Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 2–1 Celtic

Saturday 22 February 2025, 12:30 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 27 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 18,357

Hibernian Campbell 2', 45+4'

Celtic Maeda 68'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Goals	2	1
xG	0.67	1.78
Expected Points	0.56	2.21

Hibernian 11%Draw 23%Celtic 66%

Most likely score 0–2, 15%. Final score 2–1, 4%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.67 −0.97xG1.78 −0.87

1.68 +0.13xG on target1.18 −1.71

8 −5Shots14 −6

4 0.0Shots on target4 −3.4

2 −0.5Big chances4 −0.7

17 −6Touches in the opposition box36 −3

24% −23Possession76% +1

177 −164Passes575 −154

62% −10Pass accuracy87% −2

11% −39Field tilt89% +6

14 −21Final-third entries58 −22

8 −1.6Box entries24 +1.3

18.1 +2.7Passes per defensive action10.5 +1.6

5 −0.8Corners10 +0.8

18 +4Tackles10 −5

9 +1.3Interceptions6 +0.6

47 +15Clearances23 +3

2 −0.9Saves2 −0.2

12 +1.3Fouls11 +1.7

6 +4.2Offsides8 +6.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.36 3 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.34 12 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.40 1 shot, 0 goals

0.31 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

1–02–02–1

Level: 2 min (2%) · Hibernian 0.14, Celtic 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead: 97 min (98%) · Hibernian 0.52, Celtic 1.78 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

64' Kukharevych for Bowie
73' Obita for Moriah-Welsh · yellow card 90+5'
78' Ekpiteta for Bushiri
78' Hoilett for Boyle

Celtic substitutes

46' Schlupp for Taylor
46' Hatate for McCowan · 1 assist
46' Jota for Idah

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
O'Hora	CB	90			0.05	0.00	0	0.02	3	7
Bushiri	CB	78			0.01	0.00	0	0.00	0	11
Iredale	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	17
Miller	RWB	90			0.07	0.09	1	0.11	3	10
Moriah-Welsh	CM	73			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	6
Triantis	CM	90		1	0.00	0.02	1	0.02	1	6
N. Cadden	LWB	90			0.00	0.18	3	0.10	3	7
Campbell	AM	90	2		0.32	0.00	0	0.09	4	4
Boyle	ST	78		1	0.12	0.14	2	0.17	2	4
Bowie	ST	64			0.10	0.00	0	0.06	0	3
Kukharevych	FW	26			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Obita	DF	17			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	1
Ekpiteta	DF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Hoilett	MF	12			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schmeichel	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Johnston	RB	90			0.20	0.03	1	0.06	7	1
Carter-Vickers	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.12	7	10
Trusty	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	3	9
Taylor	LB	46			0.03	0.20	1	0.21	8	3
McCowan	CM	46			0.00	0.12	1	0.18	3	0
McGregor	CM	90			0.04	0.19	2	0.15	5	1
Engels	CM	90			0.13	0.06	0	0.11	8	6
Kühn	RW	90			0.03	0.14	1	0.27	24	1
Idah	ST	46			0.16	0.03	0	−0.03	0	1
Maeda	LW	90	1		0.56	0.01	0	−0.02	0	2
Schlupp	DF	44			0.07	0.08	0	0.07	3	5
Hatate	MF	44		1	0.15	0.02	1	0.05	1	1
Jota	FW	44			0.42	0.09	1	0.14	10	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
N. Cadden	Triantis	7
Iredale	N. Cadden	5
N. Cadden	Campbell	5
Smith	Bushiri	4
Triantis	Campbell	4

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Johnston	32
Trusty	Carter-Vickers	30
Johnston	Kühn	26
Carter-Vickers	Trusty	20
Johnston	Carter-Vickers	16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 26 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 26 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	82%	95%	+13
Celtic
Title	99%	99%	0
St. Mirren
Top six	18%	14%	−4
11th	10%	10%	0
Kilmarnock
Top six	29%	26%	−3
11th	4%	4%	0

From the forecast before the match (22 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Expected goals	0.90	2.04
Win	15%	63%
Expected Points	0.67	2.11
Clean sheet	13%	41%

Hibernian 15%Draw 21%Celtic 63%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 22 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Celtic win
Hibernian
Top six	82%	95%	85%	78%
Celtic
Title	99%	99%	99%	>99%
St. Mirren
Top six	18%	14%	18%	19%
11th	10%	10%	10%	11%
Kilmarnock
Top six	29%	26%	28%	30%
11th	4%	4%	3%	4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Position	5th	1st
Played	26	26
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠10–⁠8	22–⁠3–⁠1
Points	34 (1.31 per game)	69 (2.65 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.53	2.42
Goals	37–⁠37	76–⁠12
xG per game	1.64–⁠1.38	2.65–⁠0.71
Home: points, xG per game	1.54, 1.87–⁠1.17	2.85, 3.01–⁠0.60
Away: points, xG per game	1.08, 1.41–⁠1.59	2.46, 2.29–⁠0.82
Manager	David Gray (28)	Brendan Rodgers (64)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+1%	−16%	+124%	−45%
Counter-attacks	−16%	+39%	+64%	−26%
Set pieces	+39%	+3%	+22%	−67%
Penalties	+58%	+13%	+58%	−55%
Headers	+18%	−6%	+36%	−66%
Left side	−7%	−23%	+91%	−31%
Centre	+22%	+5%	+96%	−52%
Right side	+3%	−8%	+70%	−63%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side−7%−63%Centre+22%−52%Right side+3%−31%Open play+1%−45%Counter-attacks−16%−26%Set pieces+39%−67%Headers+18%−66%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+91%−8%Centre+96%+5%Right side+70%−23%Open play+124%−16%Counter-attacks+64%+39%Set pieces+22%+3%Headers+36%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.64xG2.65

1.38xG against0.71

47%Possession75%

12.6Shots19.5

11.6Shots against7.1

4.0Shots on target7.4

2.5Big chances4.7

22.5Touches in the opposition box39.2

341Passes729

73%Pass accuracy89%

5.8Corners9.2

50%Field tilt83%

34.9Final-third entries79.5

9.6Box entries22.7

15.4Passes per defensive action8.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	40	1.58	1.31
Ahead	26	1.62	1.22
Behind	24	1.77	1.66

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	34	2.69	0.65
Ahead	51	2.78	0.68
Behind	5	1.05	1.46

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.14	0.25	2–6
16–30	0.31	0.24	7–5
31–45	0.28	0.14	9–6
46–60	0.21	0.18	4–4
61–75	0.38	0.17	6–1
76–90	0.33	0.40	9–15

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.33	0.09	6–1
16–30	0.34	0.11	12–1
31–45	0.51	0.11	16–2
46–60	0.52	0.14	13–4
61–75	0.38	0.11	10–1
76–90	0.57	0.15	19–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (11), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

Celtic

Formations: 4-3-3 (23), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
7 December 2024	Celtic	3–0	Hibernian	xG 3.83–2.34
11 August 2024	Hibernian	0–2	Celtic	xG 0.10–2.60
7 February 2024	Hibernian	1–2	Celtic	xG 1.00–2.07
6 December 2023	Celtic	4–1	Hibernian	xG 4.10–1.50
28 October 2023	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.57–1.49
24 May 2023	Hibernian	4–2	Celtic	xG 2.04–2.37

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 10, and 5 were drawn. Goals 12–37 and xG 1.00–2.46 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	13	983	3	0	0.57	0.02
Hoilett	12	986	2	1	0.30	0.27
N. Cadden	16	1,310	5	3	0.27	0.29
Boyle	17	1,615	7	3	0.39	0.12

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Furuhashi	15	1,333	10	3	0.93	0.08
Engels	14	1,240	8	4	0.57	0.44
Idah	13	1,120	8	0	0.72	0.16
Kühn	15	1,262	10	6	0.54	0.32

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.