Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Livingston 0–0 Hearts

Sunday 29 January 2023, 13:30 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 6,393

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHearts
Goals00
xG0.341.63
Expected Points0.332.47

Livingston 4%Draw 20%Hearts 76%

Most likely score 0–1, 25%. Final score 0–0, 8%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%10%2%3%10%9%4%1%1%25%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTGuthrie on for Sean Kelly, 64'Montaño on for Bradley, 86'Holt on for Stephen Kelly, 90+1'Grant on for Devlin, 39'Kuol on for Oda, 46'Ginnelly on for Atkinson, 74'Forrest on for Humphrys, 85'Hearts 1.63Livingston 0.3400.511.520153045607590HTGuthrie on for Sean Kelly, 64'Montaño on for Bradley, 86'Holt on for Stephen Kelly, 90+1'Grant on for Devlin, 39'Kuol on for Oda, 46'Ginnelly on for Atkinson, 74'Forrest on for Humphrys, 85'1.630.34LivingstonHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHearts

0.34 −0.81xG1.63 −0.06
0.48 −0.78xG on target1.25 −0.20
5 −4.8Shots8 −4.2
4 +0.5Shots on target5 +0.7
0 −1.6Big chances3 +0.6
13 −6Touches in the opposition box16 −5
52% +13Possession48% −7
340 +61Passes306 −133
60% −1Pass accuracy60% −16
63% +26Field tilt37% −13
31 +6Final-third entries25 −9
8 −0.1Box entries8 −3.2
7.8 −9Passes per defensive action14.4 0
1 −2.9Corners5 +0.1
27 +14Tackles15 −1
8 −2.5Interceptions8 −0.2
11 −16Clearances37 +19
5 +1.9Saves3 −0.6
16 +4Fouls15 +5
1 −0.3Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 20', 0.16 xGBradley 62', 0.06 xGGuthrie 80', 0.05 xGStephen Kelly 44', 0.04 xGBoyes 78', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.21 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals38%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Oda 45', 0.68 xGKuol 48', 0.31 xGShankland 19', 0.30 xGKuol 48', 0.19 xGKiomourtzoglou 53', 0.05 xGKuol 51', 0.04 xGHumphrys 61', 0.04 xGHumphrys 65', 0.02 xG60%0.98 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.98 xG, 0 goals34%0.55 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHearts

0.34 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.78 4 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.51 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.34 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
91 min (100%) · Livingston 0.34, Hearts 1.63 xG

Line-ups

12515293324816917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceOméongaSean KellyPittmanBradleyAndersonStephen Kelly64'86'90+1'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale2821153128141992988ClarkSibbickRowlesKingsleyAtkinsonKiomourtzoglouDevlinCochraneShanklandHumphrysOdaYellow card74'39'85'46'Hearts 3-4-2-1Robbie Neilson

Livingston substitutes

  • 64' Guthrie for Sean Kelly
  • 86' Montaño for Bradley
  • 90+1' Holt for Stephen Kelly

Hearts substitutes

  • 39' Grant for Devlin · yellow card 74'
  • 46' Kuol for Oda
  • 74' Ginnelly for Atkinson
  • 85' Forrest for Humphrys

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0350
DevlinRB900.000.1010.2857
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.0214
BoyesCB900.020.0000.03110
PenriceLB900.000.0910.0776
OméongaCM900.000.0310.06610
Sean KellyCM640.000.0210.0410
PittmanCM900.000.0300.0321
BradleyRW860.060.051−0.0843
AndersonST900.160.0200.0101
Stephen KellyLW900.040.0400.0132
GuthrieFW260.050.000−0.0110
MontañoDF40.000.0000.0112
HoltMF00.000.000−0.0100

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0321
SibbickCB900.000.0100.0524
RowlesCB900.000.0000.02113
KingsleyCB900.000.0800.0957
Atkinson RWB740.000.0110.0348
KiomourtzoglouCM900.050.0000.0925
DevlinCM390.000.0000.0017
CochraneLWB900.000.1010.0565
ShanklandAM900.300.6720.1955
HumphrysAM850.060.0910.1062
OdaST460.680.0000.0200
Grant MF510.000.0310.0225
KuolFW440.550.0000.0820
GinnellyFW160.000.000−0.0100
ForrestMF50.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

George and Devlin: 3 passesFitzwater and Boyes: 3 passesFitzwater and Penrice: 3 passesFitzwater and Oméonga: 3 passesFitzwater and Bradley: 3 passesOméonga and Sean Kelly: 3 passesOméonga and Pittman: 3 passesPittman and Bradley: 3 passesGeorge and Boyes: 4 passesGeorge and Bradley: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 4 passesBoyes and Penrice: 4 passesOméonga and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesPittman and Stephen Kelly: 4 passesGeorge and Fitzwater: 5 passesBoyes and Stephen Kelly: 5 passesDevlin and Stephen Kelly: 6 passesBradley and Anderson: 6 passesOméonga and Bradley: 7 passesPenrice and Sean Kelly: 8 passesSean Kelly and Stephen Kelly: 8 passesPenrice and Pittman: 10 passesDevlin and Bradley: 13 passesDevlin and Oméonga: 14 passesPenrice and Stephen Kelly: 17 passesGeorge: 15 completed passesDevlin: 22 completed passesFitzwater: 12 completed passesBoyes: 12 completed passesPenrice: 29 completed passesOméonga: 22 completed passesSean Kelly: 15 completed passesPittman: 13 completed passesBradley: 16 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesStephen Kelly: 20 completed passes12515293324816917GeorgeDevlinFitzwaterBoyesPenriceOméongaSean KellyPittmanBradleyAndersonStephen KellyStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hearts

Clark and Rowles: 3 passesRowles and Devlin: 3 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 3 passesKingsley and Devlin: 3 passesSibbick and Devlin: 4 passesKingsley and Kiomourtzoglou: 4 passesAtkinson and Devlin: 4 passesAtkinson and Kiomourtzoglou: 4 passesSibbick and Kiomourtzoglou: 5 passesRowles and Sibbick: 7 passesSibbick and Atkinson: 8 passesSibbick and Shankland: 8 passesRowles and Kingsley: 9 passesClark: 4 completed passesRowles: 15 completed passesSibbick: 21 completed passesKingsley: 11 completed passesAtkinson: 10 completed passesCochrane: 6 completed passesDevlin: 11 completed passesKiomourtzoglou: 7 completed passesHumphrys: 3 completed passesShankland: 5 completed passesOda: 0 completed passes2815213121914829988ClarkRowlesSibbickKingsleyAtkinsonCochraneDevlinKiomourtzoglouHumphrysShanklandOdaStarters until 39' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
PenriceStephen Kelly14
OméongaDevlin10
DevlinBradley9
BradleyDevlin6
PenricePittman6

Hearts

FromToPasses
RowlesKingsley8
KingsleyRowles7
KingsleyCochrane7
AtkinsonSibbick6
SibbickShankland6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.42−6.23−5.63−1.94−3.76−0.24−0.87−0.24−4.54−1.94−0.94+1.44+0.25−2.29+4.77+4.03+0.78+5.38+4.15+2.83+1.62+1.12+0.74+1.72+0.91+0.90−0.60−0.30−0.64−11.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Hearts

3−1.89+3.010−3.110+3.03−1.55−2.716+9.65−0.915+6.913+6.08+2.39+4.31−2.49+4.37+1.66+2.22−1.20−2.52−0.840.02−1.23+1.10−0.72+1.00−2.20−0.51+0.72+1.61+0.70−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.020.010.02−0.010.010.040.070.010.040.020.04−0.030.010.020.04−0.02−0.07−0.020.060.20LessMore

Hearts

0.030.010.020.010.010.020.040.01−0.010.020.010.020.010.010.040.01−0.030.110.020.070.170.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.09 → 1.06Hearts1.42 → 1.43Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.31 → 1.32Hearts1.20 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six90%90%0
St. Mirren
Top six57%58%+1
11th2%2%0
Bottom1%<1%−1
Hibernian
Top six77%76%−1

From the forecast before the match (29 January 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHearts
Expected goals1.291.34
Win35%37%
Expected Points1.331.40
Clean sheet26%28%

Livingston 35%Draw 27%Hearts 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 January 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHearts win
Livingston
Top six90%95%90%85%
St. Mirren
Top six57%54%58%59%
11th2%2%2%2%
Bottom1%<1%<1%1%
Hibernian
Top six77%75%76%79%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W4–214 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.46–1.86
  2. W2–07 JanRoss County (A)xG 0.90–0.86
  3. D1–12 JanMotherwell (H)xG 2.40–1.82
  4. D1–128 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.59–1.36
  5. L0–424 DecHibernian (A)xG 2.06–2.06
  6. L1–221 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.28–1.96

Hearts

  1. W5–018 JanAberdeen (H)xG 3.54–1.02
  2. W1–013 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.68–1.41
  3. D1–17 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.99–0.66
  4. W3–02 JanHibernian (H)xG 1.76–1.19
  5. W3–228 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.33–2.50
  6. D2–224 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.72–0.79

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHearts
Position4th3rd
Played2122
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠4–⁠811–⁠5–⁠6
Points31 (1.48 per game)38 (1.73 per game)
Expected Points per game1.181.41
Goals24–⁠3042–⁠31
xG per game1.15–⁠1.571.69–⁠1.62
Home: points, xG per game1.70, 1.24–⁠1.382.27, 2.23–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game1.27, 1.06–⁠1.741.18, 1.14–⁠1.70
ManagerDavid Martindale (82)Robbie Neilson (60)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackLivingston1.09, 5thHearts1.42, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.31, 5thHearts1.20, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 1.09Hearts attack: 1.421.421.09HeartsLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.31Hearts defence: 1.201.311.20

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−39%+16%+23%+33%
Counter-attacks−93%−48%+18%−61%
Set pieces+21%+28%+7%+18%
Penalties+89%+42%+103%+13%
Headers−32%+39%−14%+34%
Left side−12%−2%−5%+24%
Centre−28%+11%+24%+30%
Right side−38%+47%+31%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHearts concededLeft side−12%+20%Centre−28%+30%Right side−38%+24%Open play−39%+33%Counter-attacks−93%−61%Set pieces+21%+18%Headers−32%+34%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdLivingston concededLeft side−5%+47%Centre+24%+11%Right side+31%−2%Open play+23%+16%Counter-attacks+18%−48%Set pieces+7%+28%Headers−14%+39%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHearts

1.15xG1.69
1.57xG against1.62
39%Possession55%
9.8Shots12.2
15.2Shots against14.5
3.5Shots on target4.3
1.6Big chances2.4
18.7Touches in the opposition box21.4
279Passes439
61%Pass accuracy76%
3.9Corners4.9
38%Field tilt50%
24.7Final-third entries34.0
8.1Box entries11.2
16.7Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.181.30
Ahead320.991.61
Behind181.342.09

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level312.181.41
Ahead351.491.94
Behind241.351.44

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.220.146–2
16–300.180.093–1
31–450.200.345–7
46–600.120.283–5
61–750.160.324–10
76–900.280.403–5

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.310.165–6
16–300.220.158–3
31–450.340.298–0
46–600.190.336–8
61–750.210.295–5
76–900.420.4010–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWGeorge 16Konovalov 4Hamilton 1Devlin 19Bahamboula 2Obileye 18Fitzwater 13Sean Kelly 6Boyes 4Montano 14Penrice 3Pittman 1Pittman 11Omeonga 9Shinnie 7Holt 14Sean Kelly 14Stephen Kelly 3Goncalves 1Bahamboula 7Shinnie 4Omeonga 3Nouble 10Anderson 7Guthrie 3Nouble 5Stephen Kelly 4Pittman 44-3-3 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 4-3-2-1 (5), 4-2-3-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 16Clark 5Stewart 1Smith 13Sibbick 4Halkett 2Sibbick 9Neilson 4Halkett 3Rowles 12Cochrane 8Kingsley 8Cochrane 10Halliday 8Snodgrass 3Devlin 14Halliday 5Kiomourtzoglou 4Snodgrass 11Grant 2Smith 1Ginnelly 9Forrest 4McKay 2Shankland 3Smith 3Boyce 3McKay 14Mackay-Steven 3Forrest 2Shankland 14Ginnelly 4Humphrys 34-2-3-1 in 7 of 22 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 4-1-4-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 November 2022Hearts1–1LivingstonxG 2.95–1.84
3 September 2022Livingston1–0HeartsxG 1.19–0.69
19 March 2022Hearts2–0LivingstonxG 1.20–0.61
5 December 2021Livingston0–1HeartsxG 1.25–1.84
25 September 2021Hearts3–0LivingstonxG 2.43–0.12

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Hearts won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 2–7 and xG 1.00–1.82 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson8750410.260.08
Sean Kelly201,684220.190.12
Nouble151,327320.170.08
Montano151,154410.140.10

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland181,7021640.880.06
Grant5528110.400.19
Humphrys5472200.540.02
Ginnelly141,171520.220.21

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.