40−0.31+0.21+0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.040.040.010.030.020.030.050.040.050.050.050.040.050.040.030.01−0.01−0.05−0.03−0.07−0.020.120.140.16LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.09−0.010.010.030.100.04−0.010.010.080.100.100.07−0.01−0.05−0.030.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.01 → 1.01Livingston0.91 → 0.94Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.56 → 1.57Livingston1.86 → 1.83

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th21%25%+4
Bottom1%1%0
Livingston
11th4%4%0
Bottom95%95%0
Kilmarnock
11th55%52%−3
Bottom4%4%0
Dundee United
11th9%8%−1

From the forecast before the match (14 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCLivingston
Expected goals1.690.95
Win54%21%
Expected Points1.880.87
Clean sheet39%18%

Dundee FC 54%Draw 25%Livingston 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%1%5%2%5%1%6%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawLivingston win
Dundee FC
11th21%16%25%30%
Bottom1%<1%1%3%
Livingston
11th4%3%4%9%
Bottom95%97%95%89%
Kilmarnock
11th55%60%52%45%
Bottom4%3%4%8%
Dundee United
11th9%10%8%6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–111 FebFalkirk (A)xG 1.58–0.98
  2. D0–031 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.78–1.04
  3. L0–325 JanRangers (A)xG 0.24–2.51
  4. L0–111 JanHearts (H)xG 1.34–0.36
  5. W1–03 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.83–1.50
  6. W2–130 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 2.23–1.27

Livingston

  1. L1–211 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.06–3.44
  2. L1–24 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.57–2.40
  3. L0–231 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.22–1.62
  4. L2–624 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.01–3.08
  5. D1–120 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.47–1.41
  6. D1–110 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.30–1.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCLivingston
Position10th12th
Played2526
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠5–⁠141–⁠8–⁠17
Points23 (0.92 per game)11 (0.42 per game)
Expected Points per game0.900.80
Goals19–⁠3826–⁠54
xG per game0.84–⁠1.561.02–⁠2.01
Home: points, xG per game1.45, 1.10–⁠1.400.54, 1.09–⁠1.76
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.62–⁠1.690.31, 0.95–⁠2.26
ManagerSteven Pressley (25)Marvin Bartley (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackDundee FC1.01, 11thLivingston0.91, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.56, 9thLivingston1.86, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC attack: 1.01Livingston attack: 0.911.010.91LivingstonDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC defence: 1.56Livingston defence: 1.861.861.56

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−48%+12%−36%+42%
Counter-attacks−63%−5%−67%+33%
Set pieces−24%+12%−22%+34%
Penalties−19%+8%+56%+82%
Headers−16%+4%−37%+19%
Left side−57%+9%−47%+24%
Centre−45%+3%−31%+37%
Right side−26%+28%−34%+57%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side−57%+57%Centre−45%+37%Right side−26%+24%Open play−48%+42%Counter-attacks−63%+33%Set pieces−24%+34%Headers−16%+19%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−47%+28%Centre−31%+3%Right side−34%+9%Open play−36%+12%Counter-attacks−67%−5%Set pieces−22%+12%Headers−37%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCLivingston

0.84xG1.02
1.56xG against2.01
42%Possession46%
9.6Shots9.4
15.6Shots against14.6
2.9Shots on target3.4
1.1Big chances1.4
13.9Touches in the opposition box19.5
344Passes372
75%Pass accuracy74%
3.2Corners4.7
35%Field tilt40%
31.5Final-third entries32.8
6.3Box entries8.5
21.1Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.941.59
Ahead160.751.91
Behind320.751.35

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.002.20
Ahead81.092.77
Behind411.031.67

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.201–4
16–300.110.214–8
31–450.160.306–7
46–600.110.274–5
61–750.130.232–3
76–900.180.362–11

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.422–10
16–300.160.275–7
31–450.260.385–8
46–600.130.323–7
61–750.180.264–6
76–900.200.377–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWMcCracken 25Astley 22D. Wright 2Dhanda 1C. Robertson 14Graham 23Koumetio 9Samuels 3D. Wright 11Congreve 7Hamilton 5Jones 8Robertson 8Digby 8Hamilton 14Westley 3Cotterill 2Samuels 10Yogane 6D. Wright 6Congreve 11Dhanda 3Westley 3Murray 12Hay 8Westley 3Yogane 9D. Wright 4Westley 43-4-3 in 7 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (7), 4-1-4-1 (5), 4-5-1 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 26Finlayson 11Brenet 9Lawal 5McGowan 15Finlayson 10Sylla 2Wilson 19Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montano 11Montgomery 8Finlayson 2Tait 21Danso 2Wilson 1Pittman 21L. Smith 2Muirhead 1Sylla 14Susoho 13Carey 1L. Smith 13McLennan 4Pittman 1Muirhead 9Bokila 8Yengi 7May 13McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 December 2025Livingston2–2Dundee FCxG 0.89–0.46
20 September 2025Dundee FC3–2LivingstonxG 2.74–1.51
27 January 2024Livingston1–4Dundee FCxG 2.22–1.11
5 November 2023Dundee FC1–0LivingstonxG 0.67–1.49
28 October 2023Livingston0–2Dundee FCxG 0.14–2.02
15 May 2022Livingston2–1Dundee FCxG 1.48–1.58

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 4, Livingston won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 13–13 and xG 1.19–1.35 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Congreve191,616160.090.29
Hay9959210.220.11
Westley13851200.190.14
Dhanda161,346200.190.13

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead111,003410.520.16
Yengi111,054200.300.08
Bokila9842500.320.02
McLennan8766300.260.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.