Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Rangers 0–2 Hearts

Saturday 13 September 2025, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 5 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 50,697

Hearts Shankland 21', 82'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersHearts
Goals02
xG1.112.37
Non-penalty xG1.111.58
Expected Points0.492.32

Rangers 10%Draw 20%Hearts 71%

Most likely score 1–2, 16%. Final score 0–2, 11%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%11%8%3%7%4%4%10%6%2%1%3%2%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTCornelius on for Djiga and Antman on for Moore, 46'Rothwell on for Barron, 56'Chermiti on for Meghoma, 67'Bajrami on for Rothwell, 77'Steinwender on for McEntee, 62'Magnússon on for Kyziridis and Kabangu on for Braga, 77'McCart on for Kingsley, 78'Spittal on for Shankland, 90+3'Shankland 21'Shankland 82'Hearts 2.37Rangers 1.1101230153045607590HTCornelius on for Djiga and Antman on for Moore, 46'Rothwell on for Barron, 56'Chermiti on for Meghoma, 67'Bajrami on for Rothwell, 77'Steinwender on for McEntee, 62'Magnússon on for Kyziridis and Kabangu on for Braga, 77'McCart on for Kingsley, 78'Spittal on for Shankland, 90+3'Shankland 21'Shankland 82'2.371.11RangersHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersHearts

1.11 −0.02xG2.37 +0.74
1.11Non-penalty xG1.58
1.45 +0.20xG on target2.19 +0.11
14 +1Shots12 −4
6 +2.0Shots on target5 −0.8
2 +0.8Big chances3 +0.5
18 −12Touches in the opposition box24 −8
66% +4Possession34% −23
543 −11Passes273 −172
86% 0Pass accuracy68% −10
56% −12Field tilt44% −26
56 0Final-third entries30 −18
9 −8Box entries11 −3
11.6 −0.1Passes per defensive action13.0 +4.6
9 +0.8Corners2 −5.5
10 −7Tackles19 −2
12 +4.5Interceptions12 +2.0
22 +4Clearances35 +14
2 −0.8Saves5 +3.8
13 0Fouls9 −6
1 −0.2Offsides1 −0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Miovski 44', 0.37 xGGassama 19', 0.20 xGAasgaard 58', 0.16 xGAntman 58', 0.06 xGDiomande 66', 0.06 xGCornelius 62', 0.05 xGAasgaard 90+2', 0.05 xGDiomande 29', 0.04 xGTavernier 57', 0.03 xGGassama 61', 0.03 xGMeghoma 19', 0.02 xGAasgaard 37', 0.02 xGGassama 45+2', 0.02 xGGassama 90+7', 0.01 xG34%0.37 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.37 xG, 0 goals47%0.52 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.52 xG, 0 goals8%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals10%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Magnússon 90+8', 0.19 xGHalkett 3', 0.18 xGFindlay 27', 0.11 xGKyziridis 53', 0.08 xGDevlin 85', 0.03 xGShankland 5', 0.02 xGMilne 16', 0.02 xGDevlin 42', 0.02 xGKyziridis 52', 0.02 xGShankland 82', 0.77 xG, goalShankland 21', 0.13 xG, goal49%0.77 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.77 xG, 1 goal18%0.28 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals26%0.41 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.41 xG, 1 goal8%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersHearts

0.95 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.17 5 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.33 2 shots, 1 goal
0.12 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.08 4 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
21 min (21%) · Rangers 0.22, Hearts 0.36 xG
Hearts ahead
79 min (79%) · Rangers 0.88, Hearts 2.01 xG

Line-ups

122453081023114728ButlandTavernierDjigaSouttarMeghomaBarronDiomandeGassamaAasgaardMooreMiovskiYellow cardYellow card46'67'56'46'Rangers 4-2-3-1Russell Martin253141931861410989SchwolowMcEnteeHalkettFindlayKingsleyMilneBaningimeDevlinBragaShanklandKyziridisYellow cardGoalGoal62'78'77'90+3'77'Hearts 4-3-3Derek McInnes

Rangers substitutes

  • 46' Cornelius for Djiga
  • 46' Antman for Moore
  • 56' Rothwell for Barron · off 77'
  • 67' Chermiti for Meghoma
  • 77' Bajrami for Rothwell

Hearts substitutes

  • 62' Steinwender for McEntee
  • 77' Magnússon for Kyziridis
  • 77' Kabangu for Braga
  • 78' McCart for Kingsley
  • 90+3' Spittal for Shankland

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0221
Tavernier RB900.030.2030.15115
DjigaCB460.000.0000.0318
Souttar CB900.000.0200.151510
MeghomaLB670.020.0110.0543
BarronDM560.000.0310.0825
DiomandeDM900.090.023−0.0212
GassamaRW900.270.0400.0736
AasgaardAM900.220.031−0.0115
MooreLW460.000.0100.0320
MiovskiST900.370.0100.0010
CorneliusDF440.050.0100.0532
AntmanFW440.060.0610.0520
RothwellMF210.000.0000.0432
ChermitiFW230.000.000−0.0100
BajramiFW130.000.0200.0200

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0332
McEnteeRB620.000.0310.0328
HalkettCB900.180.021−0.04214
Findlay CB900.110.0110.0445
KingsleyLB780.000.0100.0104
MilneCM900.020.0810.07610
BaningimeCM900.000.0210.0126
DevlinCM900.050.2110.09413
BragaRW7710.000.063−0.0420
ShanklandST9021.710.0700.1223
KyziridisLW770.110.1300.1761
SteinwenderDF280.000.0000.0111
MagnússonMF130.190.0000.0221
KabanguFW130.000.1210.0740
McCartDF120.000.0000.0003
SpittalMF00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Tavernier and Diomande: 5 passesDjiga and Meghoma: 5 passesDjiga and Diomande: 5 passesSouttar and Barron: 5 passesMeghoma and Aasgaard: 5 passesBarron and Aasgaard: 5 passesDjiga and Barron: 6 passesSouttar and Aasgaard: 7 passesMeghoma and Diomande: 7 passesBarron and Gassama: 7 passesButland and Souttar: 9 passesSouttar and Moore: 9 passesMeghoma and Moore: 9 passesTavernier and Souttar: 11 passesTavernier and Gassama: 11 passesTavernier and Barron: 12 passesTavernier and Aasgaard: 12 passesButland and Djiga: 13 passesSouttar and Meghoma: 17 passesTavernier and Djiga: 20 passesDjiga and Souttar: 27 passesButland: 21 completed passesTavernier: 40 completed passesDjiga: 44 completed passesSouttar: 45 completed passesMeghoma: 32 completed passesBarron: 23 completed passesDiomande: 16 completed passesGassama: 14 completed passesAasgaard: 20 completed passesMoore: 8 completed passesMiovski: 4 completed passes122453081023114728ButlandTavernierDjigaSouttarMeghomaBarronDiomandeGassamaAasgaardMooreMiovskiStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Hearts

Findlay and Halkett: 3 passesFindlay and Kingsley: 3 passesFindlay and Devlin: 3 passesFindlay and Shankland: 3 passesHalkett and Milne: 3 passesBaningime and Kyziridis: 3 passesMilne and Braga: 3 passesHalkett and Devlin: 4 passesKingsley and Devlin: 4 passesMcEntee and Milne: 5 passesMilne and Shankland: 5 passesDevlin and Braga: 6 passesDevlin and Shankland: 6 passesDevlin and Kyziridis: 6 passesMilne and Kyziridis: 6 passesBraga and Shankland: 6 passesBraga and Kyziridis: 6 passesShankland and Kyziridis: 7 passesDevlin and Baningime: 10 passesKingsley and Kyziridis: 11 passesSchwolow: 3 completed passesMcEntee: 9 completed passesFindlay: 13 completed passesHalkett: 8 completed passesKingsley: 9 completed passesDevlin: 24 completed passesBaningime: 16 completed passesMilne: 14 completed passesBraga: 10 completed passesShankland: 13 completed passesKyziridis: 20 completed passes253119431461810989SchwolowMcEnteeFindlayHalkettKingsleyDevlinBaningimeMilneBragaShanklandKyziridisStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarTavernier18
DjigaSouttar14
CorneliusSouttar14
MeghomaSouttar13
SouttarDjiga13

Hearts

FromToPasses
BaningimeDevlin8
KingsleyKyziridis8
KyziridisKingsley7
MilneShankland7
DevlinKyziridis7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

7+3.214+9.213+3.25−0.56+3.812+6.55−0.23−2.55−2.84−3.81−2.08+4.25−0.85+0.85−2.83−0.26+2.51−1.21−2.21−2.21−3.00−0.81−0.51−1.030.01+0.21+0.21−0.20−0.51−0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Hearts

11+8.58+3.817+8.55+1.01−1.012+5.28+1.89+3.85−2.58+3.04−6.04−1.87+3.519+14.55−1.26−0.52−2.02−2.05−0.85−1.24+1.020.01−1.23+1.83−0.21−0.50−0.22+2.00−0.81−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 4 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.020.040.010.030.010.020.020.020.030.020.03−0.020.030.02−0.03−0.010.080.070.070.060.060.060.06LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.020.030.010.010.020.020.020.010.010.04−0.010.010.080.030.02−0.030.010.040.060.04−0.060.050.15LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackRangers1.87 → 1.81Hearts1.46 → 1.49Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.99 → 1.02Hearts1.20 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title3%2%−1
Top six>99%99%−1
Hearts
Title<1%1%+1
Top six93%97%+4

From the forecast before the match (13 September 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersHearts
Expected goals1.950.94
Win60%17%
Expected Points2.040.74
Clean sheet39%14%

Rangers 60%Draw 23%Hearts 17%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 53%.

Hearts goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+6%5%2%5%2%5%1%7%6%3%1%3%3%1%1%1%10%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 13 September 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawHearts win
Rangers
Title3%4%2%2%
Top six>99%>99%99%99%
Hearts
Title<1%<1%<1%1%
Top six93%92%94%97%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D0–031 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.15–0.19
  2. D1–124 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.56–1.01
  3. D1–19 AugDundee FC (H)xG 1.97–0.34
  4. D1–12 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.83–2.15
  5. D2–217 MayHibernian (A)xG 2.62–1.29
  6. W3–114 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.69–0.78

Hearts

  1. W2–130 AugLivingston (A)xG 1.42–0.50
  2. D3–323 AugMotherwell (H)xG 2.21–1.52
  3. W3–210 AugDundee United (A)xG 1.87–0.71
  4. W2–04 AugAberdeen (H)xG 1.03–1.40
  5. W1–018 MayKilmarnock (A)xG 0.68–1.07
  6. W2–114 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.79–0.94

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersHearts
Position7th2nd
Played44
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠4–⁠03–⁠1–⁠0
Points4 (1.00 per game)10 (2.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.501.83
Goals3–⁠310–⁠6
xG per game1.13–⁠0.921.63–⁠1.03
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.06–⁠0.272.00, 1.62–⁠1.46
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 1.20–⁠1.583.00, 1.65–⁠0.60
ManagerRussell Martin (4)Derek McInnes (4)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackRangers1.87, 2ndHearts1.46, 4thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.99, 2ndHearts1.20, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.01 Aug31 AugRangers attack: 1.87Hearts attack: 1.461.871.46HeartsRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.01 Aug31 AugRangers defence: 0.99Hearts defence: 1.201.200.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+23%−29%+16%+6%
Counter-attacks−7%+37%+37%−73%
Set pieces−18%−15%+26%−10%
Penalties+96%−75%+90%−62%
Headers+7%−9%+54%−37%
Left side+3%+40%+44%−19%
Centre+15%−42%+14%−17%
Right side−3%−29%+16%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdHearts concededLeft side+3%+26%Centre+15%−17%Right side−3%−19%Open play+23%+6%Counter-attacks−7%−73%Set pieces−18%−10%Headers+7%−37%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdRangers concededLeft side+44%−29%Centre+14%−42%Right side+16%+40%Open play+16%−29%Counter-attacks+37%+37%Set pieces+26%−15%Headers+54%−9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersHearts

1.13xG1.63
0.92xG against1.03
62%Possession57%
13.0Shots15.5
10.5Shots against9.8
4.0Shots on target5.8
1.2Big chances2.5
29.8Touches in the opposition box32.2
554Passes445
85%Pass accuracy78%
8.2Corners7.5
68%Field tilt70%
56.2Final-third entries47.7
16.5Box entries14.2
11.7Passes per defensive action8.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.780.61
Ahead180.472.52
Behind212.530.29

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.850.46
Ahead201.001.79
Behind251.771.43

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.011–0
16–300.120.210–0
31–450.270.120–1
46–600.140.250–1
61–750.080.180–0
76–900.370.152–1

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.091–0
16–300.310.121–3
31–450.180.140–1
46–600.160.202–1
61–750.190.223–1
76–900.660.273–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 4Tavernier 2Aarons 2Djiga 3Fernandez 1Souttar 4Meghoma 2Aarons 1Jefte 1Diomande 3Barron 1Rothwell 2Raskin 2Antman 2Gassama 1Dowell 1Cameron 2Aasgaard 1Rothwell 1Gassama 3Moore 1Aasgaard 1Miovski 1Dessers 14-2-3-1 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-3-3 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 4Kent 3Steinwender 1Halkett 4Findlay 3Shankland 1Braga 1McEntee 1Forrest 1McEntee 2Borchgrev… 1BorchgrevinkDevlin 4Milne 1Baningime 1Spittal 3Milne 3Forrest 1Shankland 3Findlay 1Braga 2McEntee 1Wilson 13-5-2 in 3 of 4 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 February 2025Hearts1–3RangersxG 2.61–1.58
10 November 2024Rangers1–0HeartsxG 2.17–0.59
3 August 2024Hearts0–0RangersxG 1.32–0.75
18 May 2024Hearts3–3RangersxG 2.06–1.99
24 February 2024Rangers5–0HeartsxG 1.47–0.60
6 December 2023Hearts0–1RangersxG 1.03–2.53

15 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 11, Hearts won 0, and 4 were drawn. Goals 36–9 and xG 2.35–0.94 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo91,011540.780.17
Dessers252,2491820.710.03
Tavernier323,015680.170.23
Bajrami151,463210.170.15

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabangu111,007610.490.09
Shankland332,933990.280.15
Wilson161,352520.260.14
Forrest141,290410.230.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.