Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 0–2 Motherwell

Saturday 31 January 2026, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 24 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 2,785

Motherwell Maswanhise 5', 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonMotherwell
Goals02
xG0.221.62
Expected Points0.302.50

Livingston 3%Draw 20%Motherwell 77%

Most likely score 0–1, 27%. Final score 0–2, 24%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+13%11%3%3%7%6%3%27%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTSylla on for Danso, 67'Zimmerman on for May, 68'Tamm on for Muirhead, J. Smith on for McLennan, and Lawal on for Fati, 77'Nicholson on for Said and Bjørgolfsson on for Just, 65'Longelo on for Maswanhise, 77'Gordon on for Koutroumbis, 86'Maswanhise 5'Maswanhise 28'Motherwell 1.62Livingston 0.2200.511.520153045607590HTSylla on for Danso, 67'Zimmerman on for May, 68'Tamm on for Muirhead, J. Smith on for McLennan, and Lawal on for Fati, 77'Nicholson on for Said and Bjørgolfsson on for Just, 65'Longelo on for Maswanhise, 77'Gordon on for Koutroumbis, 86'Maswanhise 5'Maswanhise 28'1.620.22LivingstonMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonMotherwell

0.22 −0.85xG1.62 +0.12
0.75 −0.29xG on target1.60 0.00
4 −5.9Shots14 +1.3
1 −2.6Shots on target6 +1.2
2 +0.6Big chances4 +1.7
13 −7Touches in the opposition box25 0
49% +3Possession51% −8
524 +148Passes566 +8
85% +11Pass accuracy88% +3
30% −12Field tilt70% +10
31 −3Final-third entries54 +4
4 −4.9Box entries22 +7.1
17.0 +4Passes per defensive action17.1 +4
7 +2.4Corners7 +3.5
23 +5Tackles12 −3
10 +1.4Interceptions8 +0.3
9 −24Clearances22 −2
3 +0.3Saves1 −2.0
11 −4Fouls13 +2
2 +0.6Offsides0 −2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

McLennan 2', 0.11 xGSylla 70', 0.06 xGMay 45+1', 0.03 xGTait 36', 0.02 xG14%0.03 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals77%0.17 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals9%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Maswanhise 17', 0.11 xGMaswanhise 43', 0.11 xGMaswanhise 38', 0.10 xGMcGinn 10', 0.09 xGJust 24', 0.09 xGMaswanhise 11', 0.06 xGSaid 56', 0.05 xGMaswanhise 59', 0.04 xGNicholson 76', 0.04 xGSlattery 4', 0.03 xGSlattery 13', 0.03 xGSlattery 24', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 28', 0.49 xG, goalMaswanhise 5', 0.36 xG, goal7%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals68%1.09 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.09 xG, 2 goals12%0.20 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals11%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonMotherwell

0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play0.90 10 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.48 1 shot, 1 goal
0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
5 min (5%) · Livingston 0.11, Motherwell 0.39 xG
Motherwell ahead
86 min (95%) · Livingston 0.10, Motherwell 1.23 xG

Line-ups

283019532025811917PriorBrenetFinlaysonMcGowanFatiDansoTaitPittmanMcLennanMuirheadMay77'67'77'77'68'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale1372162225129021818WardSparrowO'DonnellMcGinnKoutroumbisPriestmanFadingerSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseGoalGoal86'65'65'77'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou

Livingston substitutes

  • 67' Sylla for Danso · yellow card 89'
  • 68' Zimmerman for May
  • 77' J. Smith for McLennan
  • 77' Lawal for Fati
  • 77' Tamm for Muirhead
  • 77' L. Smith

Motherwell substitutes

  • 65' Nicholson for Said
  • 65' Bjørgolfsson for Just
  • 77' Longelo for Maswanhise
  • 86' Gordon for Koutroumbis

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0330
BrenetRB900.000.0200.12118
FinlaysonCB900.000.0100.0767
McGowanCB900.000.0000.0423
FatiLB770.000.0920.0444
DansoCM670.000.010−0.0113
TaitCM900.020.0200.0332
PittmanCM900.000.0910.0313
McLennanRW770.110.0210.0454
MuirheadST770.000.0500.0821
MayLW680.030.0500.0764
Sylla MF230.060.0000.0215
ZimmermanFW220.000.0000.0010
J. SmithGK130.00–––––
LawalDF130.000.000−0.0100
TammFW130.000.0000.0001
L. SmithFW130.000.0000.0110

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WardGK900.000.0000.0732
SparrowRB900.000.5310.2886
O'DonnellCB900.000.0200.11137
McGinnCB900.090.0110.11910
KoutroumbisLB860.000.0400.0563
PriestmanDM900.000.0210.0682
FadingerDM900.000.0300.0135
SaidRW650.050.1320.2341
JustAM6510.090.6530.3361
SlatteryLW9010.080.3120.20131
MaswanhiseST7721.270.041−0.0421
NicholsonDF250.040.010−0.0210
BjørgolfssonFW250.000.051−0.0101
LongeloDF130.000.0000.0112
GordonDF40.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Tait: 5 passesPittman and McLennan: 5 passesMuirhead and May: 5 passesPrior and Fati: 6 passesTait and May: 6 passesMcGowan and May: 7 passesTait and Danso: 7 passesMcLennan and Muirhead: 7 passesDanso and McLennan: 8 passesBrenet and Tait: 9 passesMcGowan and Tait: 9 passesFinlayson and McLennan: 9 passesFati and Danso: 10 passesTait and McLennan: 10 passesFinlayson and Tait: 11 passesBrenet and Danso: 12 passesFati and Tait: 12 passesFati and May: 12 passesMcGowan and Danso: 13 passesFinlayson and Danso: 16 passesMcGowan and Finlayson: 22 passesPrior and McGowan: 23 passesBrenet and McLennan: 23 passesPrior and Finlayson: 29 passesMcGowan and Fati: 30 passesBrenet and Finlayson: 31 passesPrior: 42 completed passesBrenet: 43 completed passesMcGowan: 57 completed passesFinlayson: 66 completed passesFati: 36 completed passesTait: 37 completed passesPittman: 13 completed passesDanso: 37 completed passesMcLennan: 29 completed passesMuirhead: 13 completed passesMay: 18 completed passes283051932582011917PriorBrenetMcGowanFinlaysonFatiTaitPittmanDansoMcLennanMuirheadMayStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Ward and Priestman: 7 passesWard and Fadinger: 7 passesO'Donnell and McGinn: 7 passesO'Donnell and Said: 7 passesMcGinn and Priestman: 7 passesKoutroumbis and Just: 7 passesPriestman and Said: 7 passesSparrow and Said: 8 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 8 passesPriestman and Just: 8 passesJust and Slattery: 8 passesSparrow and Fadinger: 9 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 9 passesJust and Maswanhise: 9 passesKoutroumbis and Slattery: 10 passesSaid and Just: 10 passesSparrow and Priestman: 11 passesO'Donnell and Fadinger: 13 passesSparrow and O'Donnell: 14 passesO'Donnell and Priestman: 15 passesMcGinn and Fadinger: 15 passesWard and O'Donnell: 19 passesWard and McGinn: 21 passesWard: 31 completed passesSparrow: 36 completed passesO'Donnell: 52 completed passesMcGinn: 42 completed passesKoutroumbis: 23 completed passesPriestman: 36 completed passesFadinger: 31 completed passesSaid: 20 completed passesJust: 30 completed passesSlattery: 28 completed passesMaswanhise: 9 completed passes1372162225129021818WardSparrowO'DonnellMcGinnKoutroumbisPriestmanFadingerSaidJustSlatteryMaswanhiseStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonBrenet21
McGowanFati16
FatiMcGowan15
McGowanFinlayson15
PriorFinlayson15

Motherwell

FromToPasses
O'DonnellWard21
WardMcGinn16
McGinnWard16
FadingerMcGinn13
FadingerO'Donnell12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.34−3.512−4.37−0.23−4.180.07+0.35−3.17−1.250.05−0.15+0.93−2.79+3.06+2.13−1.63+0.32−1.94−0.23+0.42−0.12+0.61−1.02−0.92+0.60−0.40−0.70−0.60−1.30−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Motherwell

2−1.76−0.410−3.38+2.08+3.82−4.04−3.45−2.110+2.45−1.25+0.74+0.33−1.41−4.210+5.93−1.53+0.87+4.33−0.87+4.33+1.12+1.03+1.520.010.00−0.52+1.30−0.31+0.51−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.030.010.030.060.020.030.010.03−0.03−0.020.04−0.010.050.010.070.09LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.040.040.040.020.040.020.010.030.030.120.080.020.080.010.210.070.150.03−0.04−0.060.040.38LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.93Motherwell1.37 → 1.39Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.80 → 1.82Motherwell1.16 → 1.13

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th24%20%−4
Bottom71%77%+6
Kilmarnock
11th54%58%+4
Bottom25%20%−5

From the forecast before the match (31 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonMotherwell
Expected goals1.001.65
Win22%52%
Expected Points0.931.82
Clean sheet19%37%

Livingston 22%Draw 26%Motherwell 52%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Motherwell goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%5%2%6%5%2%4%6%5%3%1%1%2%2%11%10%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 31 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawMotherwell win
Livingston
11th24%31%24%20%
Bottom71%59%70%77%
Kilmarnock
11th54%45%53%58%
Bottom25%36%26%20%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L2–624 JanAberdeen (A)xG 2.01–3.08
  2. D1–120 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.47–1.41
  3. D1–110 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.30–1.69
  4. L0–13 JanHearts (A)xG 0.54–2.23
  5. L1–330 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.45–3.25
  6. L2–427 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.09–3.83

Motherwell

  1. W4–024 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 2.72–0.46
  2. D1–110 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.03–1.31
  3. W2–03 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.88–0.30
  4. W2–030 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.40–0.59
  5. L0–127 DecRangers (A)xG 1.07–4.14
  6. W1–020 DecDundee FC (H)xG 1.23–0.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonMotherwell
Position12th4th
Played2323
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠8–⁠1410–⁠10–⁠3
Points11 (0.48 per game)40 (1.74 per game)
Expected Points per game0.881.63
Goals24–⁠4835–⁠17
xG per game1.07–⁠1.951.50–⁠1.16
Home: points, xG per game0.64, 1.21–⁠1.722.25, 1.70–⁠0.69
Away: points, xG per game0.33, 0.94–⁠2.171.18, 1.28–⁠1.68
ManagerDavid Martindale (160)Jens Berthel Askou (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.32AttackLivingston0.96, 12thMotherwell1.37, 5thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.80, 12thMotherwell1.16, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 0.96Motherwell attack: 1.371.370.96MotherwellLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.80Motherwell defence: 1.161.801.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+36%+22%−14%
Counter-attacks−63%+12%−11%−2%
Set pieces−20%+35%−43%−22%
Penalties+45%+103%+74%−42%
Headers−34%+19%−20%−31%
Left side−39%+24%+6%−16%
Centre−27%+31%−27%−10%
Right side−28%+47%+57%−24%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdMotherwell concededLeft side−39%−24%Centre−27%−10%Right side−28%−16%Open play−28%−14%Counter-attacks−63%−2%Set pieces−20%−22%Headers−34%−31%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdLivingston concededLeft side+6%+47%Centre−27%+31%Right side+57%+24%Open play+22%+36%Counter-attacks−11%+12%Set pieces−43%+35%Headers−20%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonMotherwell

1.07xG1.50
1.95xG against1.16
46%Possession59%
9.9Shots12.7
13.9Shots against11.0
3.6Shots on target4.8
1.4Big chances2.3
19.6Touches in the opposition box25.1
376Passes558
74%Pass accuracy85%
4.6Corners3.5
42%Field tilt60%
34.3Final-third entries49.8
8.9Box entries14.9
12.6Passes per defensive action13.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.032.00
Ahead91.092.77
Behind371.121.68

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.121.13
Ahead271.931.26
Behind82.651.08

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.342–7
16–300.180.225–5
31–450.290.415–8
46–600.110.351–7
61–750.210.244–6
76–900.220.397–15

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.091–1
16–300.230.208–3
31–450.240.186–0
46–600.340.168–3
61–750.290.264–6
76–900.330.278–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 23Finlayson 11Brenet 7Lawal 4McGowan 12Finlayson 9Sylla 2Wilson 18Blaney 3Kabongolo 2Montano 10Montgomery 8Lawal 2Tait 14Pittman 10Susoho 11Sylla 10Carey 1L. Smith 13McLennan 3May 1Pittman 9Tait 4Sylla 3May 10Yengi 4McLennan 3Bokila 8Yengi 7Muirhead 64-2-3-1 in 11 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-3-3 (10), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 23Koutroumbis 10O'Donnell 9Sparrow 3McGinn 19Gordon 8O'Donnell 3Welsh 15Longelo 18Koutroumbis 4Charles-Cook 1Fadinger 21Priestman 5Just 3Watt 16Maswanhise 13Said 3Just 3Just 8Slattery 6Said 3Said 7Slattery 6Charles-Cook 5Stamatelopoulos 9Hendry 7Maswanhise 64-2-3-1 in 14 of 23 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 December 2025Motherwell3–0LivingstonxG 2.41–0.67
25 October 2025Livingston1–2MotherwellxG 2.45–2.16
4 May 2024Motherwell4–1LivingstonxG 2.63–0.66
28 February 2024Livingston1–3MotherwellxG 0.92–1.25
30 December 2023Motherwell3–1LivingstonxG 1.48–0.94
7 October 2023Livingston2–0MotherwellxG 2.59–0.06

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, Motherwell won 11, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–34 and xG 1.18–1.45 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead8764310.560.17
Yengi111,054200.300.08
McLennan6619200.280.09
Bokila9824500.330.02

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos9868620.890.08
Slattery131,213230.190.26
Just171,484450.250.20
Maswanhise201,5791120.360.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.