Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

St. Mirren 2–0 Dundee FC

Wednesday 7 February 2024, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 25 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 5,737

St. Mirren Mandron 73', Olusanya 90+1' · Bolton sent off 84'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee FC
Goals20
xG1.630.26
Expected Points2.430.35

St. Mirren 74%Draw 22%Dundee FC 4%

Most likely score 1–0, 25%. Final score 2–0, 22%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+13%3%8%6%11%3%4%1%25%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTBolton (St. Mirren), red card 84'Baccus on for Kwon, 58'Jamieson on for Scott, 68'Olusanya on for Mandron and Dunne on for Jamieson, 87'Robinson on for Main, 59'Astley on for Ashcroft, 67'Tiffoney on for Mellon, 68'Bakayoko on for Cameron and Mulligan on for Boateng, 77'Mandron 73'Olusanya 90+1'St. Mirren 1.63Dundee FC 0.2600.511.520153045607590HTBolton (St. Mirren), red card 84'Baccus on for Kwon, 58'Jamieson on for Scott, 68'Olusanya on for Mandron and Dunne on for Jamieson, 87'Robinson on for Main, 59'Astley on for Ashcroft, 67'Tiffoney on for Mellon, 68'Bakayoko on for Cameron and Mulligan on for Boateng, 77'Mandron 73'Olusanya 90+1'1.630.26St. MirrenDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee FC

1.63 +0.59xG0.26 −1.02
1.85 +0.68xG on target0.05 −1.35
19 +9.3Shots4 −7.3
6 +2.7Shots on target0 −4.1
3 +1.2Big chances0 −1.9
26 +8Touches in the opposition box17 −4
50% +6Possession50% +8
370 +42Passes387 +60
66% +2Pass accuracy64% −3
59% +18Field tilt41% +3
42 +10Final-third entries43 +10
15 +6.2Box entries11 +1.8
18.5 +2Passes per defensive action16.1 −1
6 +1.4Corners5 +0.2
8 −7Tackles9 −7
6 −2.4Interceptions5 −4.3
22 −2Clearances31 +3
0 −3.0Saves4 +1.2
9 −2Fouls9 −1
1 −0.5Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Bolton 55', 0.21 xGKiltie 82', 0.16 xGBaccus 64', 0.14 xGMandron 17', 0.12 xGScott 33', 0.10 xGMandron 25', 0.07 xGScott 39', 0.05 xGGogic 62', 0.05 xGJamieson 68', 0.05 xGJamieson 80', 0.04 xGKiltie 83', 0.04 xGBwomono 20', 0.03 xGScott 30', 0.03 xGKwon 34', 0.03 xGKiltie 17', 0.02 xGBwomono 58', 0.02 xGKiltie 39', 0.01 xGOlusanya 90+1', 0.42 xG, goalMandron 73', 0.05 xG, goal13%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 0 goals64%1.05 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.05 xG, 1 goal10%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals13%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Beck 41', 0.15 xGMcCowan 88', 0.05 xGMain 56', 0.04 xGMcGhee 23', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals89%0.24 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals11%0.03 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee FC

0.95 16 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.12 3 shots, 0 goals
0.42 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.15 1 shot, 0 goals
0.26 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
73 min (79%) · St. Mirren 0.98, Dundee FC 0.21 xG
St. Mirren ahead
19 min (21%) · St. Mirren 0.66, Dundee FC 0.05 xG

Line-ups

121322421615314911HemmingBoltonGogicFraserBwomonoKwonBoyd-MunceTanserScottMandronKiltieYellow cardSent offGoal58'68'87'St. Mirren 3-4-3Stephen Robinson316145363102317268CarsonMcGheeAshcroftShaughnessyDodgsonBeckCameronBoatengMcCowanMellonMain67'77'77'68'59'Dundee FC 5-3-2Tony Docherty

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 58' Baccus for Kwon
  • 68' Jamieson for Scott · off 87'
  • 87' Dunne for Jamieson
  • 87' Olusanya for Mandron · goal 90+1'

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 59' Robinson for Main
  • 67' Astley for Ashcroft
  • 68' Tiffoney for Mellon
  • 77' Mulligan for Boateng · yellow card 90+1'
  • 77' Bakayoko for Cameron

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0000.0650
Bolton CB840.210.000−0.0623
GogicCB900.050.0100.0487
FraserCB900.000.0100.09104
BwomonoRWB900.040.0930.1963
KwonCM580.030.2110.0955
Boyd-MunceCM900.000.3120.1674
TanserLWB9010.000.1940.23127
ScottRW680.190.021−0.0611
MandronST8710.240.0940.0020
KiltieLW900.230.3110.3041
BaccusMF320.140.0300.0712
JamiesonFW190.080.0000.0010
DunneDF30.000.0000.0000
OlusanyaFW310.420.0000.0810

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0242
McGheeRWB900.030.0100.0452
AshcroftCB670.000.0000.0128
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0500.02212
DodgsonCB900.000.0310.1156
BeckLWB900.150.1300.25131
CameronCM770.000.0100.0461
BoatengCM770.000.0100.04410
McCowanCM900.050.1510.17101
MellonST680.000.0100.0100
MainST590.040.010−0.0101
RobinsonFW310.000.000−0.0100
AstleyDF230.000.010−0.1523
TiffoneyFW220.000.0000.0000
Mulligan MF130.000.000−0.0112
BakayokoFW130.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Gogic and Kiltie: 4 passesFraser and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesFraser and Mandron: 4 passesBoyd-Munce and Kwon: 4 passesHemming and Fraser: 5 passesBwomono and Boyd-Munce: 5 passesKwon and Scott: 5 passesScott and Mandron: 5 passesGogic and Boyd-Munce: 6 passesGogic and Scott: 6 passesBolton and Bwomono: 6 passesBwomono and Mandron: 6 passesTanser and Kiltie: 6 passesBoyd-Munce and Scott: 6 passesBoyd-Munce and Mandron: 6 passesTanser and Mandron: 8 passesBoyd-Munce and Kiltie: 9 passesHemming and Gogic: 11 passesGogic and Fraser: 11 passesBwomono and Kwon: 11 passesBwomono and Scott: 11 passesBolton and Kwon: 12 passesFraser and Tanser: 12 passesTanser and Boyd-Munce: 12 passesGogic and Bolton: 14 passesHemming: 15 completed passesGogic: 30 completed passesBolton: 24 completed passesFraser: 24 completed passesBwomono: 25 completed passesTanser: 23 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 30 completed passesKwon: 21 completed passesScott: 15 completed passesMandron: 15 completed passesKiltie: 10 completed passes113222423151614911HemmingGogicBoltonFraserBwomonoTanserBoyd-MunceKwonScottMandronKiltieStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

McGhee and Main: 4 passesShaughnessy and McCowan: 4 passesDodgson and McCowan: 4 passesBoateng and Cameron: 4 passesBoateng and McCowan: 4 passesCameron and Main: 4 passesMcCowan and Mellon: 4 passesMain and Mellon: 4 passesCarson and Shaughnessy: 5 passesShaughnessy and Ashcroft: 5 passesDodgson and Boateng: 5 passesCarson and Dodgson: 6 passesCarson and Ashcroft: 6 passesMcGhee and Ashcroft: 6 passesDodgson and Beck: 7 passesBeck and McCowan: 8 passesBeck and Cameron: 9 passesCameron and McCowan: 9 passesMcCowan and Main: 9 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 14 passesCarson: 11 completed passesMcGhee: 15 completed passesShaughnessy: 13 completed passesDodgson: 16 completed passesAshcroft: 19 completed passesBeck: 14 completed passesBoateng: 16 completed passesCameron: 21 completed passesMcCowan: 26 completed passesMain: 14 completed passesMellon: 6 completed passes316531463231017826CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDodgsonAshcroftBeckBoatengCameronMcCowanMainMellonStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
Boyd-MunceTanser12
BoltonGogic10
TanserMandron10
KwonBolton8
BwomonoKwon8

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DodgsonBeck13
CarsonDodgson10
McCowanBeck9
CameronMcGhee9
McGheeCameron9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

8+2.86−1.013−2.17−1.22−3.55−3.05−2.83−1.84−4.36−1.44−2.25+0.12−1.03−3.57+0.610+6.17+4.12−0.42−1.10−3.64+1.43+1.00−0.71−0.43+0.80−1.01+0.80−0.91+0.70−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Dundee FC

4−1.27−1.39−1.12−5.66−1.610+3.04−1.59+1.95−3.25−0.87+2.55+1.411+6.510+4.11−3.94+0.83+0.72−1.42−1.21−1.20−1.83+2.02+0.90−3.00−0.70−0.51+0.60−0.60−0.811−8.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 22 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.020.010.030.010.010.030.020.020.030.040.060.020.030.010.110.070.090.04−0.010.13−0.07−0.040.100.180.23LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.040.010.020.030.010.030.030.020.040.030.04−0.020.050.05−0.170.010.010.080.090.07LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Mirren1.08 → 1.11Dundee FC1.10 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35 → 1.30Dundee FC1.51 → 1.54

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six79%91%+12
11th<1%<1%0
Dundee FC
Top six36%25%−11
11th4%5%+1
Bottom<1%1%+1

From the forecast before the match (7 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee FC
Expected goals1.501.06
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.05
Clean sheet35%22%

St. Mirren 47%Draw 27%Dundee FC 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%2%6%2%9%5%2%4%5%2%2%2%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee FC win
St. Mirren
Top six79%91%77%62%
11th<1%<1%<1%1%
Dundee FC
Top six36%25%37%54%
11th4%5%3%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W3–03 FebHibernian (A)xG 2.40–0.41
  2. L0–127 JanRangers (H)xG 0.61–1.34
  3. L0–32 JanCeltic (H)xG 0.18–3.62
  4. W3–030 DecAberdeen (A)xG 2.73–1.03
  5. L0–127 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 0.46–0.81
  6. L0–223 DecHearts (A)xG 0.64–1.20

Dundee FC

  1. L2–33 FebHearts (H)xG 1.69–1.76
  2. D1–130 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.59–1.46
  3. W4–127 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.11–2.22
  4. L2–323 JanHearts (A)xG 0.69–2.21
  5. D2–230 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 0.53–0.69
  6. L0–326 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.13–2.79

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee FC
Position5th6th
Played2422
Won, drawn, lost9–⁠5–⁠106–⁠8–⁠8
Points32 (1.33 per game)26 (1.18 per game)
Expected Points per game1.161.22
Goals27–⁠2931–⁠36
xG per game1.04–⁠1.431.28–⁠1.73
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 1.02–⁠1.341.20, 1.29–⁠1.86
Away: points, xG per game1.17, 1.06–⁠1.531.17, 1.26–⁠1.62
ManagerStephen Robinson (19)Tony Docherty (22)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackSt. Mirren1.08, 9thDundee FC1.10, 7thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.35, 6thDundee FC1.51, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren attack: 1.08Dundee FC attack: 1.101.101.08Dundee FCSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebSt. Mirren defence: 1.35Dundee FC defence: 1.511.511.35

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+7%−15%+23%
Counter-attacks−24%+1%−28%+22%
Set pieces−35%−5%+48%+3%
Penalties+52%+31%−53%+114%
Headers−14%−6%+14%+49%
Left side−43%+8%+2%+25%
Centre−35%+10%+10%+14%
Right side−16%−16%−18%+16%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−43%+16%Centre−35%+14%Right side−16%+25%Open play−32%+23%Counter-attacks−24%+22%Set pieces−35%+3%Headers−14%+49%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+2%−16%Centre+10%+10%Right side−18%+8%Open play−15%+7%Counter-attacks−28%+1%Set pieces+48%−5%Headers+14%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee FC

1.04xG1.28
1.43xG against1.73
44%Possession42%
9.7Shots11.3
12.5Shots against15.0
3.3Shots on target4.1
1.8Big chances1.9
17.7Touches in the opposition box20.6
328Passes327
65%Pass accuracy67%
4.6Corners4.8
41%Field tilt38%
32.2Final-third entries33.0
8.8Box entries9.2
16.8Passes per defensive action17.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level410.881.42
Ahead251.481.36
Behind240.861.53

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.241.49
Ahead221.201.98
Behind211.421.99

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.156–4
16–300.140.211–5
31–450.180.226–4
46–600.220.226–3
61–750.140.221–5
76–900.200.427–8

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.171–3
16–300.130.286–4
31–450.220.285–4
46–600.260.265–6
61–750.230.274–5
76–900.320.4610–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWHemming 24Fraser 21Bolton 5Gogic 24Taylor 19Dunne 3Strain 11Fraser 3Flynn 3Baccus 12Jamieson 3Kwon 2Boyd-Munce 11O'Hara 11Kiltie 6Tanser 19O'Hara 4Boyd-Munce 1McMenamin 12Tanser 5O'Hara 3Mandron 9Olusanya 8Ayunga 5Kiltie 18Ayunga 3Mandron 23-4-3 in 10 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (10), 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 20Sharp 1McCracken 1Portales 10Ashcroft 6McGhee 5Shaughnessy 22Lamie 11Donnelly 5Dodgson 3McGhee 13McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 14Robertson 3Mulligan 3Boateng 19Sylla 6Beck 2McCowan 17Beck 16Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 21Robinson 7Mellon 1Rudden 9Tiffoney 3Beck 13-5-2 in 10 of 22 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 November 2023Dundee FC4–0St. MirrenxG 2.62–0.51
12 August 2023St. Mirren2–1Dundee FCxG 1.28–2.31
7 May 2022St. Mirren2–0Dundee FCxG 1.83–0.95
9 March 2022Dundee FC0–1St. MirrenxG 0.49–1.09
30 October 2021St. Mirren0–1Dundee FCxG 0.79–0.66
31 July 2021Dundee FC2–2St. MirrenxG 1.11–1.81

6 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 3, Dundee FC won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 7–8 and xG 1.22–1.36 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Mandron111,002410.300.06
Kiltie241,941430.220.11
Olusanya8810110.250.05
O'Hara181,563310.220.06

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson9813300.530.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
Bakayoko211,797530.300.05
Mulligan3476100.240.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.