Matches › 2025/26

Dundee United 2–3 Hearts

Sunday 10 August 2025, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 2 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 10,874

Dundee United Dolcek 22', 41'

Hearts Shankland 19' (pen), Findlay 58', 90+4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Goals	2	3
xG	0.71	1.87
Non-penalty xG	0.71	1.08
Expected Points	0.51	2.28

Dundee United 10%Draw 22%Hearts 69%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Final score 2–3, 2%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.71 −0.48xG1.87 +0.84

0.71Non-penalty xG1.08

0.83 −0.50xG on target3.60 +3.02

13 +2Shots16 +3

5 0.0Shots on target8 +5.0

0 −3.0Big chances2 0.0

13 −10Touches in the opposition box40 +14

28% −20Possession72% +24

214 −166Passes543 +170

75% −4Pass accuracy87% +14

13% −30Field tilt87% +30

15 −27Final-third entries73 +43

5 −11Box entries18 +8

20.5 −2.0Passes per defensive action6.1 −1.8

2 −2.0Corners9 +6.0

21 0Tackles20 −2

7 +5.0Interceptions3 −12.0

52 +14Clearances30 +8

4 +2.0Saves3 +2.0

14 +1Fouls11 −8

0 −2.0Offsides1 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Hearts

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHearts

0.33 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.59 9 shots, 0 goals

0.38 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.49 6 shots, 2 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–12–12–2

Level: 74 min (76%) · Dundee United 0.48, Hearts 1.64 xG
Dundee United ahead: 19 min (20%) · Dundee United 0.09, Hearts 0.23 xG
Hearts ahead: 4 min (4%) · Dundee United 0.13, Hearts 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

66' Fatah for Sapsford
66' Fotheringham for Camará

Hearts substitutes

46' Steinwender for Kent
46' Kyziridis for Forrest · yellow card 90+2', 1 assist
63' Kerjota for Spittal
77' Kingsley for Milne
84' Wilson for Braga

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kucherenko	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
Iovu	CB	90			0.00	0.03	2	−0.03	2	16
Esselink	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	7
Keresztes	CB	90			0.07	0.04	4	−0.01	6	13
Thomson	RWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	2	12
Sevelj	CM	90			0.06	0.01	0	0.01	3	10
Camará	CM	66		1	0.00	0.06	2	0.04	1	1
Sibbald	CM	90			0.06	0.05	0	0.07	3	5
Dolcek	LWB	90	2		0.40	0.07	1	0.00	0	9
Stirton	ST	90			0.05	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Sapsford	ST	66			0.07	0.00	0	0.03	1	3
Fatah	FW	24			0.00	0.02	2	0.05	1	1
Fotheringham	FW	24			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Kent	CB	46			0.14	0.05	0	0.22	3	6
Halkett	CB	90			0.00	0.03	1	0.17	12	7
Findlay	CB	90	2		0.31	0.07	1	0.23	7	8
Forrest	RWB	46			0.00	0.14	1	0.04	4	4
McEntee	CM	90			0.05	0.06	0	0.01	0	7
Devlin	CM	90			0.00	0.09	2	0.16	5	6
Spittal	CM	63			0.00	0.08	1	0.09	7	0
Milne	LWB	77		1	0.00	0.14	4	0.07	15	7
Shankland	ST	90	1		0.88	0.06	1	0.00	0	1
Braga	ST	84			0.41	0.03	1	0.04	3	1
Steinwender	DF	44			0.00	0.01	0	0.09	8	5
Kyziridis	MF	44		1	0.04	0.10	1	0.04	6	1
Kerjota	FW	27			0.04	0.13	1	0.09	4	1
Kingsley	DF	13			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	3
Wilson	FW	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Hearts

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Kucherenko	Esselink	9
Esselink	Sibbald	8
Keresztes	Camará	6
Esselink	Kucherenko	6
Camará	Sibbald	5

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Findlay	Halkett	29
Halkett	Findlay	25
Findlay	Milne	24
Milne	Spittal	20
Halkett	Steinwender	15

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 1 match

Hearts

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Hearts

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	28%	21%	−7
11th	12%	14%	+2
Bottom	5%	7%	+2
Hearts
Top six	81%	86%	+5
11th	1%	1%	0

From the forecast before the match (10 August 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Expected goals	1.25	1.33
Win	34%	38%
Expected Points	1.31	1.42
Clean sheet	26%	28%

Dundee United 34%Draw 28%Hearts 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 10 August 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Hearts win
Dundee United
Top six	28%	37%	27%	21%
11th	12%	9%	12%	14%
Bottom	5%	3%	6%	7%
Hearts
Top six	81%	75%	80%	86%
11th	1%	1%	1%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Hearts

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Hearts
Position	7th	3rd
Played	1	1
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠1–⁠0	1–⁠0–⁠0
Points	1 (1.00 per game)	3 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.79	1.02
Goals	2–⁠2	2–⁠0
xG per game	1.19–⁠2.02	1.03–⁠1.40
Home: points, xG per game	–⁠	3.00, 1.03–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.19–⁠2.02	–⁠
Manager	Jim Goodwin (51)	Derek McInnes (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Hearts
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−10%	+10%	−2%	−5%
Counter-attacks	+73%	−15%	−16%	−32%
Set pieces	−8%	+40%	+6%	+8%
Penalties	−6%	+9%	−84%	−6%
Headers	+31%	+32%	+9%	−4%
Left side	−5%	−8%	+17%	−19%
Centre	+11%	+38%	−6%	+12%
Right side	−41%	+7%	−4%	−19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHearts concededLeft side−5%−19%Centre+11%+12%Right side−41%−19%Open play−10%−5%Counter-attacks+73%−32%Set pieces−8%+8%Headers+31%−4%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee United concededLeft side+17%+7%Centre−6%+38%Right side−4%−8%Open play−2%+10%Counter-attacks−16%−15%Set pieces+6%+40%Headers+9%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHearts

1.19xG1.03

2.02xG against1.40

48%Possession48%

11.0Shots13.0

14.0Shots against11.0

5.0Shots on target3.0

3.0Big chances2.0

23.0Touches in the opposition box26.0

380Passes373

78%Pass accuracy73%

4.0Corners3.0

44%Field tilt57%

42.0Final-third entries30.0

16.0Box entries10.0

22.5Passes per defensive action7.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	78	1.25	1.19
Ahead	12	0.83	7.42
Behind	0	–	–

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	11	0.98	0.41
Ahead	79	1.04	1.54
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.00	0.01	0–0
16–30	0.32	0.59	0–0
31–45	0.30	0.42	1–0
46–60	0.07	0.32	0–1
61–75	0.42	0.52	1–1
76–90	0.09	0.15	0–0

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.20	0.05	1–0
16–30	0.23	0.16	0–0
31–45	0.22	0.00	0–0
46–60	0.10	0.48	0–0
61–75	0.22	0.09	1–0
76–90	0.06	0.62	0–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Hearts

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
6 April 2025	Hearts	0–1	Dundee United	xG 1.21–0.82
5 January 2025	Dundee United	0–1	Hearts	xG 0.66–0.85
1 September 2024	Hearts	0–1	Dundee United	xG 0.63–1.26
4 February 2023	Hearts	3–1	Dundee United	xG 1.01–1.22
24 December 2022	Dundee United	2–2	Hearts	xG 0.79–1.72
14 August 2022	Hearts	4–1	Dundee United	xG 1.80–1.21

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, Hearts won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 12–22 and xG 1.06–1.54 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Thomson	5	507	1	0	0.24	0.06
Fotheringham	7	655	0	0	0.10	0.02
Sevelj	33	2,993	2	3	0.06	0.05
Sibbald	13	1,231	1	1	0.04	0.03

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	30	2,663	8	8	0.28	0.15
Wilson	15	1,300	5	2	0.27	0.15
Forrest	12	1,162	4	1	0.26	0.10
Spittal	30	2,462	4	3	0.09	0.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.