Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Celtic 0–0 Hibernian

Saturday 27 September 2025, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 6 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 58,980

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticHibernian
Goals00
xG2.800.70
Expected Points2.660.22

Celtic 85%Draw 12%Hibernian 3%

Most likely score 3–1, 13%. Final score 0–0, 1%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%2%6%8%1%3%2%7%9%2%3%4%1%2%10%13%10%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTNygren on for Iheanacho, 66'Forrest on for Engels, 67'Bernardo on for McCowan, Kenny on for Maeda, and Balikwisha on for Tounekti, 74'Campbell on for McGrath, 38'C. Cadden on for Chaiwa, 46'Klidje on for Boyle, 66'Levitt on for Barlaser, 67'Celtic 2.80Hibernian 0.7001230153045607590HTNygren on for Iheanacho, 66'Forrest on for Engels, 67'Bernardo on for McCowan, Kenny on for Maeda, and Balikwisha on for Tounekti, 74'Campbell on for McGrath, 38'C. Cadden on for Chaiwa, 46'Klidje on for Boyle, 66'Levitt on for Barlaser, 67'2.800.70CelticHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

2.80 +1.08xG0.70 −1.52
1.60 −0.55xG on target0.09 −1.98
26 +12Shots4 −13
6 +0.6Shots on target1 −5.6
6 +2.6Big chances1 −2.2
52 +19Touches in the opposition box12 −17
77% +5Possession23% −34
750 +57Passes223 −248
92% +3Pass accuracy68% −16
96% +18Field tilt4% −55
109 +45Final-third entries7 −35
32 +12Box entries2 −11
6.0 −3.3Passes per defensive action75.0 +59.1
7 −0.2Corners2 −5.2
7 −7.6Tackles10 +0.2
12 +5.4Interceptions6 −1.2
13 −19Clearances54 +30
1 −0.4Saves6 +3.6
16 +4.0Fouls1 −8.8
2 +0.2Offsides5 +3.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Iheanacho 21', 0.66 xGKenny 90+4', 0.27 xGKenny 89', 0.25 xGEngels 50', 0.22 xGNygren 82', 0.20 xGMaeda 41', 0.18 xGMaeda 34', 0.16 xGMaeda 45+2', 0.12 xGIheanacho 51', 0.12 xGEngels 5', 0.07 xGBernardo 82', 0.07 xGKenny 90+4', 0.06 xGMcGregor 32', 0.05 xGForrest 86', 0.05 xGMcGregor 22', 0.04 xGRalston 15', 0.03 xGIheanacho 29', 0.03 xGMcGregor 39', 0.03 xGTounekti 47', 0.03 xGSaracchi 61', 0.03 xGMcGregor 85', 0.03 xGSaracchi 30', 0.02 xGEngels 37', 0.02 xGIheanacho 41', 0.02 xGMcGregor 53', 0.02 xGTounekti 73', 0.02 xG9%0.24 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals76%2.14 xGCentral box: 11 shots, 2.14 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals13%0.36 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.36 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

O'Hora 45+1', 0.52 xGO'Hora 88', 0.14 xGBoyle 42', 0.03 xGKlidje 70', 0.01 xG74%0.52 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.52 xG, 0 goals20%0.14 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

2.00 23 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.66 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.03 1 shot, 0 goals
0.15 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.67 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
96 min (100%) · Celtic 2.81, Hibernian 0.70 xG

Line-ups

15620536274214381723SchmeichelRalstonCarter-VickersScalesSaracchiEngelsMcGregorMcCowanMaedaIheanachoTounektiYellow cardYellow card67'74'74'66'74'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers120541521142217109SallingerMulliganO'HoraHanleyIredaleObitaChaiwaBarlaserMcGrathBoyleBowieYellow card46'67'38'66'Hibernian 5-3-2David Gray

Celtic substitutes

  • 66' Nygren for Iheanacho
  • 67' Forrest for Engels
  • 74' Bernardo for McCowan
  • 74' Kenny for Maeda
  • 74' Balikwisha for Tounekti

Hibernian substitutes

  • 38' Campbell for McGrath
  • 46' C. Cadden for Chaiwa
  • 66' Klidje for Boyle
  • 67' Levitt for Barlaser

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0100
RalstonRB900.030.1620.25143
Carter-Vickers CB900.000.0410.191110
Scales CB900.000.2620.32109
SaracchiLB900.050.4830.66161
EngelsCM670.310.042−0.0453
McGregorCM900.180.9820.2991
McCowanCM740.000.5120.0651
MaedaRW740.460.4520.1522
IheanachoST660.820.071−0.0401
TounektiLW740.050.3820.30171
NygrenFW240.200.0410.0880
ForrestFW230.050.0300.0630
BernardoMF160.070.000−0.0101
KennyFW160.580.0000.0000
BalikwishaFW160.000.0100.0310

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SallingerGK900.000.0000.0341
Mulligan RWB900.000.0000.0016
O'HoraCB900.650.0000.00012
HanleyCB900.000.000−0.01010
IredaleCB900.000.0200.04414
ObitaLWB900.000.1310.0339
ChaiwaCM460.000.0000.0001
BarlaserCM670.000.0300.0112
McGrathCM380.000.000−0.0114
BoyleST660.030.0000.0202
BowieST900.000.4320.1235
CampbellMF520.000.000−0.0105
C. CaddenMF440.000.0100.0103
KlidjeFW240.010.000−0.0101
LevittMF230.000.020−0.0104

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Carter-Vickers and Saracchi: 7 passesSaracchi and Engels: 7 passesMcGregor and Maeda: 7 passesRalston and McCowan: 8 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 9 passesSchmeichel and Carter-Vickers: 11 passesMcCowan and Tounekti: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 12 passesMcGregor and Tounekti: 12 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 16 passesScales and McGregor: 17 passesScales and Tounekti: 17 passesEngels and McGregor: 17 passesMcGregor and McCowan: 18 passesSaracchi and McCowan: 21 passesRalston and McGregor: 25 passesScales and Saracchi: 31 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 33 passesRalston and Maeda: 35 passesSaracchi and McGregor: 35 passesRalston and Engels: 38 passesSaracchi and Tounekti: 38 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 56 passesSchmeichel: 16 completed passesRalston: 90 completed passesScales: 62 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 80 completed passesSaracchi: 76 completed passesEngels: 41 completed passesMcGregor: 77 completed passesMcCowan: 40 completed passesMaeda: 31 completed passesIheanacho: 9 completed passesTounekti: 43 completed passes15652036274214381723SchmeichelRalstonScalesCarter-VickersSaracchiEngelsMcGregorMcCowanMaedaIheanachoTounektiStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 7+ passes

Hibernian

Iredale and Bowie: 3 passesObita and Barlaser: 3 passesIredale and Hanley: 4 passesObita and McGrath: 4 passesSallinger and Iredale: 5 passesMulligan and Chaiwa: 5 passesIredale and McGrath: 6 passesIredale and Barlaser: 6 passesIredale and Obita: 7 passesSallinger and Hanley: 9 passesSallinger: 13 completed passesMulligan: 7 completed passesIredale: 19 completed passesO'Hora: 3 completed passesHanley: 7 completed passesObita: 10 completed passesMcGrath: 8 completed passesBarlaser: 10 completed passesChaiwa: 4 completed passesBoyle: 0 completed passesBowie: 2 completed passes120155421172214109SallingerMulliganIredaleO'HoraHanleyObitaMcGrathBarlaserChaiwaBoyleBowieStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
Carter-VickersRalston44
RalstonCarter-Vickers28
McGregorSaracchi25
SaracchiTounekti24
SaracchiScales21

Hibernian

FromToPasses
HanleySallinger9
ObitaIredale7
SallingerHanley6
SallingerBowie6
IredaleSallinger6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

1−2.64−0.40−5.20−4.02−4.85−1.07+2.07+3.20−2.47+1.811+5.012+7.67+3.23−1.44+1.05−1.83+1.83+0.820.01−1.83+1.01−0.40−0.60−0.61+0.80−1.09−6.42−6.22−6.22−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Hibernian

7+3.815+11.033+24.015+9.27+2.63−1.27+1.010+6.47+1.62−4.82−2.61−3.82−1.40−4.23−1.23−1.41−3.20−2.60−2.24+0.20−1.80−1.00−1.00−0.60−2.60−0.40−1.00−0.61+0.40−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.020.020.010.010.060.050.020.080.030.050.280.070.120.060.100.06−0.010.070.16−0.130.120.120.450.46LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.030.01−0.010.020.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.37AttackCeltic2.38 → 2.37Hibernian1.57 → 1.52Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.76 → 0.75Hibernian1.18 → 1.19

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title98%97%−1
Hibernian
Top six90%92%+2

From the forecast before the match (27 September 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticHibernian
Expected goals2.390.79
Win72%10%
Expected Points2.350.48
Clean sheet45%9%

Celtic 72%Draw 17%Hibernian 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%8%3%4%1%7%3%6%4%2%3%2%2%1%10%12%9%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 September 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawHibernian win
Celtic
Title98%98%97%95%
Hibernian
Top six90%88%92%94%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W2–114 SepKilmarnock (A)xG 2.83–1.66
  2. D0–031 AugRangers (A)xG 0.19–0.15
  3. W3–023 AugLivingston (H)xG 3.02–0.24
  4. W2–010 AugAberdeen (A)xG 1.17–0.55
  5. W1–03 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.41–0.23
  6. D1–117 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 2.55–0.20

Hibernian

  1. D2–223 SepFalkirk (A)xG 2.43–1.18
  2. D3–313 SepDundee United (H)xG 3.05–1.87
  3. D1–131 AugSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.42–0.85
  4. D2–210 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 1.77–0.94
  5. W2–13 AugDundee FC (A)xG 1.42–0.13
  6. D2–217 MayRangers (H)xG 1.29–2.62

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticHibernian
Position1st4th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠1–⁠01–⁠4–⁠0
Points13 (2.60 per game)7 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game2.072.27
Goals8–⁠110–⁠9
xG per game1.72–⁠0.572.22–⁠0.99
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.21–⁠0.231.00, 2.41–⁠1.22
Away: points, xG per game2.33, 1.40–⁠0.792.00, 1.93–⁠0.66
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (81)David Gray (45)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.37AttackCeltic2.38, 1stHibernian1.57, 3rdDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.76, 1stHibernian1.18, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepCeltic attack: 2.38Hibernian attack: 1.572.381.57HibernianCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepCeltic defence: 0.76Hibernian defence: 1.181.180.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+89%−66%+8%−9%
Counter-attacks−33%−78%+135%+95%
Set pieces−23%−17%+103%−58%
Penalties+28%−94%+132%−84%
Headers+4%−24%+40%−25%
Left side+68%−72%+99%average
Centre+29%−36%+48%−23%
Right side+41%−65%+8%−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+68%−8%Centre+29%−23%Right side+41%averageOpen play+89%−9%Counter-attacks−33%+95%Set pieces−23%−58%Headers+4%−25%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+99%−65%Centre+48%−36%Right side+8%−72%Open play+8%−66%Counter-attacks+135%−78%Set pieces+103%−17%Headers+40%−24%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

1.72xG2.22
0.57xG against0.99
72%Possession57%
14.4Shots17.0
6.4Shots against8.6
5.4Shots on target6.6
3.4Big chances3.2
33.2Touches in the opposition box29.4
693Passes471
88%Pass accuracy84%
7.2Corners7.2
78%Field tilt59%
63.8Final-third entries41.8
20.0Box entries13.2
9.3Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level631.560.42
Ahead272.110.90
Behind0––

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level531.640.89
Ahead251.891.12
Behind135.301.16

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.010–0
16–300.100.001–0
31–450.390.060–0
46–600.360.082–0
61–750.230.062–0
76–900.500.353–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.130–1
16–300.600.045–0
31–450.270.432–4
46–600.270.171–2
61–750.450.121–2
76–900.380.111–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 5Ralston 2Johnston 2Donovan 1Carter-Vickers 4Murray 1Scales 5Tierney 3Saracchi 1Inamura 1Nygren 3Engels 2McCowan 1McGregor 4Bernardo 1Hatate 4Nygren 2Tounekti 1Yang 1Maeda 2Idah 2Yamada 1Maeda 2Balikwisha 2Yang 14-3-3 in every start

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTSmith 4Sallinger 1O'Hora 4Hanley 2Bushiri 5Iredale 3Obita 1C. Cadden 3Mulligan 2Mulligan 2Chaiwa 2McGrath 1Levitt 4Barlaser 1N. Cadden 3Obita 2Boyle 4Youan 1Hoilett 3McGrath 2Bowie 4Klidje 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
10 May 2025Celtic3–1HibernianxG 2.26–0.82
22 February 2025Hibernian2–1CelticxG 0.67–1.78
7 December 2024Celtic3–0HibernianxG 3.83–2.34
11 August 2024Hibernian0–2CelticxG 0.10–2.60
7 February 2024Hibernian1–2CelticxG 1.00–2.07
6 December 2023Celtic4–1HibernianxG 4.10–1.50

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 11, Hibernian won 2, and 5 were drawn. Goals 41–15 and xG 2.42–0.97 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Idah211,8501300.700.13
Engels272,305970.400.34
McCowan141,413770.250.47
Forrest91,108150.240.40

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bowie9993920.540.11
Hoilett221,763450.290.24
Boyle332,8891660.390.13
Youan12963310.380.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.