Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Celtic 2–1 Livingston

Wednesday 11 February 2026, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 26 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 58,292

Celtic Saracchi 15', Oxlade-Chamberlain 90+1'

Livingston Muirhead 57' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticLivingston
Goals21
xG3.441.06
Non-penalty xG3.440.27
Expected Points2.720.19

Celtic 87%Draw 10%Livingston 3%

Most likely score 3–1, 17%. Final score 2–1, 12%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%5%1%3%4%4%5%4%4%2%9%3%1%6%2%12%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTHatate on for Engels, 32'Adamu on for Cvancara and Tierney on for Saracchi, 61'Forrest on for Maeda and Oxlade-Chamberlain on for Araujo, 78'Sylla on for Danso and Montano on for Kerr, 61'Wanner on for May, 67'Bokila on for Muirhead, 72'L. Smith on for Tait, 73'Saracchi 15'Oxlade-Chamberlain 90+1'Muirhead 57' (pen)Celtic 3.44Livingston 1.06012340153045607590HTHatate on for Engels, 32'Adamu on for Cvancara and Tierney on for Saracchi, 61'Forrest on for Maeda and Oxlade-Chamberlain on for Araujo, 78'Sylla on for Danso and Montano on for Kerr, 61'Wanner on for May, 67'Bokila on for Muirhead, 72'L. Smith on for Tait, 73'Saracchi 15'Oxlade-Chamberlain 90+1'Muirhead 57' (pen)3.441.06CelticLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticLivingston

3.44 +1.30xG1.06 +0.04
3.44Non-penalty xG0.27
3.21 +1.19xG on target0.88 −0.14
29 +12.8Shots4 −5.6
12 +6.6Shots on target2 −1.4
5 +1.3Big chances1 −0.4
64 +29Touches in the opposition box19 −1
79% +11Possession21% −25
686 +52Passes185 −194
91% +5Pass accuracy52% −23
96% +19Field tilt4% −37
92 +26Final-third entries7 −27
38 +17.8Box entries1 −7.8
7.5 −2Passes per defensive action30.9 +18
10 +3.3Corners3 −1.7
2 −12Tackles10 −8
4 −3.0Interceptions9 +0.3
21 −5Clearances62 +30
1 −1.2Saves9 +6.4
12 0Fouls7 −8
1 −0.7Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Cvancara 6', 0.61 xGMaeda 5', 0.54 xGMaeda 12', 0.50 xGCvancara 28', 0.25 xGTounekti 10', 0.24 xGMcGregor 81', 0.13 xGNygren 12', 0.09 xGMcGregor 14', 0.08 xGNygren 78', 0.08 xGNygren 87', 0.08 xGForrest 88', 0.08 xGAraujo 3', 0.07 xGNygren 20', 0.06 xGCvancara 45+2', 0.06 xGNygren 59', 0.06 xGSaracchi 5', 0.05 xGScales 50', 0.05 xGTounekti 75', 0.05 xGMcGregor 4', 0.04 xGForrest 88', 0.04 xGMcGregor 11', 0.03 xGNygren 36', 0.03 xGNygren 89', 0.03 xGTounekti 14', 0.02 xGScales 68', 0.02 xGNygren 90', 0.02 xGEngels 10', 0.01 xGSaracchi 15', 0.06 xG, goalOxlade-Chamberlain 90+1', 0.05 xG, goal22%0.75 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.75 xG, 0 goals50%1.71 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 1.71 xG, 0 goals14%0.47 xGWide in the box: 8 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals15%0.51 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.51 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Muirhead 9', 0.11 xGPittman 90+5', 0.10 xGMay 9', 0.06 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals100%0.27 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticLivingston

3.23 25 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.21 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.27 3 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (49%) · Celtic 2.98, Livingston 0.17 xG
Celtic ahead
50 min (51%) · Celtic 0.46, Livingston 0.89 xG

Line-ups

122653627422383811SchmeichelAraujoTrustyScalesSaracchiEngelsMcGregorTounektiNygrenMaedaCvancaraYellow cardGoalYellow card78'61'32'78'61'Celtic 4-2-3-1Martin O'Neill282352722025819917PriorKabongoloMcGowanWilsonKerrDansoTaitPittmanFinlaysonMuirheadMayYellow cardGoalYellow card61'61'73'72'67'Livingston 3-5-2Marvin Bartley

Celtic substitutes

  • 32' Hatate for Engels
  • 61' Tierney for Saracchi
  • 61' Adamu for Cvancara
  • 78' Oxlade-Chamberlain for Araujo · goal 90+1'
  • 78' Forrest for Maeda

Livingston substitutes

  • 61' Sylla for Danso
  • 61' Montano for Kerr
  • 67' Wanner for May
  • 72' Bokila for Muirhead · yellow card 90+7'
  • 73' L. Smith for Tait · yellow card 89'

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0230
AraujoRB780.070.0910.0977
TrustyCB900.000.0500.1234
Scales CB900.070.1120.2686
SaracchiLB6110.110.1420.36161
EngelsDM320.010.1020.0111
McGregor DM900.280.7240.2341
TounektiRW9010.310.7740.54191
NygrenAM900.450.1300.1051
MaedaLW781.040.1630.0640
CvancaraST610.920.0210.0010
HatateMF580.000.132−0.0872
TierneyDF290.000.1210.1650
AdamuFW290.000.000−0.0201
Oxlade-ChamberlainMF1210.050.0000.0121
ForrestFW120.120.0310.0731

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Prior GK900.000.0100.0233
KabongoloCB900.000.1100.01220
McGowanCB900.000.0600.06011
WilsonCB900.000.1710.12210
KerrRWB610.000.0100.0115
DansoCM610.000.000−0.0104
TaitCM730.000.000−0.0103
PittmanCM900.100.0100.0136
FinlaysonLWB900.000.0200.08312
MuirheadST7210.900.211−0.0204
May ST670.060.0000.0114
SyllaMF290.000.0000.0004
MontanoFW290.000.0000.0004
WannerFW230.000.0000.0002
Bokila FW180.000.0000.0000
L. Smith FW170.000.0000.0003

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Trusty and Saracchi: 3 passesNygren and McGregor: 3 passesScales and Maeda: 4 passesSaracchi and Tounekti: 4 passesEngels and McGregor: 4 passesAraujo and Engels: 5 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 5 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 6 passesSchmeichel and Saracchi: 6 passesSaracchi and Maeda: 6 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 7 passesMcGregor and Tounekti: 7 passesAraujo and McGregor: 8 passesScales and McGregor: 10 passesTrusty and McGregor: 10 passesSaracchi and Nygren: 11 passesScales and Trusty: 12 passesAraujo and Trusty: 13 passesSaracchi and McGregor: 15 passesAraujo and Tounekti: 16 passesScales and Saracchi: 27 passesSchmeichel: 13 completed passesAraujo: 23 completed passesScales: 34 completed passesTrusty: 26 completed passesSaracchi: 38 completed passesEngels: 10 completed passesNygren: 8 completed passesMcGregor: 33 completed passesTounekti: 16 completed passesCvancara: 3 completed passesMaeda: 8 completed passes122563627842231138SchmeichelAraujoScalesTrustySaracchiEngelsNygrenMcGregorTounektiCvancaraMaedaStarters until 32' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Kerr and Wilson: 3 passesKerr and Muirhead: 3 passesWilson and Muirhead: 3 passesMay and Muirhead: 3 passesKerr and Kabongolo: 4 passesMcGowan and Wilson: 4 passesMcGowan and Finlayson: 4 passesFinlayson and May: 4 passesPrior and Kabongolo: 5 passesMcGowan and Muirhead: 5 passesWilson and Kabongolo: 5 passesPrior and Finlayson: 6 passesPrior: 12 completed passesKerr: 8 completed passesMcGowan: 8 completed passesWilson: 9 completed passesKabongolo: 10 completed passesFinlayson: 8 completed passesPittman: 4 completed passesTait: 5 completed passesDanso: 6 completed passesMay: 5 completed passesMuirhead: 9 completed passes282527231982520179PriorKerrMcGowanWilsonKabongoloFinlaysonPittmanTaitDansoMayMuirheadStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
ScalesSaracchi31
TrustyScales24
SaracchiScales22
AraujoTrusty19
AraujoTounekti18

Livingston

FromToPasses
PriorFinlayson8
WilsonKabongolo5
KerrWilson3
KerrMuirhead3
KabongoloPrior3

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

7+4.36+1.712+0.23−1.04−1.22−3.55−3.35+0.63−0.94+1.04−1.65+0.51−2.52−1.20−3.52−2.53+0.73+0.85+3.42−1.32−1.10−0.92+1.70−0.62+1.80−1.11−4.32−3.54−3.72−3.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Livingston

6+0.823+15.445+29.09+1.93−2.34−3.07−1.112+5.46−2.04−4.00−5.03−2.01−3.10−5.64−2.12−1.81−3.40−2.70−3.82−2.22−0.60−2.00−1.41−0.92−0.80−1.40−0.40−0.81+0.50−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.020.060.010.030.040.030.070.040.080.090.100.110.070.180.130.010.050.09−0.070.160.300.30LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.010.010.010.050.070.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackCeltic1.99 → 2.01Livingston0.92 → 0.91Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.91 → 0.90Livingston1.85 → 1.86

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title40%42%+2
Livingston
11th9%9%0
Bottom90%91%+1
Hearts
Title31%29%−2
Kilmarnock
11th64%64%0
Bottom9%8%−1

From the forecast before the match (11 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticLivingston
Expected goals3.320.56
Win88%3%
Expected Points2.740.18
Clean sheet57%4%

Celtic 88%Draw 9%Livingston 3%

Most likely score 3–0, 13%. Both sides score 41%.

Livingston goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+2%1%7%4%1%6%2%7%2%6%2%7%4%1%7%4%1%11%13%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawLivingston win
Celtic
Title40%42%27%19%
Livingston
11th9%9%11%17%
Bottom90%91%87%79%
Hearts
Title31%29%41%48%
Kilmarnock
11th64%64%63%53%
Bottom9%8%12%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–01 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.66–1.07
  2. D2–225 JanHearts (A)xG 1.35–1.66
  3. W1–014 JanFalkirk (A)xG 0.62–1.72
  4. W4–010 JanDundee United (H)xG 3.18–0.34
  5. L1–33 JanRangers (H)xG 2.34–1.44
  6. L0–230 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.59–1.40

Livingston

  1. L1–24 FebFalkirk (H)xG 0.57–2.40
  2. L0–231 JanMotherwell (H)xG 0.22–1.62
  3. L2–624 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.01–3.08
  4. D1–120 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.47–1.41
  5. D1–110 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.30–1.69
  6. L0–13 JanHearts (A)xG 0.54–2.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticLivingston
Position3rd12th
Played2425
Won, drawn, lost15–⁠3–⁠61–⁠8–⁠16
Points48 (2.00 per game)11 (0.44 per game)
Expected Points per game1.960.83
Goals43–⁠2325–⁠52
xG per game2.14–⁠0.981.02–⁠1.96
Home: points, xG per game2.33, 2.65–⁠0.660.54, 1.09–⁠1.76
Away: points, xG per game1.67, 1.63–⁠1.310.33, 0.94–⁠2.17
ManagerMartin O'Neill (4)Marvin Bartley (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackCeltic1.99, 1stLivingston0.92, 12thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.91, 1stLivingston1.85, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 1.99Livingston attack: 0.921.990.92LivingstonCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.91Livingston defence: 1.851.850.91

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+101%−36%−32%+33%
Counter-attacks−15%−44%−67%+36%
Set pieces−16%−16%−22%+36%
Penalties+15%−14%+38%+93%
Headers+60%−34%−34%+15%
Left side+69%−45%−45%+21%
Centre+74%−20%−28%+31%
Right side+3%−42%−33%+55%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdLivingston concededLeft side+69%+55%Centre+74%+31%Right side+3%+21%Open play+101%+33%Counter-attacks−15%+36%Set pieces−16%+36%Headers+60%+15%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdCeltic concededLeft side−45%−42%Centre−28%−20%Right side−33%−45%Open play−32%−36%Counter-attacks−67%−44%Set pieces−22%−16%Headers−34%−34%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticLivingston

2.14xG1.02
0.98xG against1.96
68%Possession46%
16.2Shots9.6
8.8Shots against14.0
5.4Shots on target3.4
3.7Big chances1.4
34.8Touches in the opposition box19.6
634Passes379
87%Pass accuracy74%
6.7Corners4.7
77%Field tilt42%
66.1Final-third entries33.9
20.2Box entries8.8
10.0Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level422.190.86
Ahead341.961.12
Behind132.441.04

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.032.04
Ahead91.092.77
Behind410.991.70

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.350.137–4
16–300.350.127–1
31–450.390.217–3
46–600.280.264–9
61–750.330.118–4
76–900.440.1510–2

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.342–9
16–300.170.275–7
31–450.270.405–8
46–600.110.332–7
61–750.190.264–6
76–900.210.367–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 23Sinisalo 1Ralston 7Yang 6Araujo 4Trusty 13Carter-Vickers 7Murray 3Scales 20Tierney 4Tierney 12Saracchi 7McCowan 3Engels 16McCowan 5Ralston 1McGregor 23Nygren 12Hatate 12Bernardo 3Yang 6Nygren 4Maeda 3Kenny 8Maeda 7Iheanacho 3Maeda 10Tounekti 8Yang 34-3-3 in 18 of 24 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWPrior 25Finlayson 11Brenet 9Lawal 5McGowan 14Finlayson 10Sylla 2Wilson 18Kabongolo 3Blaney 3Montano 11Montgomery 8Fati 2Tait 20L. Smith 2Danso 1Pittman 20Muirhead 1May 1Sylla 14Susoho 13Carey 1L. Smith 13McLennan 4Muirhead 1Muirhead 8Bokila 8Yengi 7May 12McLennan 4Yengi 44-3-3 in 11 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (11), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 December 2025Livingston2–4CelticxG 1.09–3.83
23 August 2025Celtic3–0LivingstonxG 3.02–0.24
31 March 2024Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.14–2.11
23 December 2023Celtic2–0LivingstonxG 3.66–0.00
23 September 2023Livingston0–3CelticxG 0.94–2.61
1 February 2023Celtic3–0LivingstonxG 1.51–0.35

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 11, Livingston won 1, and 3 were drawn. Goals 37–9 and xG 2.29–0.60 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kenny8688420.890.07
Nygren161,4661230.490.27
Maeda201,752750.480.17
Forrest2517100.250.36

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead10931310.470.16
Yengi111,054200.300.08
Bokila9824500.330.02
McLennan8766300.260.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.