Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 2–0 Celtic

Sunday 22 March 2026, 12:30 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 31 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 13,228

Dundee United Ferry 51', Agyei 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Goals20
xG1.131.10
Expected Points1.361.32

Dundee United 35%Draw 32%Celtic 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 2–0, 6%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%12%6%2%11%8%3%6%8%5%1%2%3%2%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSapsford on for Farrugia, 72'Sibbald on for Sevelj, 88'Camará on for Watters, 89'Tounekti on for Iheanacho and Oxlade-Chamberlain on for McGregor, 57'McCowan on for Donovan, 62'Adamu on for Hatate and Forrest on for Nygren, 75'Ferry 51'Agyei 66'Dundee United 1.13Celtic 1.1000.511.50153045607590HTSapsford on for Farrugia, 72'Sibbald on for Sevelj, 88'Camará on for Watters, 89'Tounekti on for Iheanacho and Oxlade-Chamberlain on for McGregor, 57'McCowan on for Donovan, 62'Adamu on for Hatate and Forrest on for Nygren, 75'Ferry 51'Agyei 66'1.131.10Dundee UnitedCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

1.13 −0.16xG1.10 −1.15
1.28 −0.04xG on target0.93 −1.27
19 +6Shots13 −4
8 +3.6Shots on target3 −2.7
1 −1.0Big chances2 −1.8
24 0Touches in the opposition box26 −11
26% −16Possession74% +8
207 −100Passes591 −28
52% −16Pass accuracy81% −6
20% −17Field tilt80% +5
19 −12Final-third entries52 −13
9 −2Box entries9 −12
19.0 +5Passes per defensive action6.4 −4
7 +2.3Corners6 −0.8
15 −2Tackles15 +1
18 +7.4Interceptions12 +4.8
46 +8Clearances35 +9
3 −0.1Saves6 +3.8
7 −6Fouls8 −4
0 −1.7Offsides2 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Watters 79', 0.14 xGWatters 66', 0.10 xGWatters 6', 0.09 xGFatah 35', 0.07 xGSevelj 70', 0.06 xGIovu 82', 0.06 xGWatters 46', 0.05 xGFerry 17', 0.04 xGFatah 56', 0.04 xGFerry 81', 0.04 xGWatters 22', 0.03 xGWatters 50', 0.03 xGSibbald 90+5', 0.03 xGAgyei 42', 0.02 xGFatah 75', 0.02 xGIovu 5', 0.01 xGIovu 35', 0.01 xGFerry 51', 0.23 xG, goalAgyei 66', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals70%0.79 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.79 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals15%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal12%0.13 xGFurther out: 6 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Iheanacho 37', 0.25 xGTierney 82', 0.14 xGMcCowan 88', 0.13 xGHatate 41', 0.12 xGMaeda 83', 0.11 xGForrest 82', 0.10 xGTierney 13', 0.06 xGArthur 38', 0.06 xGMcCowan 74', 0.06 xGHatate 63', 0.03 xGTounekti 59', 0.02 xGHatate 25', 0.01 xGIheanacho 37', 0.01 xG10%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals63%0.69 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals23%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.64 11 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.78 8 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.45 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.32 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (54%) · Dundee United 0.57, Celtic 0.52 xG
Dundee United ahead
44 min (46%) · Dundee United 0.56, Celtic 0.58 xG

Line-ups

146232151211201736Maynard-BrewerIovuGrahamKeresztesStephensonSeveljAgyeiFerryFarrugiaFatahWattersYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal88'72'89'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin12514356341421383817SinisaloDonovanArthurScalesTierneyHatateMcGregorYangNygrenMaedaIheanachoYellow cardYellow card62'75'57'75'57'Celtic 4-2-3-1Martin O'Neill

Dundee United substitutes

  • 72' Sapsford for Farrugia
  • 88' Sibbald for Sevelj
  • 89' Camará for Watters

Celtic substitutes

  • 57' Oxlade-Chamberlain for McGregor
  • 57' Tounekti for Iheanacho
  • 62' McCowan for Donovan
  • 75' Adamu for Hatate
  • 75' Forrest for Nygren

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0000.0452
IovuCB900.080.0000.01116
Graham CB900.000.2010.02316
KeresztesCB900.000.0000.0228
Stephenson RWB9010.000.2620.24312
SeveljCM880.060.1330.0725
AgyeiCM9010.080.0100.0449
FerryLWB9010.300.4460.3367
FarrugiaAM720.000.0210.0422
FatahAM900.130.2100.0424
WattersST890.440.060−0.0310
SapsfordFW180.000.0110.0212
SibbaldMF20.030.000−0.0101
CamaráMF10.000.0000.0120

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinisaloGK900.000.0000.0450
DonovanRB620.000.0200.0109
ArthurCB900.060.2310.06115
Scales CB900.000.0200.13713
TierneyLB900.200.0400.1085
HatateDM750.160.1110.1487
McGregorDM570.000.0700.1032
YangRW900.000.0310.0258
NygrenAM750.000.2830.1040
Maeda LW900.110.0210.0221
IheanachoST570.270.1100.0020
Oxlade-ChamberlainMF330.000.0220.0623
TounektiFW330.020.0100.0660
McCowanMF280.190.010−0.0200
AdamuFW150.000.000−0.0101
ForrestFW150.100.0010.0311

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Iovu and Graham: 3 passesIovu and Sevelj: 3 passesGraham and Sevelj: 3 passesGraham and Fatah: 3 passesStephenson and Sevelj: 3 passesMaynard-Brewer and Graham: 4 passesGraham and Ferry: 4 passesStephenson and Watters: 4 passesFerry and Agyei: 4 passesFerry and Watters: 4 passesSevelj and Agyei: 4 passesSevelj and Farrugia: 4 passesStephenson and Farrugia: 5 passesMaynard-Brewer and Ferry: 6 passesMaynard-Brewer: 9 completed passesKeresztes: 6 completed passesIovu: 7 completed passesGraham: 14 completed passesStephenson: 8 completed passesFerry: 14 completed passesSevelj: 9 completed passesAgyei: 12 completed passesFarrugia: 7 completed passesFatah: 8 completed passesWatters: 3 completed passes123462111512201736Maynard-BrewerKeresztesIovuGrahamStephensonFerrySeveljAgyeiFarrugiaFatahWattersStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Donovan and Iheanacho: 5 passesArthur and Yang: 5 passesArthur and Nygren: 5 passesYang and Iheanacho: 5 passesNygren and Iheanacho: 5 passesDonovan and Hatate: 6 passesTierney and Hatate: 6 passesTierney and Maeda: 6 passesSinisalo and Arthur: 7 passesMcGregor and Yang: 7 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 7 passesSinisalo and Scales: 9 passesDonovan and Yang: 9 passesScales and Tierney: 9 passesYang and Nygren: 9 passesArthur and McGregor: 10 passesHatate and Yang: 10 passesScales and McGregor: 11 passesDonovan and Arthur: 12 passesScales and Arthur: 12 passesDonovan and McGregor: 13 passesHatate and McGregor: 16 passesHatate and Nygren: 16 passesMcGregor and Nygren: 19 passesTierney and McGregor: 25 passesSinisalo: 11 completed passesDonovan: 30 completed passesScales: 28 completed passesArthur: 29 completed passesTierney: 30 completed passesHatate: 33 completed passesMcGregor: 57 completed passesYang: 20 completed passesNygren: 30 completed passesMaeda: 11 completed passesIheanacho: 11 completed passes12515436341421383817SinisaloDonovanScalesArthurTierneyHatateMcGregorYangNygrenMaedaIheanachoStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
Maynard-BrewerFerry6
FerryGraham5
GrahamMaynard-Brewer4
FerryWatters4
AgyeiWatters4

Celtic

FromToPasses
ArthurScales18
ScalesArthur17
McGregorTierney15
HatateNygren13
TierneyScales12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

50.012+4.017−0.93−4.93−2.23−4.510+1.521+13.312+3.66−1.03−2.04−0.66+1.311+5.411+4.84+0.90−3.62−1.32−2.15+1.21−1.10−1.80−1.26+3.93+1.20−0.60−0.41+0.33+2.64+3.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Celtic

5+2.25+0.217+5.22−3.040.050.010+4.611+5.77−0.83−4.210+5.612+8.01−2.45−0.54−1.27+2.55+1.330.02−1.50−4.70−2.51−1.26+4.04+0.81−2.02+1.20−0.40−0.61+0.70−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.010.020.010.010.020.030.020.040.010.030.020.07−0.010.080.01−0.01−0.060.090.130.120.15LessMore

Celtic

0.040.010.020.010.010.010.020.040.050.020.050.020.050.050.040.020.04−0.02−0.050.040.070.080.070.080.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.17 → 1.18Celtic2.09 → 2.03Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.49 → 1.46Celtic0.89 → 0.91

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th1%–−1
Celtic
Title47%30%−17
Rangers
Title30%39%+9
Hearts
Title23%31%+8

From the forecast before the match (22 March 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Expected goals0.942.08
Win16%63%
Expected Points0.682.11
Clean sheet12%39%

Dundee United 16%Draw 21%Celtic 63%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 54%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+5%7%4%2%4%7%4%2%2%4%5%3%2%1%1%1%10%11%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 March 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawCeltic win
Dundee United
11th1%–<1%1%
Celtic
Title47%30%37%55%
Rangers
Title30%39%36%26%
Hearts
Title23%31%27%19%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. D2–215 MarDundee FC (A)xG 2.85–1.28
  2. W2–13 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.69–1.11
  3. L0–228 FebMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–2.12
  4. D0–024 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.02–1.45
  5. D1–121 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 2.05–0.50
  6. W3–214 FebFalkirk (A)xG 1.09–0.94

Celtic

  1. W3–114 MarMotherwell (H)xG 2.12–0.64
  2. W2–14 MarAberdeen (A)xG 1.90–1.42
  3. D2–21 MarRangers (A)xG 3.82–1.44
  4. L1–222 FebHibernian (H)xG 1.94–0.80
  5. W3–215 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 2.98–0.86
  6. W2–111 FebLivingston (H)xG 3.44–1.06

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Position7th3rd
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠13–⁠1019–⁠4–⁠7
Points34 (1.13 per game)61 (2.03 per game)
Expected Points per game1.142.05
Goals38–⁠4856–⁠32
xG per game1.29–⁠1.752.25–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game1.20, 1.33–⁠1.952.27, 2.62–⁠0.69
Away: points, xG per game1.07, 1.26–⁠1.561.80, 1.88–⁠1.30
ManagerJim Goodwin (80)Martin O'Neill (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.33AttackDundee United1.17, 7thCeltic2.09, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.49, 8thCeltic0.89, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United attack: 1.17Celtic attack: 2.092.091.17CelticDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee United defence: 1.49Celtic defence: 0.891.490.89

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%+29%+103%−35%
Counter-attacks+21%−7%−22%−47%
Set pieces+15%+23%+5%−24%
Penalties+37%+37%+37%+14%
Headers−15%+15%+61%−31%
Left side+1%+32%+69%−42%
Centre−28%+25%+82%−29%
Right side+7%+10%+10%−34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side+1%−34%Centre−28%−29%Right side+7%−42%Open play−31%−35%Counter-attacks+21%−47%Set pieces+15%−24%Headers−15%−31%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+69%+10%Centre+82%+25%Right side+10%+32%Open play+103%+29%Counter-attacks−22%−7%Set pieces+5%+23%Headers+61%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

1.29xG2.25
1.75xG against0.99
42%Possession66%
13.0Shots17.1
15.6Shots against9.0
4.4Shots on target5.7
2.0Big chances3.8
23.7Touches in the opposition box36.8
307Passes619
68%Pass accuracy87%
4.7Corners6.8
38%Field tilt75%
31.2Final-third entries64.8
11.2Box entries21.1
14.0Passes per defensive action10.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.421.52
Ahead171.102.31
Behind241.171.84

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level442.170.85
Ahead311.931.19
Behind163.111.02

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.204–3
16–300.130.254–12
31–450.240.347–8
46–600.270.296–8
61–750.230.319–5
76–900.270.388–12

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.380.149–5
16–300.320.177–6
31–450.380.199–4
46–600.280.276–10
61–750.380.1011–4
76–900.520.1414–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKucherenko 12Richards 10Maynard-Brewer 8Iovu 22Sevelj 6Cleall-Harding 3Esselink 18Graham 12Keresztes 26Stephenson 15Strain 8Naamo 4Sevelj 15Stephenson 8Sibbald 19Camará 13Agyei 3Ferry 25Keresztes 2Naamo 2Sapsford 7Dolcek 7Fatah 5Sapsford 13Watters 9Möller 6Fatah 14Sapsford 5Trapanovski 53-4-3 in 16 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (16), 3-5-2 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 26Sinisalo 4Araujo 9Ralston 7Yang 6Trusty 16Carter-Vickers 7Murray 4Scales 26Tierney 4Tierney 17Saracchi 8McCowan 3Nygren 17McCowan 6Ralston 1McGregor 28Engels 17Hatate 15Oxlade-Chamber… 3Oxlade-ChamberlainYang 11Nygren 4Tounekti 3Maeda 8Kenny 8Cvancara 5Maeda 13Tounekti 11Yang 34-3-3 in 20 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (20), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 January 2026Celtic4–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.18–0.34
17 December 2025Dundee United2–1CelticxG 1.45–3.20
26 April 2025Dundee United0–5CelticxG 0.44–3.06
15 February 2025Celtic3–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.64–0.16
8 January 2025Celtic2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.74–0.16
22 December 2024Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.10–1.00

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Celtic won 11, and 4 were drawn. Goals 6–40 and xG 0.54–2.75 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fatah191,665730.340.15
Dolcek10886520.300.13
Watters11879210.350.07
Sapsford252,142620.320.07

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kenny8688420.890.07
Nygren211,9121540.510.27
Forrest2608110.250.49
Maeda242,131750.510.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.