Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
FalkirkSt. Mirren
1.43 +0.13xG0.90 −0.24
0.83 −0.42xG on target2.52 +1.59
11 −1Shots11 −1
2 −2.0Shots on target4 +0.5
3 +1.0Big chances3 +1.3
20 −1Touches in the opposition box10 −14
58% +7Possession42% −3
423 +18Passes312 −36
82% +5Pass accuracy73% 0
72% +24Field tilt28% −18
41 +5Final-third entries23 −14
11 0Box entries5 −6
10.0 −3Passes per defensive action12.1 −3
7 +2.2Corners4 −1.5
14 −5Tackles18 +4
9 +0.1Interceptions11 +4.1
16 −15Clearances31 0
2 −1.1Saves1 −2.1
15 +3Fouls14 +1
2 −0.1Offsides1 −1.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
15'18'64'
0–01–11–2
0'HTFT
Level
61 min (67%) · Falkirk 0.96, St. Mirren 0.24 xG
Falkirk ahead
3 min (3%) · Falkirk 0.00, St. Mirren 0.17 xG
St. Mirren ahead
27 min (30%) · Falkirk 0.47, St. Mirren 0.48 xG
Line-ups
Falkirk substitutes
68'Ross for Yeats
82'Cartwright for Tait
82'Graham for Broggio
88'Oliver for Stewart
St. Mirren substitutes
57'John for Tanser
57'Ayunga for Young
75'Mandron for Nlundulu
80'Richardson for Devaney
Players
Falkirk
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Bain
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
3
Lissah
RB
90
0.40
0.04
0
0.17
14
3
Donaldson
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
12
Neilson
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.01
2
5
McCann
LB
90
0.05
0.12
1
0.19
14
0
Spencer
DM
90
0.04
0.01
0
0.04
1
10
Tait
DM
82
1
0.07
0.06
1
0.09
5
6
Broggio
RW
82
0.00
0.84
3
0.61
5
1
Miller
AM
90
0.18
0.14
1
0.12
6
0
Yeats
LW
68
0.00
0.15
0
0.02
4
2
Stewart
ST
88
1
0.65
0.00
0
0.02
1
1
Ross
FW
22
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
0
Cartwright
MF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Graham
FW
8
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
0
Oliver
FW
2
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
6
3
Gogic
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
1
9
Freckleton
CB
90
1
0.17
0.00
0
0.05
3
7
Donnelly
CB
90
1
0.13
0.00
0
0.03
2
17
O'Hara
RWB
90
1
0.00
0.17
1
0.05
7
3
Phillips
CM
90
0.14
0.01
1
0.04
4
3
Devaney
CM
80
0.00
0.01
2
0.01
1
4
Campbell
CM
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.07
4
5
Tanser
LWB
57
1
0.00
0.18
2
0.03
0
7
Young
ST
57
0.04
0.01
0
0.17
3
0
Nlundulu
ST
75
0.03
0.02
1
0.01
3
2
John
MF
33
0.00
0.01
1
0.03
3
2
Ayunga
FW
33
0.38
0.03
0
0.00
0
0
Mandron
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Richardson
MF
10
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Falkirk
From
To
Passes
Spencer
McCann
15
McCann
Neilson
12
McCann
Spencer
12
McCann
Miller
11
Neilson
McCann
11
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Gogic
Freckleton
9
Freckleton
Tanser
8
O'Hara
Devaney
7
Tanser
Freckleton
7
Campbell
Tanser
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Falkirk
Against its average of 30 matches
St. Mirren
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Mirren
11th
41%
25%
−16
Bottom
2%
<1%
−2
Kilmarnock
11th
48%
61%
+13
Bottom
4%
3%
−1
Livingston
11th
5%
3%
−2
Bottom
94%
97%
+3
From the forecast before the match (21 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Expected goals
1.64
0.87
Win
55%
19%
Expected Points
1.90
0.84
Clean sheet
42%
19%
Falkirk 55%Draw 26%St. Mirren 19%
Most likely score 1–0, 13%. Both sides score 48%.
From the forecast as it stood on 21 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Falkirk win
Draw
St. Mirren win
St. Mirren
11th
41%
47%
38%
25%
Bottom
2%
3%
1%
<1%
Kilmarnock
11th
48%
42%
50%
61%
Bottom
4%
4%
4%
3%
Livingston
11th
5%
5%
5%
3%
Bottom
94%
93%
94%
97%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Position
6th
10th
Played
30
30
Won, drawn, lost
12–7–11
5–9–16
Points
43 (1.43 per game)
24 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.43
1.18
Goals
38–38
23–46
xG per game
1.30–1.24
1.14–1.40
Home: points, xG per game
1.53, 1.59–1.03
1.13, 1.12–1.11
Away: points, xG per game
1.33, 1.01–1.44
0.47, 1.16–1.69
Manager
John McGlynn (30)
Craig McLeish (1)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Falkirk
St. Mirren
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+1%
−16%
−26%
average
Counter-attacks
+5%
+9%
−34%
+47%
Set pieces
−12%
−23%
+10%
−12%
Penalties
−78%
+11%
−56%
−33%
Headers
−29%
+5%
+5%
+8%
Left side
−45%
−17%
−21%
+2%
Centre
+2%
−17%
−16%
+6%
Right side
+33%
−8%
−15%
−10%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
St. Mirren createdFalkirk concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−21%−8%Centre−16%−17%Right side−15%−17%Open play−26%−16%Counter-attacks−34%+9%Set pieces+10%−23%Headers+5%+5%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
FalkirkSt. Mirren
1.30xG1.14
1.24xG against1.40
51%Possession45%
12.3Shots11.9
12.0Shots against13.1
4.0Shots on target3.5
2.0Big chances1.7
20.6Touches in the opposition box24.5
404Passes348
77%Pass accuracy73%
4.8Corners5.5
48%Field tilt46%
36.4Final-third entries36.8
10.7Box entries11.0
13.1Passes per defensive action15.2
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Falkirk
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.23
1.42
Ahead
22
1.67
0.75
Behind
24
1.10
1.35
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
56
1.16
1.40
Ahead
12
0.90
1.56
Behind
22
1.21
1.32
xG by period
Falkirk
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.18
0.14
4–1
16–30
0.28
0.24
7–7
31–45
0.22
0.29
4–13
46–60
0.23
0.16
10–5
61–75
0.19
0.20
7–6
76–90
0.19
0.21
6–6
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.17
1–2
16–30
0.16
0.20
4–4
31–45
0.16
0.30
3–10
46–60
0.19
0.19
4–8
61–75
0.20
0.26
4–7
76–90
0.27
0.29
7–15
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts