Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Celtic 3–0 Hibernian

Saturday 7 December 2024, 15:00 · Celtic Park · Round 16 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 58,641

Celtic Engels 6', Newell 54' (og), Furuhashi 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

CelticHibernian
Goals30
xG3.832.34
Expected Points2.200.64

Celtic 68%Draw 17%Hibernian 16%

Most likely score 4–2, 8%. Final score 3–0, 1%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+1%2%1%3%5%4%2%1%5%3%1%5%3%4%5%2%3%5%4%2%7%6%8%6%6%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTForrest on for Kühn, 46'Furuhashi on for Idah and Yang on for Maeda, 67'Bernardo on for McCowan and Hatate on for Engels, 73'Campbell on for Kukharevych, 27'Boyle on for N. Cadden, 73'Gayle on for Newell and Hoilett on for Youan, 82'C. Cadden on for Miller, 83'Engels 6'Newell 54' (og)Furuhashi 84'Celtic 3.83Hibernian 2.34012340153045607590HTForrest on for Kühn, 46'Furuhashi on for Idah and Yang on for Maeda, 67'Bernardo on for McCowan and Hatate on for Engels, 73'Campbell on for Kukharevych, 27'Boyle on for N. Cadden, 73'Gayle on for Newell and Hoilett on for Youan, 82'C. Cadden on for Miller, 83'Engels 6'Newell 54' (og)Furuhashi 84'3.832.34CelticHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

CelticHibernian

3.83 +1.15xG2.34 +0.95
4.10 +1.24xG on target1.72 +0.41
21 +1Shots14 0
11 +3.5Shots on target9 +5.4
6 +1.1Big chances5 +3.1
44 +5Touches in the opposition box33 +11
76% +2Possession24% −24
751 +29Passes237 −100
92% +4Pass accuracy73% +1
90% +9Field tilt10% −43
92 +18Final-third entries18 −18
24 +2.4Box entries12 +2.5
11.0 +1.9Passes per defensive action30.8 +16.4
14 +4.5Corners7 +1.3
13 −2Tackles11 −2
4 −2.2Interceptions10 +2.7
22 +5Clearances45 +18
9 +6.8Saves8 +5.6
8 −1.8Fouls7 −5.5
1 −0.1Offsides3 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Celtic

Idah 13', 0.41 xGIdah 45+3', 0.37 xGTrusty 30', 0.32 xGTrusty 30', 0.31 xGTrusty 30', 0.29 xGScales 49', 0.28 xGMaeda 45', 0.14 xGFuruhashi 72', 0.12 xGMcCowan 8', 0.10 xGEngels 47', 0.07 xGMcCowan 10', 0.06 xGTaylor 45+3', 0.06 xGYang 77', 0.06 xGTrusty 78', 0.05 xGMcCowan 45+3', 0.03 xGEngels 45+5', 0.03 xGIdah 54', 0.03 xGMcGregor 19', 0.02 xGForrest 87', 0.02 xGFuruhashi 84', 0.60 xG, goalEngels 6', 0.48 xG, goal47%1.80 xGSix-yard box: 5 shots, 1.80 xG, 1 goal47%1.80 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.80 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Kukharevych 2', 0.57 xGKukharevych 23', 0.41 xGNewell 17', 0.37 xGYouan 62', 0.35 xGMiller 69', 0.18 xGN. Cadden 62', 0.16 xGBushiri 63', 0.08 xGMiller 68', 0.06 xGTriantis 66', 0.05 xGGayle 86', 0.05 xGYouan 5', 0.02 xGYouan 64', 0.02 xGN. Cadden 3', 0.01 xGO'Hora 43', 0.01 xG8%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals77%1.80 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.80 xG, 0 goals13%0.31 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

CelticHibernian

1.70 11 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.48 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.57 1 shot, 0 goals
2.13 10 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.29 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · Celtic 0.47, Hibernian 0.60 xG
Celtic ahead
89 min (94%) · Celtic 3.35, Hibernian 1.74 xG

Line-ups

1265314422710938SchmeichelJohnstonTrustyScalesTaylorMcCowanMcGregorEngelsKühnIdahMaedaGoalYellow card73'73'46'67'67'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers1325331521726111999SmithMillerO'HoraBushiriIredaleObitaYouanTriantisNewellN. CaddenKukharevychYellow cardOwn goal83'82'82'73'27'Hibernian 5-4-1David Gray

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Forrest for Kühn · 1 assist
  • 67' Yang for Maeda
  • 67' Furuhashi for Idah · goal 84'
  • 73' Bernardo for McCowan
  • 73' Hatate for Engels

Hibernian substitutes

  • 27' Campbell for Kukharevych · yellow card 81'
  • 73' Boyle for N. Cadden
  • 82' Gayle for Newell
  • 82' Hoilett for Youan
  • 83' C. Cadden for Miller

Players

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchmeichelGK900.000.0000.0202
JohnstonRB9010.000.4720.23106
TrustyCB900.970.0410.2036
ScalesCB900.280.1400.26114
TaylorLB900.060.0620.0467
McCowanCM730.190.6120.1151
McGregorCM900.020.2000.0664
Engels CM7310.570.0600.0011
KühnRW460.000.8730.4560
IdahST670.810.0520.0101
MaedaLW670.140.1710.0741
ForrestFW4410.020.4310.13112
YangFW230.060.0300.1240
FuruhashiFW2310.720.0000.1100
BernardoMF170.000.0710.0003
HatateMF170.000.010−0.0102

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0000.0102
MillerRWB830.240.2120.11513
O'Hora CB900.010.0110.07311
BushiriCB900.080.0010.0014
IredaleCB900.000.0210.04312
ObitaLWB900.000.0110.0784
YouanRM820.390.0100.0232
TriantisCM900.050.2710.1036
NewellCM820.370.0100.0249
N. CaddenLM730.170.4130.0123
KukharevychST270.980.0000.1021
Campbell MF630.000.0200.0325
BoyleFW170.000.0000.0200
GayleFW80.050.000−0.0100
HoilettFW80.000.0210.0000
C. CaddenDF70.000.0000.0120

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Celtic

Schmeichel and Johnston: 5 passesTrusty and McCowan: 5 passesMcGregor and Idah: 5 passesEngels and McGregor: 6 passesTrusty and Taylor: 7 passesSchmeichel and Scales: 8 passesJohnston and McCowan: 8 passesTrusty and Kühn: 8 passesTaylor and McCowan: 9 passesJohnston and Kühn: 11 passesScales and Maeda: 11 passesSchmeichel and Trusty: 12 passesTaylor and Engels: 12 passesMcCowan and Kühn: 12 passesMcGregor and Kühn: 12 passesJohnston and McGregor: 16 passesMcCowan and McGregor: 16 passesScales and Engels: 17 passesTrusty and McGregor: 22 passesTaylor and McGregor: 23 passesJohnston and Trusty: 25 passesScales and McGregor: 29 passesScales and Taylor: 31 passesScales and Trusty: 39 passesSchmeichel: 17 completed passesJohnston: 39 completed passesScales: 72 completed passesTrusty: 63 completed passesTaylor: 46 completed passesEngels: 23 completed passesMcCowan: 29 completed passesMcGregor: 70 completed passesKühn: 21 completed passesIdah: 7 completed passesMaeda: 10 completed passes1256327144210938SchmeichelJohnstonScalesTrustyTaylorEngelsMcCowanMcGregorKühnIdahMaedaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Hibernian

O'Hora and Triantis: 3 passesTriantis and Kukharevych: 3 passesIredale and Newell: 5 passesMiller and Youan: 6 passesMiller and O'Hora: 7 passesSmith: 3 completed passesMiller: 10 completed passesIredale: 7 completed passesBushiri: 3 completed passesO'Hora: 8 completed passesObita: 3 completed passesYouan: 5 completed passesTriantis: 9 completed passesNewell: 7 completed passesN. Cadden: 4 completed passesKukharevych: 3 completed passes1321533521726111999SmithMillerIredaleBushiriO'HoraObitaYouanTriantisNewellN. CaddenKukharevychStarters until 27' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyScales37
ScalesTaylor34
ScalesTrusty28
TrustyJohnston24
TaylorScales23

Hibernian

FromToPasses
BushiriO'Hora9
TriantisIredale6
IredaleBushiri6
MillerO'Hora5
SmithIredale5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Celtic

5+2.15+2.210+0.410+4.91−1.85+0.42−3.15+0.16−0.85+1.12−1.60−2.84−0.92−1.46+2.21−0.81−2.41−3.44+1.14+1.92+0.41−2.14+2.03+1.60−0.60−1.11−0.11−0.13−4.02−4.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Hibernian

6+1.413+7.127+11.412+4.55+0.710+3.52−2.59+3.29+2.68+1.61−4.12−1.20−3.53−1.91−3.90−3.91−2.70−2.60−3.22−2.54+2.24+2.92+1.11−0.11−1.50−0.70−0.40−0.91+0.70−0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.060.030.050.010.050.100.060.120.070.03−0.010.070.180.110.040.090.040.270.33LessMore

Hibernian

0.020.020.010.020.030.060.010.010.010.03−0.010.030.060.030.010.050.010.100.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.45 → 2.44Hibernian1.26 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Celtic0.72 → 0.74Hibernian1.38 → 1.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Celtic
Title98%98%0
Hibernian
Top six20%18%−2
11th12%13%+1
Bottom10%11%+1

From the forecast before the match (7 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

CelticHibernian
Expected goals2.990.61
Win84%5%
Expected Points2.640.25
Clean sheet54%5%

Celtic 84%Draw 11%Hibernian 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 44%.

Hibernian goalsCeltic goals0123456+0123456+3%1%8%5%2%7%2%7%2%6%2%5%3%1%4%3%12%12%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowCeltic winDrawHibernian win
Celtic
Title98%98%97%96%
Hibernian
Top six20%18%26%39%
11th12%13%11%6%
Bottom10%11%6%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Celtic

  1. W1–04 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.62–0.88
  2. W5–030 NovRoss County (H)xG 3.09–0.10
  3. W4–123 NovHearts (A)xG 3.87–0.85
  4. W2–010 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 2.12–2.22
  5. W2–030 OctDundee FC (H)xG 4.62–0.16
  6. W3–027 OctMotherwell (A)xG 1.45–0.71

Hibernian

  1. W3–030 NovMotherwell (A)xG 3.15–0.75
  2. D3–326 NovAberdeen (H)xG 2.21–1.61
  3. L1–423 NovDundee FC (A)xG 0.76–2.22
  4. L1–29 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.28–2.18
  5. D1–13 NovDundee United (H)xG 1.09–1.31
  6. D0–030 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.50–0.50

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

CelticHibernian
Position1st11th
Played1415
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠1–⁠02–⁠6–⁠7
Points40 (2.86 per game)12 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game2.441.32
Goals41–⁠418–⁠25
xG per game2.68–⁠0.681.39–⁠1.46
Home: points, xG per game2.67, 3.08–⁠0.560.88, 1.44–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game3.00, 2.38–⁠0.780.71, 1.33–⁠1.54
ManagerBrendan Rodgers (52)David Gray (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackCeltic2.45, 1stHibernian1.26, 5thDefence (lower is better)Celtic0.72, 1stHibernian1.38, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecCeltic attack: 2.45Hibernian attack: 1.262.451.26HibernianCelticDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecCeltic defence: 0.72Hibernian defence: 1.381.380.72

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

CelticHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+138%−42%−24%−10%
Counter-attacks+159%−43%−78%+121%
Set pieces−22%−76%+63%+11%
Penalties+40%−53%+30%−13%
Headers−3%−75%−10%+6%
Left side+101%−31%−6%−15%
Centre+82%−56%−5%+19%
Right side+119%−63%−2%+2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+101%+2%Centre+82%+19%Right side+119%−15%Open play+138%−10%Counter-attacks+159%+121%Set pieces−22%+11%Headers−3%+6%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side−6%−63%Centre−5%−56%Right side−2%−31%Open play−24%−42%Counter-attacks−78%−43%Set pieces+63%−76%Headers−10%−75%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

CelticHibernian

2.68xG1.39
0.68xG against1.46
74%Possession48%
20.4Shots13.5
7.2Shots against12.0
7.5Shots on target3.6
4.9Big chances1.9
38.7Touches in the opposition box22.0
722Passes337
88%Pass accuracy73%
9.5Corners5.7
81%Field tilt53%
74.0Final-third entries35.8
21.6Box entries9.5
9.1Passes per defensive action14.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level362.860.81
Ahead512.610.61
Behind21.390.19

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.191.27
Ahead201.601.60
Behind271.541.66

xG by period

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.400.083–0
16–300.270.117–0
31–450.480.1610–1
46–600.560.137–2
61–750.400.065–0
76–900.570.149–1

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.201–2
16–300.170.262–4
31–450.370.145–4
46–600.170.242–3
61–750.300.194–0
76–900.270.454–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 14Johnston 13Ralston 1Carter-Vickers 9Trusty 8Scales 11Taylor 9Valle 5Bernardo 7Engels 7McCowan 3McGregor 12Hatate 11Kühn 10Forrest 3Yang 1Furuhashi 10Idah 4Maeda 11Forrest 2Palma 14-3-3 in 13 of 14 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (13), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTBursik 13Smith 2Miller 11C. Cadden 4Ekpiteta 12Bushiri 3O'Hora 14Iredale 1Obita 13Iredale 1Newell 1Kwon 9N. Cadden 2Campbell 2Newell 9Triantis 7Boyle 8C. Cadden 3Youan 2Triantis 4Molotnikov 3Kukharevych 2Hoilett 6N. Cadden 3Youan 3Kukharevych 9Youan 2Hoilett 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 August 2024Hibernian0–2CelticxG 0.10–2.60
7 February 2024Hibernian1–2CelticxG 1.00–2.07
6 December 2023Celtic4–1HibernianxG 4.10–1.50
28 October 2023Hibernian0–0CelticxG 0.57–1.49
24 May 2023Hibernian4–2CelticxG 2.04–2.37
18 March 2023Celtic3–1HibernianxG 3.96–0.90

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Celtic won 9, Hibernian won 1, and 5 were drawn. Goals 34–12 and xG 2.37–0.91 per game.

Key players

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi10846530.960.05
Kühn10819560.580.27
Engels7577200.380.35
Hatate11944400.270.28

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kukharevych12956300.490.02
Hoilett9736200.180.21
Boyle8782210.290.09
Youan7564000.170.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.