Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 2–2 Rangers

Sunday 22 February 2026, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 28 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 8,736

Livingston Kabongolo 14', L. Smith 56' · Montaño sent off 60'

Rangers Fernandez 81', Moore 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals22
xG0.303.74
Expected Points0.052.91

Livingston 1%Draw 4%Rangers 96%

Most likely score 0–3, 16%. Final score 2–2, <1%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%5%12%11%2%4%5%5%4%4%12%16%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTMontaño (Livingston), red card 60'Fati on for L. Smith, 63'Sylla on for Tait, 71'Nouble on for Muirhead and May on for Danso, 72'Kerr on for Finlayson, 77'Miovski on for Olsen, 46'Naderi on for Chukwuani, 64'Aasgaard on for Souttar, 73'Bajrami on for Gassama, 79'Kabongolo 14'L. Smith 56'Fernandez 81'Moore 88'Rangers 3.74Livingston 0.30012340153045607590HTMontaño (Livingston), red card 60'Fati on for L. Smith, 63'Sylla on for Tait, 71'Nouble on for Muirhead and May on for Danso, 72'Kerr on for Finlayson, 77'Miovski on for Olsen, 46'Naderi on for Chukwuani, 64'Aasgaard on for Souttar, 73'Bajrami on for Gassama, 79'Kabongolo 14'L. Smith 56'Fernandez 81'Moore 88'3.740.30LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.30 −0.73xG3.74 +1.95
0.74 −0.31xG on target3.31 +1.27
5 −4.6Shots31 +14.9
3 −0.4Shots on target14 +8.2
1 −0.4Big chances7 +4.0
14 −6Touches in the opposition box55 +26
27% −18Possession73% +15
182 −184Passes462 −23
53% −20Pass accuracy85% +1
9% −31Field tilt91% +27
10 −22Final-third entries69 +19
5 −3.5Box entries27 +11.0
15.0 +2Passes per defensive action6.2 −5
3 −1.6Corners15 +8.5
11 −7Tackles18 +1
10 +1.3Interceptions5 −2.5
56 +22Clearances24 −3
9 +6.0Saves1 −2.1
18 +4Fouls15 +3
0 −1.4Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Muirhead 11', 0.04 xGFati 90', 0.03 xGMontaño 44', 0.02 xGL. Smith 55', 0.14 xG, goalKabongolo 14', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%0.23 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.23 xG, 2 goals23%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Chukwuani 41', 0.40 xGChermiti 41', 0.34 xGRaskin 41', 0.29 xGFernandez 7', 0.21 xGTavernier 17', 0.18 xGFernandez 17', 0.18 xGFernandez 45+1', 0.17 xGChermiti 52', 0.17 xGRommens 6', 0.16 xGMoore 54', 0.16 xGMoore 54', 0.15 xGChermiti 39', 0.10 xGMiovski 83', 0.09 xGMoore 30', 0.07 xGTavernier 35', 0.07 xGMiovski 51', 0.07 xGTavernier 62', 0.07 xGChermiti 64', 0.07 xGMoore 67', 0.07 xGNaderi 67', 0.06 xGSouttar 31', 0.05 xGTavernier 33', 0.04 xGBajrami 80', 0.04 xGTavernier 86', 0.03 xGMoore 34', 0.02 xGFernandez 35', 0.02 xGFernandez 79', 0.02 xGRaskin 87', 0.02 xGAasgaard 90+9', 0.02 xGMoore 88', 0.23 xG, goalFernandez 81', 0.20 xG, goal48%1.81 xGSix-yard box: 8 shots, 1.81 xG, 0 goals34%1.29 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.29 xG, 2 goals4%0.14 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals11%0.43 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals2%0.07 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.27 16 shots, 2 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.09 2 shots, 0 goals
0.26 4 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces2.38 13 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
25 min (25%) · Livingston 0.14, Rangers 0.39 xG
Livingston ahead
75 min (75%) · Livingston 0.15, Rangers 3.35 xG

Line-ups

2823275198202526159PriorKabongoloWilsonMcGowanFinlaysonPittmanDansoTaitMontañoL. SmithMuirheadYellow cardGoalYellow cardSent offGoal77'72'71'63'72'Livingston 3-5-2Marvin Bartley12537254342747239ButlandTavernierSouttarFernandezRommensRaskinChukwuaniOlsenMooreGassamaChermitiGoalYellow cardGoalYellow card73'64'46'79'Rangers 4-2-3-1Danny Röhl

Livingston substitutes

  • 63' Fati for L. Smith
  • 71' Sylla for Tait
  • 72' Nouble for Muirhead
  • 72' May for Danso · yellow card 90+2'
  • 77' Kerr for Finlayson

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Miovski for Olsen
  • 64' Naderi for Chukwuani
  • 73' Aasgaard for Souttar
  • 79' Bajrami for Gassama · 1 assist

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Prior GK900.000.0100.0653
KabongoloCB9010.080.0000.00020
WilsonCB900.000.0300.0006
McGowanCB900.000.0000.0116
Finlayson RWB770.000.0000.01012
PittmanCM900.000.0100.0205
DansoCM7210.000.0310.0314
TaitCM710.000.0110.0441
Montaño LWB600.020.000−0.14211
L. SmithST6310.140.0100.2023
MuirheadST7210.040.0720.0002
FatiDF270.030.0000.0004
SyllaMF190.000.0000.0005
NoubleFW180.000.0000.0001
May FW180.000.000−0.0102
KerrDF130.000.0000.0113

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0210
TavernierRB9010.380.6750.27117
SouttarCB730.050.0110.0316
FernandezCB9010.790.5610.2679
RommensLB900.160.4640.44128
Raskin DM900.310.0400.1486
ChukwuaniDM640.400.0100.0333
OlsenRW460.000.303−0.0130
MooreAM9010.710.5350.48110
GassamaLW790.000.3810.34102
Chermiti ST900.680.021−0.0110
MiovskiFW440.160.0100.0111
NaderiFW260.060.0000.0001
AasgaardMF170.020.0700.0821
BajramiFW1110.040.3410.2843

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Wilson: 3 passesMcGowan and Montaño: 3 passesWilson and Danso: 3 passesFinlayson and Pittman: 3 passesFinlayson and Danso: 3 passesMontaño and Muirhead: 3 passesMontaño and L. Smith: 3 passesTait and Danso: 3 passesMontaño and Tait: 4 passesTait and Muirhead: 4 passesDanso and L. Smith: 4 passesFinlayson and L. Smith: 5 passesPrior: 9 completed passesMcGowan: 6 completed passesWilson: 6 completed passesKabongolo: 4 completed passesFinlayson: 8 completed passesMontaño: 10 completed passesPittman: 3 completed passesTait: 8 completed passesDanso: 12 completed passesMuirhead: 4 completed passesL. Smith: 7 completed passes2852723192682520915PriorMcGowanWilsonKabongoloFinlaysonMontañoPittmanTaitDansoMuirheadL. SmithStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

Butland and Raskin: 4 passesTavernier and Chermiti: 4 passesFernandez and Moore: 4 passesSouttar and Olsen: 4 passesRommens and Moore: 4 passesRaskin and Chukwuani: 4 passesChukwuani and Chermiti: 4 passesTavernier and Chukwuani: 5 passesRommens and Chermiti: 5 passesRaskin and Gassama: 5 passesRaskin and Chermiti: 5 passesRommens and Chukwuani: 6 passesFernandez and Gassama: 7 passesRaskin and Moore: 7 passesButland and Souttar: 8 passesFernandez and Chukwuani: 8 passesTavernier and Raskin: 9 passesFernandez and Rommens: 9 passesTavernier and Souttar: 10 passesTavernier and Olsen: 10 passesFernandez and Souttar: 10 passesSouttar and Raskin: 10 passesRommens and Gassama: 11 passesButland and Fernandez: 14 passesFernandez and Raskin: 14 passesButland: 17 completed passesTavernier: 24 completed passesFernandez: 37 completed passesSouttar: 27 completed passesRommens: 24 completed passesRaskin: 36 completed passesChukwuani: 17 completed passesOlsen: 14 completed passesMoore: 13 completed passesGassama: 17 completed passesChermiti: 10 completed passes12375254342747239ButlandTavernierFernandezSouttarRommensRaskinChukwuaniOlsenMooreGassamaChermitiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DansoL. Smith4
TaitMuirhead4
MontañoTait3
FinlaysonL. Smith3
DansoTait3

Rangers

FromToPasses
RaskinTavernier17
ButlandFernandez11
FernandezRaskin10
FernandezRommens10
RommensMoore10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

7+2.011+2.943+25.44−3.411+5.63−3.99+1.07+0.411+3.17−0.83−1.72−2.840.04−1.67+1.03−0.82−2.21−1.63−0.61−3.14+1.42+0.11−0.40−1.91−1.71−0.30−0.30−0.80−0.60−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Rangers

2−1.83−2.39−4.22−4.21−4.24−1.78+1.95+0.14−2.813+5.32−3.03−2.06+1.45−0.44−1.07+2.72−1.74+0.64+0.72−3.14+0.91−0.41−0.63+1.51−1.21+0.60−0.85+4.30−0.43+2.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.060.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.03−0.16−0.010.15LessMore

Rangers

0.020.010.020.050.010.030.040.030.060.010.050.060.070.120.130.23−0.010.220.12−0.120.120.400.370.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackLivingston0.94 → 0.93Rangers1.83 → 1.87Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.84 → 1.88Rangers0.97 → 0.95

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th7%9%+2
Bottom92%90%−2
Rangers
Title31%23%−8
Kilmarnock
11th61%62%+1
Bottom7%8%+1
Hearts
Title20%23%+3

From the forecast before the match (22 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.812.25
Win12%70%
Expected Points0.532.28
Clean sheet11%45%

Livingston 12%Draw 19%Rangers 70%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%3%7%4%2%1%2%3%4%3%2%1%10%12%9%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
11th7%14%9%5%
Bottom92%83%90%94%
Rangers
Title31%16%23%36%
Kilmarnock
11th61%52%62%62%
Bottom7%15%8%5%
Hearts
Title20%28%23%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D2–214 FebDundee FC (A)xG 1.29–0.91
  2. L1–211 FebCeltic (A)xG 1.06–3.44
  3. L1–24 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.57–2.40
  4. L0–231 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.22–1.62
  5. L2–624 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.01–3.08
  6. D1–120 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.47–1.41

Rangers

  1. W4–215 FebHearts (H)xG 2.51–0.40
  2. D1–111 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.65–1.57
  3. W5–14 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 3.14–1.39
  4. D0–01 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.58–1.88
  5. W3–025 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.51–0.24
  6. W2–011 JanAberdeen (A)xG 1.94–0.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRangers
Position12th2nd
Played2727
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠9–⁠1715–⁠10–⁠2
Points12 (0.44 per game)55 (2.04 per game)
Expected Points per game0.841.76
Goals28–⁠5647–⁠21
xG per game1.03–⁠1.971.79–⁠1.12
Home: points, xG per game0.54, 1.09–⁠1.762.21, 1.98–⁠0.91
Away: points, xG per game0.36, 0.98–⁠2.171.85, 1.59–⁠1.36
ManagerMarvin Bartley (2)Danny Röhl (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.34AttackLivingston0.94, 12thRangers1.83, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.84, 12thRangers0.97, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 0.94Rangers attack: 1.831.830.94RangersLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.84Rangers defence: 0.971.840.97

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−35%+39%+31%−32%
Counter-attacks−60%+29%+29%−13%
Set pieces−22%+32%+8%+4%
Penalties+50%+75%+50%−25%
Headers−35%+19%+27%−5%
Left side−44%+24%+62%−11%
Centre−31%+34%+19%−28%
Right side−31%+54%+1%−13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−44%−13%Centre−31%−28%Right side−31%−11%Open play−35%−32%Counter-attacks−60%−13%Set pieces−22%+4%Headers−35%−5%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+62%+54%Centre+19%+34%Right side+1%+24%Open play+31%+39%Counter-attacks+29%+29%Set pieces+8%+32%Headers+27%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRangers

1.03xG1.79
1.97xG against1.12
45%Possession58%
9.6Shots16.1
14.6Shots against10.8
3.4Shots on target5.8
1.4Big chances3.0
19.7Touches in the opposition box29.3
366Passes485
73%Pass accuracy84%
4.6Corners6.5
39%Field tilt64%
32.5Final-third entries50.1
8.5Box entries16.0
13.3Passes per defensive action11.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.982.12
Ahead81.092.77
Behind401.071.65

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.950.99
Ahead391.361.17
Behind112.721.42

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.413–12
16–300.170.266–7
31–450.260.395–8
46–600.130.313–7
61–750.180.254–6
76–900.200.367–16

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.109–1
16–300.270.205–5
31–450.330.136–4
46–600.250.188–1
61–750.330.205–5
76–900.400.3214–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 27Finlayson 12Brenet 9Lawal 5McGowan 16Finlayson 10Sylla 2Wilson 20Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montano 12Montgomery 8Finlayson 2Tait 22Danso 3Wilson 1Pittman 22L. Smith 2Muirhead 1Sylla 14Susoho 13Carey 1L. Smith 13McLennan 4Kabongolo 2Muirhead 9Bokila 8Yengi 7May 13McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 27Tavernier 19Sterling 4Aarons 3Souttar 19Djiga 13Sterling 2Fernandez 15Cornelius 5Meghoma 20Miovski 2Aarons 2Raskin 20Barron 11Rothwell 4Diomande 12Chukwuani 4Aasgaard 3Gassama 11Antman 6Olsen 2Aasgaard 9Diomande 4Raskin 3Moore 12Gassama 9Meghoma 2Miovski 11Chermiti 9Danilo 34-2-3-1 in 17 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-3-3 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 November 2025Rangers2–1LivingstonxG 1.39–1.37
28 September 2025Livingston1–2RangersxG 0.74–2.38
3 February 2024Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 2.68–0.00
12 November 2023Livingston0–2RangersxG 0.13–2.68
12 August 2023Rangers4–0LivingstonxG 2.44–0.12
18 February 2023Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.84–2.96

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Rangers won 13, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–32 and xG 0.51–2.00 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead121,082410.490.17
Yengi111,054200.300.08
McLennan8766300.260.08
Bokila9853500.310.02

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Chermiti101,051720.460.09
Tavernier191,806730.290.26
Miovski131,092410.330.12
Antman6552120.100.31

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.