Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 1–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 27 September 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 6,382

St. Mirren Phillips 39'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee FC
Goals10
xG0.740.62
Expected Points1.391.19

St. Mirren 32%Draw 42%Dundee FC 26%

Most likely score 0–0, 24%. Final score 1–0, 18%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+4%17%3%6%5%1%1%24%17%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTTaylor on for Donnelly, 68'Nlundulu on for Ayunga, 75'McMenamin on for Idowu, 76'Tanser on for John, 86'Acquah on for Hay, 75'Yogane on for Wright and Koumetio on for Graham, 83'Jones on for C. Robertson, 89'Phillips 39'St. Mirren 0.74Dundee FC 0.6200.250.50.7510153045607590HTTaylor on for Donnelly, 68'Nlundulu on for Ayunga, 75'McMenamin on for Idowu, 76'Tanser on for John, 86'Acquah on for Hay, 75'Yogane on for Wright and Koumetio on for Graham, 83'Jones on for C. Robertson, 89'Phillips 39'0.740.62St. MirrenDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee FC

0.74 −0.25xG0.62 −0.11
1.19 +0.14xG on target0.20 −0.69
10 +0.2Shots11 +4.5
4 +0.2Shots on target4 +1.8
1 −1.0Big chances0 −1.2
24 +4Touches in the opposition box12 0
53% +19Possession47% +8
422 +141Passes369 +26
80% +9Pass accuracy78% +1
57% +19Field tilt43% +12
40 +9Final-third entries30 +4
14 +3.2Box entries5 −0.3
17.8 −4Passes per defensive action19.5 −9
5 +0.4Corners5 +1.2
12 −1Tackles9 −6
5 −3.2Interceptions9 +0.3
25 −12Clearances32 −6
4 +0.6Saves3 −1.0
12 0.0Fouls7 −1.0
2 +0.4Offsides1 −0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Idowu 29', 0.09 xGMandron 39', 0.08 xGDonnelly 23', 0.06 xGGogic 23', 0.06 xGPhillips 90', 0.06 xGDonnelly 56', 0.05 xGIdowu 13', 0.03 xGAyunga 28', 0.03 xGFreckleton 4', 0.02 xGPhillips 39', 0.27 xG, goal36%0.27 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.27 xG, 1 goal30%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals31%0.23 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Hay 65', 0.34 xGWright 19', 0.05 xGCongreve 51', 0.04 xGWestley 81', 0.04 xGHamilton 50', 0.03 xGCongreve 57', 0.03 xGKoumetio 90+1', 0.03 xGHamilton 82', 0.02 xGHamilton 6', 0.01 xGWright 18', 0.01 xGWright 20', 0.01 xG55%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.34 xG, 0 goals5%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals21%0.13 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals18%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals2%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee FC

0.56 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.18 5 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.04 1 shot, 0 goals
0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.40 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
39 min (42%) · St. Mirren 0.63, Dundee FC 0.08 xG
St. Mirren ahead
53 min (58%) · St. Mirren 0.11, Dundee FC 0.54 xG

Line-ups

1513212884724911GeorgeKingGogicFreckletonRichardsonPhillipsDonnellyIdowuJohnMandronAyungaYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card68'76'86'75'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson143227104812201119McCrackenAstleyC. RobertsonGrahamWrightF. RobertsonHamiltonSamuelsCongreveHayWestleyYellow cardYellow card89'83'83'75'Dundee FC 3-4-3Steven Pressley

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 68' Taylor for Donnelly
  • 75' Nlundulu for Ayunga
  • 76' McMenamin for Idowu
  • 86' Tanser for John

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 75' Acquah for Hay
  • 83' Koumetio for Graham
  • 83' Yogane for Wright
  • 89' Jones for C. Robertson

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0771
King CB900.000.0200.101010
GogicCB900.060.0100.0466
FreckletonCB900.020.0400.0996
RichardsonRWB900.000.0700.2065
Phillips CM9010.340.1210.2246
Donnelly CM680.100.0300.0421
IdowuCM760.120.2720.0566
JohnLWB860.000.0310.1753
MandronST9010.080.072−0.2121
AyungaST750.030.062−0.0100
TaylorMF220.000.0700.0121
NlunduluFW150.000.0200.0110
McMenaminMF140.000.0010.0221
TanserMF40.000.0000.0110

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0000.0432
AstleyCB900.000.0000.0339
C. RobertsonCB890.000.0100.0313
Graham CB830.000.0100.0658
WrightRWB830.070.3010.2475
F. RobertsonCM900.000.0220.0035
HamiltonCM900.060.0210.0142
SamuelsLWB900.000.0500.0476
CongreveRW900.080.2220.1694
HayST750.340.0210.0133
Westley LW900.040.090−0.1112
AcquahFW150.000.0110.0211
KoumetioDF70.030.0000.0000
YoganeMF70.000.0000.0330
JonesMF10.000.0100.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

George and King: 5 passesRichardson and Phillips: 5 passesIdowu and Phillips: 5 passesGeorge and Donnelly: 6 passesKing and Phillips: 6 passesFreckleton and Phillips: 6 passesGogic and Phillips: 7 passesKing and Donnelly: 7 passesGeorge and Freckleton: 8 passesKing and Richardson: 8 passesIdowu and Donnelly: 8 passesFreckleton and Idowu: 10 passesIdowu and Mandron: 10 passesGogic and Donnelly: 11 passesFreckleton and Donnelly: 13 passesJohn and Idowu: 13 passesGogic and King: 15 passesFreckleton and John: 17 passesGeorge and Gogic: 24 passesGogic and Freckleton: 27 passesGeorge: 29 completed passesGogic: 51 completed passesKing: 26 completed passesFreckleton: 45 completed passesRichardson: 13 completed passesJohn: 23 completed passesIdowu: 26 completed passesPhillips: 18 completed passesDonnelly: 32 completed passesMandron: 14 completed passesAyunga: 8 completed passes1135212247884911GeorgeGogicKingFreckletonRichardsonJohnIdowuPhillipsDonnellyMandronAyungaStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

McCracken and Astley: 4 passesMcCracken and Samuels: 4 passesGraham and F. Robertson: 4 passesAstley and F. Robertson: 4 passesWright and Samuels: 4 passesSamuels and F. Robertson: 4 passesHamilton and Westley: 4 passesAstley and Wright: 5 passesSamuels and Hamilton: 5 passesHamilton and Congreve: 5 passesMcCracken and Graham: 8 passesAstley and Congreve: 8 passesWright and Hamilton: 8 passesSamuels and Westley: 9 passesGraham and Hamilton: 10 passesGraham and Westley: 10 passesAstley and Hamilton: 10 passesGraham and Samuels: 11 passesWright and F. Robertson: 11 passesWright and Congreve: 11 passesF. Robertson and Hamilton: 11 passesC. Robertson and Astley: 12 passesF. Robertson and Congreve: 12 passesMcCracken and C. Robertson: 15 passesC. Robertson and Hamilton: 16 passesGraham and C. Robertson: 26 passesMcCracken: 23 completed passesGraham: 36 completed passesC. Robertson: 40 completed passesAstley: 25 completed passesWright: 22 completed passesSamuels: 19 completed passesF. Robertson: 31 completed passesHamilton: 35 completed passesCongreve: 17 completed passesHay: 5 completed passesWestley: 16 completed passes122347121048201119McCrackenGrahamC. RobertsonAstleyWrightSamuelsF. RobertsonHamiltonCongreveHayWestleyStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
GogicFreckleton19
FreckletonGogic16
GogicGeorge16
GeorgeGogic13
GogicKing11

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McCrackenC. Robertson13
C. RobertsonGraham13
GrahamC. Robertson13
C. RobertsonAstley10
C. RobertsonHamilton8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

5+0.42−7.06−3.03−2.011+4.290.04−0.68+0.86+0.68+3.65+1.05+3.42−1.06+1.83−1.02−0.61−2.60−1.41−1.86+2.83+0.62+0.42+0.25+2.210.00−0.60−1.000.01+0.812−10.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Dundee FC

1−5.06−1.813+4.36+0.89+3.53−2.76−2.290.06−2.23−1.02−3.23+0.76+2.89+3.81−3.52−0.72+0.72−0.31−1.30−1.20−0.73+2.70−1.020.00−0.700.01+0.200.00−0.57−13.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.030.010.020.040.020.020.030.020.03−0.01−0.010.090.060.030.040.010.050.080.02−0.01−0.430.180.050.44LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.020.010.030.02−0.010.010.050.010.020.020.030.020.040.030.030.100.01−0.020.020.030.01−0.150.050.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.37AttackSt. Mirren1.22 → 1.21Dundee FC1.08 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38 → 1.35Dundee FC1.72 → 1.69

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six51%58%+7
11th3%2%−1
Bottom1%1%0
Dundee FC
Top six6%4%−2
11th23%25%+2
Bottom21%24%+3
Motherwell
Top six52%51%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 September 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee FC
Expected goals1.790.98
Win56%20%
Expected Points1.910.84
Clean sheet37%17%

St. Mirren 56%Draw 24%Dundee FC 20%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+7%6%3%1%5%2%5%2%6%6%3%1%3%3%1%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 September 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee FC win
St. Mirren
Top six51%58%46%38%
11th3%2%4%6%
Bottom1%1%2%3%
Dundee FC
Top six6%4%6%11%
11th23%25%24%19%
Bottom21%24%20%12%
Motherwell
Top six52%51%52%55%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–113 SepFalkirk (A)xG 1.57–0.70
  2. D1–131 AugHibernian (A)xG 0.85–2.42
  3. D1–124 AugRangers (H)xG 1.01–1.56
  4. D0–09 AugMotherwell (H)xG 1.31–0.53
  5. L0–13 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.23–1.41
  6. D1–117 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.20–2.55

Dundee FC

  1. W3–220 SepLivingston (H)xG 2.74–1.51
  2. D1–113 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–2.28
  3. L0–231 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.12–0.91
  4. D0–023 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–1.11
  5. D1–19 AugRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.97
  6. L1–23 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.13–1.42

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee FC
Position5th6th
Played56
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠3–⁠11–⁠3–⁠2
Points6 (1.20 per game)6 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.150.73
Goals4–⁠46–⁠8
xG per game0.99–⁠1.320.73–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.16–⁠1.041.00, 0.95–⁠1.53
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.88–⁠1.511.00, 0.30–⁠1.54
ManagerStephen Robinson (76)Steven Pressley (6)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.37AttackSt. Mirren1.22, 7thDundee FC1.08, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.38, 5thDundee FC1.72, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Mirren attack: 1.22Dundee FC attack: 1.081.221.08Dundee FCSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepSt. Mirren defence: 1.38Dundee FC defence: 1.721.721.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+20%−39%+11%
Counter-attacks−24%−33%−86%−27%
Set pieces+1%+5%−56%+11%
Penalties−78%−72%+3%+107%
Headers−11%−18%−45%+2%
Left side−41%+8%−61%+42%
Centre−3%+23%−42%−3%
Right side−20%−18%−53%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−41%−4%Centre−3%−3%Right side−20%+42%Open play−24%+11%Counter-attacks−24%−27%Set pieces+1%+11%Headers−11%+2%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−61%−18%Centre−42%+23%Right side−53%+8%Open play−39%+20%Counter-attacks−86%−33%Set pieces−56%+5%Headers−45%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee FC

0.99xG0.73
1.32xG against1.53
34%Possession38%
9.8Shots6.5
12.2Shots against14.2
3.8Shots on target2.2
2.0Big chances1.2
19.6Touches in the opposition box12.0
281Passes342
71%Pass accuracy77%
4.6Corners3.8
38%Field tilt31%
31.2Final-third entries25.6
10.8Box entries5.3
22.1Passes per defensive action28.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level730.940.98
Ahead161.232.69
Behind10.006.60

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.891.34
Ahead131.052.64
Behind260.281.35

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.220–0
16–300.160.150–0
31–450.160.271–0
46–600.070.080–0
61–750.220.322–1
76–900.330.291–3

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.090–1
16–300.020.080–1
31–450.200.272–2
46–600.170.262–0
61–750.120.321–1
76–900.210.521–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTGeorge 5Richardson 5Fraser 5Gogic 5Freckleton 4King 1John 5Phillips 5Baccus 4Taylor 1O'Hara 5Ayunga 3Idowu 2Mandron 55-3-2 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 3-5-2 (2)

Dundee FC

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMcCracken 6Wright 5Ingram 1Astley 6C. Robert… 6C. RobertsonYogane 1Graham 5Samuels 4Yogane 1Graham 1Jones 4Congreve 1Westley 3Digby 2F. Robertson 5Hamilton 3Murray 4Westley 2Dhanda 3Hay 2Acquah 15-3-2 in 3 of 6 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 April 2025Dundee FC2–0St. MirrenxG 0.65–2.35
29 December 2024St. Mirren1–2Dundee FCxG 1.02–1.00
31 August 2024Dundee FC2–2St. MirrenxG 1.76–1.34
4 May 2024Dundee FC1–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–1.43
7 February 2024St. Mirren2–0Dundee FCxG 1.63–0.26
11 November 2023Dundee FC4–0St. MirrenxG 2.62–0.51

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 5, Dundee FC won 4, and 2 were drawn. Goals 15–15 and xG 1.37–1.15 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin5548410.320.13
Mandron232,226830.280.14
Smyth6676400.290.13
Ayunga171,528540.300.07

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Graham6523100.060.02
Astley6540100.030.00
C. Robertson6540010.020.01
McCracken6540000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.