Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 3–1 St. Mirren

Sunday 11 August 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 17,057

Aberdeen Gueye 39', McGrath 54', Besuijen 81'

St. Mirren Olusanya 45+3'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	St. Mirren
Goals	3	1
xG	1.60	1.30
Expected Points	1.58	1.04

Aberdeen 40%Draw 39%St. Mirren 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 28%. Final score 3–1, 8%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.60 −0.19xG1.30 +0.10

1.70 −0.62xG on target1.79 +0.32

11 −10.0Shots10 +1.0

3 −3.0Shots on target5 +1.0

3 −1.0Big chances2 +1.0

27 +2Touches in the opposition box17 +1

48% −1Possession52% +10

349 +16Passes376 +103

74% +2Pass accuracy76% +11

71% +30Field tilt29% −1

31 +1Final-third entries28 −3

16 +2.0Box entries11 +3.0

14.8 +1Passes per defensive action11.5 −1

6 −1.0Corners2 −2.0

12 −5Tackles17 −4

4 −7Interceptions8 −4

23 −13Clearances29 −12

4 +2.0Saves0 −3.0

15 +3Fouls14 +4

0 −3.0Offsides1 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.83 9 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.20 7 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

0.77 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–12–13–1

Level: 48 min (51%) · Aberdeen 1.28, St. Mirren 0.07 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 47 min (49%) · Aberdeen 0.32, St. Mirren 1.23 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

67' Besuijen for Morris · goal 81'
67' Ambrose for Gueye
90' Jensen for Nilsen
90+2' Miovski for Sokler

St. Mirren substitutes

46' Smyth for Idowu
64' Brown for Tanser
64' Mandron for Scott
75' Ayunga for Olusanya
76' Bwomono for Rooney

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Devlin	RB	90			0.00	0.14	0	0.09	9	4
Rubezic	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	9
Molloy	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	7
MacKenzie	LB	90			0.12	0.03	1	0.12	3	4
Nilsen	DM	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.05	2	3
Shinnie	DM	90		1	0.00	0.18	3	0.22	6	4
Morris	RW	67		1	0.00	0.46	1	0.11	6	2
Gueye	AM	67	1		0.97	0.09	0	0.09	2	3
McGrath	LW	90	1	1	0.23	0.33	5	0.06	2	4
Sokler	ST	90			0.05	0.07	0	0.02	1	0
Besuijen	MF	23	1		0.20	0.00	0	0.00	1	0
Ambrose	FW	23			0.03	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Jensen	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Miovski	FW	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Balcombe	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	7	0
Fraser	CB	90		0.00	0.14	3	0.29	8	9
Gogic	CB	90		0.00	0.12	0	−0.03	6	15
Iacovitti	CB	90		0.04	0.02	0	0.09	7	3
Rooney	RWB	76		0.01	0.04	1	0.01	3	5
Adeniran	CM	90		0.02	0.11	0	0.03	3	4
Boyd-Munce	CM	90		0.02	0.01	0	−0.01	2	2
Idowu	CM	46		0.00	0.02	0	0.01	0	2
Tanser	LWB	64		0.02	0.03	0	0.01	3	8
Scott	ST	64		0.02	0.01	1	0.02	1	0
Olusanya	ST	75	1	1.15	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Smyth	MF	44		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Brown	DF	26		0.00	0.01	0	0.05	2	3
Mandron	FW	26		0.03	0.00	1	0.00	0	1
Ayunga	FW	15		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Bwomono	MF	14		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Mitov	Rubezic	10
Rubezic	Devlin	10
Nilsen	Shinnie	10
Rubezic	Mitov	8
Nilsen	MacKenzie	7

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Gogic	25
Gogic	Fraser	22
Iacovitti	Gogic	20
Gogic	Iacovitti	20
Tanser	Iacovitti	12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 1 match

St. Mirren

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	77%	83%	+6
11th	1%	1%	0
Bottom	0%	<1%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	36%	−7
11th	8%	10%	+2
Bottom	5%	6%	+1

From the forecast before the match (11 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.63	0.98
Win	52%	22%
Expected Points	1.82	0.92
Clean sheet	38%	20%

Aberdeen 52%Draw 26%St. Mirren 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 11 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Aberdeen
Top six	77%	83%	74%	68%
11th	1%	1%	2%	2%
Bottom	0%	<1%	1%	1%
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	36%	46%	56%
11th	8%	10%	6%	5%
Bottom	5%	6%	4%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	St. Mirren
Position	5th	4th
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠0–⁠0	1–⁠0–⁠0
Points	3 (3.00 per game)	3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.10	1.07
Goals	2–⁠1	3–⁠0
xG per game	1.79–⁠0.81	1.20–⁠1.58
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	3.00, 1.20–⁠1.58
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.79–⁠0.81	–⁠
Manager	Jimmy Thelin (1)	Stephen Robinson (34)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+2%	−1%	−40%	+8%
Counter-attacks	+30%	−45%	+36%	+20%
Set pieces	+23%	+5%	−26%	−7%
Penalties	−46%	+30%	+9%	−13%
Headers	+15%	+8%	−23%	−6%
Left side	+20%	+7%	−35%	−14%
Centre	−2%	−8%	−27%	+14%
Right side	+25%	−5%	−17%	+2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+20%+2%Centre−2%+14%Right side+25%−14%Open play+2%+8%Counter-attacks+30%+20%Set pieces+23%−7%Headers+15%−6%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−35%−5%Centre−27%−8%Right side−17%+7%Open play−40%−1%Counter-attacks+36%−45%Set pieces−26%+5%Headers−23%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.79xG1.20

0.81xG against1.58

49%Possession42%

21.0Shots9.0

15.0Shots against15.0

6.0Shots on target4.0

4.0Big chances1.0

25.0Touches in the opposition box16.0

333Passes273

72%Pass accuracy65%

7.0Corners4.0

42%Field tilt30%

30.0Final-third entries31.0

14.0Box entries8.0

13.6Passes per defensive action12.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	22	4.17	1.10
Ahead	68	1.02	0.71
Behind	0	–	–

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	0.43	1.59
Ahead	42	2.08	1.56
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.27	0–0
16–30	0.90	0.00	1–0
31–45	0.16	0.12	0–0
46–60	0.04	0.01	0–0
61–75	0.48	0.08	1–0
76–90	0.07	0.33	0–1

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.02	0.53	0–0
16–30	0.06	0.28	0–0
31–45	0.09	0.05	0–0
46–60	0.19	0.00	1–0
61–75	0.60	0.39	0–0
76–90	0.23	0.34	2–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

St. Mirren

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
2 March 2024	St. Mirren	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 2.01–0.98
30 December 2023	Aberdeen	0–3	St. Mirren	xG 1.03–2.73
27 August 2023	St. Mirren	2–2	Aberdeen	xG 1.97–0.87
24 May 2023	Aberdeen	3–0	St. Mirren	xG 1.53–0.70
1 February 2023	Aberdeen	1–3	St. Mirren	xG 0.94–2.21
24 December 2022	St. Mirren	3–1	Aberdeen	xG 3.27–0.98

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 4, St. Mirren won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 21–21 and xG 1.33–1.46 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Sokler	7	770	1	2	0.48	0.14
Miovski	37	3,242	16	2	0.48	0.12
McGrath	32	2,750	10	2	0.24	0.13
Shinnie	36	3,128	1	3	0.07	0.09

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Mandron	23	2,055	8	3	0.28	0.12
Olusanya	15	1,515	6	1	0.31	0.06
Boyd-Munce	27	2,311	0	4	0.04	0.16
Ayunga	9	809	2	0	0.16	0.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.