Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 2–1 St. Mirren

Tuesday 3 March 2026, 19:45 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 23 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 8,360

Dundee United Fraser 8' (og), Fatah 83' (pen)

St. Mirren Young 47'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	St. Mirren
Goals	2	1
xG	1.69	1.11
Non-penalty xG	0.90	1.11
Expected Points	1.81	0.87

Dundee United 49%Draw 33%St. Mirren 18%

Most likely score 1–1, 22%. Final score 2–1, 17%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.69 +0.47xG1.11 −0.06

0.90Non-penalty xG1.11

1.19 −0.09xG on target0.83 −0.14

18 +5Shots9 −3

4 −0.2Shots on target2 −1.6

1 −0.9Big chances1 −0.8

23 0Touches in the opposition box23 −2

53% +12Possession47% +2

322 +14Passes284 −64

59% −9Pass accuracy50% −24

55% +19Field tilt45% −2

39 +8Final-third entries16 −22

15 +4Box entries5 −6

11.1 −3Passes per defensive action9.0 −7

8 +3.5Corners4 −1.8

15 −2Tackles11 −3

17 +6.8Interceptions10 +3.5

68 +32Clearances63 +33

1 −2.3Saves3 0.0

12 −1Fouls13 0

1 −0.7Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

0.44 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.37 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.86 5 shots, 1 goal

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–12–1

Level: 44 min (47%) · Dundee United 1.34, St. Mirren 0.73 xG
Dundee United ahead: 49 min (53%) · Dundee United 0.35, St. Mirren 0.38 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

69' Sapsford for Watters
75' Ferry for Farrugia
84' Russell for Fatah
84' Trapanovski for Camará

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Young for Idowu · goal 47'
65' John for Tanser
84' Calvin for O'Hara
84' King for Richardson
90+1' Etete for Nlundulu

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Maynard-Brewer	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	1
Iovu	CB	90		0.00	0.08	1	0.10	4	19
Sevelj	CB	90		0.11	0.13	0	0.17	9	7
Graham	CB	90		0.17	0.05	1	0.09	5	23
Stephenson	RWB	90		0.05	0.00	0	0.03	3	5
Camará	CM	84		0.10	0.04	0	0.01	2	1
Agyei	CM	90		0.06	0.03	1	0.07	9	11
Keresztes	LWB	90		0.07	0.01	0	0.04	3	20
Farrugia	AM	75		0.00	0.09	2	−0.12	1	9
Watters	ST	69		0.07	0.02	1	−0.04	5	1
Fatah	ST	84	1	0.95	0.20	1	−0.01	0	2
Sapsford	FW	21		0.00	0.00	1	0.01	1	2
Ferry	MF	15		0.00	0.05	1	0.11	1	1
Russell	FW	6		0.03	0.02	0	0.03	1	0
Trapanovski	FW	6		0.08	0.00	0	0.01	1	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.02	2	3
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.06	1	0.21	4	9
Gogic	CB	90			0.67	0.01	0	0.05	7	20
Freckleton	CB	90			0.05	0.04	0	0.04	5	22
Richardson	RWB	84			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	5
O'Hara	CM	84			0.18	0.24	1	0.06	1	2
Phillips	CM	90			0.08	0.00	0	−0.01	1	4
Baccus	CM	90			0.03	0.03	0	0.00	4	12
Tanser	LWB	65		1	0.00	0.07	2	0.00	4	4
Idowu	ST	46			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	1	0
Nlundulu	ST	90			0.05	0.08	2	0.01	2	1
Young	FW	44	1		0.06	0.00	0	0.02	2	1
John	MF	25			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	3
Calvin	DF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
King	DF	6			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	2
Etete	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Sevelj	Stephenson	10
Agyei	Camará	9
Agyei	Sevelj	9
Camará	Agyei	8
Iovu	Sevelj	7

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Freckleton	Nlundulu	6
Freckleton	Gogic	6
Freckleton	Baccus	5
Gogic	Freckleton	5
Gogic	Fraser	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 28 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
11th	2%	<1%	−2
St. Mirren
11th	14%	21%	+7
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Kilmarnock
11th	68%	63%	−5
Bottom	9%	9%	0

From the forecast before the match (3 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.38	1.17
Win	41%	31%
Expected Points	1.51	1.21
Clean sheet	31%	25%

Dundee United 41%Draw 28%St. Mirren 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Dundee United
11th	2%	<1%	2%	3%
St. Mirren
11th	14%	21%	14%	7%
Bottom	1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Kilmarnock
11th	68%	63%	68%	74%
Bottom	9%	9%	8%	9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	St. Mirren
Position	7th	10th
Played	28	28
Won, drawn, lost	6–⁠12–⁠10	5–⁠9–⁠14
Points	30 (1.07 per game)	24 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.07	1.23
Goals	34–⁠45	22–⁠43
xG per game	1.22–⁠1.79	1.17–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game	1.07, 1.30–⁠2.01	1.21, 1.18–⁠1.04
Away: points, xG per game	1.07, 1.15–⁠1.57	0.50, 1.16–⁠1.69
Manager	Jim Goodwin (78)	Stephen Robinson (99)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−35%	+35%	−22%	+2%
Counter-attacks	+20%	−2%	−34%	+50%
Set pieces	+16%	+12%	+9%	−22%
Penalties	−2%	+47%	−51%	−51%
Headers	−19%	+22%	+11%	+5%
Left side	+3%	+34%	−18%	+1%
Centre	−31%	+24%	−14%	+6%
Right side	+3%	+15%	−12%	−12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+3%−12%Centre−31%+6%Right side+3%+1%Open play−35%+2%Counter-attacks+20%+50%Set pieces+16%−22%Headers−19%+5%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−18%+15%Centre−14%+24%Right side−12%+34%Open play−22%+35%Counter-attacks−34%−2%Set pieces+9%+12%Headers+11%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Mirren

1.22xG1.17

1.79xG against1.37

41%Possession45%

12.6Shots12.2

16.2Shots against12.8

4.2Shots on target3.6

1.9Big chances1.8

23.2Touches in the opposition box24.8

308Passes348

68%Pass accuracy74%

4.5Corners5.8

36%Field tilt47%

30.7Final-third entries37.7

10.9Box entries11.4

14.1Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	49	1.28	1.55
Ahead	15	1.13	2.49
Behind	26	1.17	1.84

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	58	1.17	1.34
Ahead	13	0.90	1.56
Behind	20	1.34	1.32

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.16	0.21	3–3
16–30	0.13	0.26	4–12
31–45	0.21	0.35	7–8
46–60	0.25	0.31	5–7
61–75	0.23	0.30	8–5
76–90	0.24	0.37	7–10

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.16	1–1
16–30	0.17	0.20	4–4
31–45	0.16	0.29	3–9
46–60	0.20	0.17	3–8
61–75	0.19	0.27	4–7
76–90	0.28	0.27	7–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-3 (15), 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-5-2 (21), 5-3-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
6 December 2025	St. Mirren	2–0	Dundee United	xG 1.24–1.01
25 October 2025	Dundee United	3–1	St. Mirren	xG 2.21–2.28
10 May 2025	Dundee United	0–2	St. Mirren	xG 1.47–2.18
11 January 2025	St. Mirren	0–1	Dundee United	xG 2.39–1.51
30 November 2024	Dundee United	2–0	St. Mirren	xG 3.22–0.35
5 October 2024	St. Mirren	0–1	Dundee United	xG 1.07–0.97

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 6, St. Mirren won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–20 and xG 1.38–1.46 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Watters	9	738	2	1	0.41	0.08
Dolcek	10	886	5	2	0.30	0.13
Sapsford	25	2,103	6	2	0.32	0.07
Fatah	17	1,491	5	3	0.23	0.12

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
McMenamin	13	1,152	1	1	0.21	0.26
Mandron	22	1,972	4	4	0.25	0.13
Ayunga	11	953	2	0	0.34	0.03
Nlundulu	13	1,259	3	0	0.29	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.