Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 1–2 Dundee FC

Sunday 29 December 2024, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 20 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 6,798

St. Mirren Olusanya 40'

Dundee FC Murray 29', 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee FC
Goals12
xG1.021.00
Expected Points1.341.30

St. Mirren 33%Draw 36%Dundee FC 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 1–2, 9%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+10%12%6%1%14%9%2%6%8%4%1%2%21%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTMandron on for Olusanya and Ayunga on for Idowu, 63'Boyd-Munce on for Smyth and Mooney on for Kiltie, 75'Penman on for Bwomono, 82'Kelly on for McGhee and Ingram on for Koumetio, 22'Tiffoney on for Adewumi, 90'Olusanya 40'Murray 29'Murray 66'St. Mirren 1.02Dundee FC 1.0000.511.50153045607590HTMandron on for Olusanya and Ayunga on for Idowu, 63'Boyd-Munce on for Smyth and Mooney on for Kiltie, 75'Penman on for Bwomono, 82'Kelly on for McGhee and Ingram on for Koumetio, 22'Tiffoney on for Adewumi, 90'Olusanya 40'Murray 29'Murray 66'1.021.00St. MirrenDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee FC

1.02 −0.14xG1.00 −0.10
1.26 +0.03xG on target1.84 +0.47
14 +3Shots8 −3
5 +1.2Shots on target5 +1.2
1 −0.9Big chances3 +1.6
16 −4Touches in the opposition box15 −7
58% +16Possession42% −6
353 +56Passes266 −84
62% −3Pass accuracy49% −22
69% +29Field tilt31% −17
46 +15Final-third entries21 −14
9 −0.1Box entries6 −5.2
10.4 −5Passes per defensive action10.1 −4
5 +0.4Corners9 +4.3
14 −2Tackles19 +1
3 −5.9Interceptions7 −1.0
38 +10Clearances44 +12
2 −0.3Saves4 +1.2
10 −2Fouls5 −5
0 −1.9Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Olusanya 50', 0.11 xGMandron 72', 0.09 xGMooney 83', 0.06 xGJohn 45', 0.04 xGSmyth 15', 0.03 xGSmyth 21', 0.03 xGSmyth 23', 0.03 xGBoyd-Munce 89', 0.03 xGIdowu 5', 0.01 xGOlusanya 36', 0.01 xGIdowu 54', 0.01 xGBwomono 67', 0.01 xGMooney 84', 0.01 xGOlusanya 40', 0.53 xG, goal52%0.53 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.53 xG, 1 goal11%0.11 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals18%0.18 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals17%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Cameron 26', 0.12 xGMurray 26', 0.11 xGAdewumi 29', 0.10 xGHoulden 52', 0.05 xGCameron 80', 0.05 xGAdewumi 29', 0.02 xGMurray 66', 0.39 xG, goalMurray 29', 0.16 xG, goal54%0.54 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.54 xG, 2 goals12%0.12 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals34%0.34 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.34 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee FC

0.87 12 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.41 5 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.05 1 shot, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.54 2 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
55 min (60%) · St. Mirren 0.27, Dundee FC 0.95 xG
Dundee FC ahead
36 min (40%) · St. Mirren 0.75, Dundee FC 0.05 xG

Line-ups

1221344288824121120BalcombeFraserGogicIacovittiBwomonoPhillipsSmythJohnIdowuKiltieOlusanyaGoal82'75'63'75'63'St. Mirren 3-4-2-1Stephen Robinson3184206191028111523CarsonMulliganAstleyKoumetioMcGheeRobertsonCameronSyllaAdewumiMurrayHouldenGoalGoalYellow card22'22'90'Dundee FC 5-3-2Tony Docherty

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 63' Ayunga for Idowu
  • 63' Mandron for Olusanya · yellow card 80'
  • 75' Boyd-Munce for Smyth
  • 75' Mooney for Kiltie
  • 82' Penman for Bwomono

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 22' Ingram for Koumetio · yellow card 90+1'
  • 22' Kelly for McGhee
  • 90' Tiffoney for Adewumi

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BalcombeGK900.000.0000.0113
FraserCB900.000.0100.0675
GogicCB900.000.0000.02110
IacovittiCB900.000.0010.04416
BwomonoRWB8210.010.3910.2371
PhillipsCM900.000.0310.0546
SmythCM750.080.0420.0561
JohnLWB900.040.0700.0887
IdowuAM630.030.023−0.0121
KiltieAM750.000.020−0.0103
OlusanyaST6310.650.0100.0210
AyungaFW270.000.030−0.0701
Mandron FW270.090.011−0.0211
Boyd-MunceMF150.030.0200.0321
MooneyMF150.070.0000.0110
PenmanDF80.000.0000.0211

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0100.0650
MulliganRWB9010.000.3020.3188
AstleyCB9010.000.3310.18112
KoumetioCB220.000.0000.0004
McGheeCB220.000.0000.0005
RobertsonLWB900.000.071−0.0519
CameronCM900.170.010−0.0413
SyllaCM900.000.0100.0426
AdewumiCM900.120.0110.0641
MurrayST9020.650.1210.0513
Houlden ST900.050.0100.0122
Ingram DF680.000.0000.01212
KellyDF680.000.0000.0019
TiffoneyFW00.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Fraser and Idowu: 4 passesIacovitti and Smyth: 4 passesIacovitti and Olusanya: 4 passesBwomono and Olusanya: 4 passesSmyth and Olusanya: 4 passesFraser and Smyth: 5 passesIacovitti and Kiltie: 5 passesPhillips and Kiltie: 5 passesGogic and Iacovitti: 6 passesFraser and Bwomono: 6 passesIacovitti and John: 6 passesBwomono and Phillips: 7 passesJohn and Olusanya: 7 passesPhillips and Idowu: 7 passesBalcombe and Fraser: 8 passesBwomono and Idowu: 9 passesSmyth and Idowu: 9 passesJohn and Kiltie: 13 passesJohn and Smyth: 21 passesBalcombe: 7 completed passesGogic: 10 completed passesFraser: 18 completed passesIacovitti: 19 completed passesBwomono: 16 completed passesJohn: 27 completed passesPhillips: 22 completed passesSmyth: 27 completed passesIdowu: 12 completed passesKiltie: 14 completed passesOlusanya: 6 completed passes1132244224888121120BalcombeGogicFraserIacovittiBwomonoJohnPhillipsSmythIdowuKiltieOlusanyaStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Cameron and Adewumi: 3 passesAdewumi and Houlden: 3 passesSylla and Robertson: 4 passesCarson: 2 completed passesKoumetio: 3 completed passesMcGhee: 4 completed passesAstley: 3 completed passesMulligan: 1 completed passesSylla: 6 completed passesCameron: 1 completed passesRobertson: 5 completed passesAdewumi: 3 completed passesHoulden: 3 completed passesMurray: 1 completed passes3120648281019112315CarsonKoumetioMcGheeAstleyMulliganSyllaCameronRobertsonAdewumiHouldenMurrayStarters until 22' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
SmythJohn13
JohnSmyth10
KiltieJohn7
BwomonoIdowu7
IdowuSmyth6

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
MulliganCameron10
CameronMulligan10
CarsonHoulden6
SyllaRobertson5
RobertsonSylla4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

4−0.710−3.75−2.55−0.44−3.09+2.66+1.27+0.411+1.86+0.26+2.16+2.48+3.79+2.86+2.12−1.730.03+0.25+0.71−1.71−0.63+2.01+0.13+1.01+0.60−0.410.00−0.41+0.31−5.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Dundee FC

12+7.37+0.610+2.28+4.211+4.913+5.84−2.75−2.610+2.18+1.94−0.23−0.17+2.47+2.86+1.80−3.73+0.93+1.23−1.41−1.60−1.40−0.72+0.53+0.90−1.00−0.41+0.40−0.32+1.67−12.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.040.010.020.010.030.040.030.050.040.010.060.050.04−0.040.010.01−0.02−0.06−0.040.030.17LessMore

Dundee FC

0.040.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.030.010.030.020.010.030.010.010.08−0.050.050.30LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.14 → 1.12Dundee FC1.06 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43 → 1.43Dundee FC1.64 → 1.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six60%44%−16
11th2%5%+3
Bottom<1%1%+1
Dundee FC
Top six5%10%+5
11th24%18%−6
Bottom19%10%−9
Motherwell
Top six60%65%+5
St. Johnstone
11th24%23%−1
Bottom48%52%+4

From the forecast before the match (29 December 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee FC
Expected goals1.651.01
Win52%23%
Expected Points1.810.93
Clean sheet36%19%

St. Mirren 52%Draw 26%Dundee FC 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee FC goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%6%4%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 29 December 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee FC win
St. Mirren
Top six60%70%55%44%
11th2%1%2%5%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
Dundee FC
Top six5%2%5%10%
11th24%27%25%18%
Bottom19%24%16%10%
Motherwell
Top six60%58%62%65%
St. Johnstone
11th24%25%23%23%
Bottom48%45%50%52%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–126 DecRangers (H)xG 1.07–1.52
  2. W2–121 DecRoss County (A)xG 1.10–1.24
  3. W3–214 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.08–0.79
  4. L0–17 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.55–1.74
  5. L0–230 NovDundee United (A)xG 0.35–3.22
  6. W2–123 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.56–1.38

Dundee FC

  1. L0–326 DecRoss County (H)xG 0.30–2.03
  2. L0–121 DecRangers (A)xG 0.11–3.47
  3. L0–27 DecHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.75
  4. W4–14 DecMotherwell (H)xG 0.60–1.97
  5. D1–130 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 0.75–1.28
  6. W4–123 NovHibernian (H)xG 2.22–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee FC
Position5th9th
Played1918
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠3–⁠85–⁠4–⁠9
Points27 (1.42 per game)19 (1.06 per game)
Expected Points per game1.171.05
Goals26–⁠3027–⁠33
xG per game1.16–⁠1.531.10–⁠1.79
Home: points, xG per game1.70, 1.05–⁠1.211.44, 1.28–⁠1.57
Away: points, xG per game1.11, 1.28–⁠1.890.67, 0.91–⁠2.00
ManagerStephen Robinson (52)Tony Docherty (56)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.14, 9thDundee FC1.06, 10thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43, 8thDundee FC1.64, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 1.14Dundee FC attack: 1.061.141.06Dundee FCSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.43Dundee FC defence: 1.641.641.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%−11%−22%+22%
Counter-attacks−29%average+5%+97%
Set pieces−12%+32%−52%+21%
Penalties+56%+56%+32%−1%
Headers−24%−8%−11%+6%
Left side−33%−9%−14%+17%
Centre−30%−4%−34%+21%
Right side−15%+30%−30%+58%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededLeft side−33%+58%Centre−30%+21%Right side−15%+17%Open play−33%+22%Counter-attacks−29%+97%Set pieces−12%+21%Headers−24%+6%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−14%+30%Centre−34%−4%Right side−30%−9%Open play−22%−11%Counter-attacks+5%averageSet pieces−52%+32%Headers−11%−8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee FC

1.16xG1.10
1.53xG against1.79
42%Possession48%
11.3Shots10.7
12.5Shots against16.8
3.8Shots on target3.8
1.9Big chances1.4
20.0Touches in the opposition box22.0
296Passes350
65%Pass accuracy71%
4.6Corners4.7
40%Field tilt48%
30.6Final-third entries35.3
9.1Box entries11.2
15.6Passes per defensive action13.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level511.201.24
Ahead221.091.87
Behind181.141.95

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.072.04
Ahead210.981.39
Behind311.211.75

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.224–5
16–300.190.167–3
31–450.350.175–3
46–600.190.192–6
61–750.110.260–5
76–900.190.528–8

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.253–4
16–300.170.235–6
31–450.290.257–6
46–600.120.293–4
61–750.110.284–6
76–900.230.495–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWBalcombe 19Fraser 17Phillips 2Gogic 16Iacovitti 4Taylor 14Dunne 4Bwomono 11Rooney 6Fraser 2Phillips 14Smyth 2Boyd-Munce 2O'Hara 13Idowu 4Gogic 1Tanser 14Brown 3Taylor 1McMenamin 5Boyd-Munce 5Scott 3Olusanya 13Mandron 3van Veen 2Kiltie 10Olusanya 4Mandron 33-4-3 in 9 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (9), 3-5-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTMcCracken 13Carson 5Astley 10Houlden 4Portales 15C. Robertson 8Koumetio 13McGhee 3Graham 1Ingram 9Mulligan 5McGhee 3Mulligan 4McGhee 4Tiffoney 3Sylla 16Robertson 2Cameron 18McCowan 3Braybrooke 2Larkeche 12Robertson 4Adewumi 1Murray 16Main 4Sylla 1Houlden 6Tiffoney 5Adewumi 33-5-2 in 7 of 18 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
31 August 2024Dundee FC2–2St. MirrenxG 1.76–1.34
4 May 2024Dundee FC1–3St. MirrenxG 0.79–1.43
7 February 2024St. Mirren2–0Dundee FCxG 1.63–0.26
11 November 2023Dundee FC4–0St. MirrenxG 2.62–0.51
12 August 2023St. Mirren2–1Dundee FCxG 1.28–2.31
7 May 2022St. Mirren2–0Dundee FCxG 1.83–0.95

9 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 5, Dundee FC won 2, and 2 were drawn. Goals 14–11 and xG 1.30–1.22 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya171,254500.330.01
McMenamin5460200.240.05
Idowu6656200.230.05
O'Hara151,324220.130.14

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray161,399420.280.10
Houlden10890310.320.05
Adewumi5455210.250.08
Cameron181,528440.090.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.