Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Hibernian 4–0 Livingston

Saturday 18 October 2025, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 8 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 17,947

Hibernian Klidje 9', McGrath 52' (pen), Hoilett 79', 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianLivingston
Goals40
xG2.800.43
Non-penalty xG2.010.43
Expected Points2.780.14

Hibernian 90%Draw 8%Livingston 2%

Most likely score 3–0, 18%. Final score 4–0, 11%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+2%9%5%8%2%8%2%11%5%1%5%2%2%17%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBoyle on for Bowie and Hoilett on for Klidje, 71'Chaiwa on for McGrath, 76'Levitt on for Barlaser and Campbell on for Mulligan, 82'Winter on for Blaney, 23'Montano on for Wilson, Tait on for Pittman, and Muirhead on for McLennan, 46'Lawal on for Montgomery and Shinnie on for Bokila, 66'Klidje 9'McGrath 52' (pen)Hoilett 79'Hoilett 89'Hibernian 2.80Livingston 0.4301230153045607590HTBoyle on for Bowie and Hoilett on for Klidje, 71'Chaiwa on for McGrath, 76'Levitt on for Barlaser and Campbell on for Mulligan, 82'Winter on for Blaney, 23'Montano on for Wilson, Tait on for Pittman, and Muirhead on for McLennan, 46'Lawal on for Montgomery and Shinnie on for Bokila, 66'Klidje 9'McGrath 52' (pen)Hoilett 79'Hoilett 89'2.800.43HibernianLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianLivingston

2.80 +1.06xG0.43 −0.60
2.01Non-penalty xG0.43
3.99 +2.49xG on target0.28 −1.01
23 +9.6Shots8 −0.5
12 +7.0Shots on target2 −1.8
6 +3.4Big chances0 −1.4
34 +10Touches in the opposition box20 +2
47% −3Possession53% +8
407 −4Passes450 +96
84% +5Pass accuracy82% +10
56% +10Field tilt44% +6
40 +6Final-third entries33 +4
16 +6.0Box entries9 +1.4
17.7 −2Passes per defensive action13.8 0
7 +1.3Corners10 +5.5
9 −2Tackles13 −6
10 +3.3Interceptions7 −0.6
23 −8Clearances31 −12
2 −0.9Saves7 +4.4
11 +2.4Fouls14 −0.9
2 −0.1Offsides0 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Hanley 20', 0.36 xGHanley 54', 0.18 xGKlidje 35', 0.11 xGBowie 59', 0.09 xGKlidje 13', 0.07 xGBowie 23', 0.07 xGN. Cadden 39', 0.07 xGBoyle 90+4', 0.07 xGBowie 46', 0.06 xGN. Cadden 3', 0.05 xGMcGrath 5', 0.05 xGMcGrath 48', 0.05 xGHanley 54', 0.05 xGBowie 49', 0.04 xGN. Cadden 37', 0.03 xGN. Cadden 87', 0.03 xGMulligan 5', 0.02 xGKlidje 19', 0.02 xGHanley 45+1', 0.02 xGHoilett 79', 0.22 xG, goalKlidje 9', 0.20 xG, goalHoilett 89', 0.14 xG, goal38%0.77 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.77 xG, 1 goal31%0.62 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 0.62 xG, 1 goal24%0.49 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.49 xG, 1 goal3%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals3%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Bokila 48', 0.10 xGFinlayson 63', 0.08 xGSusoho 11', 0.06 xGMcLennan 42', 0.05 xGShinnie 73', 0.05 xGMuirhead 63', 0.04 xGMay 85', 0.03 xGMuirhead 72', 0.02 xG40%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals14%0.06 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals23%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals14%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals9%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianLivingston

1.18 14 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.09 2 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.72 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 6 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
9 min (9%) · Hibernian 0.32, Livingston 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead
86 min (91%) · Hibernian 2.48, Livingston 0.43 xG

Line-ups

154151220221917189SallingerO'HoraHanleyIredaleC. CaddenMulliganBarlaserN. CaddenMcGrathKlidjeBowieYellow cardGoalGoal82'82'76'71'71'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray281927438724171811PriorFinlaysonWilsonBlaneyMontgomeryPittmanSusohoSyllaMayBokilaMcLennanYellow card46'23'66'46'66'46'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Hibernian substitutes

  • 71' Hoilett for Klidje · goal 79', goal 89'
  • 71' Boyle for Bowie
  • 76' Chaiwa for McGrath
  • 82' Levitt for Barlaser
  • 82' Campbell for Mulligan

Livingston substitutes

  • 23' Winter for Blaney
  • 46' Tait for Pittman
  • 46' Montano for Wilson · yellow card 50'
  • 46' Muirhead for McLennan
  • 66' Lawal for Montgomery
  • 66' Shinnie for Bokila

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0200
O'HoraCB900.000.3210.2157
HanleyCB900.620.0100.0227
Iredale CB900.000.0100.081012
C. CaddenRWB9020.000.5320.2492
MulliganCM820.020.1200.0891
BarlaserCM8210.000.0310.0541
N. CaddenLWB900.170.5350.38103
McGrathAM7610.890.1920.0765
KlidjeST7110.410.101−0.0110
BowieST710.270.021−0.0113
HoilettMF1920.360.0200.0321
BoyleFW190.070.0000.0120
ChaiwaMF140.000.000−0.0111
LevittMF80.000.0310.0210
CampbellMF80.000.0000.0002

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0331
FinlaysonRB900.080.0410.171111
WilsonCB460.000.0000.0336
BlaneyCB230.000.0000.0021
MontgomeryLB660.000.020−0.0933
PittmanCM460.000.000−0.0223
SusohoCM900.060.0200.0235
Sylla CM900.000.0000.0428
MayRW900.030.3120.0465
BokilaST660.100.0200.0710
McLennanLW460.050.000−0.0211
WinterFW670.000.0110.0643
TaitMF440.000.0000.0114
Montano FW440.000.0000.0414
MuirheadFW440.060.0100.0012
LawalDF240.000.0000.0100
ShinnieMF240.050.0210.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Iredale and Mulligan: 5 passesHanley and McGrath: 5 passesMulligan and Bowie: 5 passesN. Cadden and Klidje: 5 passesIredale and McGrath: 6 passesHanley and Barlaser: 6 passesC. Cadden and Klidje: 6 passesC. Cadden and Bowie: 6 passesO'Hora and Barlaser: 7 passesO'Hora and Mulligan: 7 passesC. Cadden and Barlaser: 7 passesBarlaser and Klidje: 7 passesSallinger and Iredale: 8 passesSallinger and O'Hora: 9 passesIredale and Barlaser: 9 passesBarlaser and Bowie: 9 passesMcGrath and Bowie: 9 passesIredale and Hanley: 10 passesMulligan and McGrath: 10 passesIredale and N. Cadden: 11 passesBarlaser and Mulligan: 11 passesO'Hora and Hanley: 12 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 12 passesC. Cadden and Mulligan: 12 passesN. Cadden and McGrath: 13 passesBarlaser and N. Cadden: 17 passesSallinger: 14 completed passesIredale: 27 completed passesO'Hora: 25 completed passesHanley: 25 completed passesC. Cadden: 26 completed passesBarlaser: 37 completed passesMulligan: 31 completed passesN. Cadden: 26 completed passesMcGrath: 27 completed passesKlidje: 13 completed passesBowie: 15 completed passes115541222201917189SallingerIredaleO'HoraHanleyC. CaddenBarlaserMulliganN. CaddenMcGrathKlidjeBowieStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Finlayson and Bokila: 3 passesMontgomery and Pittman: 3 passesPittman and May: 3 passesSylla and Wilson: 4 passesBlaney and May: 4 passesSylla and Finlayson: 5 passesWilson and Pittman: 5 passesBlaney and Wilson: 6 passesFinlayson and McLennan: 6 passesMontgomery and May: 6 passesPrior: 4 completed passesSylla: 10 completed passesBlaney: 8 completed passesWilson: 11 completed passesFinlayson: 11 completed passesMontgomery: 8 completed passesSusoho: 3 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesMcLennan: 5 completed passesBokila: 4 completed passesMay: 10 completed passes282442719378111817PriorSyllaBlaneyWilsonFinlaysonMontgomerySusohoPittmanMcLennanBokilaMayStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
O'HoraC. Cadden14
BarlaserN. Cadden11
HanleyO'Hora10
SallingerO'Hora8
HanleyIredale7

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonWinter18
MayMontgomery14
MontgomeryMay11
PriorFinlayson10
MontanoMay10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

3−0.98+2.311−2.77−0.610+5.43−1.960.06+0.45−1.15−0.76+1.46+1.92−0.91−2.93−1.15+1.03−0.35+3.12−0.12−1.42+0.61+0.11+0.33+2.64+2.10−0.40−0.70−0.40−0.91+0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Livingston

3−2.08+0.216−3.07−2.04−3.17−0.15−4.16−2.012+2.56−3.22−2.92−3.030.07+0.90−3.87+2.92−0.23−0.54−0.41−2.02+0.51−0.13+1.41−1.62+1.01+0.910.00−0.40−1.82−6.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.020.010.020.010.050.020.010.020.090.030.010.010.030.140.010.020.040.16−0.100.050.060.220.24LessMore

Livingston

0.010.020.010.020.010.030.030.030.010.010.010.02−0.010.030.030.03−0.020.040.03−0.090.070.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackHibernian1.48 → 1.52Livingston1.00 → 0.98Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.20 → 1.17Livingston1.68 → 1.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Top six83%85%+2
11th<1%<1%0
Livingston
Top six4%3%−1
11th26%27%+1
Bottom26%29%+3

From the forecast before the match (18 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianLivingston
Expected goals2.150.80
Win68%12%
Expected Points2.240.56
Clean sheet45%12%

Hibernian 68%Draw 20%Livingston 12%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

Livingston goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+6%4%2%4%1%4%1%9%7%3%5%4%1%2%2%1%11%9%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawLivingston win
Hibernian
Top six83%85%80%72%
11th<1%<1%<1%1%
Livingston
Top six4%3%5%10%
11th26%27%24%24%
Bottom26%29%24%17%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–14 OctHearts (A)xG 0.39–0.80
  2. D0–027 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.70–2.80
  3. D2–223 SepFalkirk (A)xG 2.43–1.18
  4. D3–313 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.05–1.87
  5. D1–131 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.42–0.85
  6. D2–210 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.77–0.94

Livingston

  1. D1–14 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.29–2.14
  2. L1–228 SepRangers (H)xG 0.74–2.38
  3. L2–320 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.51–2.74
  4. D0–013 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–1.22
  5. L1–230 AugHearts (H)xG 0.50–1.42
  6. L0–323 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.24–3.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianLivingston
Position7th9th
Played78
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠5–⁠11–⁠3–⁠4
Points8 (1.14 per game)6 (0.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.780.90
Goals10–⁠1010–⁠14
xG per game1.74–⁠1.221.03–⁠1.83
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 2.41–⁠1.221.00, 0.94–⁠1.53
Away: points, xG per game1.25, 1.23–⁠1.230.60, 1.09–⁠2.01
ManagerDavid Gray (47)David Martindale (145)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackHibernian1.48, 4thLivingston1.00, 12thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.20, 4thLivingston1.68, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctHibernian attack: 1.48Livingston attack: 1.001.481.00LivingstonHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctHibernian defence: 1.20Livingston defence: 1.681.681.20

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+16%−26%+53%
Counter-attacks+59%+97%−76%−45%
Set pieces+94%−59%−49%+34%
Penalties+54%−100%+102%+34%
Headers+12%+4%−45%−3%
Left side+83%+16%−50%+63%
Centre+19%+2%−41%+19%
Right side−15%−7%−18%+56%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+83%+56%Centre+19%+19%Right side−15%+63%Open play−15%+53%Counter-attacks+59%−45%Set pieces+94%+34%Headers+12%−3%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−50%−7%Centre−41%+2%Right side−18%+16%Open play−26%+16%Counter-attacks−76%+97%Set pieces−49%−59%Headers−45%+4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianLivingston

1.74xG1.03
1.22xG against1.83
50%Possession45%
13.4Shots8.5
11.4Shots against13.9
5.0Shots on target3.8
2.6Big chances1.4
23.7Touches in the opposition box18.2
411Passes354
79%Pass accuracy73%
5.7Corners4.5
46%Field tilt38%
33.5Final-third entries29.1
10.0Box entries7.6
19.8Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level631.191.26
Ahead181.891.12
Behind95.301.16

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level550.661.96
Ahead131.450.96
Behind221.712.02

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.110–1
16–300.430.175–0
31–450.280.392–4
46–600.190.191–2
61–750.360.101–2
76–900.290.271–1

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.150–0
16–300.060.202–1
31–450.200.452–3
46–600.140.290–3
61–750.220.293–3
76–900.320.443–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTSmith 4Sallinger 3O'Hora 6Bushiri 5Hanley 4Iredale 5Obita 1C. Cadden 4Mulligan 3Mulligan 3McGrath 2Chaiwa 2Levitt 4Barlaser 3Obita 4N. Cadden 3Boyle 5Campbell 1Chaiwa 1Hoilett 3McGrath 2Bowie 1Bowie 5Boyle 1Klidje 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 7 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 8Finlayson 7Lawal 1McGowan 5Sylla 2Wilson 7Blaney 2Montgomery 7Lawal 1Pittman 4Sylla 4Susoho 2Tait 5Carey 1Smith 6Pittman 1Winter 1Pittman 3Tait 2Sylla 1Winter 3Yengi 3McLennan 1Muirhead 4May 2Bokila 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 May 2024Livingston1–1HibernianxG 0.66–0.66
16 March 2024Hibernian3–0LivingstonxG 2.56–0.93
9 December 2023Livingston0–1HibernianxG 1.34–0.22
26 August 2023Hibernian2–3LivingstonxG 0.81–1.68
4 March 2023Livingston1–4HibernianxG 0.43–1.36
24 December 2022Hibernian4–0LivingstonxG 2.06–2.06

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, Livingston won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 27–18 and xG 1.49–1.27 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bowie6533310.410.20
Boyle6467100.360.09
Bushiri5450200.380.00
Obita5460000.060.09

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pittman8699300.210.06
Tait7575010.030.08
Sylla7639100.070.02
McGowan5450000.000.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.