Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 3–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 29 November 2025, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 14 · Half-time 2–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 4,782

Dundee FC Gogic 29' (og), Wright 39', Westley 87'

St. Mirren Mandron 27'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Goals31
xG0.681.39
Expected Points0.811.89

Dundee FC 17%Draw 30%St. Mirren 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 17%. Final score 3–1, 1%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+12%5%2%9%10%4%1%3%4%3%1%12%17%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSamuels on for Yogane, 70'Hay on for Murray, 78'Jones on for Congreve, 79'Digby on for Dhanda, 86'Tanser on for John, 32'Idowu on for McMenamin and Ayunga on for Mandron, 65'Dijksteel on for Richardson, 75'Gogic 29' (og)Wright 39'Westley 87'Mandron 27'St. Mirren 1.39Dundee FC 0.6800.511.50153045607590HTSamuels on for Yogane, 70'Hay on for Murray, 78'Jones on for Congreve, 79'Digby on for Dhanda, 86'Tanser on for John, 32'Idowu on for McMenamin and Ayunga on for Mandron, 65'Dijksteel on for Richardson, 75'Gogic 29' (og)Wright 39'Westley 87'Mandron 27'1.390.68Dundee FCSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.68 −0.01xG1.39 +0.37
1.05 +0.34xG on target0.66 −0.23
8 +0.1Shots19 +7.8
4 +1.5Shots on target3 −0.3
0 −0.9Big chances0 −1.6
8 −4Touches in the opposition box32 +10
38% 0Possession62% +19
282 −46Passes468 +144
69% −5Pass accuracy78% +6
23% −8Field tilt77% +31
25 −1Final-third entries54 +19
5 +0.2Box entries15 +4.2
19.2 −4Passes per defensive action9.5 −10
1 −2.4Corners11 +5.3
9 −6Tackles14 +2
8 −0.8Interceptions5 −2.2
52 +17Clearances30 0
2 −2.1Saves2 −1.3
6 −3.2Fouls14 +1.8
2 +1.0Offsides1 −1.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Congreve 49', 0.22 xGWestley 13', 0.20 xGWestley 33', 0.08 xGDhanda 29', 0.05 xGMurray 53', 0.05 xGCongreve 33', 0.02 xGWestley 87', 0.05 xG, goalWright 39', 0.01 xG, goal32%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.22 xG, 0 goals29%0.20 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.20 xG, 0 goals15%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal24%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Fraser 18', 0.17 xGAyunga 71', 0.17 xGNlundulu 50', 0.11 xGNlundulu 76', 0.11 xGNlundulu 22', 0.10 xGNlundulu 8', 0.09 xGAyunga 90+2', 0.08 xGMcMenamin 26', 0.07 xGNlundulu 42', 0.07 xGGogic 90+5', 0.07 xGMcMenamin 50', 0.05 xGTanser 83', 0.05 xGFraser 19', 0.04 xGMandron 44', 0.04 xGIdowu 90+2', 0.03 xGBaccus 7', 0.02 xGRichardson 52', 0.02 xGFreckleton 74', 0.02 xGMandron 27', 0.06 xG, goal5%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals64%0.88 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.88 xG, 0 goals9%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals21%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.29 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.61 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.68 12 shots, 1 goal
0.05 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.70 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (39%) · Dundee FC 0.36, St. Mirren 0.56 xG
Dundee FC ahead
56 min (59%) · Dundee FC 0.32, St. Mirren 0.82 xG
St. Mirren ahead
2 min (2%) · Dundee FC 0.00, St. Mirren 0.00 xG

Line-ups

142237201921481715McCrackenAstleyGrahamC. RobertsonWrightCongreveWestleyDhandaHamiltonYoganeMurrayGoalGoal79'86'70'78'Dundee FC 4-5-1Steven Pressley1221321288251024914GeorgeFraserGogicFreckletonRichardsonPhillipsBaccusMcMenaminJohnMandronNlunduluOwn goalYellow cardGoalYellow card75'65'32'65'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 70' Samuels for Yogane
  • 78' Hay for Murray
  • 79' Jones for Congreve
  • 86' Digby for Dhanda · 1 assist

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 32' Tanser for John
  • 65' Idowu for McMenamin
  • 65' Ayunga for Mandron
  • 75' Dijksteel for Richardson

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0111
AstleyRB900.000.0000.0349
GrahamCB900.000.000−0.01117
C. RobertsonCB900.000.0000.01013
WrightLB9010.010.1010.26711
CongreveRM790.240.0000.0111
WestleyCM9010.330.0210.0115
DhandaCM860.050.0100.0343
HamiltonCM900.000.0000.0459
YoganeLM7010.000.3630.2272
MurrayST780.050.000−0.0103
SamuelsDF200.000.0000.0142
HayFW120.000.0000.0111
JonesMF110.000.1500.0721
DigbyMF410.000.0110.0210

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0320
FraserCB900.220.1910.21133
GogicCB900.070.0210.13911
FreckletonCB900.020.0400.0888
RichardsonRWB750.020.0100.0553
Phillips CM900.000.0310.0235
BaccusCM900.020.2510.3164
McMenaminCM650.120.2210.2775
JohnLWB320.000.0210.0110
Mandron ST6510.100.4210.3333
NlunduluST900.480.042−0.0101
TanserMF580.050.3450.1495
IdowuMF250.030.0100.0120
AyungaFW250.250.0000.0210
DijksteelMF150.000.0000.0312

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

McCracken and Astley: 3 passesMcCracken and Murray: 3 passesAstley and Congreve: 3 passesGraham and Wright: 3 passesDhanda and Hamilton: 3 passesMcCracken and Wright: 4 passesGraham and Dhanda: 4 passesYogane and Murray: 4 passesC. Robertson and Hamilton: 5 passesHamilton and Yogane: 5 passesGraham and C. Robertson: 6 passesCongreve and Dhanda: 6 passesWright and Hamilton: 8 passesMcCracken and C. Robertson: 9 passesWright and Westley: 9 passesAstley and Graham: 10 passesC. Robertson and Wright: 10 passesMcCracken and Graham: 11 passesAstley and Dhanda: 12 passesWright and Yogane: 16 passesMcCracken: 16 completed passesAstley: 19 completed passesGraham: 19 completed passesC. Robertson: 16 completed passesWright: 32 completed passesCongreve: 3 completed passesDhanda: 13 completed passesHamilton: 14 completed passesWestley: 9 completed passesYogane: 15 completed passesMurray: 7 completed passes142237202148191715McCrackenAstleyGrahamC. RobertsonWrightCongreveDhandaHamiltonWestleyYoganeMurrayStarters until 70' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Freckleton and Phillips: 3 passesFreckleton and McMenamin: 3 passesFreckleton and Nlundulu: 3 passesBaccus and Nlundulu: 3 passesMcMenamin and Nlundulu: 3 passesGeorge and Freckleton: 4 passesFraser and Phillips: 4 passesJohn and Nlundulu: 4 passesPhillips and Mandron: 4 passesGeorge and Gogic: 5 passesFraser and Richardson: 5 passesFraser and Baccus: 5 passesJohn and McMenamin: 5 passesBaccus and Mandron: 5 passesRichardson and McMenamin: 6 passesBaccus and McMenamin: 6 passesFreckleton and John: 7 passesFraser and McMenamin: 7 passesGogic and Freckleton: 9 passesFreckleton and Baccus: 9 passesJohn and Baccus: 9 passesGeorge: 6 completed passesGogic: 10 completed passesFreckleton: 24 completed passesFraser: 15 completed passesRichardson: 8 completed passesJohn: 15 completed passesBaccus: 21 completed passesPhillips: 9 completed passesMcMenamin: 14 completed passesMandron: 10 completed passesNlundulu: 6 completed passes1132122224258810914GeorgeGogicFreckletonFraserRichardsonJohnBaccusPhillipsMcMenaminMandronNlunduluStarters until 32' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
GrahamMcCracken10
WrightYogane10
WrightHamilton8
AstleyDhanda8
AstleyGraham7

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FreckletonGogic19
GogicFreckleton17
FreckletonBaccus12
GogicFraser11
BaccusMcMenamin10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

7+2.012+4.627+8.513+5.38+3.42−2.74−2.513+4.65−3.27−0.26+2.55+0.84+1.49+5.26+0.95+1.43+0.51−0.72−0.51−2.24+2.52+0.50−0.80−0.93+1.00−0.60−0.40−0.91+0.80−0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

St. Mirren

5+0.74−3.912−5.75−1.511+6.67+1.04−4.16+0.34−2.98+3.31−4.34−0.13+0.35+1.34+0.21−3.04+0.92−1.21−0.96+3.72−0.69+7.63+1.30−1.71−1.90−0.83+2.62+1.10−0.11+0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.020.010.030.020.01−0.010.080.030.040.040.01−0.030.020.34LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.030.010.050.020.030.030.020.030.010.010.020.040.080.040.100.030.060.040.080.110.03−0.020.240.52LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.00 → 1.00St. Mirren1.14 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.78 → 1.77St. Mirren1.45 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six1%2%+1
11th26%27%+1
Bottom47%37%−10
St. Mirren
Top six12%8%−4
11th12%15%+3
Bottom6%10%+4
Livingston
Top six2%2%0
11th27%24%−3
Bottom28%32%+4
Kilmarnock
Top six7%7%0
11th19%18%−1
Bottom12%14%+2

From the forecast before the match (29 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.251.34
Win34%38%
Expected Points1.291.43
Clean sheet26%29%

Dundee FC 34%Draw 28%St. Mirren 38%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

St. Mirren goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%9%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawSt. Mirren win
Dundee FC
Top six1%2%1%<1%
11th26%27%24%26%
Bottom47%37%50%55%
St. Mirren
Top six12%8%11%17%
11th12%15%11%8%
Bottom6%10%6%3%
Livingston
Top six2%2%2%2%
11th27%24%26%31%
Bottom28%32%27%27%
Kilmarnock
Top six7%7%7%7%
11th19%18%21%19%
Bottom12%14%10%10%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L0–222 NovHibernian (A)xG 0.56–2.26
  2. L0–39 NovRangers (H)xG 0.43–0.85
  3. L0–41 NovHearts (A)xG 0.10–3.43
  4. L1–225 OctFalkirk (A)xG 1.21–1.08
  5. W2–019 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.30–2.70
  6. L0–45 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–2.80

St. Mirren

  1. L0–122 NovCeltic (H)xG 1.53–0.88
  2. L0–38 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.78–1.62
  3. D2–229 OctHearts (H)xG 1.01–1.57
  4. L1–325 OctDundee United (A)xG 2.28–2.21
  5. L0–118 OctAberdeen (H)xG 0.48–2.05
  6. L0–24 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.43–2.15

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
Position11th9th
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠3–⁠82–⁠4–⁠6
Points9 (0.69 per game)10 (0.83 per game)
Expected Points per game0.681.06
Goals9–⁠248–⁠16
xG per game0.69–⁠1.771.02–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 0.92–⁠1.610.86, 0.98–⁠1.26
Away: points, xG per game0.29, 0.49–⁠1.910.80, 1.07–⁠1.78
ManagerSteven Pressley (13)Stephen Robinson (83)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee FC1.00, 12thSt. Mirren1.14, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.78, 12thSt. Mirren1.45, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee FC attack: 1.00St. Mirren attack: 1.141.141.00St. MirrenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDundee FC defence: 1.78St. Mirren defence: 1.451.781.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−57%+38%−23%+5%
Counter-attacks−59%−25%−54%+113%
Set pieces−27%+38%+12%−12%
Penalties−57%+30%−100%−53%
Headers−33%+32%+14%+11%
Left side−46%+24%−31%+16%
Centre−48%+33%−9%+22%
Right side−53%+27%−23%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−46%−4%Centre−48%+22%Right side−53%+16%Open play−57%+5%Counter-attacks−59%+113%Set pieces−27%−12%Headers−33%+11%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−31%+27%Centre−9%+33%Right side−23%+24%Open play−23%+38%Counter-attacks−54%−25%Set pieces+12%+38%Headers+14%+32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCSt. Mirren

0.69xG1.02
1.77xG against1.48
38%Possession43%
7.9Shots11.2
15.3Shots against13.4
2.5Shots on target3.3
0.9Big chances1.6
11.8Touches in the opposition box22.2
328Passes324
74%Pass accuracy72%
3.4Corners5.7
31%Field tilt46%
26.4Final-third entries34.8
4.8Box entries10.8
23.7Passes per defensive action19.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.781.54
Ahead141.022.60
Behind360.461.71

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level641.101.33
Ahead150.961.85
Behind110.641.79

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–3
16–300.070.232–4
31–450.170.323–6
46–600.090.302–3
61–750.120.261–2
76–900.180.501–6

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.140–0
16–300.180.192–2
31–450.180.242–3
46–600.130.161–1
61–750.150.392–2
76–900.220.371–8

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWMcCracken 13Astley 12Wright 1C. Robertson 12Graham 11Koumetio 2Samuels 1Wright 10Congreve 2Ingram 1Digby 7F. Robertson 7Jones 2Hamilton 9Westley 1Samuels 9Yogane 2Dhanda 2Congreve 5Westley 3Jones 2Murray 6Westley 3Hay 2Murray 3Westley 3Dhanda 23-4-3 in 6 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (6), 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 12Fraser 10King 5Gogic 10Freckleton 11Richards… 10RichardsonMcMena… 2McMenaminPhillips 12Baccus 9Donnelly 3McMenamin 1O'Hara 8Idowu 2John 12Ayunga 6Nlundulu 5Idowu 2Mandron 113-5-2 in 9 of 12 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (9), 5-3-2 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 September 2025St. Mirren1–0Dundee FCxG 0.74–0.62
5 April 2025Dundee FC2–0St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.35
29 December 2024St. Mirren1–2Dundee FCxG 1.02–1.00
31 August 2024Dundee FC2–2St. MirrenxG 1.76–1.34
4 May 2024Dundee FC1–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–1.43
7 February 2024St. Mirren2–0Dundee FCxG 1.63–0.26

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 4, St. Mirren won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 15–16 and xG 1.10–1.32 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Congreve8773050.070.43
Westley10671100.200.17
Murray9723100.260.02
F. Robertson7638100.030.07

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nlundulu5455200.310.03
Mandron11913120.190.09
Ayunga6573100.240.04
John121,061120.020.24

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.