Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
AberdeenDundee United
1.10 −0.27xG0.80 −0.42
1.26 +0.10xG on target0.61 −0.80
13 0Shots13 0
6 +1.9Shots on target3 −1.6
2 +0.1Big chances2 +0.2
29 +8Touches in the opposition box21 −3
72% +24Possession28% −14
567 +169Passes218 −101
83% +5Pass accuracy60% −10
82% +36Field tilt18% −19
62 +26Final-third entries25 −7
16 +6Box entries4 −8
13.2 −2Passes per defensive action13.6 0
9 +4.2Corners5 +0.7
6 −10Tackles17 0
2 −4.3Interceptions12 +1.3
24 −9Clearances59 +24
2 −0.8Saves5 +1.7
8 −6Fouls18 +4
1 −0.8Offsides0 −2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
30'60'
0–00–11–1
0'HTFT
Level
62 min (66%) · Aberdeen 0.37, Dundee United 0.70 xG
Dundee United ahead
32 min (34%) · Aberdeen 0.73, Dundee United 0.10 xG
Line-ups
Aberdeen substitutes
56'Bilalovic for Polvara
56'Lazetic for Keskinen
82'Kjartansson for Nisbet
82'Milanovic for Aouchiche
Dundee United substitutes
65'Dolcek for Watters
73'Möller for Sapsford · yellow card 84'
84'Trapanovski for Fatah
Players
Aberdeen
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.10
4
1
Milne
CB
90
0.00
0.11
0
0.22
12
10
Knoester
CB
90
0.09
0.03
0
0.21
4
7
Shinnie
LB
90
0.14
0.10
2
0.16
5
5
Armstrong
DM
90
0.03
0.15
1
0.16
10
2
Polvara
DM
56
0.00
0.01
2
0.04
4
3
Keskinen
RW
56
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
3
Aouchiche
AM
82
0.05
0.14
2
0.13
6
0
Karlsson
LW
90
1
0.67
0.05
0
−0.07
6
0
Nisbet
ST
82
0.04
0.02
1
0.01
1
2
Bilalovic
FW
34
0.07
0.01
0
0.01
1
2
Lazetic
FW
34
0.00
0.00
1
0.00
0
1
Kjartansson
MF
8
0.04
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Milanovic
MF
8
0.00
0.03
0
0.08
3
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Richards
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Iovu
CB
90
0.05
0.16
1
0.23
3
15
Keresztes
CB
90
0.03
0.06
1
0.05
5
18
Esselink
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
1
12
Naamo
RWB
90
0.05
0.00
0
0.02
3
4
Sibbald
CM
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.02
2
9
Sevelj
CM
90
0.04
0.01
1
0.04
7
13
Ferry
LWB
90
0.05
0.10
3
0.07
3
10
Sapsford
AM
73
0.08
0.03
1
0.06
7
1
Fatah
AM
84
1
0.26
0.00
0
0.02
2
4
Watters
ST
65
0.02
0.01
2
0.01
2
4
Dolcek
FW
25
0.16
0.00
0
−0.07
1
1
Möller
FW
17
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Trapanovski
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Aberdeen
From
To
Passes
Armstrong
Shinnie
15
Knoester
Milne
14
Shinnie
Knoester
14
Milne
Knoester
13
Milne
Armstrong
12
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Sevelj
Keresztes
6
Sevelj
Ferry
6
Iovu
Sevelj
5
Keresztes
Fatah
5
Esselink
Richards
4
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Aberdeen
Against its average of 17 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 18 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Aberdeen
Top six
53%
46%
−7
11th
<1%
1%
+1
Dundee United
Top six
13%
15%
+2
11th
4%
4%
0
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Falkirk
Top six
31%
34%
+3
11th
2%
2%
0
St. Mirren
Top six
17%
19%
+2
From the forecast before the match (27 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.69
1.05
Win
52%
23%
Expected Points
1.81
0.94
Clean sheet
35%
18%
Aberdeen 52%Draw 25%Dundee United 23%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 54%.
From the forecast as it stood on 27 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Aberdeen win
Draw
Dundee United win
Aberdeen
Top six
53%
63%
46%
39%
11th
<1%
<1%
1%
1%
Dundee United
Top six
13%
8%
15%
24%
11th
4%
5%
4%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
<1%
Falkirk
Top six
31%
30%
34%
33%
11th
2%
2%
2%
3%
St. Mirren
Top six
17%
15%
19%
18%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Position
6th
8th
Played
17
18
Won, drawn, lost
7–3–7
4–9–5
Points
24 (1.41 per game)
21 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.34
1.04
Goals
19–20
24–27
xG per game
1.37–1.49
1.22–1.76
Home: points, xG per game
1.33, 1.55–1.37
1.30, 1.35–2.00
Away: points, xG per game
1.50, 1.17–1.63
1.00, 1.07–1.46
Manager
Jimmy Thelin (55)
Jim Goodwin (68)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Aberdeen
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−6%
−4%
−34%
+39%
Counter-attacks
+24%
+42%
+26%
−14%
Set pieces
+8%
+29%
+14%
+14%
Penalties
−30%
−30%
−1%
+32%
Headers
−32%
+19%
−20%
+26%
Left side
+28%
+18%
+7%
+15%
Centre
−2%
+7%
−29%
+34%
Right side
−18%
+13%
−1%
+17%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Aberdeen attacking
Aberdeen createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+28%+17%Centre−2%+34%Right side−18%+15%Open play−6%+39%Counter-attacks+24%−14%Set pieces+8%+14%Headers−32%+26%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdAberdeen concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+7%+13%Centre−29%+7%Right side−1%+18%Open play−34%−4%Counter-attacks+26%+42%Set pieces+14%+29%Headers−20%+19%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
AberdeenDundee United
1.37xG1.22
1.49xG against1.76
48%Possession42%
13.2Shots12.6
14.1Shots against16.7
4.1Shots on target4.6
1.9Big chances1.8
20.6Touches in the opposition box23.6
398Passes319
78%Pass accuracy70%
4.8Corners4.3
45%Field tilt38%
35.7Final-third entries31.7
10.5Box entries11.8
15.5Passes per defensive action13.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Aberdeen
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
51
1.31
1.26
Ahead
18
0.90
1.41
Behind
22
1.91
2.09
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
48
1.23
1.66
Ahead
17
0.89
2.69
Behind
25
1.41
1.32
xG by period
Aberdeen
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.17
0–1
16–30
0.17
0.20
5–2
31–45
0.29
0.21
2–3
46–60
0.19
0.35
0–3
61–75
0.27
0.23
5–4
76–90
0.32
0.34
7–7
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.16
0.20
3–2
16–30
0.11
0.27
2–9
31–45
0.20
0.41
6–4
46–60
0.24
0.23
4–4
61–75
0.27
0.28
6–3
76–90
0.24
0.36
3–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts