Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenRangers
0.32 −0.95xG1.94 +0.22
0.32Non-penalty xG1.16
0.92 −0.12xG on target2.03 +0.04
7 −6Shots18 +2
5 +1.1Shots on target9 +3.3
0 −1.8Big chances5 +2.4
17 −4Touches in the opposition box21 −7
52% +4Possession48% −12
395 −4Passes372 −130
81% +4Pass accuracy79% −5
32% −13Field tilt68% +3
32 −4Final-third entries32 −19
9 −2Box entries11 −5
8.7 −7Passes per defensive action9.5 −2
6 +1.0Corners6 −0.4
26 +11Tackles27 +11
7 +0.8Interceptions8 +0.4
26 −6Clearances22 −5
7 +3.9Saves5 +1.8
15 +1Fouls12 0
3 +1.1Offsides1 −0.6
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Rangers
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
23'74'
0–00–10–2
0'HTFT
Level
23 min (25%) · Aberdeen 0.13, Rangers 0.30 xG
Rangers ahead
70 min (75%) · Aberdeen 0.18, Rangers 1.64 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
46'Nisbet for Lazetic
57'Keskinen for Karlsson
68'Armstrong for Milanovic
68'Bilalovic for Clarkson
79'Aouchiche for Shinnie
Rangers substitutes
88'Djiga for Moore
90'Miovski for Chermiti
90+3'Aarons for Tavernier
90+3'Matondo for Gassama
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.06
0.04
1
0.16
5
5
Milne
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
1
14
Knoester
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
3
14
Gyamfi
LB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
3
7
Clarkson
DM
68
0.05
0.01
0
0.04
5
3
Shinnie
DM
79
0.03
0.10
1
0.09
5
2
Milanovic
RW
68
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
2
2
Polvara
AM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
6
4
Karlsson
LW
57
0.03
0.01
1
0.01
3
1
Lazetic
ST
46
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
2
Nisbet
FW
44
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
1
Keskinen
FW
33
0.06
0.01
1
0.06
3
3
Armstrong
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Bilalovic
FW
22
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
0
Aouchiche
MF
11
0.00
0.00
1
0.02
0
2
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Butland
GK
90
0.00
0.00
1
0.01
2
0
Tavernier
RB
90
1
0.84
0.43
3
0.04
1
9
Souttar
CB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.06
4
9
Fernandez
CB
90
0.16
0.01
1
0.06
5
11
Meghoma
LB
90
1
0.00
0.14
2
0.08
3
4
Raskin
DM
90
0.34
0.04
1
0.06
6
7
Diomande
DM
90
0.11
0.02
0
0.01
0
6
Gassama
RW
90
0.14
0.01
2
0.09
7
2
Aasgaard
AM
90
1
0.09
0.03
1
0.01
3
2
Moore
LW
88
0.11
0.06
1
0.06
7
3
Chermiti
ST
90
0.17
0.02
0
0.05
1
5
Djiga
DF
2
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Miovski
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Aarons
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Matondo
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Devlin
Milanovic
11
Clarkson
Knoester
11
Knoester
Milne
10
Knoester
Gyamfi
10
Shinnie
Knoester
10
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Tavernier
Raskin
10
Diomande
Meghoma
10
Butland
Souttar
9
Butland
Fernandez
7
Raskin
Aasgaard
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 21 matches
Rangers
Against its average of 21 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
18%
13%
−5
11th
1%
2%
+1
Rangers
Title
18%
22%
+4
Falkirk
Top six
66%
70%
+4
Celtic
Title
61%
58%
−3
From the forecast before the match (11 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Rangers
Expected goals
1.04
1.70
Win
23%
52%
Expected Points
0.93
1.82
Clean sheet
18%
35%
Aberdeen 23%Draw 25%Rangers 52%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.
From the forecast as it stood on 11 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Rangers win
Aberdeen
Top six
18%
30%
20%
13%
11th
1%
1%
1%
2%
Rangers
Title
18%
11%
14%
22%
Falkirk
Top six
66%
58%
66%
70%
Celtic
Title
61%
65%
63%
58%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Rangers
Position
8th
3rd
Played
21
21
Won, drawn, lost
7–4–10
11–8–2
Points
25 (1.19 per game)
41 (1.95 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.26
1.67
Goals
20–26
32–17
xG per game
1.27–1.48
1.72–1.17
Home: points, xG per game
1.30, 1.51–1.31
2.00, 1.77–0.97
Away: points, xG per game
1.09, 1.05–1.64
1.90, 1.65–1.38
Manager
Peter Leven (0)
Danny Röhl (13)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Rangers
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−12%
−6%
+33%
−31%
Counter-attacks
+13%
+41%
+11%
−21%
Set pieces
+1%
+36%
+18%
+18%
Penalties
−37%
−37%
−6%
−6%
Headers
−30%
+30%
+34%
average
Left side
+16%
+15%
+68%
−14%
Centre
−14%
+6%
+22%
−20%
Right side
−11%
+17%
−4%
−12%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenRangers
1.27xG1.72
1.48xG against1.17
48%Possession60%
12.5Shots15.7
15.0Shots against11.0
3.9Shots on target5.7
1.8Big chances2.6
20.8Touches in the opposition box28.3
398Passes502
78%Pass accuracy84%
5.0Corners6.4
45%Field tilt65%
35.9Final-third entries51.1
10.6Box entries15.6
15.6Passes per defensive action11.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
50
1.17
1.31
Ahead
14
0.90
1.41
Behind
26
1.67
1.86
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.93
0.97
Ahead
35
1.12
1.28
Behind
14
2.62
1.48
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.11
0.19
0–2
16–30
0.15
0.19
5–3
31–45
0.25
0.21
2–4
46–60
0.20
0.35
1–5
61–75
0.24
0.23
5–4
76–90
0.32
0.32
7–8
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.20
0.10
7–1
16–30
0.28
0.19
3–3
31–45
0.30
0.11
5–4
46–60
0.21
0.22
5–1
61–75
0.33
0.22
3–5
76–90
0.40
0.33
9–3
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.