Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 0–0 Celtic

Sunday 22 December 2024, 12:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 13,662

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Goals00
xG0.101.00
Expected Points0.482.14

Dundee United 3%Draw 38%Celtic 58%

Most likely score 0–0, 34%. Final score 0–0, 34%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+17%5%1%3%4%2%34%33%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTvan der Sande on for Thomson, 74'Trapanovski on for Middleton and Docherty on for Stephenson, 80'Odada on for Dalby, 90'Palma on for Yang, 61'Idah on for McCowan, 62'Bernardo on for Hatate, 78'Engels on for Maeda, 86'Celtic 1.00Dundee United 0.1000.511.50153045607590HTvan der Sande on for Thomson, 74'Trapanovski on for Middleton and Docherty on for Stephenson, 80'Odada on for Dalby, 90'Palma on for Yang, 61'Idah on for McCowan, 62'Bernardo on for Hatate, 78'Engels on for Maeda, 86'1.000.10Dundee UnitedCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.10 −1.43xG1.00 −1.75
0.22 −1.36xG on target0.26 −2.68
2 −10Shots17 −4
2 −2.1Shots on target3 −4.7
0 −2.3Big chances0 −4.9
7 −17Touches in the opposition box24 −15
22% −23Possession78% +4
211 −119Passes789 +65
67% −2Pass accuracy92% +4
9% −34Field tilt91% +9
20 −11Final-third entries100 +25
2 −8Box entries15 −7
33.0 +18.4Passes per defensive action9.8 +0.6
3 −1.2Corners9 −0.8
18 0Tackles8 −7
10 +2.1Interceptions5 −1.1
53 +20Clearances38 +21
3 +0.2Saves2 −0.7
11 −0.5Fouls8 −1.7
1 +0.1Offsides2 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Middleton 72', 0.07 xGThomson 46', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals22%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Hatate 21', 0.15 xGMaeda 10', 0.12 xGEngels 90+1', 0.09 xGHatate 67', 0.08 xGWelsh 23', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 27', 0.07 xGFuruhashi 90+2', 0.07 xGMcCowan 32', 0.06 xGHatate 44', 0.05 xGHatate 10', 0.04 xGIdah 62', 0.04 xGMaeda 77', 0.04 xGMcCowan 18', 0.03 xGTaylor 88', 0.03 xGScales 35', 0.02 xGBernardo 78', 0.02 xGMcGregor 85', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals36%0.36 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals15%0.15 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals47%0.47 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.47 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedCeltic

0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play0.71 12 shots, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
92 min (100%) · Dundee United 0.10, Celtic 1.00 xG

Line-ups

123141118175152919WaltonStrainGallagherHoltFerryFotheringhamStephensonSeveljMiddletonThomsonDalbyYellow card80'80'74'90'Dundee United 4-4-1-1Jim Goodwin156575341421413838SchmeichelRalstonWelshScalesTaylorHatateMcGregorMcCowanYangFuruhashiMaedaYellow card78'62'61'86'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Dundee United substitutes

  • 74' van der Sande for Thomson
  • 80' Trapanovski for Middleton · yellow card 89'
  • 80' Docherty for Stephenson
  • 90' Odada for Dalby

Celtic substitutes

  • 61' Palma for Yang
  • 62' Idah for McCowan
  • 78' Bernardo for Hatate
  • 86' Engels for Maeda

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0331
Strain RB900.000.0200.03315
GallagherCB900.000.0800.2038
HoltCB900.000.0000.0229
FerryLB900.000.0110.01410
FotheringhamRM900.000.000−0.0127
StephensonCM800.000.0000.0016
SeveljCM900.000.0000.00113
MiddletonLM800.070.0200.0713
ThomsonAM740.020.0100.0231
DalbyST900.000.000−0.1013
van der SandeFW160.000.0100.0012
Trapanovski MF100.000.0000.0113
DochertyMF100.000.0000.0113
OdadaMF00.000.0000.0002

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0101
RalstonRB900.000.1610.0428
WelshCB900.070.2120.29810
ScalesCB900.020.0910.411911
TaylorLB900.030.2220.1346
Hatate CM780.320.0900.0584
McGregorCM900.010.4530.2672
McCowanCM620.090.061−0.0222
YangRW610.000.0200.0232
FuruhashiST900.140.000−0.0102
MaedaLW860.170.1410.1381
PalmaFW290.000.0620.0620
IdahFW280.040.1200.0601
BernardoMF120.020.071−0.0121
EngelsMF40.090.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Strain and Middleton: 3 passesStrain and Thomson: 3 passesGallagher and Ferry: 3 passesGallagher and Sevelj: 3 passesGallagher and Stephenson: 3 passesHolt and Dalby: 3 passesWalton and Strain: 4 passesWalton and Gallagher: 4 passesGallagher and Fotheringham: 4 passesFerry and Dalby: 4 passesWalton and Dalby: 6 passesGallagher and Holt: 6 passesFerry and Sevelj: 6 passesFerry and Middleton: 6 passesWalton and Holt: 8 passesStrain and Gallagher: 8 passesFerry and Thomson: 8 passesStrain and Fotheringham: 9 passesHolt and Ferry: 13 passesWalton: 17 completed passesStrain: 17 completed passesGallagher: 18 completed passesHolt: 16 completed passesFerry: 28 completed passesFotheringham: 7 completed passesSevelj: 8 completed passesStephenson: 5 completed passesMiddleton: 5 completed passesThomson: 7 completed passesDalby: 7 completed passes123141118517152919WaltonStrainGallagherHoltFerryFotheringhamSeveljStephensonMiddletonThomsonDalbyStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Ralston and Scales: 6 passesScales and McCowan: 6 passesHatate and McCowan: 6 passesMcGregor and Yang: 6 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 8 passesSchmeichel and Welsh: 8 passesRalston and Yang: 8 passesHatate and Maeda: 8 passesTaylor and Maeda: 11 passesHatate and McGregor: 11 passesWelsh and Hatate: 12 passesMcCowan and Yang: 12 passesRalston and McCowan: 14 passesRalston and McGregor: 15 passesScales and McGregor: 17 passesScales and Maeda: 17 passesWelsh and Taylor: 18 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 18 passesTaylor and Hatate: 21 passesScales and Hatate: 23 passesTaylor and McGregor: 24 passesWelsh and McGregor: 25 passesWelsh and McCowan: 27 passesRalston and Welsh: 30 passesScales and Taylor: 31 passesScales and Welsh: 81 passesSchmeichel: 12 completed passesRalston: 46 completed passesScales: 97 completed passesWelsh: 103 completed passesTaylor: 61 completed passesHatate: 45 completed passesMcGregor: 64 completed passesMcCowan: 42 completed passesYang: 16 completed passesFuruhashi: 0 completed passesMaeda: 19 completed passes156557341421413838SchmeichelRalstonScalesWelshTaylorHatateMcGregorMcCowanYangFuruhashiMaedaStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
StrainFotheringham7
HoltFerry7
FerryHolt7
WaltonDalby6
FerryMiddleton6

Celtic

FromToPasses
WelshScales62
ScalesWelsh48
ScalesTaylor31
RalstonWelsh23
McGregorScales23

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

11+6.812+4.121+3.28−1.511+4.89+3.215+8.211+4.511+3.25−2.95−0.42−2.25+1.12−3.82−3.71−2.21−1.91−1.41−1.43−0.43+0.61−0.20−1.20−1.10−1.60−1.10−0.20−0.80−0.40−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Celtic

4+1.04+1.18−1.65+2.37+2.33−1.99+4.18+1.37+0.34+0.54+1.44−0.93−2.96+2.74+0.11−0.74+0.84−0.230.01−1.20−1.71−2.03+0.93+1.51+0.51−0.10−1.10−1.11−4.40−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.040.010.010.010.010.020.010.030.04−0.02−0.110.060.16LessMore

Celtic

0.020.010.010.020.030.020.010.040.040.050.030.030.100.090.040.110.020.100.030.010.040.060.140.160.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.24 → 1.21Celtic2.44 → 2.39Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.41 → 1.39Celtic0.74 → 0.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six77%82%+5
11th1%1%0
Celtic
Title97%96%−1
Hearts
Top six17%15%−2
Bottom7%8%+1
Kilmarnock
Top six26%24%−2
11th8%7%−1

From the forecast before the match (22 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Expected goals0.802.29
Win11%71%
Expected Points0.522.30
Clean sheet10%45%

Dundee United 11%Draw 18%Celtic 71%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Celtic goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+5%5%2%1%3%7%4%2%1%1%3%4%3%2%1%10%12%9%9%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawCeltic win
Dundee United
Top six77%89%82%74%
11th1%<1%1%1%
Celtic
Title97%96%96%98%
Hearts
Top six17%13%15%18%
Bottom7%8%8%7%
Kilmarnock
Top six26%23%24%28%
11th8%8%7%8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L3–414 DecMotherwell (A)xG 2.02–2.09
  2. D1–17 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 2.38–1.62
  3. W2–030 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 3.22–0.35
  4. D1–123 NovRangers (A)xG 0.78–2.60
  5. W3–09 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.93–0.89
  6. D1–13 NovHibernian (A)xG 1.31–1.09

Celtic

  1. W3–07 DecHibernian (H)xG 3.83–2.34
  2. W1–04 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.62–0.88
  3. W5–030 NovRoss County (H)xG 3.09–0.10
  4. W4–123 NovHearts (A)xG 3.87–0.85
  5. W2–010 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 2.12–2.22
  6. W2–030 OctDundee FC (H)xG 4.62–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedCeltic
Position5th1st
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠6–⁠414–⁠1–⁠0
Points24 (1.50 per game)43 (2.87 per game)
Expected Points per game1.402.42
Goals25–⁠1944–⁠4
xG per game1.53–⁠1.442.75–⁠0.79
Home: points, xG per game1.75, 1.71–⁠1.202.71, 3.18–⁠0.81
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 1.35–⁠1.683.00, 2.38–⁠0.78
ManagerJim Goodwin (28)Brendan Rodgers (53)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackDundee United1.24, 6thCeltic2.44, 1stDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.41, 7thCeltic0.74, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee United attack: 1.24Celtic attack: 2.442.441.24CelticDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecDundee United defence: 1.41Celtic defence: 0.741.410.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−5%+7%+136%−34%
Counter-attacks+40%−38%+119%−17%
Set pieces−8%−8%+9%−73%
Penalties+93%+16%+24%−59%
Headers+37%+9%−5%−71%
Left side−15%+7%+88%−25%
Centre+16%−1%+100%−48%
Right side−26%−12%+104%−54%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−15%−54%Centre+16%−48%Right side−26%−25%Open play−5%−34%Counter-attacks+40%−17%Set pieces−8%−73%Headers+37%−71%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+88%−12%Centre+100%−1%Right side+104%+7%Open play+136%+7%Counter-attacks+119%−38%Set pieces+9%−8%Headers−5%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedCeltic

1.53xG2.75
1.44xG against0.79
45%Possession74%
11.9Shots20.5
13.7Shots against7.7
4.1Shots on target7.7
2.3Big chances4.9
24.2Touches in the opposition box39.1
330Passes724
68%Pass accuracy88%
4.2Corners9.8
43%Field tilt82%
30.8Final-third entries75.2
10.4Box entries21.7
14.6Passes per defensive action9.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level531.401.38
Ahead191.651.93
Behind181.781.11

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level342.910.91
Ahead532.710.74
Behind21.390.19

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.230.152–2
16–300.240.203–3
31–450.170.282–3
46–600.220.204–2
61–750.180.292–5
76–900.490.3312–4

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.440.124–0
16–300.310.157–0
31–450.490.1510–1
46–600.550.128–2
61–750.390.125–0
76–900.580.1410–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 16Adegboyega 14Dalby 1Gallagher 16Holt 11Graham 6Stephenson 8Strain 6Sevelj 2Babunski 10Sevelj 5Holt 2Sibbald 7Ferry 5Docherty 2Ferry 9Stephenson 3Babunski 1Middleton 6Sevelj 5Babunski 3Trapanovski 7Moult 3Dalby 1Dalby 9van der Sande 6Babunski 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 15Johnston 14Ralston 1Trusty 9Carter-Vickers 9Scales 12Taylor 10Valle 5Engels 8McCowan 4O'Riley 2McGregor 13Hatate 11Bernardo 7Kühn 11Forrest 3Yang 1Furuhashi 10Idah 5Maeda 12Forrest 2Palma 14-3-3 in 14 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (14), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 January 2023Dundee United0–2CelticxG 0.33–2.91
5 November 2022Celtic4–2Dundee UnitedxG 3.07–1.05
28 August 2022Dundee United0–9CelticxG 0.22–5.53
11 May 2022Dundee United1–1CelticxG 0.87–1.30
29 January 2022Celtic1–0Dundee UnitedxG 3.43–0.56
5 December 2021Dundee United0–3CelticxG 0.21–4.36

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 0, Celtic won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 4–25 and xG 0.60–3.01 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dalby11967800.560.05
Trapanovski7546110.360.20
Babunski151,157110.150.15
Graham6507200.220.05

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah5466501.150.14
Furuhashi10869631.010.05
Kühn11865560.550.34
Engels8650300.420.32

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.