Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 0–2 Celtic

Sunday 11 August 2024, 12:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 17,918

Celtic Kühn 3', McGregor 19'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Goals	0	2
xG	0.10	2.60
Expected Points	0.02	2.96

Hibernian <1%Draw 2%Celtic 98%

Most likely score 0–2, 30%. Final score 0–2, 30%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.10 −1.48xG2.60 −0.51

0.00 −0.59xG on target2.59 +0.11

4 −11Shots19 −13

0 −3.0Shots on target7 −6.0

0 −2.0Big chances5 −1.0

10 −17Touches in the opposition box37 −16

25% −33Possession75% −7

240 −110Passes728 −96

64% −8Pass accuracy88% −2

25% −45Field tilt75% −16

22 −17Final-third entries64 −23

4 −7Box entries17 −11

27.3 +15Passes per defensive action6.4 −12

3 −5.0Corners5 −5.0

13 +1.0Tackles16 +8.0

10 +6.0Interceptions9 +5.0

30 +11Clearances15 +1

5 +4.0Saves0 −2.0

11 +2.0Fouls10 +3.0

2 0.0Offsides2 +1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.08 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.40 13 shots, 1 goal

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.03 2 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–10–2

Level: 3 min (3%) · Hibernian 0.00, Celtic 1.03 xG
Celtic ahead: 92 min (97%) · Hibernian 0.10, Celtic 1.56 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

62' Cadden for Campbell
62' Bowie for Kukharevych
75' Vente for Molotnikov
82' Moriah-Welsh for Levitt

Celtic substitutes

62' Maeda for Forrest
75' Bernardo for Hatate
75' M. Johnston for Furuhashi · off 90+5'
81' Ralston for A. Johnston
81' Yang for Kühn
90+5' Holm for M. Johnston

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Bursik	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Miller	RB	90	0.00	0.10	1	0.23	4	5
Ekpiteta	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	12
O'Hora	CB	90	0.00	0.01	1	0.04	4	15
Obita	LB	90	0.00	0.00	1	0.01	0	10
Campbell	DM	62	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3
Newell	DM	90	0.00	0.05	0	0.03	3	8
Boyle	RW	90	0.03	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Levitt	AM	82	0.00	0.10	1	0.00	2	2
Molotnikov	LW	75	0.04	0.05	0	0.01	2	0
Kukharevych	ST	62	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	4
Cadden	DF	28	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Bowie	FW	28	0.02	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Vente	FW	15	0.02	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Moriah-Welsh	MF	8	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	1	0
A. Johnston	RB	81			0.00	0.04	0	0.07	6	3
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.15	12	10
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.23	18	4
Taylor	LB	90			0.03	0.27	3	0.07	8	4
O'Riley	CM	90			0.30	0.10	1	0.03	8	5
McGregor	CM	90	1		0.04	0.02	0	0.04	6	2
Hatate	CM	75			0.08	0.05	1	−0.04	3	3
Kühn	RW	81	1	1	1.20	0.08	2	0.19	7	2
Furuhashi	ST	75			0.55	0.02	0	0.04	3	0
Forrest	LW	62		1	0.00	0.61	1	0.15	4	2
Maeda	FW	28			0.00	0.02	1	−0.01	0	3
Bernardo	MF	15			0.00	0.05	1	0.07	1	2
M. Johnston	FW	15			0.39	0.00	1	0.00	1	0
Ralston	DF	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Yang	FW	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Holm	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Ekpiteta	Miller	7
Obita	Molotnikov	6
Bursik	Miller	6
Levitt	Newell	5
Miller	Ekpiteta	5

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Scales	Taylor	39
Scales	Carter-Vickers	33
Taylor	Scales	30
Carter-Vickers	Scales	25
Schmeichel	Scales	23

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 1 match

Celtic

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	54%	50%	−4
11th	4%	5%	+1
Bottom	2%	3%	+1
Celtic
Title	80%	82%	+2
Rangers
Title	20%	17%	−3
Aberdeen
Top six	77%	78%	+1

From the forecast before the match (11 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Expected goals	0.83	2.20
Win	12%	68%
Expected Points	0.56	2.24
Clean sheet	11%	44%

Hibernian 12%Draw 19%Celtic 68%

Most likely score 0–2, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 11 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Celtic win
Hibernian
Top six	54%	68%	58%	50%
11th	4%	2%	4%	5%
Bottom	2%	1%	2%	3%
Celtic
Title	80%	71%	76%	82%
Rangers
Title	20%	28%	24%	17%
Aberdeen
Top six	77%	74%	77%	78%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Position	11th	3rd
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠0–⁠1	1–⁠0–⁠0
Points	0 (0.00 per game)	3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.64	2.88
Goals	0–⁠3	4–⁠0
xG per game	1.58–⁠1.20	3.11–⁠0.20
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	3.00, 3.11–⁠0.20
Away: points, xG per game	0.00, 1.58–⁠1.20	–⁠
Manager	David Gray (3)	Brendan Rodgers (39)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+3%	−5%	+129%	−45%
Counter-attacks	−33%	+55%	+65%	−45%
Set pieces	−15%	−19%	+23%	−41%
Penalties	−46%	+9%	+74%	−67%
Headers	−44%	−25%	+34%	−35%
Left side	+3%	−2%	+93%	−30%
Centre	−13%	+2%	+91%	−48%
Right side	+3%	−7%	+106%	−50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+3%−50%Centre−13%−48%Right side+3%−30%Open play+3%−45%Counter-attacks−33%−45%Set pieces−15%−41%Headers−44%−35%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+93%−7%Centre+91%+2%Right side+106%−2%Open play+129%−5%Counter-attacks+65%+55%Set pieces+23%−19%Headers+34%−25%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.58xG3.11

1.20xG against0.20

58%Possession82%

15.0Shots32.0

9.0Shots against5.0

3.0Shots on target13.0

2.0Big chances6.0

27.0Touches in the opposition box53.0

350Passes824

72%Pass accuracy89%

8.0Corners10.0

70%Field tilt91%

39.0Final-third entries87.0

11.0Box entries28.0

12.1Passes per defensive action18.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.59	0.43
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	42	1.56	2.08

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	17	1.80	0.11
Ahead	73	3.43	0.22
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.53	0.02	0–0
16–30	0.28	0.06	0–0
31–45	0.05	0.09	0–0
46–60	0.00	0.19	0–1
61–75	0.39	0.60	0–0
76–90	0.34	0.23	0–2

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.11	0.02	0–0
16–30	0.49	0.11	1–0
31–45	1.29	0.00	1–0
46–60	0.28	0.00	1–0
61–75	0.57	0.07	0–0
76–90	0.37	0.00	1–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
7 February 2024	Hibernian	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.00–2.07
6 December 2023	Celtic	4–1	Hibernian	xG 4.10–1.50
28 October 2023	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.57–1.49
24 May 2023	Hibernian	4–2	Celtic	xG 2.04–2.37
18 March 2023	Celtic	3–1	Hibernian	xG 3.96–0.90
28 December 2022	Hibernian	0–4	Celtic	xG 0.55–2.61

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 8, and 5 were drawn. Goals 12–32 and xG 0.97–2.36 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Boyle	29	2,584	5	3	0.19	0.15
Vente	28	2,077	5	3	0.25	0.08
Campbell	11	969	3	1	0.11	0.08
Newell	37	3,278	2	5	0.03	0.14

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Forrest	7	731	6	1	0.77	0.32
Palma	18	1,515	7	9	0.50	0.47
Furuhashi	32	2,589	14	6	0.69	0.11
O'Riley	38	3,339	18	14	0.41	0.33

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.