Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Rangers 4–2 Hearts

Sunday 15 February 2026, 16:30 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 2–2 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 51,092

Rangers Steinwender 19' (og), Chermiti 39', 57', 90'

Hearts Leonard 16', Braga 30'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersHearts
Goals42
xG2.510.40
Expected Points2.690.20

Rangers 86%Draw 11%Hearts 3%

Most likely score 2–0, 18%. Final score 4–2, 1%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%12%6%8%1%7%1%9%4%4%2%1%18%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTTavernier on for Sterling, 58'Diomande on for Olsen and Antman on for Naderi, 80'Gassama on for Moore, 88'Steinwender on for McEntee, 12'Altena on for Ageu and Kaboré on for Chesnokov, 46'Magnússon on for Baningime, 74'Mato on for Steinwender, 88'Steinwender 19' (og)Chermiti 39'Chermiti 57'Chermiti 90'Leonard 16'Braga 30'Rangers 2.51Hearts 0.4001230153045607590HTTavernier on for Sterling, 58'Diomande on for Olsen and Antman on for Naderi, 80'Gassama on for Moore, 88'Steinwender on for McEntee, 12'Altena on for Ageu and Kaboré on for Chesnokov, 46'Magnússon on for Baningime, 74'Mato on for Steinwender, 88'Steinwender 19' (og)Chermiti 39'Chermiti 57'Chermiti 90'Leonard 16'Braga 30'2.510.40RangersHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHearts

2.51 +0.75xG0.40 −1.28
1.37 −0.70xG on target1.70 −0.22
19 +3Shots7 −7
4 −1.9Shots on target3 −2.2
7 +4.2Big chances0 −2.7
31 +2Touches in the opposition box13 −15
56% −2Possession44% −9
444 −42Passes346 −72
83% 0Pass accuracy78% +2
68% +3Field tilt32% −27
41 −9Final-third entries30 −11
15 −1Box entries6 −7
9.9 −1Passes per defensive action14.5 +3
7 +0.5Corners3 −2.4
16 −2Tackles19 +1
6 −1.6Interceptions8 −0.6
29 +2Clearances33 0
1 −2.2Saves1 −1.3
17 +5Fouls13 +2
0 −1.6Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Chukwuani 42', 0.39 xGTavernier 90+4', 0.34 xGMoore 19', 0.26 xGChermiti 19', 0.20 xGMoore 22', 0.09 xGMoore 63', 0.08 xGChermiti 55', 0.07 xGRommens 66', 0.06 xGOlsen 6', 0.04 xGChermiti 37', 0.03 xGChukwuani 66', 0.03 xGNaderi 69', 0.03 xGAntman 87', 0.03 xGMoore 29', 0.02 xGChermiti 51', 0.02 xGMoore 45+4', 0.01 xGChermiti 90', 0.41 xG, goalChermiti 57', 0.21 xG, goalChermiti 39', 0.19 xG, goal45%1.14 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.14 xG, 1 goal28%0.70 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.70 xG, 1 goal19%0.48 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.48 xG, 1 goal6%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals1%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Ageu 30', 0.05 xGKyziridis 44', 0.04 xGHalkett 61', 0.04 xGBaningime 45+1', 0.03 xGSteinwender 61', 0.02 xGLeonard 16', 0.17 xG, goalBraga 30', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%0.33 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.33 xG, 2 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals18%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHearts

1.57 13 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.30 4 shots, 2 goals
0.80 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.15 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (50%) · Rangers 0.85, Hearts 0.34 xG
Rangers ahead
37 min (38%) · Rangers 0.98, Hearts 0.06 xG
Hearts ahead
12 min (12%) · Rangers 0.68, Hearts 0.00 xG

Line-ups

121537254342747209ButlandSterlingSouttarFernandezRommensRaskinChukwuaniOlsenMooreNaderiChermitiYellow cardGoalGoalGoalYellow card58'80'88'80'Rangers 4-2-2-2Danny Röhl25314191849699408910SchwolowMcEnteeHalkettFindlayMilneLeonardBaningimeChesnokovAgeuKyziridisBragaYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal12'74'46'46'Hearts 4-2-3-1Derek McInnes

Rangers substitutes

  • 58' Tavernier for Sterling
  • 80' Diomande for Olsen
  • 80' Antman for Naderi
  • 88' Gassama for Moore · yellow card 90+3', 1 assist

Hearts substitutes

  • 12' Steinwender for McEntee · own goal 19', 1 assist, off 88'
  • 46' Altena for Ageu
  • 46' Kaboré for Chesnokov
  • 74' Magnússon for Baningime
  • 88' Mato for Steinwender

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0440
SterlingRB580.000.0200.0652
SouttarCB900.000.0610.12811
FernandezCB900.000.0100.0319
RommensLB900.060.3220.2499
RaskinDM900.000.3810.2877
ChukwuaniDM900.420.0200.0244
Olsen RW8010.040.1830.1920
MooreLW880.460.0400.0131
NaderiST800.030.031−0.0233
Chermiti ST9031.130.6010.2253
TavernierDF320.340.0610.1024
DiomandeMF100.000.0000.0110
AntmanFW100.030.0100.0000
Gassama FW210.000.0610.0921

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0122
McEnteeRB120.000.0000.0000
HalkettCB900.040.0100.0538
FindlayCB900.000.0000.01010
Milne LB900.000.0510.10139
Leonard DM9010.170.0800.0985
BaningimeDM740.030.0100.0115
ChesnokovRW460.000.0000.0113
Ageu AM460.050.0000.0101
KyziridisLW900.040.0110.0231
BragaST90110.050.1220.1844
SteinwenderDF7610.020.1310.10514
AltenaDF440.000.0000.0022
KaboréFW440.000.010−0.0110
MagnússonMF160.000.0000.0103
MatoFW20.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Sterling and Fernandez: 4 passesRommens and Chermiti: 4 passesSterling and Chermiti: 5 passesFernandez and Olsen: 5 passesRaskin and Moore: 5 passesRaskin and Chermiti: 5 passesChukwuani and Olsen: 5 passesOlsen and Chermiti: 5 passesSterling and Souttar: 6 passesFernandez and Rommens: 6 passesButland and Raskin: 7 passesRommens and Moore: 7 passesSterling and Raskin: 8 passesRommens and Raskin: 8 passesRaskin and Chukwuani: 9 passesRommens and Chukwuani: 10 passesRaskin and Olsen: 10 passesSouttar and Raskin: 11 passesSouttar and Chukwuani: 11 passesFernandez and Moore: 12 passesFernandez and Souttar: 13 passesSterling and Olsen: 14 passesButland and Fernandez: 15 passesFernandez and Chukwuani: 20 passesFernandez and Raskin: 43 passesButland: 19 completed passesSterling: 25 completed passesFernandez: 62 completed passesSouttar: 29 completed passesRommens: 24 completed passesRaskin: 55 completed passesChukwuani: 30 completed passesOlsen: 25 completed passesMoore: 18 completed passesChermiti: 8 completed passesNaderi: 4 completed passes121375254342747920ButlandSterlingFernandezSouttarRommensRaskinChukwuaniOlsenMooreChermitiNaderiStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
FernandezRaskin29
RaskinFernandez19
ButlandFernandez12
FernandezChukwuani12
RaskinSouttar11

Hearts

FromToPasses
LeonardMilne17
MilneLeonard11
MilneKyziridis9
MilneFindlay9
BaningimeLeonard8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

8+4.45−0.312−1.33−3.34−1.24−1.78+2.07+0.24−3.97+2.050.01−3.710+4.83−2.08+3.84+0.43−0.51−2.47+2.00−3.24+2.61−0.62+0.52−0.20−0.43+2.30−0.80−0.50−0.71−4.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Hearts

3−1.56−0.719+6.69+2.77+3.39+1.83−5.39+2.213+4.78+1.04−1.95−0.91−4.24−2.34−1.04−1.03−1.51−1.85+1.26+1.80−2.51−1.20−1.50−1.41−1.92+0.90−0.41+0.50−0.40−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.030.040.010.020.060.050.030.010.070.030.060.010.090.020.010.030.13−0.010.18−0.120.010.260.34LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.040.010.070.020.010.010.030.02−0.010.06−0.010.050.020.110.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackRangers1.78 → 1.83Hearts1.50 → 1.46Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.98 → 0.96Hearts1.06 → 1.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title24%32%+8
Hearts
Title31%23%−8
Celtic
Title44%45%+1

From the forecast before the match (15 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersHearts
Expected goals1.710.98
Win54%21%
Expected Points1.870.88
Clean sheet38%18%

Rangers 54%Draw 25%Hearts 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawHearts win
Rangers
Title24%32%19%10%
Hearts
Title31%23%35%50%
Celtic
Title44%45%45%40%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D1–111 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.65–1.57
  2. W5–14 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 3.14–1.39
  3. D0–01 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.58–1.88
  4. W3–025 JanDundee FC (H)xG 2.51–0.24
  5. W2–011 JanAberdeen (A)xG 1.94–0.32
  6. W2–06 JanAberdeen (H)xG 1.81–1.05

Hearts

  1. W1–010 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.66–0.38
  2. L0–13 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.23–2.31
  3. W3–031 JanDundee United (A)xG 4.39–0.18
  4. D2–225 JanCeltic (H)xG 1.66–1.35
  5. W2–014 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.18–0.98
  6. W1–011 JanDundee FC (A)xG 0.36–1.34

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersHearts
Position3rd1st
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠10–⁠217–⁠6–⁠3
Points52 (2.00 per game)57 (2.19 per game)
Expected Points per game1.721.76
Goals43–⁠1948–⁠20
xG per game1.76–⁠1.151.68–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game2.15, 1.94–⁠0.952.38, 1.70–⁠0.98
Away: points, xG per game1.85, 1.59–⁠1.362.00, 1.66–⁠1.01
ManagerDanny Röhl (18)Derek McInnes (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackRangers1.78, 2ndHearts1.50, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.98, 2ndHearts1.06, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRangers attack: 1.78Hearts attack: 1.501.781.50HeartsRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebRangers defence: 0.98Hearts defence: 1.061.060.98

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+29%−31%+18%−19%
Counter-attacks+12%−9%+2%−50%
Set pieces+10%+6%+31%−24%
Penalties+61%−19%+7%−100%
Headers+24%−3%+27%−1%
Left side+62%−8%+15%−27%
Centre+17%−27%+31%−31%
Right side−6%−12%+1%−5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+62%−5%Centre+17%−31%Right side−6%−27%Open play+29%−19%Counter-attacks+12%−50%Set pieces+10%−24%Headers+24%−1%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+15%−12%Centre+31%−27%Right side+1%−8%Open play+18%−31%Counter-attacks+2%−9%Set pieces+31%+6%Headers+27%−3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHearts

1.76xG1.68
1.15xG against0.99
58%Possession53%
16.0Shots14.1
11.0Shots against9.8
5.9Shots on target5.2
2.8Big chances2.7
29.2Touches in the opposition box27.6
486Passes418
84%Pass accuracy76%
6.5Corners5.4
64%Field tilt60%
50.3Final-third entries40.8
16.0Box entries12.9
11.3Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.961.01
Ahead391.321.20
Behind112.621.48

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.330.90
Ahead342.011.15
Behind131.980.87

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.109–1
16–300.250.194–3
31–450.320.135–4
46–600.250.187–1
61–750.330.215–5
76–900.380.3313–5

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.210.144–3
16–300.210.088–4
31–450.300.177–4
46–600.320.1510–3
61–750.190.197–2
76–900.460.2712–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 26Tavernier 19Sterling 3Aarons 3Souttar 18Djiga 13Sterling 2Fernandez 14Cornelius 5Meghoma 20Miovski 2Aarons 2Raskin 19Barron 11Rothwell 4Diomande 12Chukwuani 3Aasgaard 3Gassama 11Antman 6Aasgaard 2Aasgaard 9Diomande 4Raskin 3Moore 11Gassama 9Meghoma 2Miovski 11Chermiti 9Danilo 34-2-3-1 in 17 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-3-3 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 20Clark 4Gordon 2McEntee 11Steinwender 8Kent 3Halkett 21Kent 3Steinwender 2Findlay 25Shankland 1Milne 12Kingsley 9McCart 2Milne 7Kyziridis 5Braga 4Baningime 11McEntee 7Magnússon 5Devlin 20Spittal 4Kyziridis 17Braga 4Milne 3Shankland 20Kaboré 7Findlay 1Braga 15Magnússon 4McEntee 14-4-2 in 11 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (11), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
21 December 2025Hearts2–1RangersxG 1.70–2.33
13 September 2025Rangers0–2HeartsxG 1.11–2.37
16 February 2025Hearts1–3RangersxG 2.61–1.58
10 November 2024Rangers1–0HeartsxG 2.17–0.59
3 August 2024Hearts0–0RangersxG 1.32–0.75
18 May 2024Hearts3–3RangersxG 2.06–1.99

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 11, Hearts won 2, and 4 were drawn. Goals 37–13 and xG 2.28–1.07 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier191,774730.280.26
Miovski131,092410.330.12
Chermiti9961420.400.04
Antman6542120.100.31

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kaboré9750410.620.09
Braga231,9281020.460.12
Kyziridis221,891460.230.32
Shankland211,8341120.400.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.