Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 1–3 Dundee United

Tuesday 30 December 2025, 19:45 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 20 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 2,657

Livingston McLennan 90+1'

Dundee United Sapsford 33', McGowan 86' (og), Fatah 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee United
Goals13
xG0.453.25
Expected Points0.102.84

Livingston 1%Draw 6%Dundee United 93%

Most likely score 0–3, 17%. Final score 1–3, 8%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+1%6%8%4%3%6%8%6%4%2%1%2%1%13%17%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTSusoho on for Sylla and Yengi on for May, 59'McLennan on for Smith, 60'Muirhead on for Bokila, 64'Brenet on for Pittman, 70'Eskesen on for Naamo, 70'Watters on for Stirton and Fatah on for Sapsford, 75'Dolcek on for Trapanovski, 82'McLennan 90+1'Sapsford 33'McGowan 86' (og)Fatah 90'Dundee United 3.25Livingston 0.45012340153045607590HTSusoho on for Sylla and Yengi on for May, 59'McLennan on for Smith, 60'Muirhead on for Bokila, 64'Brenet on for Pittman, 70'Eskesen on for Naamo, 70'Watters on for Stirton and Fatah on for Sapsford, 75'Dolcek on for Trapanovski, 82'McLennan 90+1'Sapsford 33'McGowan 86' (og)Fatah 90'3.250.45LivingstonDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee United

0.45 −0.60xG3.25 +2.05
0.53 −0.53xG on target1.54 +0.17
10 +0.2Shots21 +8.4
6 +2.6Shots on target8 +3.5
0 −1.4Big chances5 +3.2
19 0Touches in the opposition box50 +27
56% +10Possession44% +3
440 +71Passes335 +21
73% −2Pass accuracy69% 0
54% +13Field tilt46% +9
43 +9Final-third entries36 +5
9 +0.7Box entries20 +8.6
10.7 −2Passes per defensive action10.6 −3
2 −2.9Corners7 +2.6
15 −3Tackles20 +3
5 −3.4Interceptions14 +3.3
40 +6Clearances39 +2
5 +2.5Saves5 +1.6
11 −4Fouls11 −3
1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.9

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Muirhead 74', 0.09 xGMcLennan 74', 0.07 xGMcLennan 68', 0.05 xGBokila 24', 0.04 xGPittman 39', 0.04 xGMuirhead 74', 0.03 xGTait 88', 0.03 xGMuirhead 81', 0.02 xGMontano 1', 0.01 xGMcLennan 90+1', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals11%0.05 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals41%0.19 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.19 xG, 1 goal43%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Sapsford 48', 0.77 xGDolcek 90+4', 0.31 xGStirton 29', 0.26 xGNaamo 13', 0.24 xGSapsford 3', 0.19 xGCleall-Harding 55', 0.17 xGSapsford 61', 0.15 xGNaamo 11', 0.13 xGEsselink 41', 0.11 xGStirton 35', 0.10 xGNaamo 44', 0.10 xGStephenson 21', 0.08 xGCleall-Harding 4', 0.05 xGSapsford 47', 0.05 xGSibbald 55', 0.05 xGTrapanovski 50', 0.04 xGSapsford 11', 0.03 xGStirton 24', 0.03 xGSapsford 42', 0.03 xGSapsford 33', 0.23 xG, goalFatah 90', 0.14 xG, goal53%1.74 xGSix-yard box: 6 shots, 1.74 xG, 1 goal30%0.98 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.98 xG, 0 goals9%0.29 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal6%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals1%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee United

0.45 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.34 11 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.01 3 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.89 7 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
33 min (35%) · Livingston 0.06, Dundee United 1.22 xG
Dundee United ahead
61 min (65%) · Livingston 0.40, Dundee United 2.03 xG

Line-ups

28195272682524151817PriorFinlaysonMcGowanWilsonMontanoPittmanTaitSyllaSmithBokilaMayYellow cardOwn goalYellow card70'59'60'64'59'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale2537323222114119347RichardsCleall-HardingEsselinkKeresztesNaamoStephensonSibbaldFerrySapsfordStirtonTrapanovskiGoal70'75'75'82'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' Susoho for Sylla · yellow card 84'
  • 59' Yengi for May
  • 60' McLennan for Smith · yellow card 79', goal 90+1'
  • 64' Muirhead for Bokila
  • 70' Brenet for Pittman

Dundee United substitutes

  • 70' Eskesen for Naamo
  • 75' Fatah for Sapsford · goal 90'
  • 75' Watters for Stirton
  • 82' Dolcek for Trapanovski

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0563
Finlayson RB900.000.0510.1077
McGowanCB900.000.0000.02513
WilsonCB900.000.0100.0659
MontanoLB9010.010.0320.21811
PittmanCM700.040.010−0.0121
Tait CM900.030.0100.0122
SyllaCM590.000.0100.0028
SmithRW600.000.0410.0730
BokilaST640.040.0310.0412
MayLW590.000.0310.0646
Susoho MF310.000.0100.0111
YengiFW310.000.0100.0010
McLennan MF3010.190.051−0.0511
MuirheadFW260.140.1010.1321
BrenetDF200.000.0000.0010

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RichardsGK900.000.0000.0110
Cleall-HardingCB900.210.0200.07616
EsselinkCB900.110.070−0.12116
KeresztesCB900.000.4200.36813
NaamoRWB700.460.1210.1075
StephensonCM900.080.0320.0847
SibbaldCM900.050.0100.0267
FerryLWB900.001.8360.81141
SapsfordRW7511.460.062−0.0173
StirtonST750.390.011−0.0201
TrapanovskiLW820.040.0620.0732
EskesenMF200.000.0000.0101
FatahFW1510.140.4510.3741
WattersFW150.000.0200.0212
DolcekFW80.310.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Finlayson: 4 passesPrior and Pittman: 4 passesWilson and Sylla: 4 passesMontano and Tait: 4 passesSylla and Pittman: 4 passesSylla and Tait: 5 passesTait and May: 5 passesSmith and Pittman: 5 passesSmith and May: 5 passesPittman and Bokila: 5 passesFinlayson and McGowan: 6 passesFinlayson and Sylla: 6 passesMcGowan and Sylla: 6 passesWilson and May: 6 passesMontano and Bokila: 6 passesSylla and Smith: 6 passesSmith and Bokila: 6 passesMay and Bokila: 7 passesWilson and Montano: 8 passesFinlayson and Smith: 9 passesMcGowan and Wilson: 10 passesPrior and Wilson: 11 passesFinlayson and Pittman: 11 passesMontano and May: 12 passesPrior and McGowan: 13 passesPrior: 21 completed passesFinlayson: 23 completed passesMcGowan: 26 completed passesWilson: 21 completed passesMontano: 19 completed passesSylla: 18 completed passesTait: 15 completed passesSmith: 20 completed passesPittman: 18 completed passesMay: 21 completed passesBokila: 13 completed passes28195272624251581718PriorFinlaysonMcGowanWilsonMontanoSyllaTaitSmithPittmanMayBokilaStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Keresztes and Sibbald: 4 passesKeresztes and Stirton: 4 passesStephenson and Stirton: 4 passesSibbald and Sapsford: 4 passesEsselink and Stephenson: 5 passesCleall-Harding and Stephenson: 5 passesCleall-Harding and Sapsford: 5 passesNaamo and Stephenson: 5 passesFerry and Sapsford: 5 passesFerry and Stirton: 5 passesSapsford and Stirton: 5 passesStirton and Trapanovski: 5 passesRichards and Esselink: 6 passesKeresztes and Trapanovski: 6 passesEsselink and Ferry: 6 passesEsselink and Sibbald: 6 passesCleall-Harding and Sibbald: 6 passesStephenson and Sibbald: 6 passesCleall-Harding and Naamo: 7 passesFerry and Sibbald: 8 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 8 passesNaamo and Sapsford: 9 passesEsselink and Cleall-Harding: 12 passesKeresztes and Ferry: 13 passesKeresztes and Esselink: 18 passesRichards: 7 completed passesKeresztes: 31 completed passesEsselink: 31 completed passesCleall-Harding: 24 completed passesNaamo: 18 completed passesFerry: 32 completed passesStephenson: 18 completed passesSibbald: 25 completed passesSapsford: 12 completed passesStirton: 12 completed passesTrapanovski: 10 completed passes2523337221121149347RichardsKeresztesEsselinkCleall-HardingNaamoFerryStephensonSibbaldSapsfordStirtonTrapanovskiStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
WilsonPrior11
WilsonMcGowan11
McGowanPrior11
MontanoWilson10
MontanoMay8

Dundee United

FromToPasses
EsselinkKeresztes11
KeresztesFerry7
Cleall-HardingEsselink7
KeresztesEsselink7
FerryKeresztes7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

5−0.79+2.218+1.111+3.89+3.85−2.45−3.14−3.213+4.89+0.86+1.37+2.23−0.65−1.33−0.85+0.65+2.33−1.15+0.80−2.50−1.72+0.61−1.03+0.21−0.40−0.42+1.21+0.42+0.71−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

Dundee United

5−0.37−1.218+0.43−4.96+0.68+1.26−2.815+7.66−2.22−5.57+1.69+4.310+5.47+0.67+0.73−0.57+3.03−0.22−2.53−0.71−1.45+3.42+1.10−2.20−1.90−0.61+0.62+1.31+0.61−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.030.010.010.020.020.020.020.010.040.020.030.020.030.050.040.060.040.040.020.080.02−0.08−0.050.20LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.040.030.060.020.030.200.010.020.010.040.06−0.010.10−0.04−0.110.260.340.300.33LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackLivingston0.98 → 0.96Dundee United1.11 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.70 → 1.76Dundee United1.51 → 1.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th24%20%−4
Bottom59%69%+10
Dundee United
Top six16%24%+8
11th5%2%−3
Bottom1%<1%−1
Dundee FC
11th35%38%+3
Bottom21%16%−5
Kilmarnock
11th29%32%+3
Bottom18%14%−4

From the forecast before the match (30 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee United
Expected goals1.321.28
Win37%35%
Expected Points1.391.34
Clean sheet28%27%

Livingston 37%Draw 28%Dundee United 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%3%9%8%3%1%6%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee United win
Livingston
11th24%27%24%20%
Bottom59%49%60%69%
Dundee United
Top six16%9%14%24%
11th5%8%4%2%
Bottom1%2%1%<1%
Dundee FC
11th35%32%36%38%
Bottom21%26%19%16%
Kilmarnock
11th29%27%29%32%
Bottom18%21%18%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L2–427 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.09–3.83
  2. L0–120 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.24–2.23
  3. D2–213 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.89–0.46
  4. L0–36 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.67–2.41
  5. L0–130 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.99–0.76
  6. L1–222 NovRangers (A)xG 1.37–1.39

Dundee United

  1. D1–127 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.80–1.10
  2. D1–120 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.82–1.26
  3. W2–117 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.45–3.20
  4. D0–013 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.49–0.68
  5. L0–26 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.01–1.24
  6. D2–23 DecRangers (H)xG 1.38–4.79

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee United
Position12th8th
Played1819
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠6–⁠114–⁠10–⁠5
Points9 (0.50 per game)22 (1.16 per game)
Expected Points per game0.931.04
Goals19–⁠3625–⁠28
xG per game1.05–⁠1.851.20–⁠1.72
Home: points, xG per game0.62, 1.27–⁠1.571.30, 1.35–⁠2.00
Away: points, xG per game0.40, 0.88–⁠2.071.00, 1.04–⁠1.42
ManagerDavid Martindale (155)Jim Goodwin (69)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackLivingston0.98, 11thDundee United1.11, 8thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.70, 12thDundee United1.51, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 0.98Dundee United attack: 1.111.110.98Dundee UnitedLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.70Dundee United defence: 1.511.701.51

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−27%+25%−35%+39%
Counter-attacks−59%−15%+20%−18%
Set pieces−38%+33%+14%+8%
Penalties+67%+133%−5%+26%
Headers−41%+5%−22%+21%
Left side−40%+30%+8%+19%
Centre−36%+13%−31%+30%
Right side−25%+34%−3%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−40%+15%Centre−36%+30%Right side−25%+19%Open play−27%+39%Counter-attacks−59%−18%Set pieces−38%+8%Headers−41%+21%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side+8%+34%Centre−31%+13%Right side−3%+30%Open play−35%+25%Counter-attacks+20%−15%Set pieces+14%+33%Headers−22%+5%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee United

1.05xG1.20
1.85xG against1.72
46%Possession41%
9.8Shots12.6
13.6Shots against16.5
3.4Shots on target4.5
1.4Big chances1.8
19.5Touches in the opposition box23.4
369Passes314
74%Pass accuracy70%
4.9Corners4.4
41%Field tilt36%
33.8Final-third entries31.3
8.3Box entries11.4
13.2Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.841.95
Ahead81.422.43
Behind361.231.59

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.221.59
Ahead180.842.64
Behind241.411.32

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.312–6
16–300.170.254–4
31–450.200.313–5
46–600.110.370–7
61–750.230.204–4
76–900.240.396–10

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.193–2
16–300.120.263–9
31–450.190.396–4
46–600.230.264–5
61–750.270.286–3
76–900.240.353–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 18Finlayson 9Brenet 5Lawal 3McGowan 7Finlayson 7Sylla 2Wilson 17Blaney 3Montgomery 8Montano 7May 1Tait 11Pittman 8Sylla 9Susoho 7Carey 1Smith 11Pittman 1May 1Pittman 8Tait 3Sylla 2May 6Yengi 4Winter 3Bokila 7Yengi 5Muirhead 44-2-3-1 in 10 of 18 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-3-3 (6), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKucherenko 12Richards 7Iovu 15Sevelj 1Stephenson 1Esselink 16Graham 5Keresztes 17Stephenson 10Strain 5Sevelj 1Sevelj 14Sibbald 12Camara 8Stephenson 3Ferry 16Keresztes 1Naamo 1Dolcek 7Sapsford 4Fatah 3Sapsford 10Watters 4Möller 4Fatah 10Sapsford 5Dolcek 23-4-3 in 9 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-5-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 October 2025Dundee United1–1LivingstonxG 2.14–1.29
20 May 2023Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.06–1.17
22 April 2023Dundee United2–0LivingstonxG 0.72–0.51
8 March 2023Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.17–1.04
7 August 2022Dundee United0–1LivingstonxG 0.51–0.90
2 March 2022Livingston2–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.16–0.93

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 6, Dundee United won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 13–11 and xG 1.26–1.06 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead6584110.450.18
Yengi9854200.340.08
Bokila8755500.350.02
May11926020.120.21

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dolcek10847510.240.13
Sapsford191,544510.280.06
Fatah131,123330.200.08
Möller5644020.200.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.