Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 1–0 Aberdeen

Saturday 3 May 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 7,587

St. Mirren Mandron 60'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenAberdeen
Goals10
xG1.220.47
Expected Points1.990.69

St. Mirren 56%Draw 32%Aberdeen 12%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 1–0, 24%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+17%8%2%13%2%15%8%2%5%3%1%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTIdowu on for Ayunga, 46'Boyd-Munce on for Smyth, 67'Scott on for O'Hara, 79'McGrath on for Clarkson and Polvara on for Okkels, 55'Dabbagh on for Keskinen, 66'Gueye on for Dorrington and Boyd on for Palaversa, 83'Mandron 60'St. Mirren 1.22Aberdeen 0.4700.511.50153045607590HTIdowu on for Ayunga, 46'Boyd-Munce on for Smyth, 67'Scott on for O'Hara, 79'McGrath on for Clarkson and Polvara on for Okkels, 55'Dabbagh on for Keskinen, 66'Gueye on for Dorrington and Boyd on for Palaversa, 83'Mandron 60'1.220.47St. MirrenAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.22 −0.05xG0.47 −0.78
1.77 +0.47xG on target0.00 −1.27
10 −1Shots7 −5
4 −0.1Shots on target0 −3.9
1 −1.1Big chances0 −1.8
17 −4Touches in the opposition box23 −2
38% −5Possession62% +8
276 −19Passes432 −6
70% +5Pass accuracy84% +6
42% −3Field tilt58% +4
36 +4Final-third entries44 +5
9 −0.2Box entries12 −1.4
15.1 0Passes per defensive action11.1 −2
5 +0.3Corners11 +5.1
19 +3Tackles16 −1
7 −1.0Interceptions8 +1.4
32 +3Clearances27 −4
0 −2.4Saves3 +0.4
10 −3Fouls11 0
2 −0.2Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Mandron 87', 0.35 xGScott 90+5', 0.18 xGO'Hara 31', 0.14 xGMandron 36', 0.12 xGIdowu 90+6', 0.06 xGAyunga 30', 0.05 xGFraser 45', 0.04 xGMandron 38', 0.03 xGMandron 47', 0.02 xGMandron 60', 0.24 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals91%1.10 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.10 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals9%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Knoester 70', 0.10 xGGueye 83', 0.10 xGKeskinen 8', 0.09 xGKeskinen 50', 0.09 xGPalaversa 5', 0.05 xGClarkson 7', 0.02 xGMorris 33', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals72%0.34 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals23%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.75 6 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.11 2 shots, 0 goals
0.18 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.30 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.36 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
60 min (62%) · St. Mirren 0.63, Aberdeen 0.26 xG
St. Mirren ahead
36 min (38%) · St. Mirren 0.59, Aberdeen 0.20 xG

Line-ups

122135288862497HemmingFraserGogicTaylorAlebiosuPhillipsSmythO'HaraJohnMandronAyungaYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card67'79'46'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson12265418102081169MitovDevlinDorringtonKnoesterShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisKeskinenOkkelsNisbetYellow cardYellow card83'83'55'66'55'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Idowu for Ayunga
  • 67' Boyd-Munce for Smyth
  • 79' Scott for O'Hara

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 55' Polvara for Okkels
  • 55' McGrath for Clarkson
  • 66' Dabbagh for Keskinen
  • 83' Boyd for Palaversa
  • 83' Gueye for Dorrington

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0100.0643
FraserCB900.040.0300.1268
GogicCB900.000.0100.06512
TaylorCB900.000.0200.07712
AlebiosuRWB900.000.0300.0664
Phillips CM900.000.0200.0342
SmythCM670.000.1220.07113
O'HaraCM7910.140.1020.0002
JohnLWB900.000.3310.1246
Mandron ST9010.760.0510.2123
Ayunga ST460.050.0110.0201
IdowuMF440.060.1210.1252
Boyd-MunceMF230.000.0000.0013
ScottFW110.180.000−0.0200

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0101
Devlin RB900.000.0200.04410
DorringtonCB830.000.0100.0467
KnoesterCB900.100.0010.0886
Shinnie LB900.000.1820.10710
PalaversaDM830.050.0400.0643
ClarksonDM550.020.0610.0823
MorrisRW900.020.1410.24143
KeskinenAM660.180.0000.1601
OkkelsLW550.000.010−0.0111
NisbetST900.000.0200.0323
PolvaraMF350.000.0100.0441
McGrathFW350.000.0600.0353
DabbaghFW240.000.1810.1801
BoydMF70.000.0000.0100
GueyeMF70.100.0000.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Gogic and John: 3 passesGogic and O'Hara: 3 passesTaylor and O'Hara: 3 passesFraser and Smyth: 3 passesAlebiosu and Phillips: 3 passesPhillips and Smyth: 3 passesSmyth and Ayunga: 3 passesHemming and Taylor: 4 passesGogic and Taylor: 4 passesGogic and Smyth: 4 passesSmyth and Mandron: 4 passesHemming and Mandron: 5 passesFraser and Alebiosu: 5 passesGogic and Fraser: 6 passesTaylor and Smyth: 6 passesJohn and Smyth: 6 passesTaylor and John: 7 passesO'Hara and Smyth: 8 passesHemming: 8 completed passesGogic: 13 completed passesTaylor: 14 completed passesFraser: 12 completed passesAlebiosu: 6 completed passesJohn: 10 completed passesPhillips: 10 completed passesO'Hara: 9 completed passesSmyth: 19 completed passesMandron: 3 completed passesAyunga: 5 completed passes113522224886897HemmingGogicTaylorFraserAlebiosuJohnPhillipsO'HaraSmythMandronAyungaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Mitov and Palaversa: 3 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 3 passesKnoester and Okkels: 3 passesDorrington and Clarkson: 3 passesClarkson and Keskinen: 3 passesClarkson and Okkels: 3 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 4 passesClarkson and Morris: 4 passesMorris and Keskinen: 4 passesDevlin and Morris: 5 passesShinnie and Keskinen: 5 passesMorris and Nisbet: 5 passesMitov and Shinnie: 6 passesKnoester and Clarkson: 7 passesDorrington and Palaversa: 7 passesMitov and Clarkson: 8 passesPalaversa and Clarkson: 8 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 9 passesShinnie and Palaversa: 10 passesMitov and Dorrington: 11 passesDevlin and Dorrington: 11 passesDevlin and Palaversa: 11 passesKnoester and Dorrington: 12 passesShinnie and Okkels: 13 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 15 passesMitov and Knoester: 22 passesMitov: 35 completed passesDevlin: 21 completed passesKnoester: 34 completed passesDorrington: 21 completed passesShinnie: 29 completed passesPalaversa: 25 completed passesClarkson: 25 completed passesMorris: 9 completed passesKeskinen: 5 completed passesOkkels: 10 completed passesNisbet: 7 completed passes12526418102081169MitovDevlinKnoesterDorringtonShinniePalaversaClarksonMorrisKeskinenOkkelsNisbetStarters until 55' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
JohnTaylor10
HemmingMandron7
TaylorGogic6
GogicFraser5
FraserAlebiosu5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MitovKnoester24
KnoesterShinnie16
ShinnieKnoester14
DorringtonMitov10
KnoesterDorrington10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

7+2.18+1.721+8.210+3.37+1.84−2.56−1.32−3.29+2.35−2.84−1.35+0.42−1.33−1.77+1.22−1.73−0.61−2.02−1.71−2.93+0.20−1.91−0.44+2.95+2.70−1.00−0.61−0.10−0.51+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Aberdeen

4−0.86+0.23−4.56+0.48+1.38+2.28+2.76−1.510+2.74−1.55+1.23−0.57+1.44−1.80−3.92−1.11−1.83−0.32−2.41−0.92+0.41−0.52+0.41−2.50−0.90−0.33+2.60−0.32+1.511−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.030.020.020.010.020.090.010.040.020.020.060.030.010.010.08−0.020.030.010.100.060.25LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.020.010.030.020.030.040.050.020.040.040.050.030.040.040.060.05−0.030.070.120.190.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.26 → 1.27Aberdeen1.26 → 1.23Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35 → 1.33Aberdeen1.38 → 1.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenAberdeen
Expected goals1.521.13
Win46%28%
Expected Points1.631.10
Clean sheet32%22%

St. Mirren 46%Draw 27%Aberdeen 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Aberdeen goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%7%5%2%7%3%8%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D2–226 AprRangers (H)xG 1.90–1.27
  2. W3–212 AprRoss County (H)xG 2.16–1.43
  3. L0–25 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.35–0.65
  4. W5–129 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.29
  5. D2–215 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.24–0.67
  6. L2–51 MarCeltic (H)xG 1.63–3.37

Aberdeen

  1. W1–026 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.83–0.93
  2. D2–213 AprRangers (H)xG 2.44–1.18
  3. W1–05 AprRoss County (A)xG 1.47–1.19
  4. W4–129 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.58–1.21
  5. D0–015 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.58–0.64
  6. D2–22 MarDundee United (H)xG 1.98–0.53

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenAberdeen
Position6th4th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠6–⁠1615–⁠8–⁠11
Points42 (1.24 per game)53 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.291.21
Goals47–⁠5646–⁠49
xG per game1.27–⁠1.481.25–⁠1.56
Home: points, xG per game1.39, 1.24–⁠1.271.89, 1.51–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game1.06, 1.31–⁠1.711.19, 0.95–⁠1.90
ManagerStephen Robinson (67)Jimmy Thelin (34)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.26, 5thAberdeen1.26, 6thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35, 5thAberdeen1.38, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren attack: 1.26Aberdeen attack: 1.261.261.26AberdeenSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Mirren defence: 1.35Aberdeen defence: 1.381.381.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−14%−5%+2%+11%
Counter-attacks−23%−7%−13%−10%
Set pieces−12%+7%−19%+26%
Penalties+45%+86%−79%−17%
Headers−9%−12%−15%+18%
Left side−21%−14%+6%+11%
Centre−13%−3%−10%+13%
Right side−11%+14%−5%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−21%+16%Centre−13%+13%Right side−11%+11%Open play−14%+11%Counter-attacks−23%−10%Set pieces−12%+26%Headers−9%+18%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+6%+14%Centre−10%−3%Right side−5%−14%Open play+2%−5%Counter-attacks−13%−7%Set pieces−19%+7%Headers−15%−12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.27xG1.25
1.48xG against1.56
43%Possession54%
11.4Shots12.1
11.7Shots against13.4
4.1Shots on target3.9
2.1Big chances1.8
20.6Touches in the opposition box25.4
295Passes438
65%Pass accuracy78%
4.7Corners5.9
45%Field tilt54%
31.6Final-third entries39.0
9.2Box entries13.4
14.9Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.221.28
Ahead211.191.63
Behind211.481.78

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.111.40
Ahead211.311.77
Behind221.481.69

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.190.247–7
16–300.160.178–6
31–450.310.1712–8
46–600.220.176–8
61–750.160.294–14
76–900.230.4310–13

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.194–3
16–300.200.214–11
31–450.190.289–10
46–600.200.179–6
61–750.190.276–5
76–900.310.4414–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 21Hemming 13Fraser 31Alebiosu 1Idowu 1Gogic 29Iacovitti 8Taylor 27Dunne 4Bwomono 15Alebiosu 8Rooney 6Phillips 31Idowu 8Adeniran 2Boyd-Mu… 19Boyd-MunceSmyth 5McMena… 5McMenaminO'Hara 28Gogic 1Tanser 19John 11Brown 3Olusanya 26Idowu 2van Veen 2Mandron 14Kiltie 13Ayunga 103-5-2 in 17 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (17), 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 20Doohan 14Devlin 24Jensen 9Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 8Dorrington 6Molloy 19Knoester 9Nilsen 2MacKenzie 23McGarry 5Shinnie 4Shinnie 23Palaversa 15Keskinen 2Nilsen 23Clarkson 5Keskinen 18Morris 9Okkels 2Clarkson 13Gueye 10McGrath 4McGrath 13Keskinen 9Okkels 7Nisbet 18Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 January 2025Aberdeen0–3St. MirrenxG 1.41–1.78
23 November 2024St. Mirren2–1AberdeenxG 1.56–1.38
11 August 2024Aberdeen3–1St. MirrenxG 1.60–1.30
2 March 2024St. Mirren2–1AberdeenxG 2.01–0.98
30 December 2023Aberdeen0–3St. MirrenxG 1.03–2.73
27 August 2023St. Mirren2–2AberdeenxG 1.97–0.87

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 8, Aberdeen won 5, and 4 were drawn. Goals 27–25 and xG 1.48–1.36 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya262,045820.440.03
Smyth5598400.310.12
Ayunga10981240.340.07
Mandron141,459520.270.14

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye131,018610.410.06
McGrath191,600460.240.21
Duk8936020.250.20
Nisbet191,6781050.330.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.