Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Hearts 3–3 Rangers

Saturday 18 May 2024, 12:30 · Tynecastle Park · Round 38 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 18,131

Hearts Shankland 33', Lembikisa 82', Tagawa 90+5'

Rangers McCausland 52', Cantwell 69', Silva 79'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsRangers
Goals33
xG2.061.99
Expected Points1.431.32

Hearts 39%Draw 25%Rangers 36%

Most likely score 2–2, 11%. Final score 3–3, 5%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+2%2%2%3%8%5%2%3%6%3%2%6%7%5%2%2%3%2%8%9%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTFraser on for McKay, 63'Boyce on for Oda and Lembikisa on for Devlin, 75'Tagawa on for Vargas, 86'Silva on for Wright, Yilmaz on for Fraser, and Dowell on for Diomande, 60'Sima on for Dessers and Sterling on for Davies, 72'Shankland 33'Lembikisa 82'Tagawa 90+5'McCausland 52'Cantwell 69'Silva 79'Hearts 2.06Rangers 1.9901230153045607590HTFraser on for McKay, 63'Boyce on for Oda and Lembikisa on for Devlin, 75'Tagawa on for Vargas, 86'Silva on for Wright, Yilmaz on for Fraser, and Dowell on for Diomande, 60'Sima on for Dessers and Sterling on for Davies, 72'Shankland 33'Lembikisa 82'Tagawa 90+5'McCausland 52'Cantwell 69'Silva 79'2.061.99HeartsRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsRangers

2.06 +0.69xG1.99 −0.41
1.08 −0.36xG on target1.89 −0.50
13 0Shots22 0
4 −0.5Shots on target10 +2.5
2 +0.5Big chances1 −2.6
32 +6Touches in the opposition box40 +4
46% −9Possession54% −9
377 −83Passes432 −99
77% +1Pass accuracy82% 0
42% −12Field tilt58% −12
40 −2Final-third entries45 −14
12 −1Box entries21 +2
14.2 0Passes per defensive action10.4 0
2 −4.5Corners6 −1.7
19 +4Tackles24 +9
5 −1.1Interceptions5 −1.8
10 −11Clearances20 +5
7 +4.2Saves1 −1.1
10 0Fouls11 0
0 −1.1Offsides3 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Vargas 78', 0.46 xGShankland 30', 0.21 xGTagawa 90+4', 0.21 xGKent 33', 0.12 xGVargas 41', 0.08 xGShankland 55', 0.07 xGOda 8', 0.05 xGOda 43', 0.05 xGVargas 73', 0.04 xGLembikisa 81', 0.03 xGShankland 33', 0.51 xG, goalLembikisa 82', 0.12 xG, goalTagawa 90+5', 0.12 xG, goal22%0.46 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.46 xG, 0 goals66%1.36 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.36 xG, 3 goals8%0.16 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals4%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Dessers 20', 0.50 xGWright 26', 0.21 xGRaskin 47', 0.13 xGSilva 64', 0.12 xGDessers 59', 0.09 xGCantwell 71', 0.09 xGDessers 58', 0.08 xGCantwell 64', 0.07 xGRaskin 37', 0.06 xGDessers 11', 0.05 xGWright 10', 0.04 xGTavernier 19', 0.04 xGDiomande 27', 0.03 xGWright 41', 0.03 xGDowell 67', 0.03 xGSima 76', 0.03 xGDowell 90+2', 0.03 xGKing 19', 0.02 xGDiomande 2', 0.01 xGSilva 79', 0.20 xG, goalCantwell 69', 0.11 xG, goalMcCausland 52', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals69%1.37 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.37 xG, 2 goals8%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals24%0.47 xGEdge of the box: 11 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsRangers

0.94 8 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.81 19 shots, 3 goals
0.59 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.54 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.18 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
51 min (53%) · Hearts 0.96, Rangers 1.39 xG
Hearts ahead
19 min (20%) · Hearts 0.13, Rangers 0.27 xG
Rangers ahead
26 min (27%) · Hearts 0.98, Rangers 0.34 xG

Line-ups

283215196141177189ClarkKingsleyKentRowlesCochraneBaningimeDevlinOdaVargasMcKayShanklandYellow cardGoal75'75'86'63'Hearts 4-2-3-1Steven Naismith1238264742434513239ButlandTavernierKingDaviesFraserDiomandeRaskinMcCauslandCantwellWrightDessersGoalGoal72'60'60'60'72'Rangers 4-2-3-1Philippe Clement

Hearts substitutes

  • 63' Fraser for McKay
  • 75' Lembikisa for Devlin · goal 82'
  • 75' Boyce for Oda
  • 86' Tagawa for Vargas · goal 90+5'

Rangers substitutes

  • 60' Yilmaz for Fraser
  • 60' Silva for Wright · goal 79'
  • 60' Dowell for Diomande · yellow card 63', 1 assist
  • 72' Sterling for Davies
  • 72' Sima for Dessers

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0100.0422
KingsleyRB900.000.0400.0764
KentCB9010.120.6520.1387
Rowles CB900.000.3120.2748
CochraneLB900.000.0510.0754
BaningimeDM900.000.0400.0563
DevlinDM750.000.0510.0245
OdaRW7510.100.1410.0751
VargasAM8610.570.0910.2321
McKayLW630.000.3510.0031
ShanklandST9010.790.0430.1451
FraserMF270.000.0200.0751
LembikisaDF1510.150.2210.1810
BoyceFW150.000.010−0.0200
TagawaFW410.330.0000.0001

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0232
TavernierRB900.040.0500.17138
KingCB900.020.0100.0455
DaviesCB720.000.0000.0645
FraserLB600.000.1430.1067
DiomandeDM600.040.0510.0643
RaskinDM900.190.0100.06910
McCauslandRW9010.050.4130.1642
CantwellAM9010.260.1020.1461
WrightLW600.280.2720.12100
DessersST7210.710.1740.1040
YilmazDF300.000.0400.1133
SilvaFW3010.320.0100.0532
Dowell FW3010.060.0110.0853
SterlingDF180.000.0000.0001
SimaMF180.030.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Kent and Cochrane: 4 passesKent and McKay: 4 passesBaningime and Oda: 4 passesKingsley and Devlin: 5 passesKent and Baningime: 5 passesKent and Oda: 5 passesKent and Shankland: 5 passesCochrane and Devlin: 5 passesCochrane and McKay: 5 passesDevlin and Shankland: 5 passesMcKay and Shankland: 5 passesKent and Devlin: 6 passesDevlin and Oda: 6 passesOda and Shankland: 6 passesKingsley and Baningime: 7 passesKingsley and Oda: 7 passesKingsley and Shankland: 7 passesClark and Kent: 8 passesRowles and Kent: 8 passesRowles and Devlin: 8 passesRowles and McKay: 9 passesDevlin and Baningime: 10 passesRowles and Cochrane: 11 passesClark and Rowles: 13 passesKingsley and Kent: 15 passesClark: 18 completed passesKingsley: 29 completed passesRowles: 26 completed passesKent: 30 completed passesCochrane: 20 completed passesDevlin: 25 completed passesBaningime: 20 completed passesOda: 12 completed passesVargas: 1 completed passesMcKay: 16 completed passesShankland: 11 completed passes283152191461177189ClarkKingsleyRowlesKentCochraneDevlinBaningimeOdaVargasMcKayShanklandStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Rangers

Butland and King: 5 passesTavernier and Wright: 5 passesRaskin and Wright: 6 passesDiomande and Dessers: 6 passesTavernier and Raskin: 7 passesTavernier and McCausland: 7 passesDavies and Wright: 7 passesRaskin and Diomande: 7 passesMcCausland and Cantwell: 7 passesTavernier and Cantwell: 8 passesDavies and Diomande: 8 passesFraser and Raskin: 8 passesTavernier and King: 9 passesKing and Raskin: 9 passesRaskin and Cantwell: 10 passesDiomande and Cantwell: 10 passesTavernier and Diomande: 11 passesFraser and Wright: 11 passesFraser and Cantwell: 12 passesButland and Davies: 14 passesDavies and Fraser: 14 passesCantwell and Wright: 16 passesDavies and King: 17 passesButland: 21 completed passesTavernier: 26 completed passesDavies: 38 completed passesKing: 23 completed passesFraser: 34 completed passesRaskin: 28 completed passesDiomande: 27 completed passesMcCausland: 11 completed passesCantwell: 31 completed passesWright: 25 completed passesDessers: 4 completed passes1226384743424513239ButlandTavernierDaviesKingFraserRaskinDiomandeMcCauslandCantwellWrightDessersStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
ClarkRowles14
KentKingsley11
KingsleyKent10
KingsleyShankland8
RowlesCochrane8

Rangers

FromToPasses
WrightCantwell11
CantwellRaskin9
DaviesKing9
KingTavernier9
TavernierMcCausland9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

6−1.511+4.65+0.65−2.67+1.58+3.64−2.67+0.54−1.35+0.22−2.610+4.84−1.68+4.32−1.54+1.33−0.27+2.82+0.10−1.61−0.11−0.11−1.00−0.80−0.60−0.71+0.41+0.30−5.210−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Rangers

3−0.34−0.312+3.312+7.78+4.19+3.09+4.24−0.22−4.93−4.76−0.75−0.13−0.39+2.815+8.78+3.04−0.11−2.05+1.09+4.02−0.71−1.61−0.72−0.21−1.62+1.33+2.30−0.81+0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.020.010.020.050.010.020.010.010.050.020.010.040.050.050.060.010.010.040.100.040.180.040.260.22LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.020.030.040.050.020.010.090.070.030.030.080.090.060.030.06−0.060.060.110.120.120.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackHearts1.38 → 1.41Rangers2.16 → 2.14Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.23 → 1.24Rangers0.81 → 0.84

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsRangers
Expected goals1.001.82
Win20%56%
Expected Points0.841.92
Clean sheet16%37%

Hearts 20%Draw 24%Rangers 56%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Rangers goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%5%6%3%1%3%5%5%3%1%1%2%2%1%10%10%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

  1. D2–215 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.83–1.72
  2. W3–011 MayDundee FC (H)xG 2.41–1.03
  3. L0–34 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.43–2.78
  4. D0–027 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.95–0.89
  5. W4–213 AprLivingston (H)xG 3.81–0.97
  6. W2–16 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.37–0.89

Rangers

  1. W5–214 MayDundee FC (H)xG 3.29–1.19
  2. L1–211 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.81
  3. W4–15 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 4.90–0.39
  4. W2–128 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.74–0.85
  5. D0–017 AprDundee FC (A)xG 1.06–0.51
  6. L2–314 AprRoss County (A)xG 3.57–2.91

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsRangers
Position3rd2nd
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost20–⁠7–⁠1027–⁠3–⁠7
Points67 (1.81 per game)84 (2.27 per game)
Expected Points per game1.382.28
Goals51–⁠3984–⁠29
xG per game1.37–⁠1.442.40–⁠0.77
Home: points, xG per game1.94, 1.62–⁠1.352.42, 2.69–⁠0.71
Away: points, xG per game1.68, 1.14–⁠1.542.11, 2.10–⁠0.84
ManagerSteven Naismith (33)Philippe Clement (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.32AttackHearts1.38, 3rdRangers2.16, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.23, 3rdRangers0.81, 2nd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts attack: 1.38Rangers attack: 2.162.161.38RangersHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts defence: 1.23Rangers defence: 0.811.230.81

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+1%average+84%−50%
Counter-attacks−10%−37%+37%−1%
Set pieces−17%+19%+29%−43%
Penalties+23%+9%+118%−45%
Headers−25%+19%+50%−60%
Left side+5%−18%+69%−34%
Centre−17%+8%+62%−48%
Right side+10%+13%+70%−48%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+5%−48%Centre−17%−48%Right side+10%−34%Open play+1%−50%Counter-attacks−10%−1%Set pieces−17%−43%Headers−25%−60%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+69%+13%Centre+62%+8%Right side+70%−18%Open play+84%averageCounter-attacks+37%−37%Set pieces+29%+19%Headers+50%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsRangers

1.37xG2.40
1.44xG against0.77
55%Possession63%
13.4Shots21.6
13.5Shots against8.1
4.5Shots on target7.5
1.5Big chances3.6
26.0Touches in the opposition box35.5
460Passes531
76%Pass accuracy81%
6.5Corners7.7
54%Field tilt70%
41.7Final-third entries58.9
13.3Box entries19.0
14.2Passes per defensive action10.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.381.30
Ahead261.211.60
Behind201.591.57

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level282.050.94
Ahead432.490.56
Behind192.731.00

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.234–6
16–300.180.227–7
31–450.260.228–5
46–600.220.269–6
61–750.320.1612–8
76–900.270.3511–7

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.240.128–7
16–300.410.1113–2
31–450.430.1518–10
46–600.350.178–4
61–750.400.0914–4
76–900.570.1323–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 34Gordon 3Kingsley 22Sibbick 8Atkinson 7Kent 34Halkett 4Rowles 30Oda 8Lembikisa 7Atkinson 7Nieuwen… 21NieuwenhofDevlin 14Oda 1Baningi… 24BaningimeFraser 4Vargas 3Grant 15Denholm 7Lowry 7Cochrane 20Forrest 7Vargas 3Shankland 33Cochrane 9Vargas 9Forrest 73-5-2 in 20 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (20), 4-2-3-1 (15), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 37Tavernier 37Goldson 30King 1Souttar 24Balogun 13Davies 6Barisic 18Yilmaz 16Sterling 3Raskin 10Diomande 9Cifuentes 6Lundstram 29Cantwell 5Jack 4McCausland 13Wright 6Sterling 5Cantwell 17Lawrence 6Lammers 6Sima 15Silva 8Matondo 5Dessers 26Silva 4Danilo 44-2-3-1 in 29 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (29), 4-3-3 (6), 4-3-1-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 February 2024Rangers5–0HeartsxG 1.47–0.60
6 December 2023Hearts0–1RangersxG 1.03–2.53
29 October 2023Rangers2–1HeartsxG 4.03–0.24
24 May 2023Rangers2–2HeartsxG 2.85–1.17
1 February 2023Hearts0–3RangersxG 0.86–3.07
9 November 2022Rangers1–0HeartsxG 1.82–0.50

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 0, Rangers won 9, and 2 were drawn. Goals 5–29 and xG 0.68–2.62 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland353,1702340.460.19
Boyce7650130.350.19
Grant151,373440.370.16
Forrest201,934450.270.10

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo5529410.980.09
Dessers262,2141630.740.11
Tavernier373,32117100.440.34
Sima171,6031120.440.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.