Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 1–2 Hearts

Saturday 30 August 2025, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 4 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 7,770

Livingston Smith 26'

Hearts Braga 47', Kyziridis 90+1'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Goals	1	2
xG	0.50	1.42
Expected Points	0.59	2.13

Livingston 11%Draw 28%Hearts 62%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 1–2, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHearts

0.50 −0.72xG1.42 −0.28

0.28 −1.47xG on target1.50 −0.77

6 −4Shots14 −2

2 −2.3Shots on target3 −3.7

1 −0.7Big chances3 +0.7

13 −5Touches in the opposition box29 −4

40% −2Possession60% +4

308 −16Passes464 +25

74% +5Pass accuracy78% −1

17% −23Field tilt83% +17

21 −7Final-third entries53 +7

5 −4.0Box entries14 −0.3

15.9 +2.9Passes per defensive action8.9 +0.6

5 +0.7Corners9 +2.0

17 −5Tackles17 −5

9 +0.3Interceptions7 −4.0

57 +14Clearances12 −12

1 −1.7Saves1 −0.3

16 +1Fouls16 +1

2 +1.3Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Livingston

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHearts

0.25 3 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.95 8 shots, 1 goal

0.25 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.47 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 70 min (70%) · Livingston 0.08, Hearts 1.14 xG
Livingston ahead: 25 min (25%) · Livingston 0.28, Hearts 0.28 xG
Hearts ahead: 5 min (5%) · Livingston 0.15, Hearts 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Livingston substitutes

58' Shinnie for Bokila
73' Winter for Smith
73' McLennan for Yengi · yellow card 86'
81' May for Muirhead · yellow card 90+1'

Hearts substitutes

46' Kyziridis for Halkett · goal 90+1', 1 assist
66' Ageu for Spittal
80' Kerjota for Baningime
88' Kabangu for Braga

Players

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Prior	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	2
Finlayson	RB	90		1	0.00	0.13	2	0.14	6	12
McGowan	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	15
Wilson	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.07	8	14
Montgomery	LB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	6	10
Pittman	DM	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	2	3
Sylla	DM	90			0.07	0.04	0	0.01	4	11
Smith	RW	73	1		0.04	0.00	0	0.04	4	2
Muirhead	AM	81			0.12	0.11	1	0.23	3	6
Yengi	LW	73			0.12	0.00	0	0.08	1	9
Bokila	ST	58			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	0
Shinnie	FW	32			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	2
Winter	FW	17			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
McLennan	FW	17			0.15	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
May	FW	9			0.00	0.06	1	−0.01	0	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Kent	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.12	9	6
Halkett	CB	46			0.00	0.03	0	0.00	2	3
Findlay	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	5	3
McEntee	RWB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.06	8	5
Devlin	CM	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.05	6	4
Baningime	CM	80			0.00	0.10	2	0.06	2	3
Spittal	CM	66			0.04	0.13	3	0.03	4	1
Milne	LWB	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.06	7	7
Shankland	ST	90		1	0.07	0.22	3	0.03	4	0
Braga	ST	88	1		0.91	0.04	1	0.02	4	3
Kyziridis	MF	44	1	1	0.10	0.33	2	0.27	8	0
Ageu	MF	24			0.30	0.01	1	0.07	1	0
Kerjota	FW	10			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Kabangu	FW	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Prior	Wilson	15
Finlayson	Smith	13
McGowan	Finlayson	9
Pittman	Finlayson	9
Montgomery	Yengi	8

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Halkett	Kent	15
Kent	McEntee	13
Findlay	Halkett	12
McEntee	Shankland	11
Kent	Devlin	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

Against its average of 3 matches

Hearts

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Livingston
Top six	15%	11%	−4
11th	19%	22%	+3
Bottom	15%	19%	+4
Hearts
Top six	89%	93%	+4
Falkirk
11th	17%	17%	0
Bottom	46%	45%	−1
Dundee United
Top six	21%	22%	+1
11th	15%	13%	−2
Bottom	7%	7%	0

From the forecast before the match (30 August 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Expected goals	1.10	1.51
Win	27%	46%
Expected Points	1.08	1.65
Clean sheet	22%	33%

Livingston 27%Draw 27%Hearts 46%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 30 August 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Livingston win	Draw	Hearts win
Livingston
Top six	15%	24%	14%	11%
11th	19%	16%	18%	22%
Bottom	15%	9%	14%	19%
Hearts
Top six	89%	84%	88%	93%
Falkirk
11th	17%	16%	17%	17%
Bottom	46%	48%	47%	45%
Dundee United
Top six	21%	20%	21%	22%
11th	15%	15%	16%	13%
Bottom	7%	9%	8%	7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Livingston	Hearts
Position	4th	2nd
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠1	2–⁠1–⁠0
Points	4 (1.33 per game)	7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.41	1.73
Goals	5–⁠6	8–⁠5
xG per game	1.22–⁠1.57	1.70–⁠1.21
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.59–⁠0.78	2.00, 1.62–⁠1.46
Away: points, xG per game	0.50, 1.04–⁠1.97	3.00, 1.87–⁠0.71
Manager	David Martindale (140)	Derek McInnes (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Livingston		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−9%	+41%	+1%	+6%
Counter-attacks	−50%	+4%	+60%	−59%
Set pieces	−31%	−17%	+28%	−1%
Penalties	+217%	−50%	+43%	−44%
Headers	−28%	+8%	+37%	−36%
Left side	−20%	+35%	+14%	−23%
Centre	−28%	+11%	+19%	−5%
Right side	−2%	+24%	+5%	+28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHearts concededLeft side−20%+28%Centre−28%−5%Right side−2%−23%Open play−9%+6%Counter-attacks−50%−59%Set pieces−31%−1%Headers−28%−36%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdLivingston concededLeft side+14%+24%Centre+19%+11%Right side+5%+35%Open play+1%+41%Counter-attacks+60%+4%Set pieces+28%−17%Headers+37%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHearts

1.22xG1.70

1.57xG against1.21

42%Possession56%

10.0Shots16.0

11.7Shots against11.0

4.3Shots on target6.7

1.7Big chances2.3

17.7Touches in the opposition box33.3

324Passes439

69%Pass accuracy79%

4.3Corners7.0

40%Field tilt66%

28.0Final-third entries46.0

9.0Box entries14.3

13.0Passes per defensive action8.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	0.42	2.30
Ahead	24	1.59	0.38
Behind	30	1.87	1.66

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	36	2.07	0.69
Ahead	27	1.00	1.62
Behind	26	1.93	1.49

xG by period

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.01	0.20	0–0
16–30	0.11	0.05	1–0
31–45	0.05	0.57	1–2
46–60	0.34	0.34	0–1
61–75	0.33	0.15	1–2
76–90	0.38	0.25	2–1

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.12	1–0
16–30	0.38	0.11	1–2
31–45	0.22	0.12	0–1
46–60	0.12	0.26	1–1
61–75	0.22	0.30	3–1
76–90	0.61	0.31	2–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Hearts

Formations: 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
13 April 2024	Hearts	4–2	Livingston	xG 3.81–0.97
2 January 2024	Livingston	1–2	Hearts	xG 1.66–1.94
1 November 2023	Hearts	1–0	Livingston	xG 1.91–0.21
29 January 2023	Livingston	0–0	Hearts	xG 0.34–1.63
12 November 2022	Hearts	1–1	Livingston	xG 2.95–1.84
3 September 2022	Livingston	1–0	Hearts	xG 1.19–0.69

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Hearts won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–14 and xG 0.91–2.04 per game.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	32	2,843	9	8	0.29	0.15
Wilson	16	1,352	5	2	0.26	0.14
Forrest	14	1,290	4	1	0.23	0.11
Spittal	31	2,546	4	4	0.09	0.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.