Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 2–2 Hibernian

Saturday 1 November 2025, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 15 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 3,921

Livingston Bokila 37', Carey 90+2' (pen)

Hibernian McGrath 1', Boyle 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHibernian
Goals22
xG1.870.76
Non-penalty xG1.090.76
Expected Points2.260.52

Livingston 68%Draw 23%Hibernian 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 2–2, 5%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%2%4%5%8%7%3%2%2%14%14%16%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLawal on for Pittman, 46'Carey on for Smith, 65'Yengi on for May, 74'Shinnie on for Bokila, 80'N. Cadden on for Iredale, Bowie on for McGrath, and Hoilett on for Klidje, 57'Campbell on for Boyle, 73'Bokila 37'Carey 90+2' (pen)McGrath 1'Boyle 55'Livingston 1.87Hibernian 0.7600.511.520153045607590HTLawal on for Pittman, 46'Carey on for Smith, 65'Yengi on for May, 74'Shinnie on for Bokila, 80'N. Cadden on for Iredale, Bowie on for McGrath, and Hoilett on for Klidje, 57'Campbell on for Boyle, 73'Bokila 37'Carey 90+2' (pen)McGrath 1'Boyle 55'1.870.76LivingstonHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHibernian

1.87 +0.76xG0.76 −1.26
1.09Non-penalty xG0.76
2.01 +0.75xG on target1.58 −0.19
10 +1.3Shots7 −7.3
5 +1.4Shots on target5 −0.8
2 +0.6Big chances1 −2.3
20 +1Touches in the opposition box19 −5
48% +3Possession52% +3
354 −7Passes400 −13
73% −1Pass accuracy77% −3
45% +6Field tilt55% +8
36 +6Final-third entries35 −1
6 −2.0Box entries12 +1.6
9.8 −4Passes per defensive action13.1 −4
6 +1.4Corners1 −4.5
17 −2Tackles10 −2
12 +4.4Interceptions8 −0.3
21 −19Clearances28 −1
3 +0.2Saves3 +0.2
16 +0.9Fouls13 +3.4
1 −0.6Offsides2 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Pittman 32', 0.31 xGMay 32', 0.19 xGYengi 86', 0.11 xGShinnie 85', 0.09 xGBokila 70', 0.08 xGFinlayson 89', 0.06 xGSmith 54', 0.02 xGBrenet 65', 0.01 xGBokila 37', 0.23 xG, goal34%0.37 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals63%0.69 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.69 xG, 1 goal2%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Boyle 47', 0.13 xGBoyle 7', 0.11 xGBushiri 73', 0.09 xGHoilett 59', 0.07 xGHoilett 60', 0.06 xGBoyle 55', 0.26 xG, goalMcGrath 1', 0.03 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals73%0.55 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.55 xG, 1 goal15%0.11 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals12%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHibernian

0.95 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.55 5 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 1 shot, 0 goals
0.14 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 1 shot, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
20 min (22%) · Livingston 0.02, Hibernian 0.42 xG
Hibernian ahead
73 min (78%) · Livingston 1.85, Hibernian 0.34 xG

Line-ups

28301927268724151817PriorBrenetFinlaysonWilsonMontanoPittmanSusohoSyllaSmithBokilaMayYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'65'80'74'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale13341522201714211018SallingerBushiriHanleyIredaleBarlaserMulliganMcGrathChaiwaObitaBoyleKlidjeYellow cardGoalGoal57'57'73'57'Hibernian 3-1-4-2David Gray

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Lawal for Pittman
  • 65' Carey for Smith · goal 90+2' (pen)
  • 74' Yengi for May
  • 80' Shinnie for Bokila

Hibernian substitutes

  • 57' N. Cadden for Iredale
  • 57' Hoilett for Klidje
  • 57' Bowie for McGrath
  • 73' Campbell for Boyle

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0220
BrenetRB900.010.0300.10104
FinlaysonCB900.060.0100.04210
WilsonCB900.000.0000.0224
Montano LB900.000.0200.14128
Pittman CM4610.310.1110.0610
SusohoCM900.000.010−0.0316
SyllaCM900.000.0000.0026
SmithRW650.020.1210.1864
BokilaST8010.310.021−0.1002
MayLW740.190.0300.0144
LawalDF440.000.0400.0711
CareyMF2510.790.1920.0610
YengiFW160.110.000−0.0100
ShinnieMF100.090.0000.0011

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0222
Bushiri CB900.090.0200.13412
HanleyCB900.000.0000.0126
IredaleCB570.000.0100.0963
BarlaserDM900.000.0100.0442
MulliganRWB9010.000.4820.42115
McGrathCM5710.030.010−0.0111
ChaiwaCM900.000.0210.0055
ObitaLWB900.000.0100.0467
BoyleST7310.500.1410.1641
KlidjeST5710.000.0110.0111
N. CaddenDF330.000.0720.0550
HoilettMF330.140.0300.0131
BowieFW330.000.0000.0310
CampbellMF170.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Montano and Smith: 3 passesSylla and Susoho: 3 passesSylla and May: 3 passesSusoho and Smith: 3 passesPittman and May: 3 passesMontano and Sylla: 4 passesBrenet and Pittman: 5 passesMontano and Susoho: 5 passesSmith and Pittman: 5 passesWilson and Montano: 6 passesFinlayson and Susoho: 6 passesPrior and Finlayson: 7 passesMontano and May: 7 passesPrior and Wilson: 8 passesBrenet and Finlayson: 9 passesBrenet and Susoho: 10 passesWilson and Finlayson: 11 passesBrenet and Smith: 12 passesPrior: 10 completed passesBrenet: 26 completed passesWilson: 16 completed passesFinlayson: 21 completed passesMontano: 12 completed passesSylla: 8 completed passesSusoho: 21 completed passesSmith: 14 completed passesPittman: 9 completed passesMay: 12 completed passesBokila: 2 completed passes28302719262471581718PriorBrenetWilsonFinlaysonMontanoSyllaSusohoSmithPittmanMayBokilaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Iredale and Bushiri: 3 passesBushiri and Klidje: 3 passesMcGrath and Obita: 3 passesChaiwa and Boyle: 3 passesObita and Klidje: 3 passesIredale and Klidje: 4 passesBushiri and Chaiwa: 4 passesHanley and Mulligan: 4 passesBarlaser and Chaiwa: 4 passesBarlaser and Boyle: 4 passesChaiwa and Klidje: 4 passesSallinger and Mulligan: 5 passesIredale and Barlaser: 5 passesIredale and McGrath: 6 passesBarlaser and Mulligan: 9 passesBushiri and Mulligan: 10 passesMulligan and Boyle: 10 passesSallinger and Bushiri: 15 passesMulligan and Chaiwa: 15 passesSallinger and Hanley: 16 passesBushiri and Hanley: 18 passesIredale and Hanley: 21 passesIredale and Obita: 26 passesSallinger: 26 completed passesIredale: 37 completed passesBushiri: 30 completed passesHanley: 35 completed passesBarlaser: 14 completed passesMulligan: 31 completed passesMcGrath: 11 completed passesChaiwa: 16 completed passesObita: 16 completed passesBoyle: 8 completed passesKlidje: 6 completed passes11533422201714211018SallingerIredaleBushiriHanleyBarlaserMulliganMcGrathChaiwaObitaBoyleKlidjeStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonPrior12
BrenetSusoho10
BrenetSmith10
SusohoBrenet9
BrenetFinlayson9

Hibernian

FromToPasses
IredaleObita15
HanleyIredale14
BushiriMulligan13
MulliganChaiwa12
BushiriHanley11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

5−0.86−1.93−5.44−2.77−0.32−6.65−3.211+1.67−1.36+1.35+0.12−0.99+1.914+7.64+0.67+2.65+2.84−0.35+0.74+1.40−1.60−1.52+0.13+0.71−0.10−0.40−0.92+1.71−0.69−9.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Hibernian

4+0.66+0.116+2.211+4.02−2.76+0.68+1.47+0.74−1.57+1.43−1.14+0.42−1.64+0.34−0.58+4.30−2.620.03−0.62+0.42+0.60−0.81−0.12−0.31+0.60−0.50−0.50−0.83+2.53−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.010.02−0.010.010.050.010.010.040.060.050.010.030.03−0.030.05−0.050.02−0.010.07−0.070.26LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.030.03−0.010.030.030.070.020.010.020.070.030.150.010.020.020.030.10−0.020.010.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackLivingston1.01 → 1.06Hibernian1.58 → 1.54Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.73 → 1.68Hibernian1.13 → 1.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six3%3%0
11th22%22%0
Bottom44%42%−2
Hibernian
Title1%<1%−1
Top six95%94%−1
Dundee FC
11th27%26%−1
Bottom26%27%+1
Falkirk
Top six13%14%+1
11th19%20%+1
Bottom17%18%+1

From the forecast before the match (1 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHibernian
Expected goals1.001.78
Win20%55%
Expected Points0.861.90
Clean sheet17%37%

Livingston 20%Draw 24%Hibernian 55%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Hibernian goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%6%6%3%3%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%10%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHibernian win
Livingston
Top six3%5%3%2%
11th22%23%22%22%
Bottom44%30%42%50%
Hibernian
Title1%<1%<1%1%
Top six95%91%94%97%
Dundee FC
11th27%25%26%29%
Bottom26%32%27%23%
Falkirk
Top six13%12%14%13%
11th19%19%20%19%
Bottom17%20%18%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–225 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–2.16
  2. L0–418 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.43–2.80
  3. D1–14 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.29–2.14
  4. L1–228 SepRangers (H)xG 0.74–2.38
  5. L2–320 SepDundee FC (A)xG 1.51–2.74
  6. D0–013 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–1.22

Hibernian

  1. L0–129 OctRangers (H)xG 2.01–0.52
  2. W2–126 OctAberdeen (A)xG 3.20–1.24
  3. W4–018 OctLivingston (H)xG 2.80–0.43
  4. L0–14 OctHearts (A)xG 0.39–0.80
  5. D0–027 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.70–2.80
  6. D2–223 SepFalkirk (A)xG 2.43–1.18

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHibernian
Position12th4th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠63–⁠5–⁠2
Points6 (0.60 per game)14 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game0.892.04
Goals11–⁠2016–⁠12
xG per game1.11–⁠1.962.02–⁠1.08
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.32–⁠1.691.20, 2.41–⁠0.92
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.98–⁠2.141.60, 1.63–⁠1.23
ManagerDavid Martindale (147)David Gray (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackLivingston1.01, 12thHibernian1.58, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.73, 12thHibernian1.13, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctLivingston attack: 1.01Hibernian attack: 1.581.581.01HibernianLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctLivingston defence: 1.73Hibernian defence: 1.131.731.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−23%+49%−2%+1%
Counter-attacks−66%−41%+151%+16%
Set pieces−48%+30%+60%−57%
Penalties+118%+118%+118%−100%
Headers−42%+3%+7%−19%
Left side−51%+65%+68%+4%
Centre−36%+15%+32%−21%
Right side−20%+39%+13%−15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHibernian concededLeft side−51%−15%Centre−36%−21%Right side−20%+4%Open play−23%+1%Counter-attacks−66%+16%Set pieces−48%−57%Headers−42%−19%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdLivingston concededLeft side+68%+39%Centre+32%+15%Right side+13%+65%Open play−2%+49%Counter-attacks+151%−41%Set pieces+60%+30%Headers+7%+3%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHibernian

1.11xG2.02
1.96xG against1.08
45%Possession49%
8.7Shots14.3
14.9Shots against11.1
3.6Shots on target5.8
1.4Big chances3.3
18.9Touches in the opposition box24.4
361Passes413
74%Pass accuracy80%
4.6Corners5.5
39%Field tilt48%
29.8Final-third entries35.7
8.0Box entries10.4
13.7Passes per defensive action17.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.911.96
Ahead141.471.41
Behind261.322.25

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.271.20
Ahead262.661.03
Behind153.380.75

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.170–1
16–300.180.223–1
31–450.190.382–3
46–600.120.460–5
61–750.280.233–3
76–900.260.493–7

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.121–2
16–300.360.135–0
31–450.260.303–4
46–600.530.172–2
61–750.260.101–2
76–900.400.264–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 10Finlayson 8Brenet 1Lawal 1McGowan 5Sylla 2Finlayson 1Wilson 9Blaney 3Montgomery 8Montano 1Lawal 1Pittman 6Susoho 2Sylla 6Tait 5Carey 1Smith 6Pittman 1May 1Tait 3Pittman 3Sylla 1Winter 3Yengi 3McLennan 2Muirhead 4Bokila 4May 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-3-3 (4), 5-4-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSallinger 6Smith 4O'Hora 8Hanley 7Bushiri 6Iredale 8Obita 1C. Cadden 7Mulligan 3Mulligan 6Chaiwa 2Barlaser 5Levitt 4McGrath 3N. Cadden 6Obita 4Boyle 4McGrath 2Barlaser 1Bowie 9Boyle 2Klidje 4Hoilett 3McGrath 23-4-1-2 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 October 2025Hibernian4–0LivingstonxG 2.80–0.43
19 May 2024Livingston1–1HibernianxG 0.66–0.66
16 March 2024Hibernian3–0LivingstonxG 2.56–0.93
9 December 2023Livingston0–1HibernianxG 1.34–0.22
26 August 2023Hibernian2–3LivingstonxG 0.81–1.68
4 March 2023Livingston1–4HibernianxG 0.43–1.36

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 6, Hibernian won 8, and 2 were drawn. Goals 18–31 and xG 1.22–1.57 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead6482110.480.21
Smith6468210.160.11
Pittman10835300.170.06
Sylla9819100.070.06

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McGrath7608310.460.26
Bowie9727310.390.18
Boyle6543100.350.09
N. Cadden6540000.090.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.