Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 0–5 Motherwell

Saturday 21 February 2026, 19:30 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 28 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 6,758

St. Mirren King sent off 52'

Motherwell Just 14', Maswanhise 30' (pen), Said 49', Longelo 58', Bjørgolfsson 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenMotherwell
Goals05
xG1.002.20
Non-penalty xG1.001.42
Expected Points0.552.25

St. Mirren 11%Draw 21%Motherwell 68%

Most likely score 1–2, 14%. Final score 0–5, 1%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+2%8%8%3%2%10%9%4%5%8%5%2%1%2%1%12%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKing (St. Mirren), red card 52'Fraser on for McMenamin, Mandron on for Idowu, and Baccus on for Devaney, 46'Calvin on for Young, 61'Donnelly on for O'Hara, 78'Sparrow on for Just and Bjørgolfsson on for McGinn, 62'Ross on for Said, Charles-Cook on for Watt, and Nicholson on for Longelo, 77'Just 14'Maswanhise 30' (pen)Said 49'Longelo 58'Bjørgolfsson 66'Motherwell 2.20St. Mirren 1.0001230153045607590HTKing (St. Mirren), red card 52'Fraser on for McMenamin, Mandron on for Idowu, and Baccus on for Devaney, 46'Calvin on for Young, 61'Donnelly on for O'Hara, 78'Sparrow on for Just and Bjørgolfsson on for McGinn, 62'Ross on for Said, Charles-Cook on for Watt, and Nicholson on for Longelo, 77'Just 14'Maswanhise 30' (pen)Said 49'Longelo 58'Bjørgolfsson 66'2.201.00St. MirrenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenMotherwell

1.00 −0.19xG2.20 +0.66
1.00Non-penalty xG1.42
1.02 +0.05xG on target1.97 +0.34
11 −1Shots17 +4
5 +1.3Shots on target6 +1.0
2 +0.2Big chances3 +0.6
14 −11Touches in the opposition box48 +22
29% −16Possession71% +12
282 −67Passes702 +155
81% +8Pass accuracy93% +7
15% −32Field tilt85% +24
22 −17Final-third entries74 +24
6 −6Box entries30 +15
19.8 +4Passes per defensive action22.1 +9
4 −2.0Corners7 +3.2
16 +2Tackles4 −10
5 −1.5Interceptions1 −6.6
29 0Clearances19 −5
1 −2.2Saves5 +2.2
17 +4Fouls6 −6
1 −1.3Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Young 22', 0.19 xGGogic 65', 0.18 xGCalvin 63', 0.14 xGBaccus 63', 0.13 xGCalvin 63', 0.10 xGMandron 51', 0.08 xGO'Hara 63', 0.06 xGMcMenamin 12', 0.05 xGYoung 2', 0.03 xGYoung 34', 0.02 xGCalvin 89', 0.02 xG19%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 0 goals69%0.69 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals8%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Maswanhise 3', 0.46 xGMaswanhise 37', 0.22 xGSaid 13', 0.15 xGMaswanhise 13', 0.09 xGSlattery 13', 0.08 xGJust 13', 0.06 xGMaswanhise 90+3', 0.04 xGLongelo 9', 0.02 xGWatt 45+4', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 84', 0.02 xGSlattery 85', 0.02 xGNicholson 90+4', 0.01 xGSaid 49', 0.08 xG, goalBjørgolfsson 66', 0.06 xG, goalLongelo 58', 0.04 xG, goalJust 14', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%1.15 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.15 xG, 2 goals6%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 2 goals12%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenMotherwell

0.62 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.36 14 shots, 3 goals
0.08 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.30 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.06 2 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (14%) · St. Mirren 0.08, Motherwell 0.90 xG
Motherwell ahead
84 min (86%) · St. Mirren 0.92, Motherwell 1.30 xG

Line-ups

15132124867881020GeorgeKingGogicFreckletonJohnDevaneyO'HaraIdowuPhillipsMcMenaminYoungSent offYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'78'46'46'61'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Stephen Robinson13216574525209021818WardO'DonnellMcGinnWelshLongeloPriestmanWattSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseGoalGoalGoalGoal62'77'77'77'62'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Fraser for McMenamin
  • 46' Baccus for Devaney · yellow card 90+2'
  • 46' Mandron for Idowu
  • 61' Calvin for Young
  • 78' Donnelly for O'Hara

Motherwell substitutes

  • 62' Sparrow for Just · 1 assist
  • 62' Bjørgolfsson for McGinn · goal 66'
  • 77' Nicholson for Longelo
  • 77' Ross for Said
  • 77' Charles-Cook for Watt

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0330
King RB520.000.4710.2265
Gogic CB900.180.0100.0438
Freckleton CB900.000.0210.0759
JohnLB900.000.1010.0328
DevaneyDM460.000.0000.0014
O'HaraDM780.060.001−0.0123
IdowuRW460.000.0000.0013
Phillips AM900.000.010−0.0502
McMenaminLW460.050.0000.0115
YoungST610.240.0010.0322
FraserDF440.000.0000.0225
Baccus MF440.130.0100.0541
MandronFW440.080.051−0.0310
CalvinDF290.260.0000.0000
DonnellyMF120.000.0000.0001

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WardGK900.000.0000.0422
O'DonnellRB900.000.0800.20106
McGinnCB620.000.0100.0775
WelshCB900.000.0200.14139
LongeloLB7710.060.2930.3772
PriestmanDM900.000.0400.1340
WattDM770.020.0810.08101
SaidRW7710.230.1700.1180
JustAM6210.090.2100.1890
SlatteryLW9030.110.3940.0182
MaswanhiseST9011.620.0110.1420
SparrowMF2810.000.0720.1150
BjørgolfssonFW2810.060.0000.0001
NicholsonDF130.010.0100.0210
RossFW130.000.0110.1831
Charles-CookFW130.000.0000.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

George and Phillips: 3 passesGogic and Phillips: 3 passesFreckleton and Phillips: 3 passesDevaney and Phillips: 3 passesGeorge and Gogic: 4 passesKing and Freckleton: 4 passesKing and Idowu: 4 passesKing and Phillips: 4 passesFreckleton and O'Hara: 4 passesDevaney and McMenamin: 4 passesKing and McMenamin: 5 passesFreckleton and Devaney: 5 passesJohn and McMenamin: 6 passesKing and Devaney: 7 passesGeorge and Freckleton: 8 passesFreckleton and John: 8 passesKing and Gogic: 13 passesGogic and Freckleton: 15 passesGeorge: 14 completed passesKing: 21 completed passesGogic: 20 completed passesFreckleton: 25 completed passesJohn: 12 completed passesO'Hara: 6 completed passesDevaney: 17 completed passesIdowu: 3 completed passesPhillips: 10 completed passesMcMenamin: 7 completed passesYoung: 1 completed passes15132124687881020GeorgeKingGogicFreckletonJohnO'HaraDevaneyIdowuPhillipsMcMenaminYoungStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Welsh and Slattery: 8 passesWard and Watt: 9 passesSaid and Just: 10 passesPriestman and Said: 11 passesMcGinn and Watt: 12 passesLongelo and Watt: 12 passesPriestman and Slattery: 12 passesWard and O'Donnell: 13 passesO'Donnell and Said: 13 passesWelsh and McGinn: 13 passesWelsh and Longelo: 13 passesJust and Slattery: 13 passesWatt and Just: 14 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 15 passesLongelo and Slattery: 15 passesSaid and Slattery: 15 passesWard and Welsh: 16 passesWard and McGinn: 16 passesO'Donnell and Watt: 20 passesPriestman and Watt: 20 passesWelsh and Watt: 21 passesWatt and Slattery: 21 passesO'Donnell and Priestman: 26 passesO'Donnell and McGinn: 29 passesWard: 34 completed passesO'Donnell: 68 completed passesWelsh: 47 completed passesMcGinn: 46 completed passesLongelo: 29 completed passesPriestman: 41 completed passesWatt: 70 completed passesSaid: 31 completed passesJust: 27 completed passesSlattery: 53 completed passesMaswanhise: 4 completed passes13257164525209021818WardO'DonnellWelshMcGinnLongeloPriestmanWattSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 8+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
GogicFreckleton11
FreckletonGogic10
JohnFreckleton9
FreckletonJohn7
GogicKing7

Motherwell

FromToPasses
WelshWatt19
PriestmanO'Donnell18
O'DonnellMcGinn17
WardWelsh15
O'DonnellPriestman15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

10+5.38+0.524+7.611+4.14−0.98+2.26−0.92−4.513+5.73−3.42−2.65+0.83+0.26+2.40−4.00−3.94+0.91−1.72−0.82−1.22−0.64+2.02+0.33+1.13+0.20−1.00−0.50−0.91+0.70−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Motherwell

3−0.710−2.94−2.30−4.15−1.010+2.75−2.25−2.57+0.64−1.81−3.75+1.26+1.71−4.10−4.25+0.54+1.61−1.92−1.92−1.13+1.10−1.10−1.61−1.00−0.91+0.40−0.80−0.31+0.51−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.050.010.020.010.020.020.010.020.030.010.03−0.010.01−0.02−0.02−0.010.010.16LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.020.030.010.030.010.060.060.030.060.040.130.050.010.050.070.060.120.030.130.180.26−0.08−0.060.090.37LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.14 → 1.12Motherwell1.42 → 1.47Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38 → 1.43Motherwell1.11 → 1.10

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
11th11%15%+4
Motherwell
Title<1%1%+1
Kilmarnock
11th57%55%−2
Bottom6%6%0
Dundee FC
11th22%20%−2

From the forecast before the match (21 February 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenMotherwell
Expected goals1.141.31
Win32%40%
Expected Points1.241.48
Clean sheet27%32%

St. Mirren 32%Draw 29%Motherwell 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.

Motherwell goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%7%5%2%2%3%2%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 21 February 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawMotherwell win
St. Mirren
11th11%5%11%15%
Motherwell
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Kilmarnock
11th57%61%58%55%
Bottom6%6%6%6%
Dundee FC
11th22%24%22%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. L0–214 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.30–1.19
  2. L3–411 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.96–2.76
  3. W1–03 FebHearts (H)xG 2.31–0.23
  4. D0–031 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.04–0.78
  5. D1–120 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.41–1.47
  6. L0–214 JanHearts (A)xG 0.98–2.18

Motherwell

  1. W2–015 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.46–0.62
  2. D1–111 FebRangers (H)xG 1.57–1.65
  3. W2–031 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.62–0.22
  4. W4–024 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 2.72–0.46
  5. D1–110 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.03–1.31
  6. W2–03 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.88–0.30

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenMotherwell
Position10th4th
Played2626
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠8–⁠1312–⁠11–⁠3
Points23 (0.88 per game)47 (1.81 per game)
Expected Points per game1.241.68
Goals21–⁠3740–⁠18
xG per game1.19–⁠1.361.54–⁠1.12
Home: points, xG per game1.31, 1.20–⁠0.952.21, 1.74–⁠0.75
Away: points, xG per game0.46, 1.17–⁠1.771.33, 1.31–⁠1.56
ManagerStephen Robinson (97)Jens Berthel Askou (26)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackSt. Mirren1.14, 7thMotherwell1.42, 5thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38, 7thMotherwell1.11, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren attack: 1.14Motherwell attack: 1.421.421.14MotherwellSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren defence: 1.38Motherwell defence: 1.111.381.11

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+1%+22%−15%
Counter-attacks−32%+60%average−13%
Set pieces+17%−17%−33%−27%
Penalties−47%−74%+58%−47%
Headers+16%+11%−15%−33%
Left side−15%−2%+25%−24%
Centre−14%+9%−25%−12%
Right side−10%−9%+47%−24%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdMotherwell concededLeft side−15%−24%Centre−14%−12%Right side−10%−24%Open play−24%−15%Counter-attacks−32%−13%Set pieces+17%−27%Headers+16%−33%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+25%−9%Centre−25%+9%Right side+47%−2%Open play+22%+1%Counter-attacksaverage+60%Set pieces−33%−17%Headers−15%+11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenMotherwell

1.19xG1.54
1.36xG against1.12
45%Possession59%
12.3Shots13.2
12.7Shots against10.6
3.7Shots on target5.0
1.8Big chances2.4
25.1Touches in the opposition box26.0
349Passes547
73%Pass accuracy85%
6.0Corners3.8
47%Field tilt61%
38.6Final-third entries49.7
11.6Box entries15.4
15.6Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level601.201.33
Ahead120.831.62
Behind181.391.29

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.181.14
Ahead301.901.10
Behind102.281.11

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.141–0
16–300.170.194–3
31–450.170.292–9
46–600.190.183–6
61–750.180.294–6
76–900.300.287–13

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.102–2
16–300.270.1810–3
31–450.270.186–0
46–600.320.158–3
61–750.270.254–6
76–900.330.2510–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 26Fraser 24King 17Gogic 12Freckleton 25Richards… 17RichardsonMcMena… 8McMenaminSobowale 1Phillips 26Baccus 11McMena… 4McMenaminTaylor 4Gogic 11O'Hara 8Idowu 5John 24Tanser 2Mandron 21Idowu 6Young 2Nlundulu 11Ayunga 113-5-2 in 20 of 26 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (20), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 26Koutroumbis 10O'Donnell 9Sparrow 5McGinn 22Gordon 8O'Donnell 5Welsh 16Longelo 20Koutroumbis 5Charles-Cook 1Fadinger 23Priestman 7Just 3Watt 18Maswanhise 13Said 6Just 3Just 11Slattery 6Watt 3Slattery 9Said 7Charles-Cook 5Maswanhise 9Stamatelopoulos 9Hendry 74-2-3-1 in 17 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (17), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 January 2026Motherwell2–0St. MirrenxG 1.88–0.30
9 August 2025St. Mirren0–0MotherwellxG 1.31–0.53
15 March 2025Motherwell2–2St. MirrenxG 0.67–1.24
7 December 2024St. Mirren0–1MotherwellxG 0.55–1.74
28 September 2024Motherwell2–1St. MirrenxG 2.07–2.33
30 March 2024Motherwell1–1St. MirrenxG 1.84–1.32

18 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 3, Motherwell won 7, and 8 were drawn. Goals 14–20 and xG 1.17–1.32 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin121,106110.220.27
Mandron211,838430.260.12
Ayunga11953200.340.03
Nlundulu121,177200.260.06

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos9868620.890.08
Just201,702560.280.23
Maswanhise231,8361320.400.08
Slattery161,483240.170.25

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.