Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Rangers 1–0 Hearts

Sunday 10 November 2024, 17:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 48,254

Rangers Dessers 6'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersHearts
Goals10
xG2.170.59
Expected Points2.510.32

Rangers 78%Draw 17%Hearts 5%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Final score 1–0, 12%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+3%2%2%3%11%10%2%5%4%1%1%12%12%16%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTKasanwirjo on for Barron and Sterling on for Tavernier, 68'Danilo on for Dessers, 78'Dowell on for Cerny and McCausland on for Bajrami, 85'Dhanda on for Forrest and Baningime on for Boateng, 69'Drammeh on for Devlin, 78'Dessers 6'Rangers 2.17Hearts 0.5901230153045607590HTKasanwirjo on for Barron and Sterling on for Tavernier, 68'Danilo on for Dessers, 78'Dowell on for Cerny and McCausland on for Bajrami, 85'Dhanda on for Forrest and Baningime on for Boateng, 69'Drammeh on for Devlin, 78'Dessers 6'2.170.59RangersHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHearts

2.17 +0.31xG0.59 −0.62
1.06 −0.67xG on target0.00 −1.13
20 +4Shots4 −9
4 −1.3Shots on target0 −3.3
4 +0.9Big chances1 −1.0
35 +7Touches in the opposition box14 −13
50% −15Possession50% −6
499 −49Passes493 +36
84% 0Pass accuracy84% +7
52% −17Field tilt48% −11
45 −6Final-third entries43 0
14 −2Box entries8 −5
21.7 +12.1Passes per defensive action19.4 +7.0
9 +3.4Corners6 −0.7
20 +2Tackles20 +1
6 −3.5Interceptions9 +0.2
34 +15Clearances25 +5
0 −2.1Saves2 −0.3
8 −5Fouls9 −3
1 −0.2Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Tavernier 6', 0.20 xGDanilo 89', 0.19 xGKasanwirjo 90', 0.13 xGSouttar 37', 0.10 xGBajrami 33', 0.09 xGDessers 12', 0.08 xGCerny 32', 0.08 xGTavernier 57', 0.08 xGRaskin 73', 0.06 xGDiomande 30', 0.05 xGJefté 43', 0.05 xGRaskin 50', 0.05 xGBajrami 77', 0.05 xGKasanwirjo 82', 0.05 xGTavernier 59', 0.04 xGDessers 12', 0.03 xGCerny 83', 0.03 xGBajrami 44', 0.02 xGCerny 48', 0.02 xGDessers 6', 0.76 xG, goal35%0.76 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.76 xG, 1 goal38%0.82 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.82 xG, 0 goals12%0.26 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals15%0.32 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Vargas 46', 0.40 xGBaningime 72', 0.11 xGSpittal 90+4', 0.06 xGPenrice 2', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals86%0.51 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.51 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals14%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHearts

1.63 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.57 3 shots, 0 goals
0.27 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.27 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.02 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (6%) · Rangers 0.96, Hearts 0.02 xG
Rangers ahead
88 min (94%) · Rangers 1.21, Hearts 0.57 xG

Line-ups

12527228431810149ButlandTavernierSouttarBalogunJeftéBarronRaskinCernyDiomandeBajramiDessersYellow cardGoal68'68'85'85'78'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement152152917181416977GordonOyegokeKentRowlesPenriceForrestBoatengDevlinSpittalShanklandVargasYellow cardYellow card69'69'78'Hearts 4-4-1-1Neil Critchley

Rangers substitutes

  • 68' Sterling for Tavernier · yellow card 80'
  • 68' Kasanwirjo for Barron
  • 78' Danilo for Dessers
  • 85' McCausland for Bajrami
  • 85' Dowell for Cerny

Hearts substitutes

  • 69' Baningime for Boateng
  • 69' Dhanda for Forrest · yellow card 89'
  • 78' Drammeh for Devlin

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0321
TavernierRB6810.320.1220.1732
SouttarCB900.100.0100.081013
BalogunCB900.000.0000.01111
JeftéLB900.050.0400.151111
BarronDM680.000.0110.0033
RaskinDM900.110.0200.08710
CernyRW850.130.0730.1262
Diomande AM900.050.0330.0454
BajramiLW850.160.3530.1980
DessersST7810.870.0000.0210
Sterling DF220.000.0000.0100
KasanwirjoDF220.180.0000.0013
DaniloFW120.190.1310.0901
McCauslandMF50.000.0000.0120
DowellFW50.000.0510.0211

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0110
Oyegoke RB900.000.0300.1039
KentCB900.000.0100.0979
RowlesCB900.000.0200.09613
PenriceLB900.020.0200.06710
ForrestRM690.000.0000.0333
BoatengCM690.000.0100.0342
Devlin CM780.000.010−0.0506
SpittalLM900.060.0310.0144
ShanklandAM900.000.1910.0564
VargasST900.400.0600.1151
BaningimeMF210.110.0100.0103
Dhanda MF210.000.0000.0230
DrammehFW120.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Butland and Raskin: 5 passesTavernier and Diomande: 5 passesSouttar and Jefté: 5 passesCerny and Diomande: 5 passesButland and Balogun: 6 passesBarron and Cerny: 6 passesBarron and Bajrami: 6 passesRaskin and Cerny: 7 passesJefté and Raskin: 9 passesTavernier and Raskin: 10 passesButland and Souttar: 11 passesRaskin and Barron: 11 passesDiomande and Bajrami: 11 passesTavernier and Cerny: 12 passesRaskin and Diomande: 12 passesBalogun and Raskin: 13 passesJefté and Diomande: 13 passesTavernier and Barron: 16 passesSouttar and Barron: 18 passesJefté and Bajrami: 21 passesSouttar and Raskin: 22 passesTavernier and Souttar: 26 passesBalogun and Jefté: 27 passesBalogun and Souttar: 54 passesButland: 16 completed passesTavernier: 37 completed passesBalogun: 53 completed passesSouttar: 72 completed passesJefté: 48 completed passesRaskin: 50 completed passesBarron: 30 completed passesCerny: 15 completed passesDiomande: 27 completed passesBajrami: 27 completed passesDessers: 4 completed passes12275224381810149ButlandTavernierBalogunSouttarJeftéRaskinBarronCernyDiomandeBajramiDessersStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Hearts

Gordon and Kent: 6 passesPenrice and Shankland: 6 passesPenrice and Vargas: 6 passesDevlin and Spittal: 6 passesOyegoke and Forrest: 7 passesOyegoke and Spittal: 7 passesOyegoke and Shankland: 7 passesSpittal and Shankland: 7 passesBoateng and Spittal: 8 passesOyegoke and Devlin: 9 passesRowles and Spittal: 9 passesForrest and Shankland: 9 passesBoateng and Shankland: 9 passesOyegoke and Boateng: 10 passesKent and Boateng: 10 passesPenrice and Boateng: 11 passesKent and Devlin: 12 passesRowles and Boateng: 14 passesOyegoke and Kent: 16 passesRowles and Devlin: 16 passesPenrice and Devlin: 17 passesPenrice and Spittal: 18 passesDevlin and Boateng: 20 passesRowles and Kent: 23 passesRowles and Penrice: 25 passesGordon: 13 completed passesOyegoke: 34 completed passesRowles: 53 completed passesKent: 40 completed passesPenrice: 46 completed passesForrest: 12 completed passesDevlin: 50 completed passesBoateng: 47 completed passesSpittal: 27 completed passesShankland: 26 completed passesVargas: 10 completed passes151522917141816977GordonOyegokeRowlesKentPenriceForrestDevlinBoatengSpittalShanklandVargasStarters until 69' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarBalogun31
BalogunSouttar25
SouttarTavernier15
JeftéBajrami14
BalogunJefté14

Hearts

FromToPasses
RowlesPenrice18
KentRowles17
PenriceSpittal14
DevlinPenrice13
PenriceRowles12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

2−1.315+10.819+6.26−1.33−3.05−0.97+2.92−2.66−1.111+2.25+0.25+0.74+2.54+0.98+1.81−5.25+2.02−0.82−0.950.02−1.11−1.20−1.93+0.82−1.90−1.11+0.61+0.10−0.33+2.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Hearts

2−2.212+6.212−0.510+3.52−3.511+4.214+7.95−1.011+4.79+2.96+0.46+2.43+0.35−1.09+2.21−3.83−0.23−0.15+1.85+1.26+3.70−1.80−0.81+0.21−0.80−0.70−0.40−0.91+0.81−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.030.020.040.010.010.010.040.030.010.040.06−0.010.020.030.060.040.110.02−0.020.010.050.010.190.20LessMore

Hearts

0.010.030.010.020.020.020.020.020.040.020.040.070.020.020.040.020.010.020.06−0.05−0.010.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRangers1.96 → 1.97Hearts1.32 → 1.29Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.91 → 0.89Hearts1.32 → 1.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title3%3%0
Hearts
Top six34%30%−4
11th6%7%+1
Bottom4%5%+1
St. Mirren
Top six34%35%+1
11th8%9%+1
Bottom5%5%0
Dundee United
Top six63%64%+1
11th3%3%0
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (10 November 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersHearts
Expected goals2.300.79
Win71%11%
Expected Points2.310.51
Clean sheet45%10%

Rangers 71%Draw 18%Hearts 11%

Most likely score 2–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%3%4%1%7%3%5%4%2%2%2%1%1%10%9%12%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 November 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawHearts win
Rangers
Title3%3%1%1%
Hearts
Top six34%30%38%49%
11th6%7%4%4%
Bottom4%5%3%3%
St. Mirren
Top six34%35%33%29%
11th8%9%9%8%
Bottom5%5%4%5%
Dundee United
Top six63%64%62%59%
11th3%3%4%4%
Bottom1%1%2%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. L1–230 OctAberdeen (A)xG 1.92–2.78
  2. W2–127 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.29–0.63
  3. L0–120 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 1.14–0.63
  4. W2–06 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.57–0.36
  5. W1–029 SepHibernian (H)xG 1.78–2.16
  6. W1–015 SepDundee United (A)xG 0.99–0.31

Hearts

  1. W2–12 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.44–1.39
  2. L1–230 OctKilmarnock (H)xG 1.11–1.73
  3. D1–127 OctHibernian (A)xG 1.17–1.97
  4. W4–019 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.73–0.24
  5. L2–36 OctAberdeen (A)xG 2.02–0.69
  6. D1–128 SepRoss County (H)xG 1.94–0.84

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersHearts
Position3rd11th
Played1012
Won, drawn, lost6–⁠1–⁠32–⁠3–⁠7
Points19 (1.90 per game)9 (0.75 per game)
Expected Points per game1.821.26
Goals15–⁠814–⁠19
xG per game1.86–⁠1.071.21–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game3.00, 2.54–⁠0.821.00, 1.35–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game0.80, 1.19–⁠1.320.57, 1.12–⁠1.74
ManagerPhilippe Clement (40)Neil Critchley (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRangers1.96, 2ndHearts1.32, 4thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.91, 2ndHearts1.32, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovRangers attack: 1.96Hearts attack: 1.321.961.32HeartsRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovRangers defence: 0.91Hearts defence: 1.321.320.91

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+52%−38%−13%−18%
Counter-attacks+127%−29%−27%−4%
Set pieces+19%−2%+27%+31%
Penalties−100%+18%−100%+48%
Headers+48%−33%−6%+44%
Left side+29%+3%+24%−1%
Centre+60%−41%−12%−5%
Right side+42%−27%−9%+1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+29%+1%Centre+60%−5%Right side+42%−1%Open play+52%−18%Counter-attacks+127%−4%Set pieces+19%+31%Headers+48%+44%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+24%−27%Centre−12%−41%Right side−9%+3%Open play−13%−38%Counter-attacks−27%−29%Set pieces+27%−2%Headers−6%−33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHearts

1.86xG1.21
1.07xG against1.42
65%Possession56%
15.5Shots13.2
11.3Shots against12.0
5.3Shots on target3.3
3.1Big chances2.0
28.0Touches in the opposition box27.4
548Passes457
84%Pass accuracy77%
5.6Corners6.7
69%Field tilt58%
51.1Final-third entries42.8
15.7Box entries12.8
9.6Passes per defensive action12.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level402.020.99
Ahead371.900.87
Behind121.261.90

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.041.77
Ahead121.131.15
Behind321.471.02

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.440.173–0
16–300.280.092–3
31–450.160.353–2
46–600.310.132–0
61–750.340.244–2
76–900.330.071–1

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.211–2
16–300.120.202–2
31–450.160.352–4
46–600.110.251–3
61–750.150.233–4
76–900.430.185–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 10Tavernier 9Kasanwirjo 1Souttar 9Propper 7Balogun 3Davies 1Jefte 7Yilmaz 2Kasanwirjo 1Barron 7Sterling 2McCausland 1Diomande 6Raskin 3Cerny 6Lawrence 2Cortés 1Lawrence 4Barron 2Bajrami 2McCausland 2Bajrami 2Matondo 2Dessers 8Igamane 24-2-3-1 in 8 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-3-3 (2)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 10Clark 2Oyegoke 4Taylor 4Forrester 2Kent 9Halkett 3Rowles 10Kingsley 2Penrice 7Kingsley 2Spittal 1Devlin 5Baningime 4Penrice 1Boateng 8Grant 3Spittal 1Dhanda 3Vargas 3Forrest 2Grant 3Shankland 2Vargas 2Spittal 5Forrest 2Vargas 2Shankland 10Vargas 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 August 2024Hearts0–0RangersxG 1.32–0.75
18 May 2024Hearts3–3RangersxG 2.06–1.99
24 February 2024Rangers5–0HeartsxG 1.47–0.60
6 December 2023Hearts0–1RangersxG 1.03–2.53
29 October 2023Rangers2–1HeartsxG 4.03–0.24
24 May 2023Rangers2–2HeartsxG 2.85–1.17

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 9, Hearts won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 32–8 and xG 2.43–0.84 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dessers8693310.620.02
Cerny7551410.230.38
Lawrence7574320.360.16
Tavernier9839020.080.31

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland121,041130.320.17
Vargas10763200.270.08
Spittal8719220.100.23
Dhanda6541010.080.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.