Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 2–0 Dundee United

Wednesday 8 January 2025, 19:45 · Celtic Park · Round 11 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 58,460

Celtic Maeda 23', Hatate 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee United
Goals20
xG1.740.16
Expected Points2.550.26

Celtic 79%Draw 19%Dundee United 3%

Most likely score 1–0, 26%. Final score 2–0, 24%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+14%2%5%4%14%2%5%1%26%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTFuruhashi on for Idah and Hatate on for Yang, 62'Palma on for McCowan, 76'Bernardo on for Engels, 80'Docherty on for Sevelj, 46'Stephenson on for Odada, 59'Dalby on for Trapanovski, 60'Thomson on for van der Sande, 78'Maeda 23'Hatate 83'Celtic 1.74Dundee United 0.1600.511.520153045607590HTFuruhashi on for Idah and Hatate on for Yang, 62'Palma on for McCowan, 76'Bernardo on for Engels, 80'Docherty on for Sevelj, 46'Stephenson on for Odada, 59'Dalby on for Trapanovski, 60'Thomson on for van der Sande, 78'Maeda 23'Hatate 83'1.740.16CelticDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee United

1.74 −0.92xG0.16 −1.33
2.67 −0.05xG on target0.39 −1.17
19 −1Shots5 −7
6 −1.2Shots on target3 −1.0
2 −2.6Big chances0 −2.1
54 +15Touches in the opposition box13 −11
76% +2Possession24% −21
811 +89Passes252 −79
90% +1Pass accuracy66% −4
88% +6Field tilt12% −30
89 +11Final-third entries16 −14
35 +13Box entries5 −5
5.5 −3.9Passes per defensive action48.0 +33.1
12 +2.7Corners4 −0.7
21 +6Tackles12 −6
4 −1.9Interceptions6 −1.8
28 +8Clearances58 +21
3 +0.5Saves4 +1.2
12 +2.5Fouls4 −7.9
2 +0.6Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Maeda 59', 0.33 xGHatate 90', 0.12 xGEngels 37', 0.09 xGBernardo 90+3', 0.09 xGTrusty 14', 0.08 xGFuruhashi 68', 0.08 xGEngels 19', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 65', 0.07 xGPalma 90+5', 0.07 xGIdah 37', 0.06 xGMcCowan 23', 0.04 xGMcCowan 46', 0.04 xGEngels 49', 0.04 xGEngels 28', 0.03 xGTrusty 43', 0.03 xGEngels 48', 0.03 xGPalma 90', 0.03 xGMaeda 23', 0.28 xG, goalHatate 83', 0.14 xG, goal4%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals58%1.00 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.00 xG, 2 goals9%0.15 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals29%0.51 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Fotheringham 53', 0.05 xGMiddleton 88', 0.04 xGMiddleton 70', 0.03 xGDalby 72', 0.02 xGMiddleton 54', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals18%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals53%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals29%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee United

1.58 17 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.10 3 shots, 0 goals
0.16 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.07 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (24%) · Celtic 0.47, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
72 min (76%) · Celtic 1.27, Dundee United 0.16 xG

Line-ups

12206327421413938SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorEngelsMcGregorMcCowanYangIdahMaedaGoal80'76'62'62'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers116316111812515720WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamFerryFotheringhamOdadaSeveljMiddletonTrapanovskivan der Sande59'46'60'78'Dundee United 4-4-1-1Jim Goodwin

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Hatate for Yang · goal 83'
  • 62' Furuhashi for Idah
  • 76' Palma for McCowan
  • 80' Bernardo for Engels

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Docherty for Sevelj
  • 59' Stephenson for Odada
  • 60' Dalby for Trapanovski
  • 78' Thomson for van der Sande

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0320
JohnstonRB900.000.3710.55145
Carter-VickersCB900.000.0700.16710
TrustyCB900.110.0600.18109
TaylorLB900.000.4030.33116
EngelsCM800.270.293−0.0232
McGregorCM900.000.2430.2666
McCowanCM760.090.3210.1753
YangRW620.000.0500.0251
IdahST620.060.051−0.1410
MaedaLW90110.600.3030.0954
HatateMF2810.260.2000.0422
FuruhashiFW280.150.0000.0002
PalmaFW140.110.0510.0840
BernardoMF100.090.0210.0214

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0232
AdegboyegaRB900.000.0100.0448
GallagherCB900.000.0700.02310
GrahamCB900.000.0410.09516
FerryLB900.000.050−0.02210
FotheringhamRM900.050.0210.0234
OdadaCM590.000.001−0.1107
SeveljCM460.000.0000.00012
MiddletonLM900.080.1500.0656
TrapanovskiAM600.000.0000.0112
van der SandeST780.000.0010.0110
DochertyMF440.000.0110.0104
StephensonMF310.000.020−0.0602
DalbyFW300.020.010−0.0510
ThomsonMF120.000.010−0.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Schmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 7 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 8 passesMcGregor and Yang: 8 passesYang and McCowan: 8 passesTaylor and McCowan: 9 passesTrusty and Engels: 10 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and Yang: 13 passesTaylor and Engels: 15 passesEngels and Maeda: 15 passesJohnston and McCowan: 16 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 18 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 19 passesTaylor and Maeda: 19 passesMcGregor and Engels: 19 passesTrusty and Maeda: 24 passesTrusty and McGregor: 26 passesJohnston and McGregor: 30 passesTrusty and Taylor: 32 passesTaylor and McGregor: 37 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 41 passesJohnston and Yang: 43 passesCarter-Vickers and Trusty: 48 passesSchmeichel: 11 completed passesJohnston: 77 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 88 completed passesTrusty: 77 completed passesTaylor: 71 completed passesMcGregor: 84 completed passesYang: 37 completed passesEngels: 40 completed passesMcCowan: 25 completed passesMaeda: 29 completed passesIdah: 13 completed passes12206342132714389SchmeichelJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustyTaylorMcGregorYangEngelsMcCowanMaedaIdahStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Dundee United

Walton and Gallagher: 3 passesWalton and van der Sande: 3 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 3 passesAdegboyega and Odada: 3 passesWalton and Ferry: 4 passesGallagher and Graham: 4 passesGallagher and Fotheringham: 4 passesWalton and Graham: 6 passesGraham and Ferry: 6 passesAdegboyega and Fotheringham: 7 passesWalton: 10 completed passesAdegboyega: 7 completed passesGallagher: 8 completed passesGraham: 9 completed passesFerry: 10 completed passesFotheringham: 6 completed passesSevelj: 4 completed passesOdada: 4 completed passesMiddleton: 1 completed passesTrapanovski: 3 completed passesvan der Sande: 4 completed passes116316111851215720WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamFerryFotheringhamSeveljOdadaMiddletonTrapanovskivan der SandeStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersJohnston34
Carter-VickersTrusty29
JohnstonYang28
McGregorTaylor27
TrustyTaylor24

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryGraham9
FotheringhamAdegboyega7
GrahamGallagher6
GrahamFerry5
AdegboyegaFotheringham5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

30.05+2.014+4.39+4.14+1.04−0.76+1.04−1.06−0.54+0.30−3.95+2.48+2.59+3.21−2.44+0.13+1.19+5.56+1.72−1.04+2.03+1.64+1.02−0.12+0.62+1.41+0.10−1.02+0.90−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Dundee United

4−0.315+6.537+19.214+4.75−1.75−0.95−2.310+3.46−2.65−2.62−3.25+0.92−1.91−4.72−3.60−3.50−3.11−1.20−2.61−2.72−0.21−0.20−1.11−0.10−1.73+1.71+0.80−0.80−0.42+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.020.010.020.010.020.060.030.060.030.070.180.070.020.24−0.010.120.090.02−0.01−0.070.070.050.260.37LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.010.010.01−0.01−0.010.010.020.010.020.02−0.010.01−0.02−0.01−0.01−0.02−0.16−0.02−0.020.040.040.05LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackCeltic2.34 → 2.33Dundee United1.26 → 1.22Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.75 → 0.74Dundee United1.31 → 1.32

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title99%99%0
Dundee United
Top six95%94%−1

From the forecast before the match (8 January 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee United
Expected goals2.730.63
Win81%6%
Expected Points2.560.31
Clean sheet53%7%

Celtic 81%Draw 13%Dundee United 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 44%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+4%2%9%6%2%8%3%7%2%8%5%2%4%3%3%2%13%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 8 January 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee United win
Celtic
Title99%99%98%96%
Dundee United
Top six95%94%97%99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W3–05 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.60–1.08
  2. L0–32 JanRangers (A)xG 0.13–2.27
  3. W4–029 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 4.68–0.06
  4. W4–026 DecMotherwell (H)xG 3.55–0.23
  5. D0–022 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.00–0.10
  6. W3–07 DecHibernian (H)xG 3.83–2.34

Dundee United

  1. L0–15 JanHearts (H)xG 0.66–0.85
  2. W2–12 JanDundee FC (A)xG 2.48–1.90
  3. W1–029 DecAberdeen (H)xG 2.29–0.91
  4. W2–126 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.27–0.58
  5. D0–022 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.10–1.00
  6. L3–414 DecMotherwell (A)xG 2.02–2.09

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee United
Position1st3rd
Played2021
Won, drawn, lost17–⁠2–⁠19–⁠7–⁠5
Points53 (2.65 per game)34 (1.62 per game)
Expected Points per game2.351.43
Goals55–⁠730–⁠22
xG per game2.66–⁠0.781.49–⁠1.35
Home: points, xG per game2.80, 3.31–⁠0.711.64, 1.52–⁠1.13
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 2.01–⁠0.861.60, 1.45–⁠1.59
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (58)Jim Goodwin (33)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackCeltic2.34, 1stDundee United1.26, 4thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.75, 1stDundee United1.31, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanCeltic attack: 2.34Dundee United attack: 1.262.341.26Dundee UnitedCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanCeltic defence: 0.75Dundee United defence: 1.311.310.75

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+120%−37%average+1%
Counter-attacks+110%−7%+17%−42%
Set pieces+30%−66%−5%−16%
Penalties+22%−70%+45%+16%
Headers+20%−68%+38%−6%
Left side+82%−23%−15%−1%
Centre+96%−47%+18%−14%
Right side+93%−57%−26%−2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+82%−2%Centre+96%−14%Right side+93%−1%Open play+120%+1%Counter-attacks+110%−42%Set pieces+30%−16%Headers+20%−6%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−15%−57%Centre+18%−47%Right side−26%−23%Open playaverage−37%Counter-attacks+17%−7%Set pieces−5%−66%Headers+38%−68%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee United

2.66xG1.49
0.78xG against1.35
74%Possession45%
19.6Shots11.7
7.5Shots against13.5
7.2Shots on target4.0
4.6Big chances2.1
38.9Touches in the opposition box24.0
722Passes331
89%Pass accuracy69%
9.3Corners4.7
82%Field tilt42%
78.0Final-third entries29.9
21.9Box entries10.1
9.4Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level362.620.72
Ahead482.960.73
Behind60.471.58

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.311.29
Ahead161.701.81
Behind151.961.07

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.370.114–1
16–300.320.138–0
31–450.470.1213–1
46–600.560.1210–2
61–750.430.149–1
76–900.520.1611–2

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.142–2
16–300.230.203–3
31–450.170.242–4
46–600.220.176–2
61–750.200.303–7
76–900.490.2814–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 20Johnston 17Ralston 3Carter-Vickers 13Trusty 10Welsh 1Scales 16Taylor 14Valle 6Engels 11Bernardo 10McCowan 6McGregor 17Hatate 14Kühn 14Yang 3Forrest 3Furuhashi 13Idah 7Maeda 16Forrest 2Yang 14-3-3 in 18 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (18), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 21Adegboyega 18Dalby 1Ferry 1Gallagher 19Holt 16Graham 6Strain 11Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Babunski 11Sibbald 7Holt 2Sevelj 10Ferry 7Docherty 2Ferry 10Stephenson 4Fotheringham 2Middleton 8Stephenson 6Sevelj 5Trapanovski 8Moult 3Ferry 2Dalby 14van der Sande 6Babunski 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
22 December 2024Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.10–1.00
29 January 2023Dundee United0–2CelticxG 0.33–2.91
5 November 2022Celtic4–2Dundee UnitedxG 3.07–1.05
28 August 2022Dundee United0–9CelticxG 0.22–5.53
11 May 2022Dundee United1–1CelticxG 0.87–1.30
29 January 2022Celtic1–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.43–0.56

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 7, Dundee United won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 25–4 and xG 2.83–0.55 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi131,125830.980.04
Idah7688500.850.14
Kühn141,121960.570.34
Engels11898420.510.37

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dalby161,4091000.520.04
Trapanovski9711110.330.16
Thomson5488100.250.06
Babunski161,203110.140.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.