Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 0–3 Hearts

Saturday 31 January 2026, 20:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 24 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 11,627

Dundee United Fatah sent off 24' · Camará sent off 75'

Hearts Kaboré 11', 81', Kyziridis 29' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Goals	0	3
xG	0.18	4.39
Non-penalty xG	0.18	3.60
Expected Points	0.01	2.99

Dundee United <1%Draw 1%Hearts 99%

Most likely score 0–4, 21%. Final score 0–3, 16%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.18 −1.09xG4.39 +2.72

0.18Non-penalty xG3.60

0.10 −1.24xG on target4.00 +2.05

3 −10Shots22 +8

2 −2.5Shots on target12 +6.9

1 −0.9Big chances8 +5.4

9 −16Touches in the opposition box43 +15

30% −11Possession70% +17

205 −108Passes480 +54

55% −14Pass accuracy83% +7

22% −15Field tilt78% +19

23 −8Final-third entries49 +7

8 −4Box entries26 +13

16.5 +3Passes per defensive action8.2 −4

0 −4.6Corners6 +0.4

21 +4Tackles13 −5

6 −4.3Interceptions5 −3.8

35 −1Clearances34 +2

8 +4.5Saves2 −0.3

12 −1Fouls11 0

3 +1.2Offsides0 −1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsOpen play2.98 14 shots, 2 goals

0.17 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 2 shots, 0 goals

0.01 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.51 5 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–10–20–3

Level: 11 min (11%) · Dundee United 0.00, Hearts 0.81 xG
Hearts ahead: 86 min (89%) · Dundee United 0.18, Hearts 3.58 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

30' Farrugia for Keresztes · yellow card 61'
46' Sapsford for Trapanovski
59' Camará for Sibbald · red card 75'
69' Stirton for Möller

Hearts substitutes

73' McCart for Milne
73' Steinwender for Altena
73' Kerjota for Braga
82' Ageu for Magnússon
82' Mato for Kyziridis

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Maynard-Brewer	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.06	7	2
Cleall-Harding	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	1	8
Graham	CB	90	0.01	0.00	0	0.02	1	11
Keresztes	CB	30	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	2
Strain	RWB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	13
Stephenson	CM	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	3	10
Sibbald	CM	59	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	4
Ferry	LWB	90	0.00	0.04	1	0.11	8	7
Fatah	RW	24	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Möller	ST	69	0.00	0.01	1	0.00	0	2
Trapanovski	LW	46	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	2	1
Farrugia	MF	60	0.00	0.01	0	0.04	0	3
Sapsford	FW	44	0.17	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Camará	MF	16	0.00	0.08	1	0.08	2	0
Stirton	FW	21	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Schwolow	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	0
Altena	RB	73			0.00	0.26	2	0.20	11	1
Halkett	CB	90			0.09	0.01	0	0.03	4	14
Findlay	CB	90			0.03	0.00	0	0.05	3	10
Milne	LB	73		1	0.14	0.47	1	0.50	14	1
McEntee	RM	90			0.09	0.35	3	0.24	7	6
Leonard	CM	90			0.00	0.87	3	0.22	7	8
Magnússon	CM	82			0.22	0.01	0	0.08	3	3
Kyziridis	LM	82	1		0.92	0.18	2	0.28	17	1
Braga	AM	73			0.27	0.04	2	0.08	3	0
Kaboré	ST	90	2		1.86	0.05	0	0.09	6	1
McCart	DF	17			0.00	0.15	2	0.18	1	3
Steinwender	DF	17			0.42	0.01	0	0.01	1	2
Kerjota	FW	17			0.16	0.03	0	0.05	3	0
Ageu	MF	8			0.19	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Mato	FW	8			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Maynard-Brewer	Möller	7
Stephenson	Ferry	5
Cleall-Harding	Graham	4
Sibbald	Ferry	4
Ferry	Trapanovski	4

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Leonard	Halkett	13
Findlay	Milne	12
Altena	Leonard	12
Halkett	Leonard	11
Leonard	Kyziridis	11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 22 matches

Hearts

Against its average of 23 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	6%	4%	−2
11th	2%	3%	+1
Hearts
Title	27%	34%	+7
Celtic
Title	40%	36%	−4
Rangers
Title	33%	30%	−3

From the forecast before the match (31 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Expected goals	1.09	1.50
Win	27%	46%
Expected Points	1.08	1.66
Clean sheet	22%	34%

Dundee United 27%Draw 27%Hearts 46%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 31 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Hearts win
Dundee United
Top six	6%	11%	5%	4%
11th	2%	1%	2%	3%
Hearts
Title	27%	18%	23%	34%
Celtic
Title	40%	45%	42%	36%
Rangers
Title	33%	36%	34%	30%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Position	8th	1st
Played	22	23
Won, drawn, lost	5–⁠10–⁠7	15–⁠6–⁠2
Points	25 (1.14 per game)	51 (2.22 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.08	1.79
Goals	28–⁠34	44–⁠19
xG per game	1.27–⁠1.74	1.67–⁠1.00
Home: points, xG per game	1.18, 1.36–⁠1.98	2.33, 1.78–⁠1.02
Away: points, xG per game	1.09, 1.17–⁠1.49	2.09, 1.54–⁠0.97
Manager	Jim Goodwin (72)	Derek McInnes (23)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−30%	+42%	+16%	−17%
Counter-attacks	+43%	−20%	+9%	−50%
Set pieces	+15%	+4%	+40%	−23%
Penalties	−7%	+24%	−11%	−100%
Headers	−23%	+12%	+30%	−1%
Left side	+13%	+24%	+21%	−29%
Centre	−24%	+29%	+36%	−28%
Right side	+1%	+14%	−10%	−3%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHearts concededLeft side+13%−3%Centre−24%−28%Right side+1%−29%Open play−30%−17%Counter-attacks+43%−50%Set pieces+15%−23%Headers−23%−1%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee United concededLeft side+21%+14%Centre+36%+29%Right side−10%+24%Open play+16%+42%Counter-attacks+9%−20%Set pieces+40%+4%Headers+30%+12%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHearts

1.27xG1.67

1.74xG against1.00

41%Possession53%

13.0Shots14.3

16.5Shots against9.8

4.5Shots on target5.1

1.9Big chances2.6

24.8Touches in the opposition box27.9

313Passes426

69%Pass accuracy76%

4.6Corners5.6

37%Field tilt60%

31.1Final-third entries41.6

11.7Box entries12.8

13.9Passes per defensive action11.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	47	1.26	1.58
Ahead	18	1.18	2.35
Behind	25	1.34	1.60

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	41	1.43	0.82
Ahead	35	1.81	1.25
Behind	14	1.99	0.88

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.18	0.19	3–2
16–30	0.13	0.27	3–10
31–45	0.20	0.37	7–6
46–60	0.26	0.26	4–5
61–75	0.26	0.32	6–5
76–90	0.23	0.33	5–6

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.20	0.13	3–3
16–30	0.20	0.09	7–4
31–45	0.30	0.17	7–4
46–60	0.33	0.13	10–3
61–75	0.17	0.19	7–2
76–90	0.47	0.28	10–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-3 (11), 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Hearts

Formations: 4-4-2 (11), 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
9 November 2025	Hearts	1–1	Dundee United	xG 0.45–0.34
10 August 2025	Dundee United	2–3	Hearts	xG 0.71–1.87
6 April 2025	Hearts	0–1	Dundee United	xG 1.21–0.82
5 January 2025	Dundee United	0–1	Hearts	xG 0.66–0.85
1 September 2024	Hearts	0–1	Dundee United	xG 0.63–1.26
4 February 2023	Hearts	3–1	Dundee United	xG 1.01–1.22

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, Hearts won 7, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–26 and xG 0.97–1.48 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Watters	7	519	1	1	0.50	0.10
Sapsford	22	1,787	6	1	0.33	0.09
Dolcek	10	866	5	1	0.27	0.13
Fatah	14	1,261	4	3	0.20	0.13

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kaboré	6	494	2	1	0.57	0.12
Braga	20	1,675	10	2	0.51	0.13
Kyziridis	19	1,684	3	6	0.20	0.35
Shankland	21	1,834	11	2	0.40	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.