Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hearts 0–1 Dundee United

Sunday 6 April 2025, 14:30 · Tynecastle Park · Round 32 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 18,888

Hearts Wilson sent off 38'

Dundee United Dalby 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee United
Goals01
xG1.210.82
Expected Points1.641.03

Hearts 44%Draw 33%Dundee United 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 0–1, 11%.

Dundee United goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+11%4%6%1%9%9%4%3%3%1%12%15%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTWilson (Hearts), red card 38'Devlin on for Kartum, 64'Shankland on for Grant and Nieuwenhof on for Spittal, 71'Drammeh on for Baningime, 82'Babunski on for Moult, Trapanovski on for Cleall-Harding, and Middleton on for Campbell, 59'Sibbald on for Stephenson, 76'van der Sande on for Dalby, 90+1'Dalby 67'Hearts 1.21Dundee United 0.8200.511.50153045607590HTWilson (Hearts), red card 38'Devlin on for Kartum, 64'Shankland on for Grant and Nieuwenhof on for Spittal, 71'Drammeh on for Baningime, 82'Babunski on for Moult, Trapanovski on for Cleall-Harding, and Middleton on for Campbell, 59'Sibbald on for Stephenson, 76'van der Sande on for Dalby, 90+1'Dalby 67'1.210.82HeartsDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee United

1.21 −0.15xG0.82 −0.51
1.14 −0.22xG on target1.74 +0.35
15 +2Shots7 −5
7 +2.8Shots on target3 −1.0
1 −1.3Big chances0 −2.0
29 +4Touches in the opposition box20 −3
50% −4Possession50% +6
412 −26Passes415 +91
76% 0Pass accuracy77% +8
70% +13Field tilt30% −12
43 +3Final-third entries29 −2
13 +1.2Box entries9 −0.9
17.2 +4Passes per defensive action13.8 −1
5 −1.2Corners2 −2.3
18 0Tackles13 −5
4 −4.8Interceptions9 +1.7
32 +4Clearances44 +2
2 −0.5Saves7 +4.2
14 +4Fouls13 +1
2 +0.4Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Spittal 38', 0.19 xGWilson 28', 0.17 xGWilson 36', 0.17 xGMcCart 59', 0.11 xGBaningime 33', 0.08 xGKabangu 90+2', 0.08 xGKabangu 16', 0.07 xGForrester 74', 0.07 xGShankland 90+5', 0.07 xGKabangu 18', 0.04 xGSpittal 23', 0.04 xGKabangu 26', 0.04 xGWilson 26', 0.04 xGWilson 19', 0.03 xGGrant 20', 0.03 xG9%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals46%0.56 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.56 xG, 0 goals14%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals31%0.37 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Babunski 60', 0.27 xGTrapanovski 78', 0.16 xGDalby 88', 0.13 xGDalby 25', 0.09 xGStrain 35', 0.04 xGDocherty 45', 0.03 xGDalby 67', 0.11 xG, goal16%0.13 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.13 xG, 0 goals76%0.62 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.62 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals4%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee United

0.70 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.46 3 shots, 0 goals
0.26 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 1 shot, 1 goal
0.25 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.26 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (71%) · Hearts 0.99, Dundee United 0.53 xG
Dundee United ahead
28 min (29%) · Hearts 0.22, Dundee United 0.29 xG

Line-ups

1351530292761672119GordonForresterSteinwenderMcCartPenriceKartumBaningimeSpittalGrantWilsonKabanguYellow cardSent off64'82'71'71'Hearts 4-3-1-2Neil Critchley1373116217232211199WaltonCleall-HardingGallagherAdegboyegaStrainStephensonDochertyCampbellFerryDalbyMoultYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card59'76'59'90+1'59'Dundee United 3-5-2Jim Goodwin

Hearts substitutes

  • 64' Devlin for Kartum
  • 71' Nieuwenhof for Spittal
  • 71' Shankland for Grant
  • 82' Drammeh for Baningime

Dundee United substitutes

  • 59' Babunski for Moult
  • 59' Middleton for Campbell · 1 assist
  • 59' Trapanovski for Cleall-Harding · yellow card 61'
  • 76' Sibbald for Stephenson
  • 90+1' van der Sande for Dalby

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0340
ForresterRB900.070.0710.05511
SteinwenderCB900.000.0100.1095
McCartCB900.110.1110.10311
Penrice LB900.000.2130.1049
KartumCM640.000.0310.0852
BaningimeCM820.080.0900.1267
SpittalCM710.230.2730.1670
GrantAM710.030.0820.0231
Wilson ST380.400.0110.0411
KabanguST900.220.2630.3032
DevlinMF260.000.1700.0323
NieuwenhofMF190.000.0000.0002
ShanklandFW190.070.0200.0231
DrammehFW80.000.0000.0000

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0551
Cleall-HardingCB590.000.0000.0107
GallagherCB900.000.0100.10713
Adegboyega CB900.000.0200.0949
StrainRWB900.040.0100.04510
StephensonCM760.000.0000.0025
Docherty CM900.030.011−0.0436
CampbellCM590.000.0200.0012
FerryLWB900.000.1010.10118
DalbyST9010.330.111−0.0820
Moult ST590.000.0100.0102
BabunskiMF310.270.0000.0122
MiddletonFW3110.000.2120.0942
Trapanovski FW310.160.1400.2620
SibbaldMF140.000.0400.0111
van der SandeFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Gordon and Penrice: 3 passesForrester and Baningime: 3 passesSteinwender and Kartum: 3 passesBaningime and Wilson: 3 passesGordon and Steinwender: 4 passesForrester and Grant: 4 passesBaningime and Spittal: 4 passesSpittal and Kartum: 4 passesSpittal and Wilson: 4 passesForrester and Wilson: 5 passesSteinwender and Wilson: 5 passesPenrice and Grant: 5 passesKartum and Grant: 5 passesSpittal and Kabangu: 6 passesKartum and Wilson: 6 passesMcCart and Penrice: 7 passesMcCart and Spittal: 7 passesSpittal and Grant: 7 passesForrester and Steinwender: 8 passesForrester and Kartum: 8 passesSteinwender and McCart: 11 passesPenrice and Spittal: 19 passesGordon: 9 completed passesForrester: 17 completed passesSteinwender: 20 completed passesMcCart: 16 completed passesPenrice: 20 completed passesBaningime: 8 completed passesSpittal: 25 completed passesKartum: 16 completed passesGrant: 13 completed passesKabangu: 4 completed passesWilson: 7 completed passes1351530296162771921GordonForresterSteinwenderMcCartPenriceBaningimeSpittalKartumGrantKabanguWilsonStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Adegboyega and Docherty: 4 passesFerry and Moult: 4 passesDalby and Moult: 4 passesWalton and Cleall-Harding: 5 passesGallagher and Docherty: 5 passesDocherty and Campbell: 5 passesWalton and Adegboyega: 6 passesGallagher and Strain: 6 passesCleall-Harding and Stephenson: 6 passesGallagher and Ferry: 8 passesFerry and Docherty: 9 passesWalton and Gallagher: 10 passesCleall-Harding and Strain: 10 passesGallagher and Stephenson: 11 passesStrain and Stephenson: 11 passesFerry and Dalby: 11 passesGallagher and Cleall-Harding: 13 passesFerry and Campbell: 14 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 23 passesAdegboyega and Ferry: 31 passesWalton: 20 completed passesAdegboyega: 38 completed passesGallagher: 41 completed passesCleall-Harding: 20 completed passesStrain: 20 completed passesFerry: 39 completed passesStephenson: 22 completed passesDocherty: 16 completed passesCampbell: 15 completed passesDalby: 11 completed passesMoult: 4 completed passes1163137211172322199WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherCleall-HardingStrainFerryStephensonDochertyCampbellDalbyMoultStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
PenriceSpittal16
SpittalPenrice14
McCartSteinwender13
SteinwenderForrester12
McCartPenrice10

Dundee United

FromToPasses
AdegboyegaFerry24
GallagherAdegboyega16
WaltonGallagher13
FerryDocherty12
FerryAdegboyega12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

3−1.111+5.711−2.25−1.76+1.45−2.03−3.53−3.06−1.04−3.49+3.36+1.77+3.76+0.54−3.11−3.53−0.32−0.85+1.25+0.52−0.32+0.27+5.90−1.90−2.80−0.70−0.32+1.40−0.50−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Dundee United

4−1.210+1.37−2.68+1.67+0.58+0.57−0.15−2.64−1.66+1.55+1.47+1.46+0.52−1.43+0.12−0.14+1.62−1.12−0.31−0.12+0.74+2.91−1.00−1.10−0.30−0.70−0.50−0.914−5.84−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.050.040.020.030.020.070.010.080.030.040.060.030.090.050.010.07−0.040.010.140.25LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.040.010.010.010.020.020.010.060.030.040.020.010.030.030.010.010.020.02−0.02−0.110.010.36LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.40 → 1.38Dundee United1.18 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.26 → 1.25Dundee United1.40 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hearts
Top six82%52%−30
St. Mirren
Top six11%31%+20
Motherwell
Top six7%16%+9
11th7%7%0

From the forecast before the match (6 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee United
Expected goals1.690.99
Win53%21%
Expected Points1.850.90
Clean sheet37%18%

Hearts 53%Draw 25%Dundee United 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee United goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHearts winDrawDundee United win
Hearts
Top six82%>99%70%52%
St. Mirren
Top six11%–16%31%
Motherwell
Top six7%–14%16%
11th7%7%7%7%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

  1. L0–329 MarCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.68
  2. W2–015 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.29
  3. L1–22 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.69–0.61
  4. W3–126 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.34–1.17
  5. W2–123 FebSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.18–2.02
  6. L1–316 FebRangers (H)xG 2.61–1.58

Dundee United

  1. W1–030 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.87–0.36
  2. L2–416 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.20–2.27
  3. D2–22 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.53–1.98
  4. L1–326 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.71–1.53
  5. W1–022 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.25–1.09
  6. L0–315 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.16–1.64

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee United
Position6th5th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost11–⁠6–⁠1412–⁠8–⁠11
Points39 (1.26 per game)44 (1.42 per game)
Expected Points per game1.371.28
Goals43–⁠4339–⁠40
xG per game1.36–⁠1.391.33–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game1.60, 1.47–⁠1.231.40, 1.40–⁠1.24
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.25–⁠1.551.44, 1.26–⁠1.59
ManagerNeil Critchley (22)Jim Goodwin (43)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.40, 4thDundee United1.18, 8thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.26, 4thDundee United1.40, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHearts attack: 1.40Dundee United attack: 1.181.401.18Dundee UnitedHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHearts defence: 1.26Dundee United defence: 1.401.401.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−1%−6%−11%−2%
Counter-attacks+9%−12%−12%−3%
Set pieces+9%+2%+2%−4%
Penalties−79%+27%+6%+27%
Headers−3%+15%+37%+13%
Left side+12%−7%−23%−8%
Centre+1%−1%+12%−6%
Right side−3%−9%−34%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee United concededLeft side+12%+13%Centre+1%−6%Right side−3%−8%Open play−1%−2%Counter-attacks+9%−3%Set pieces+9%−4%Headers−3%+13%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHearts concededLeft side−23%−9%Centre+12%−1%Right side−34%−7%Open play−11%−6%Counter-attacks−12%−12%Set pieces+2%+2%Headers+37%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee United

1.36xG1.33
1.39xG against1.42
54%Possession44%
12.7Shots11.7
10.9Shots against14.1
4.2Shots on target4.0
2.3Big chances2.0
24.5Touches in the opposition box23.2
438Passes324
76%Pass accuracy68%
6.2Corners4.3
57%Field tilt42%
40.0Final-third entries30.5
11.8Box entries9.9
13.6Passes per defensive action15.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.301.48
Ahead251.511.12
Behind261.301.50

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.271.26
Ahead161.401.90
Behind191.441.46

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.166–5
16–300.170.226–6
31–450.170.265–7
46–600.210.288–8
61–750.190.178–8
76–900.420.3010–9

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.143–2
16–300.190.215–8
31–450.180.265–7
46–600.190.157–3
61–750.180.284–9
76–900.440.3815–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 29Clark 2Forrester 12Oyegoke 11Taylor 6Kent 12Halkett 10Steinwender 5Rowles 20McCart 7Kingsley 2Penrice 25Kingsley 3Spittal 1Devlin 18Baningime 12Kartum 2Boateng 13Grant 8Spittal 4Drammeh 9Forrest 5Baningime 4Shankland 14Grant 5Boyce 3Spittal 18Kabangu 4Forrest 3Wilson 12Shankland 11Vargas 44-2-3-1 in 14 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (14), 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-1-2 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 31Adegboyega 20Fotheringham 3Campbell 2Gallagher 28Sevelj 1Holt 19Graham 13Strain 18Stephenson 8Adegboyega 3Sevelj 16Sibbald 7Stephenson 5Babunski 11Ferry 10Middleton 3Ferry 12Stephenson 4Docherty 3Trapanovski 10Stephenson 9Sevelj 7Middleton 11Ferry 5Moult 3Dalby 22van der Sande 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (5), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 January 2025Dundee United0–1HeartsxG 0.66–0.85
1 September 2024Hearts0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.63–1.26
4 February 2023Hearts3–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.01–1.22
24 December 2022Dundee United2–2HeartsxG 0.79–1.72
14 August 2022Hearts4–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.80–1.21
24 April 2022Dundee United2–3HeartsxG 2.07–3.00

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 6, Dundee United won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 22–11 and xG 1.57–1.08 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabangu8711610.610.07
Drammeh10879310.500.06
Vargas121,047420.360.13
Wilson141,178510.260.16

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult3533300.450.12
Dalby252,2351310.410.05
Trapanovski131,043220.280.16
Thomson5500100.240.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.