Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 4–0 Dundee FC

Sunday 5 October 2025, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 3–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 16,525

Aberdeen Karlsson 22' (pen), 63', Aouchiche 30', Gyamfi 33'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenDundee FC
Goals40
xG2.800.31
Non-penalty xG2.010.31
Expected Points2.840.10

Aberdeen 93%Draw 6%Dundee FC 1%

Most likely score 3–0, 21%. Final score 4–0, 13%.

Dundee FC goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+2%10%3%7%1%7%13%4%5%2%2%20%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTLazetic on for Nisbet, 59'Nilsen on for Shinnie, Milanovic on for Armstrong, and Polvara on for Aouchiche, 68'Keskinen on for Karlsson, 73'Hay on for Westley and Acquah on for Murray, 62'Jones on for C. Robertson and Reilly on for Dhanda, 80'Digby on for Hamilton, 89'Karlsson 22' (pen)Aouchiche 30'Gyamfi 33'Karlsson 63'Aberdeen 2.80Dundee FC 0.3101230153045607590HTLazetic on for Nisbet, 59'Nilsen on for Shinnie, Milanovic on for Armstrong, and Polvara on for Aouchiche, 68'Keskinen on for Karlsson, 73'Hay on for Westley and Acquah on for Murray, 62'Jones on for C. Robertson and Reilly on for Dhanda, 80'Digby on for Hamilton, 89'Karlsson 22' (pen)Aouchiche 30'Gyamfi 33'Karlsson 63'2.800.31AberdeenDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenDundee FC

2.80 +1.72xG0.31 −0.41
2.01Non-penalty xG0.31
3.96 +3.63xG on target0.14 −0.65
20 +8.2Shots8 +0.9
9 +6.5Shots on target2 −0.4
4 +2.7Big chances0 −1.0
33 +13Touches in the opposition box8 −4
63% +18Possession37% −3
575 +202Passes344 −2
88% +13Pass accuracy78% +1
65% +23Field tilt35% +2
48 +18Final-third entries28 +2
16 +6.3Box entries4 −1.3
10.5 −7Passes per defensive action16.9 −11
11 +7.3Corners2 −2.0
19 +4Tackles26 +12
10 +4.2Interceptions12 +3.3
11 −16Clearances27 −11
2 −0.8Saves4 +0.1
15 −0.3Fouls7 −0.9
2 −0.5Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Armstrong 42', 0.19 xGNisbet 36', 0.16 xGNisbet 6', 0.14 xGKnoester 77', 0.14 xGKarlsson 4', 0.12 xGMilne 43', 0.09 xGKeskinen 79', 0.08 xGKarlsson 4', 0.07 xGArmstrong 45+3', 0.06 xGAouchiche 29', 0.05 xGNisbet 35', 0.05 xGKarlsson 12', 0.03 xGAouchiche 47', 0.03 xGJensen 45', 0.02 xGKarlsson 18', 0.01 xGKarlsson 41', 0.01 xGGyamfi 33', 0.49 xG, goalKarlsson 63', 0.13 xG, goalAouchiche 30', 0.12 xG, goal8%0.16 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals77%1.55 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.55 xG, 3 goals5%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals9%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Congreve 45+1', 0.07 xGAstley 25', 0.06 xGAcquah 85', 0.05 xGCongreve 3', 0.04 xGHay 70', 0.03 xGHamilton 44', 0.02 xGMurray 59', 0.02 xGCongreve 23', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals23%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals63%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals13%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenDundee FC

0.75 10 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.26 7 shots, 0 goals
0.82 4 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.44 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
22 min (24%) · Aberdeen 1.16, Dundee FC 0.04 xG
Aberdeen ahead
71 min (76%) · Aberdeen 1.64, Dundee FC 0.27 xG

Line-ups

12225284167771715MitovDevlinMilneKnoesterJensenShinnieArmstrongGyamfiAouchicheKarlssonNisbetGoalGoalYellow cardGoalGoal68'68'68'73'59'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Jimmy Thelin1432212201048211915McCrackenAstleyC. RobertsonGrahamSamuelsCongreveF. RobertsonHamiltonDhandaWestleyMurray80'89'80'62'62'Dundee FC 4-4-2Steven Pressley

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 59' Lazetic for Nisbet · 1 assist
  • 68' Polvara for Aouchiche
  • 68' Milanovic for Armstrong
  • 68' Nilsen for Shinnie
  • 73' Keskinen for Karlsson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 62' Hay for Westley
  • 62' Acquah for Murray
  • 80' Jones for C. Robertson
  • 80' Reilly for Dhanda
  • 89' Digby for Hamilton

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0010.0330
DevlinCB900.000.0300.1492
MilneCB900.090.2600.0846
KnoesterCB900.140.0100.0997
JensenRWB900.020.0300.0254
ShinnieCM680.000.0310.0536
ArmstrongCM6810.250.1340.3344
GyamfiLWB9010.490.0100.0355
Aouchiche AM6810.210.0500.1552
KarlssonAM7321.160.3960.1240
NisbetST590.350.091−0.0103
LazeticFW3110.000.0310.0930
PolvaraMF220.000.0100.0031
MilanovicMF220.000.1110.0000
NilsenMF220.000.0200.0113
KeskinenFW170.080.0000.0620

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0010.0222
AstleyRB900.060.0000.02317
C. RobertsonCB800.000.0100.0549
GrahamCB900.000.0800.1143
SamuelsLB900.000.0000.0369
CongreveRM900.120.0100.0695
F. RobertsonCM900.000.010−0.0304
HamiltonCM890.020.0100.0038
DhandaLM800.000.012−0.0121
WestleyST620.000.0010.0003
MurrayST620.020.0610.1012
HayFW280.030.0000.0212
AcquahFW280.050.0000.0001
JonesMF100.000.0210.0113
ReillyMF100.000.0000.0001
DigbyMF10.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Knoester and Devlin: 5 passesKnoester and Nisbet: 5 passesMilne and Jensen: 5 passesJensen and Shinnie: 5 passesGyamfi and Shinnie: 5 passesGyamfi and Karlsson: 5 passesAouchiche and Nisbet: 5 passesKarlsson and Nisbet: 5 passesMilne and Shinnie: 7 passesMilne and Armstrong: 7 passesDevlin and Armstrong: 7 passesKnoester and Gyamfi: 8 passesJensen and Aouchiche: 8 passesAouchiche and Karlsson: 8 passesMilne and Devlin: 10 passesDevlin and Aouchiche: 10 passesGyamfi and Armstrong: 10 passesShinnie and Karlsson: 10 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 11 passesKnoester and Armstrong: 12 passesMitov and Milne: 14 passesDevlin and Jensen: 14 passesArmstrong and Karlsson: 14 passesMitov and Knoester: 18 passesKnoester and Milne: 24 passesMitov: 22 completed passesKnoester: 49 completed passesMilne: 40 completed passesDevlin: 32 completed passesJensen: 20 completed passesGyamfi: 21 completed passesShinnie: 29 completed passesArmstrong: 29 completed passesAouchiche: 15 completed passesKarlsson: 23 completed passesNisbet: 8 completed passes15222287741671715MitovKnoesterMilneDevlinJensenGyamfiShinnieArmstrongAouchicheKarlssonNisbetStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

McCracken and Astley: 4 passesMcCracken and Hamilton: 4 passesMcCracken and F. Robertson: 5 passesC. Robertson and Dhanda: 5 passesDhanda and Murray: 5 passesMcCracken and Graham: 6 passesGraham and Hamilton: 6 passesAstley and Hamilton: 7 passesGraham and F. Robertson: 7 passesC. Robertson and F. Robertson: 7 passesSamuels and Hamilton: 7 passesSamuels and Dhanda: 7 passesAstley and Dhanda: 8 passesC. Robertson and Samuels: 8 passesCongreve and F. Robertson: 8 passesGraham and C. Robertson: 9 passesAstley and Graham: 10 passesC. Robertson and Hamilton: 10 passesHamilton and Dhanda: 10 passesAstley and F. Robertson: 11 passesMcCracken and C. Robertson: 13 passesAstley and Congreve: 13 passesMcCracken: 19 completed passesAstley: 30 completed passesGraham: 21 completed passesC. Robertson: 28 completed passesSamuels: 13 completed passesCongreve: 14 completed passesHamilton: 27 completed passesF. Robertson: 26 completed passesDhanda: 20 completed passesMurray: 7 completed passesWestley: 4 completed passes1422312204810211519McCrackenAstleyGrahamC. RobertsonSamuelsCongreveHamiltonF. RobertsonDhandaMurrayWestleyStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
KnoesterMilne24
MilneKnoester18
MilneMitov18
MilneDevlin14
MitovKnoester13

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McCrackenC. Robertson9
AstleyCongreve9
GrahamC. Robertson8
C. RobertsonMcCracken7
DhandaAstley7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−4.26−4.85−3.84−1.04−4.56−0.23−0.87+0.79+3.26+3.09+6.54−1.310+1.33−0.35+1.74+1.24+0.85−0.54+1.72+1.02+1.71−0.33+0.70−0.31+0.80−1.00−0.51+0.31−5.85−5.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Dundee FC

4−1.38+0.421+2.97−2.33−2.360.08+2.77−0.98−1.08+0.14+0.15+0.34+1.67+3.42−3.740.04+1.42+0.65+2.710+7.92+1.04+3.41+0.30−0.93+1.01+0.41+1.00−0.900.00−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 7 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.030.010.010.060.020.020.060.040.030.020.030.050.040.070.020.030.080.070.040.150.10−0.010.02−0.02−0.050.030.21LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.01−0.010.050.020.02−0.010.060.030.010.010.010.020.02−0.010.01−0.010.10LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.19 → 1.24Dundee FC1.07 → 1.04Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44 → 1.39Dundee FC1.69 → 1.74

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six11%14%+3
11th16%13%−3
Bottom10%6%−4
Dundee FC
Top six4%2%−2
11th24%26%+2
Bottom20%24%+4

From the forecast before the match (5 October 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenDundee FC
Expected goals1.731.02
Win54%22%
Expected Points1.850.90
Clean sheet36%18%

Aberdeen 54%Draw 25%Dundee FC 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%6%6%3%1%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 October 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawDundee FC win
Aberdeen
Top six11%14%8%5%
11th16%13%18%21%
Bottom10%6%11%15%
Dundee FC
Top six4%2%5%7%
11th24%26%24%19%
Bottom20%24%18%12%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L0–227 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–2.03
  2. L0–223 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.33–1.33
  3. D0–013 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.22–0.56
  4. L0–131 AugFalkirk (H)xG 0.96–1.26
  5. L0–210 AugCeltic (H)xG 0.55–1.17
  6. L0–24 AugHearts (A)xG 1.40–1.03

Dundee FC

  1. L0–127 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.74
  2. W3–220 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.74–1.51
  3. D1–113 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–2.28
  4. L0–231 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.12–0.91
  5. D0–023 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–1.11
  6. D1–19 AugRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.97

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenDundee FC
Position12th9th
Played67
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠1–⁠51–⁠3–⁠3
Points1 (0.17 per game)6 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game1.240.79
Goals0–⁠96–⁠9
xG per game1.08–⁠1.230.72–⁠1.42
Home: points, xG per game0.33, 0.91–⁠1.001.00, 0.95–⁠1.53
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 1.24–⁠1.460.67, 0.41–⁠1.27
ManagerJimmy Thelin (44)Steven Pressley (7)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.19, 8thDundee FC1.07, 10thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.44, 8thDundee FC1.69, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen attack: 1.19Dundee FC attack: 1.071.191.07Dundee FCAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctAberdeen defence: 1.44Dundee FC defence: 1.691.691.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+2%−2%−44%+6%
Counter-attacks−43%−79%−85%−40%
Set pieces−19%+5%−47%+2%
Penalties−100%+3%−12%+76%
Headers−38%+16%−34%−12%
Left side−16%−20%−62%+34%
Centre−1%−5%−45%−12%
Right side−26%−5%−48%−2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−16%−2%Centre−1%−12%Right side−26%+34%Open play+2%+6%Counter-attacks−43%−40%Set pieces−19%+2%Headers−38%−12%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side−62%−5%Centre−45%−5%Right side−48%−20%Open play−44%−2%Counter-attacks−85%−79%Set pieces−47%+5%Headers−34%+16%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenDundee FC

1.08xG0.72
1.23xG against1.42
45%Possession40%
11.8Shots7.1
12.8Shots against13.6
2.5Shots on target2.4
1.3Big chances1.0
20.2Touches in the opposition box12.0
373Passes346
75%Pass accuracy77%
3.7Corners4.0
42%Field tilt33%
29.9Final-third entries26.4
9.7Box entries5.3
17.8Passes per defensive action27.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level560.981.04
Ahead0––
Behind341.251.54

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.811.35
Ahead111.052.64
Behind290.451.06

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.090–1
16–300.120.200–1
31–450.230.130–1
46–600.190.230–1
61–750.120.310–3
76–900.280.260–2

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.080–1
16–300.030.100–1
31–450.170.282–3
46–600.160.232–0
61–750.150.271–1
76–900.190.461–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 6Jensen 5Devlin 1Milne 4Dorrington 2Devlin 1Knoester 5Gyamfi 3Shinnie 2Devlin 1Nilsen 4Clarkson 2Dorrington 1Palaversa 2Shinnie 2Milanovic 4Tobers 1Keskinen 1Aouchiche 4Polvara 2Karlsson 3Keskinen 3Nisbet 3Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 5 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-2-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMcCracken 7Wright 6Ingram 1Astley 7C. Robert… 7C. RobertsonYogane 1Graham 6Samuels 5Graham 1Yogane 1Jones 4Westley 3Congreve 2Hamilton 4Digby 2F. Robertson 6Murray 4Westley 3Hay 3Dhanda 3Acquah 15-3-2 in 3 of 7 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-3 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
15 February 2025Dundee FC1–2AberdeenxG 1.81–1.80
9 November 2024Aberdeen4–1Dundee FCxG 1.81–1.89
28 September 2024Dundee FC1–2AberdeenxG 1.50–0.62
13 April 2024Aberdeen0–0Dundee FCxG 1.01–1.11
13 March 2024Dundee FC1–0AberdeenxG 1.92–0.66
30 January 2024Aberdeen1–1Dundee FCxG 1.46–0.59

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Dundee FC won 2, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–10 and xG 1.19–1.14 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Jensen5479000.040.06
Mitov6540000.000.00

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
F. Robertson6533100.040.08
Wright6532000.010.07
Graham7606100.050.02
C. Robertson7629010.020.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.