Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 3–0 Dundee United

Saturday 15 February 2025, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 26 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 58,989

Celtic McGregor 23', Jota 35', Idah 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticDundee United
Goals30
xG1.640.16
Expected Points2.500.30

Celtic 76%Draw 21%Dundee United 3%

Most likely score 1–0, 27%. Final score 3–0, 12%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+15%2%5%4%12%2%4%1%27%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMaeda on for Jota and Engels on for Hatate, 62'Taylor on for Schlupp and Kühn on for Yang, 71'Kenny on for Idah, 85'Trapanovski on for Fotheringham, 69'Paton on for Docherty, 70'Moult on for Dalby, 76'Babunski on for Sevelj and Strain on for Adegboyega, 89'McGregor 23'Jota 35'Idah 84'Celtic 1.64Dundee United 0.1600.511.520153045607590HTMaeda on for Jota and Engels on for Hatate, 62'Taylor on for Schlupp and Kühn on for Yang, 71'Kenny on for Idah, 85'Trapanovski on for Fotheringham, 69'Paton on for Docherty, 70'Moult on for Dalby, 76'Babunski on for Sevelj and Strain on for Adegboyega, 89'McGregor 23'Jota 35'Idah 84'1.640.16CelticDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticDundee United

1.64 −1.05xG0.16 −1.26
3.24 +0.36xG on target0.08 −1.39
21 +2Shots6 −6
7 −0.4Shots on target2 −2.0
2 −2.8Big chances0 −2.0
40 +1Touches in the opposition box10 −14
76% +1Possession24% −20
700 −30Passes224 −104
92% +3Pass accuracy68% 0
82% −1Field tilt18% −23
73 −7Final-third entries21 −9
24 +1Box entries5 −5
10.3 +1.4Passes per defensive action27.7 +12.1
15 +6.0Corners0 −4.6
15 0Tackles14 −3
2 −3.5Interceptions4 −3.8
20 0Clearances49 +9
3 +0.8Saves4 +1.0
7 −2.4Fouls9 −2.4
4 +2.6Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Idah 35', 0.33 xGTaylor 83', 0.14 xGIdah 5', 0.12 xGYang 59', 0.12 xGIdah 40', 0.11 xGTaylor 87', 0.09 xGCarter-Vickers 59', 0.08 xGIdah 4', 0.06 xGCarter-Vickers 18', 0.06 xGMcCowan 55', 0.06 xGMcCowan 60', 0.06 xGMcGregor 29', 0.05 xGTrusty 90+1', 0.04 xGIdah 9', 0.03 xGIdah 13', 0.03 xGHatate 21', 0.03 xGSchlupp 34', 0.03 xGEngels 90', 0.02 xGIdah 84', 0.08 xG, goalMcGregor 23', 0.07 xG, goalJota 35', 0.04 xG, goal28%0.45 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals42%0.69 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.69 xG, 1 goal13%0.21 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal17%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Sevelj 51', 0.04 xGDocherty 51', 0.03 xGCampbell 51', 0.03 xGMiddleton 81', 0.03 xGCampbell 32', 0.02 xGDocherty 58', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals24%0.04 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticDundee United

1.20 15 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.13 5 shots, 0 goals
0.44 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
23 min (25%) · Celtic 0.40, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Celtic ahead
68 min (75%) · Celtic 1.25, Dundee United 0.17 xG

Line-ups

156206154214411397SchmeichelRalstonCarter-VickersTrustySchluppMcGregorMcCowanHatateYangIdahJotaGoalGoalGoal71'62'71'85'62'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers1163161718232251519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStephensonFotheringhamDochertyCampbellSeveljMiddletonDalbyYellow cardYellow cardYellow card89'69'70'89'76'Dundee United 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Celtic substitutes

  • 62' Engels for Hatate
  • 62' Maeda for Jota
  • 71' Taylor for Schlupp
  • 71' Kühn for Yang
  • 85' Kenny for Idah

Dundee United substitutes

  • 69' Trapanovski for Fotheringham
  • 70' Paton for Docherty
  • 76' Moult for Dalby
  • 89' Strain for Adegboyega
  • 89' Babunski for Sevelj

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0110
RalstonRB900.000.1110.0938
Carter-VickersCB900.140.0310.2487
TrustyCB9010.040.0310.1794
SchluppLB710.030.5510.2264
McGregorCM9010.120.0300.1442
McCowanCM900.120.2430.0541
HatateCM620.030.161−0.0233
YangRW7110.120.1220.18121
IdahST8510.760.031−0.1302
JotaLW6210.040.6740.65141
EngelsMF280.020.0200.0422
MaedaFW280.000.0810.0131
TaylorDF190.230.1010.2860
KühnFW190.000.0200.0411
KennyFW50.000.000––0

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0112
Adegboyega RB890.000.0000.0119
GallagherCB900.000.0200.0138
GrahamCB900.000.0100.04216
StephensonLB900.000.0110.0113
FotheringhamDM690.000.0600.1816
DochertyDM700.050.0410.0018
CampbellRW900.050.010−0.0104
Sevelj AM890.040.0120.02610
Middleton LW900.030.0100.0673
DalbyST760.000.0310.0113
TrapanovskiMF210.000.000−0.0111
PatonFW200.000.0100.0211
MoultFW140.000.0100.0100
StrainDF10.000.0000.0110
BabunskiMF10.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Ralston and Trusty: 6 passesMcCowan and Jota: 6 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 8 passesTrusty and McGregor: 9 passesSchlupp and Hatate: 10 passesMcCowan and Yang: 10 passesRalston and McCowan: 12 passesHatate and Jota: 12 passesTrusty and Hatate: 13 passesCarter-Vickers and Schlupp: 13 passesCarter-Vickers and Yang: 13 passesCarter-Vickers and McCowan: 14 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 15 passesSchlupp and McGregor: 15 passesRalston and Yang: 17 passesRalston and McGregor: 19 passesTrusty and Jota: 21 passesSchlupp and Jota: 21 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 23 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 26 passesTrusty and Schlupp: 37 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 50 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 57 passesSchmeichel: 36 completed passesRalston: 60 completed passesTrusty: 88 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 99 completed passesSchlupp: 56 completed passesHatate: 29 completed passesMcGregor: 44 completed passesMcCowan: 32 completed passesYang: 23 completed passesIdah: 8 completed passesJota: 31 completed passes156620154142141397SchmeichelRalstonTrustyCarter-VickersSchluppHatateMcGregorMcCowanYangIdahJotaStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Dundee United

Adegboyega and Gallagher: 3 passesAdegboyega and Fotheringham: 3 passesGraham and Sevelj: 3 passesGraham and Dalby: 3 passesFotheringham and Campbell: 3 passesWalton and Graham: 4 passesGallagher and Graham: 4 passesGallagher and Dalby: 4 passesGraham and Docherty: 4 passesCampbell and Dalby: 4 passesGallagher and Docherty: 5 passesSevelj and Middleton: 5 passesFotheringham and Dalby: 5 passesStephenson and Sevelj: 6 passesStephenson and Middleton: 6 passesGraham and Stephenson: 7 passesWalton: 5 completed passesAdegboyega: 7 completed passesGallagher: 11 completed passesGraham: 14 completed passesStephenson: 14 completed passesSevelj: 13 completed passesDocherty: 10 completed passesFotheringham: 7 completed passesCampbell: 9 completed passesMiddleton: 7 completed passesDalby: 11 completed passes1163161752318221519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherGrahamStephensonSeveljDochertyFotheringhamCampbellMiddletonDalbyStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersTrusty36
TrustyCarter-Vickers32
Carter-VickersRalston31
RalstonCarter-Vickers29
TrustySchlupp24

Dundee United

FromToPasses
StephensonGraham6
GrahamWalton6
SeveljMiddleton5
StephensonSevelj5
GrahamGallagher4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

5+1.47+3.86−2.91−2.650.02−3.05+0.310+3.26+2.45+1.25+2.13−2.26+0.25+1.81−2.90−2.14+0.22−2.30−2.81−1.11−0.42−0.92−0.40−1.32+1.40−1.00−0.81−0.10−5.12−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Dundee United

7+2.411+2.228+9.112+2.23−3.45−1.02−5.69+1.86−3.03−4.56+0.64−0.42−1.73−2.75−0.63−0.40−3.01−1.11−1.42−1.32−0.30−1.10−1.23+2.03+1.30−1.21+0.80−0.71+0.72+1.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.020.010.040.050.030.060.030.070.030.120.090.190.18−0.050.160.32−0.01−0.020.010.070.52LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.020.010.01−0.010.020.020.010.020.010.01−0.020.010.03−0.010.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.43 → 2.43Dundee United1.22 → 1.19Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.73 → 0.72Dundee United1.34 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title99%>99%+1
Dundee United
Top six97%96%−1

From the forecast before the match (15 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticDundee United
Expected goals2.890.59
Win84%5%
Expected Points2.620.26
Clean sheet55%6%

Celtic 84%Draw 12%Dundee United 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 43%.

Dundee United goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%2%9%6%2%8%2%7%2%9%5%2%5%3%4%2%13%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 15 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawDundee United win
Celtic
Title99%>99%99%98%
Dundee United
Top six97%96%99%>99%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W6–05 FebDundee FC (H)xG 2.64–0.48
  2. W3–12 FebMotherwell (A)xG 3.26–0.52
  3. D3–314 JanDundee FC (A)xG 2.12–0.66
  4. W4–111 JanRoss County (A)xG 4.20–0.97
  5. W2–08 JanDundee United (H)xG 1.74–0.16
  6. W3–05 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.60–1.08

Dundee United

  1. L0–11 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.46–1.39
  2. L1–326 JanRangers (H)xG 1.05–1.30
  3. W1–011 JanSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.51–2.39
  4. L0–28 JanCeltic (A)xG 0.16–1.74
  5. L0–15 JanHearts (H)xG 0.66–0.85
  6. W2–12 JanDundee FC (A)xG 2.48–1.90

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticDundee United
Position1st3rd
Played2525
Won, drawn, lost21–⁠3–⁠110–⁠7–⁠8
Points66 (2.64 per game)37 (1.48 per game)
Expected Points per game2.421.35
Goals73–⁠1232–⁠28
xG per game2.69–⁠0.741.42–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game2.83, 3.12–⁠0.641.50, 1.48–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game2.46, 2.29–⁠0.821.46, 1.36–⁠1.65
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (63)Jim Goodwin (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.43, 1stDundee United1.22, 6thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.73, 1stDundee United1.34, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic attack: 2.43Dundee United attack: 1.222.431.22Dundee UnitedCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebCeltic defence: 0.73Dundee United defence: 1.341.340.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+126%−43%−5%+4%
Counter-attacks+70%−23%−4%−21%
Set pieces+22%−67%+3%−15%
Penalties+58%−55%+13%+13%
Headers+33%−66%+35%average
Left side+92%−29%−19%−3%
Centre+98%−51%+17%−9%
Right side+73%−62%−28%+8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdDundee United concededLeft side+92%+8%Centre+98%−9%Right side+73%−3%Open play+126%+4%Counter-attacks+70%−21%Set pieces+22%−15%Headers+33%average

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdCeltic concededLeft side−19%−62%Centre+17%−51%Right side−28%−29%Open play−5%−43%Counter-attacks−4%−23%Set pieces+3%−67%Headers+35%−66%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticDundee United

2.69xG1.42
0.74xG against1.40
75%Possession44%
19.4Shots11.8
7.1Shots against14.2
7.4Shots on target4.0
4.8Big chances2.0
39.2Touches in the opposition box24.1
730Passes328
89%Pass accuracy69%
9.0Corners4.6
83%Field tilt41%
79.8Final-third entries29.9
22.6Box entries10.0
8.9Passes per defensive action15.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level352.720.67
Ahead502.830.71
Behind51.051.46

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level581.321.34
Ahead141.601.92
Behind181.591.20

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.106–1
16–300.350.1211–1
31–450.510.1115–2
46–600.530.1413–4
61–750.400.1210–1
76–900.570.1518–3

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.152–2
16–300.220.204–4
31–450.170.252–5
46–600.210.176–3
61–750.190.313–8
76–900.470.3315–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 25Johnston 21Ralston 4Carter-Vickers 18Welsh 1Scales 16Trusty 15Taylor 18Valle 7Engels 14Bernardo 11McCowan 9McGregor 22Hatate 17Kühn 15Yang 4Forrest 3Furuhashi 13Idah 12Maeda 18Yang 3Forrest 24-3-3 in 22 of 25 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (22), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 25Adegboyega 19Fotheringham 3Dalby 1Gallagher 23Holt 19Graham 7Strain 14Stephenson 8Sevelj 2Sevelj 13Sibbald 7Docherty 3Babunski 11Ferry 8Middleton 3Ferry 11Stephenson 4Fotheringham 2Stephenson 8Sevelj 5Thomson 4Trapanovski 9Middleton 8Ferry 4Dalby 16van der Sande 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
8 January 2025Celtic2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.74–0.16
22 December 2024Dundee United0–0CelticxG 0.10–1.00
29 January 2023Dundee United0–2CelticxG 0.33–2.91
5 November 2022Celtic4–2Dundee UnitedxG 3.07–1.05
28 August 2022Dundee United0–9CelticxG 0.22–5.53
11 May 2022Dundee United1–1CelticxG 0.87–1.30

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 8, Dundee United won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 27–4 and xG 2.74–0.52 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Engels141,212840.590.45
Furuhashi151,3331030.930.08
Idah121,035700.710.17
Kühn151,2431060.550.32

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult3463300.450.13
Dalby191,7091100.460.05
Trapanovski10807110.290.18
Thomson5500100.240.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.