Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 3–1 Hibernian

Saturday 10 May 2025, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 36 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 58,972

Celtic Kühn 41', Idah 45', Hatate 58'

Hibernian Boyle 25'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Goals	3	1
xG	2.26	0.82
Expected Points	2.39	0.42

Celtic 74%Draw 18%Hibernian 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Final score 3–1, 10%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

2.26 −0.30xG0.82 −0.75

2.90 +0.06xG on target1.06 −0.56

17 −2Shots10 −2

7 −0.1Shots on target4 −0.1

4 −0.4Big chances2 −0.5

32 −6Touches in the opposition box11 −12

76% +1Possession24% −22

795 +73Passes234 −101

92% +3Pass accuracy74% +1

90% +8Field tilt10% −39

76 +1Final-third entries14 −20

25 +3Box entries4 −6

8.9 −0.1Passes per defensive action47.8 +31.7

8 −0.7Corners3 −2.7

7 −7Tackles10 −3

8 +2.5Interceptions12 +4.3

24 +3Clearances32 −1

3 +0.7Saves4 +1.3

8 −1.6Fouls6 −4.5

8 +6.3Offsides2 +0.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Celtic

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

2.26 17 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.56 5 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.22 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–12–13–1

Level: 29 min (31%) · Celtic 1.00, Hibernian 0.54 xG
Celtic ahead: 49 min (52%) · Celtic 0.37, Hibernian 0.28 xG
Hibernian ahead: 16 min (17%) · Celtic 0.89, Hibernian 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Celtic substitutes

73' Bernardo for McGregor
73' Forrest for Kühn
80' McCowan for Hatate
80' Kenny for Idah
85' McArdle for Engels

Hibernian substitutes

65' N. Cadden for Kukharevych
65' Hoilett for Boyle
65' Bowie for Iredale
73' Gayle for Campbell
80' Manneh for Levitt

Players

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	0
Ralston	RB	90		1	0.00	0.17	5	0.50	9	4
Trusty	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.12	5	12
Scales	CB	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.14	7	8
Taylor	LB	90			0.00	0.27	2	0.11	8	2
Engels	CM	85		1	0.06	0.19	3	0.11	9	0
McGregor	CM	73			0.10	0.09	0	−0.01	1	2
Hatate	CM	80	1		0.17	0.20	4	0.04	8	4
Kühn	RW	73	1	1	1.02	0.40	2	0.36	11	1
Idah	ST	80	1		0.80	0.01	0	−0.12	1	0
Maeda	LW	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.04	2	2
Bernardo	MF	17			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	2
Forrest	FW	17			0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
McCowan	MF	10			0.10	0.01	0	0.00	1	0
Kenny	FW	10			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	1	1
McArdle	MF	5			0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	2	1

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	1
C. Cadden	RWB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
O'Hora	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	4
Bushiri	CB	90		0.12	0.00	0	0.01	2	10
Iredale	CB	65		0.00	0.06	1	0.02	3	3
Obita	LWB	90		0.02	0.00	0	0.01	1	8
Levitt	CM	80		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	9
Triantis	CM	90		0.00	0.02	2	0.06	0	6
Campbell	CM	73		0.06	0.22	0	0.05	3	1
Boyle	ST	65	1	0.48	0.00	0	−0.02	0	2
Kukharevych	ST	65		0.04	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
N. Cadden	DF	25		0.06	0.06	1	0.00	0	1
Hoilett	MF	25		0.04	0.00	0	−0.01	1	1
Bowie	FW	25		0.00	0.02	1	0.02	0	1
Gayle	FW	17		0.00	0.02	0	0.02	1	1
Manneh	MF	10		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Scales	Taylor	39
Trusty	Ralston	37
Taylor	Scales	36
Ralston	Trusty	27
Ralston	McGregor	26

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Smith	Iredale	7
Smith	Bushiri	7
Bushiri	Iredale	5
Bushiri	Levitt	5
Levitt	O'Hora	4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

Against its average of 35 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Expected goals	2.40	0.77
Win	73%	10%
Expected Points	2.37	0.46
Clean sheet	46%	9%

Celtic 73%Draw 17%Hibernian 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 49%.

From the forecast as it stood on 10 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Celtic

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Celtic	Hibernian
Position	1st	3rd
Played	35	35
Won, drawn, lost	27–⁠4–⁠4	15–⁠11–⁠9
Points	85 (2.43 per game)	56 (1.60 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.39	1.58
Goals	103–⁠23	57–⁠43
xG per game	2.56–⁠0.76	1.57–⁠1.24
Home: points, xG per game	2.71, 2.84–⁠0.66	1.94, 1.75–⁠1.07
Away: points, xG per game	2.17, 2.30–⁠0.86	1.24, 1.37–⁠1.42
Manager	Brendan Rodgers (73)	David Gray (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Celtic		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+123%	−43%	−7%	−22%
Counter-attacks	+50%	−14%	+27%	+25%
Set pieces	+8%	−58%	+31%	−8%
Penalties	+63%	−59%	+63%	+2%
Headers	+33%	−54%	+12%	−16%
Left side	+82%	−24%	+14%	−30%
Centre	+92%	−49%	+8%	−6%
Right side	+67%	−56%	−2%	−12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+82%−12%Centre+92%−6%Right side+67%−30%Open play+123%−22%Counter-attacks+50%+25%Set pieces+8%−8%Headers+33%−16%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+14%−56%Centre+8%−49%Right side−2%−24%Open play−7%−43%Counter-attacks+27%−14%Set pieces+31%−58%Headers+12%−54%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

2.56xG1.57

0.76xG against1.24

75%Possession46%

18.5Shots12.5

7.6Shots against11.2

7.1Shots on target4.1

4.4Big chances2.5

38.0Touches in the opposition box22.8

722Passes335

89%Pass accuracy73%

8.7Corners5.7

82%Field tilt48%

75.4Final-third entries33.9

22.1Box entries10.2

9.0Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	32	2.48	0.83
Ahead	46	2.81	0.70
Behind	11	1.72	0.83

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	1.51	1.14
Ahead	33	1.52	1.12
Behind	19	1.77	1.66

xG by period

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.29	0.12	8–4
16–30	0.38	0.11	20–2
31–45	0.50	0.16	21–6
46–60	0.42	0.11	17–5
61–75	0.38	0.10	14–1
76–90	0.58	0.16	23–5

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.17	0.20	7–8
16–30	0.31	0.22	12–5
31–45	0.23	0.13	10–6
46–60	0.17	0.17	4–5
61–75	0.34	0.16	9–2
76–90	0.34	0.36	15–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (32), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (17), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
22 February 2025	Hibernian	2–1	Celtic	xG 0.67–1.78
7 December 2024	Celtic	3–0	Hibernian	xG 3.83–2.34
11 August 2024	Hibernian	0–2	Celtic	xG 0.10–2.60
7 February 2024	Hibernian	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.00–2.07
6 December 2023	Celtic	4–1	Hibernian	xG 4.10–1.50
28 October 2023	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.57–1.49

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 10, Hibernian won 2, and 5 were drawn. Goals 38–14 and xG 2.42–0.98 per game.

Key players

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Furuhashi	15	1,333	10	3	0.93	0.08
Idah	17	1,551	11	0	0.69	0.15
Jota	7	570	4	2	0.48	0.36
Engels	23	1,962	9	6	0.45	0.37

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Bowie	4	527	5	1	0.53	0.06
Kukharevych	18	1,345	5	0	0.54	0.02
Hoilett	17	1,380	4	2	0.29	0.26
N. Cadden	19	1,589	5	6	0.24	0.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.