Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Rangers 2–1 St. Mirren

Sunday 27 October 2024, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 9 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 48,859

Rangers Diomande 13', Cerny 69'

St. Mirren Gogic 26'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersSt. Mirren
Goals21
xG2.290.63
Expected Points2.530.32

Rangers 79%Draw 16%St. Mirren 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 2–1, 12%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+3%2%11%9%2%4%9%3%6%4%1%2%1%16%12%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTDessers on for Igamane, 46'Tavernier on for Propper, 61'Sterling on for Barron, 85'McCausland on for Cerny, 89'McMenamin on for Scott, 61'Idowu on for Kiltie, 68'Boyd-Munce on for O'Hara, 78'Mandron on for Bwomono, 79'Diomande 13'Cerny 69'Gogic 26'Rangers 2.29St. Mirren 0.6301230153045607590HTDessers on for Igamane, 46'Tavernier on for Propper, 61'Sterling on for Barron, 85'McCausland on for Cerny, 89'McMenamin on for Scott, 61'Idowu on for Kiltie, 68'Boyd-Munce on for O'Hara, 78'Mandron on for Bwomono, 79'Diomande 13'Cerny 69'Gogic 26'2.290.63RangersSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersSt. Mirren

2.29 +0.49xG0.63 −0.52
2.65 +0.93xG on target0.73 −0.32
16 +1Shots8 −3
7 +1.6Shots on target3 −0.4
4 +0.9Big chances2 0.0
30 +2Touches in the opposition box21 +3
74% +10Possession26% −20
608 +51Passes205 −124
84% −1Pass accuracy54% −17
84% +16Field tilt16% −24
61 +10Final-third entries22 −8
17 +1.0Box entries7 −2.2
7.7 −2Passes per defensive action28.3 +12
7 +1.6Corners3 −0.6
15 −2Tackles24 +10
13 +4.1Interceptions14 +6.6
22 +3Clearances33 +5
2 +0.1Saves5 +3.0
10 −2Fouls9 −4
2 +1.1Offsides3 +0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Cerny 81', 0.38 xGBajrami 32', 0.20 xGBalogun 45+4', 0.15 xGMcCausland 90+7', 0.13 xGDessers 90+5', 0.10 xGRaskin 13', 0.06 xGBajrami 76', 0.06 xGDessers 57', 0.05 xGTavernier 65', 0.04 xGDiomande 13', 0.03 xGKasanwirjo 35', 0.03 xGCerny 36', 0.03 xGDiomande 49', 0.03 xGBajrami 55', 0.01 xGDiomande 13', 0.73 xG, goalCerny 69', 0.25 xG, goal20%0.45 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.45 xG, 1 goal64%1.47 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.47 xG, 1 goal7%0.17 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals9%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Olusanya 9', 0.18 xGOlusanya 3', 0.05 xGOlusanya 58', 0.05 xGO'Hara 64', 0.03 xGMcMenamin 80', 0.03 xGKiltie 33', 0.02 xGO'Hara 59', 0.02 xGGogic 26', 0.24 xG, goal39%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.24 xG, 1 goal8%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals45%0.28 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersSt. Mirren

1.58 12 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.26 3 shots, 0 goals
0.51 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.20 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.37 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
60 min (59%) · Rangers 1.62, St. Mirren 0.35 xG
Rangers ahead
41 min (41%) · Rangers 0.67, St. Mirren 0.28 xG

Line-ups

1242742284318101429ButlandKasanwirjoBalogunPropperJefteBarronRaskinCernyDiomandeBajramiIgamaneYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card61'85'89'46'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement1221318428863142011BalcombeFraserGogicDunneBwomonoPhillipsO'HaraTanserScottOlusanyaKiltieGoalYellow cardYellow card79'78'61'68'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Dessers for Igamane
  • 61' Tavernier for Propper
  • 85' Sterling for Barron
  • 89' McCausland for Cerny

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 61' McMenamin for Scott
  • 68' Idowu for Kiltie
  • 78' Boyd-Munce for O'Hara
  • 79' Mandron for Bwomono

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0230
KasanwirjoRB900.030.0210.12122
BalogunCB900.150.0100.05613
PropperCB610.000.0000.0338
JefteLB900.000.0200.0897
BarronDM850.000.0310.0632
Raskin DM900.060.0310.03510
CernyRW8910.660.1320.2991
DiomandeAM9010.800.050−0.0333
BajramiLW900.270.2140.1681
Igamane ST460.000.1810.1100
DessersFW440.150.0420.2220
TavernierDF290.040.0300.0422
SterlingDF50.000.0910.0611
McCauslandMF10.130.0100.0310

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0200.0432
FraserCB900.000.0110.02410
GogicCB9010.240.0100.03218
DunneCB900.000.0200.06417
BwomonoRWB790.000.0000.0013
Phillips CM900.000.2210.0954
O'Hara CM7810.060.2010.0504
TanserLWB900.000.1310.03310
ScottRW610.000.0100.0131
OlusanyaST900.270.0200.0513
KiltieLW680.020.0000.0000
McMenaminFW290.030.0100.0210
IdowuMF220.000.0000.0001
Boyd-MunceMF120.000.0800.0112
MandronFW110.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Kasanwirjo and Barron: 4 passesJefte and Igamane: 4 passesBajrami and Igamane: 4 passesButland and Kasanwirjo: 5 passesKasanwirjo and Igamane: 5 passesJefte and Barron: 5 passesCerny and Bajrami: 5 passesCerny and Igamane: 5 passesPropper and Raskin: 6 passesBalogun and Raskin: 6 passesRaskin and Diomande: 6 passesKasanwirjo and Cerny: 7 passesBarron and Cerny: 7 passesKasanwirjo and Raskin: 8 passesPropper and Barron: 8 passesJefte and Raskin: 9 passesJefte and Bajrami: 10 passesRaskin and Barron: 12 passesButland and Propper: 13 passesBalogun and Barron: 14 passesButland and Balogun: 15 passesPropper and Jefte: 19 passesKasanwirjo and Balogun: 24 passesPropper and Balogun: 24 passesButland: 24 completed passesKasanwirjo: 30 completed passesPropper: 37 completed passesBalogun: 44 completed passesJefte: 27 completed passesRaskin: 27 completed passesBarron: 29 completed passesCerny: 12 completed passesDiomande: 9 completed passesBajrami: 11 completed passesIgamane: 10 completed passes1244272243818101429ButlandKasanwirjoPropperBalogunJefteRaskinBarronCernyDiomandeBajramiIgamaneStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Balcombe and Fraser: 3 passesGogic and Phillips: 3 passesDunne and Phillips: 3 passesFraser and Bwomono: 4 passesTanser and O'Hara: 4 passesPhillips and O'Hara: 4 passesO'Hara and Scott: 4 passesScott and Olusanya: 4 passesFraser and Scott: 6 passesTanser and Phillips: 6 passesDunne and Tanser: 10 passesBalcombe: 3 completed passesGogic: 7 completed passesDunne: 10 completed passesFraser: 12 completed passesBwomono: 5 completed passesTanser: 14 completed passesPhillips: 12 completed passesO'Hara: 11 completed passesScott: 8 completed passesOlusanya: 3 completed passesKiltie: 1 completed passes1131822423886142011BalcombeGogicDunneFraserBwomonoTanserPhillipsO'HaraScottOlusanyaKiltieStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
KasanwirjoBalogun19
BalogunKasanwirjo18
JefteBajrami18
PropperBalogun15
PropperJefte15

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
DunneTanser6
TanserDunne5
FraserScott5
TanserPhillips4
BwomonoFraser4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

3+0.17+3.59−3.912+5.47+0.64+0.13−1.69+2.46−3.28+3.95+1.03+1.92−1.46−0.65−1.04+1.43−0.12−1.07+2.02−1.10−2.51−0.82−0.23−1.11−0.21+0.60−0.80−0.40−0.11−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

St. Mirren

2−2.78+0.114−1.013+5.35−0.911+3.610+5.27+3.015+9.416+7.612+5.17+3.92−1.85+0.73−3.03−0.86+3.83+0.74+1.82−2.33+1.30−2.30−0.81+0.60−1.80−0.30−0.40−1.30−0.41+0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.020.010.010.020.030.010.030.010.020.060.020.020.040.060.040.080.130.040.040.030.01−0.050.070.180.170.15LessMore

St. Mirren

0.020.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.050.010.040.010.010.02−0.010.02−0.050.050.020.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRangers2.00 → 2.02St. Mirren1.11 → 1.10Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.88 → 0.86St. Mirren1.45 → 1.47

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title7%7%0
St. Mirren
Top six22%20%−2
11th14%15%+1
Bottom14%15%+1
St. Johnstone
11th17%17%0
Bottom18%17%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 October 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersSt. Mirren
Expected goals2.550.65
Win78%7%
Expected Points2.490.36
Clean sheet52%8%

Rangers 78%Draw 15%St. Mirren 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 13%. Both sides score 44%.

St. Mirren goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%7%2%9%3%7%2%7%5%2%4%2%2%2%10%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 October 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawSt. Mirren win
Rangers
Title7%7%5%4%
St. Mirren
Top six22%20%25%35%
11th14%15%13%9%
Bottom14%15%12%8%
St. Johnstone
11th17%17%16%19%
Bottom18%17%19%22%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. L0–120 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 1.14–0.63
  2. W2–06 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.57–0.36
  3. W1–029 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.78–2.16
  4. W1–015 SepDundee United (A)xG 0.99–0.31
  5. L0–31 SepCeltic (A)xG 1.14–1.55
  6. W6–024 AugRoss County (H)xG 3.76–0.24

St. Mirren

  1. L0–419 OctHearts (A)xG 0.24–1.73
  2. L0–15 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.07–0.97
  3. L1–228 SepMotherwell (A)xG 2.33–2.07
  4. W2–121 SepHearts (H)xG 1.17–0.39
  5. D2–214 SepKilmarnock (H)xG 1.53–0.59
  6. D2–231 AugDundee FC (A)xG 1.34–1.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersSt. Mirren
Position3rd10th
Played89
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠1–⁠22–⁠2–⁠5
Points16 (2.00 per game)8 (0.89 per game)
Expected Points per game1.851.19
Goals12–⁠511–⁠18
xG per game1.80–⁠0.911.15–⁠1.46
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.60–⁠0.871.40, 1.02–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.00–⁠0.950.25, 1.30–⁠1.79
ManagerPhilippe Clement (38)Stephen Robinson (42)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRangers2.00, 2ndSt. Mirren1.11, 10thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.88, 2ndSt. Mirren1.45, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctRangers attack: 2.00St. Mirren attack: 1.112.001.11St. MirrenRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctRangers defence: 0.88St. Mirren defence: 1.451.450.88

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+59%−48%−35%+16%
Counter-attacks+90%−12%+15%−4%
Set pieces+1%−13%−5%+4%
Penalties−100%−10%+60%−20%
Headers+22%−33%−30%average
Left side+20%−2%−24%+2%
Centre+56%−50%−33%−3%
Right side+44%−34%+4%+53%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+20%+53%Centre+56%−3%Right side+44%+2%Open play+59%+16%Counter-attacks+90%−4%Set pieces+1%+4%Headers+22%average

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdRangers concededLeft side−24%−34%Centre−33%−50%Right side+4%−2%Open play−35%−48%Counter-attacks+15%−12%Set pieces−5%−13%Headers−30%−33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersSt. Mirren

1.80xG1.15
0.91xG against1.46
64%Possession46%
15.2Shots10.8
10.6Shots against12.7
5.4Shots on target3.4
3.1Big chances2.0
28.1Touches in the opposition box18.4
557Passes329
84%Pass accuracy71%
5.4Corners3.6
68%Field tilt40%
50.8Final-third entries30.5
16.0Box entries9.2
10.2Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.850.74
Ahead421.910.88
Behind101.121.68

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.021.24
Ahead191.291.56
Behind291.231.70

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.410.112–0
16–300.350.082–2
31–450.140.263–1
46–600.300.152–0
61–750.280.212–1
76–900.320.091–1

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.243–3
16–300.120.261–3
31–450.510.214–3
46–600.210.161–3
61–750.110.280–3
76–900.130.302–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 8Tavernier 8Souttar 8Propper 6Balogun 1Davies 1Jefte 6Yilmaz 2Barron 5Sterling 2Dowell 1Diomande 6Raskin 2Cerny 5Lawrence 1Cortés 1Lawrence 4Barron 2Bajrami 2McCausland 2Matondo 2Lawrence 1Dessers 7Igamane 14-2-3-1 in 6 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-3-3 (2)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 9Fraser 7Kiltie 1Idowu 1Gogic 8Iacovitti 2Taylor 6Dunne 2Rooney 6Fraser 2Bwomono 1Phillips 6Adeniran 2Boyd-Mun… 7Boyd-MunceSmyth 1O'Hara 7Idowu 3Gogic 1Tanser 5Brown 3Taylor 1Olusanya 9van Veen 2Scott 1Mandron 4Ayunga 23-5-2 in 6 of 9 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 April 2024St. Mirren1–2RangersxG 0.85–1.74
27 January 2024St. Mirren0–1RangersxG 0.61–1.34
3 December 2023Rangers2–0St. MirrenxG 1.75–0.14
8 October 2023St. Mirren0–3RangersxG 0.03–2.05
27 May 2023St. Mirren0–3RangersxG 0.55–1.81
15 April 2023Rangers5–2St. MirrenxG 3.67–0.30

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 13, St. Mirren won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 37–5 and xG 2.07–0.41 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dessers7566310.680.02
Lawrence6498310.400.18
Cerny6462310.150.42
Tavernier8720020.080.28

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya9646400.450.01
O'Hara7616100.250.09
Fraser9810010.050.12
Rooney6517000.020.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.