Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 1–0 Hearts

Sunday 23 November 2025, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 13 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 17,850

Aberdeen Keskinen 39'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenHearts
Goals10
xG0.562.30
Expected Points0.332.52

Aberdeen 6%Draw 16%Hearts 79%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Final score 1–0, 3%.

Hearts goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+4%6%2%3%8%10%8%4%2%2%3%2%1%12%16%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMolloy on for Lobban and Clarkson on for Armstrong, 81'Shinnie on for Polvara, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Milanovic on for Keskinen, 84'Spittal on for Steinwender and Borchgrevink on for McEntee, 73'McCart on for Findlay, 74'Wilson on for Magnússon and Forrest on for Braga, 86'Keskinen 39'Hearts 2.30Aberdeen 0.5601230153045607590HTMolloy on for Lobban and Clarkson on for Armstrong, 81'Shinnie on for Polvara, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Milanovic on for Keskinen, 84'Spittal on for Steinwender and Borchgrevink on for McEntee, 73'McCart on for Findlay, 74'Wilson on for Magnússon and Forrest on for Braga, 86'Keskinen 39'2.300.56AberdeenHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenHearts

0.56 −0.70xG2.30 +0.51
0.98 +0.13xG on target1.57 −0.83
6 −6Shots17 +2
2 −1.5Shots on target4 −2.1
0 −1.8Big chances5 +2.6
14 −6Touches in the opposition box29 −2
40% −7Possession60% +6
321 −84Passes485 +54
69% −9Pass accuracy78% +1
51% +6Field tilt49% −16
36 +4Final-third entries58 +15
10 0Box entries11 −3
16.0 0Passes per defensive action5.8 −5
6 +1.7Corners3 −3.0
22 +7Tackles28 +10
9 +2.7Interceptions8 −0.7
41 +11Clearances36 +6
4 +1.5Saves1 −1.0
20 +5Fouls15 +3
0 −2.3Offsides3 +1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Armstrong 3', 0.10 xGLobban 3', 0.08 xGArmstrong 26', 0.08 xGAouchiche 77', 0.05 xGPolvara 66', 0.03 xGKeskinen 39', 0.22 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.42 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.42 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals25%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Findlay 11', 0.40 xGMagnússon 55', 0.36 xGKent 25', 0.25 xGBraga 76', 0.18 xGKent 54', 0.17 xGKent 54', 0.17 xGWilson 90+7', 0.15 xGKaboré 82', 0.11 xGKent 89', 0.11 xGKaboré 90', 0.10 xGMilne 17', 0.07 xGKyziridis 55', 0.07 xGKyziridis 49', 0.05 xGBraga 85', 0.04 xGBraga 17', 0.02 xGKyziridis 82', 0.02 xGBraga 48', 0.01 xG26%0.59 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals60%1.38 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.38 xG, 0 goals10%0.23 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.23 xG, 0 goals4%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenHearts

0.22 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.95 8 shots, 0 goals
0.31 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces1.34 9 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
39 min (40%) · Aberdeen 0.48, Hearts 0.74 xG
Aberdeen ahead
58 min (60%) · Aberdeen 0.08, Hearts 1.56 xG

Line-ups

12225387828811627MitovDevlinMilneKnoesterLobbanAouchichePolvaraJensenKeskinenArmstrongLazeticYellow cardYellow cardGoal81'84'84'81'84'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Jimmy Thelin253115219181022148911SchwolowMcEnteeSteinwenderKentFindlayMilneBragaMagnússonDevlinKyziridisKaboréYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card73'73'74'86'86'Hearts 5-4-1Derek McInnes

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 81' Molloy for Lobban · yellow card 89'
  • 81' Clarkson for Armstrong
  • 84' Shinnie for Polvara
  • 84' Nisbet for Lazetic
  • 84' Milanovic for Keskinen

Hearts substitutes

  • 73' Spittal for Steinwender
  • 73' Borchgrevink for McEntee
  • 74' McCart for Findlay
  • 86' Forrest for Braga
  • 86' Wilson for Magnússon

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0231
Devlin CB900.000.0100.03410
MilneCB900.000.0000.02111
Knoester CB900.000.0000.05420
LobbanRWB810.080.0100.0324
AouchicheCM900.050.0710.1356
PolvaraCM840.030.0210.0546
JensenLWB900.000.010−0.0124
KeskinenAM8410.220.0210.0553
ArmstrongAM810.180.0800.16102
LazeticST840.000.010−0.0214
Molloy DF90.000.0000.0001
ClarksonMF90.000.0000.0111
ShinnieMF60.000.0000.0105
NisbetFW60.000.0000.0000
MilanovicFW60.000.0000.0000

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SchwolowGK900.000.0000.0231
McEnteeRWB730.000.0000.0227
Steinwender CB730.000.0100.0796
KentCB900.700.0110.0879
FindlayCB740.400.0600.0329
MilneLWB900.070.0200.0889
Braga RM860.260.9220.3860
MagnússonCM860.360.0310.0868
Devlin CM900.000.0810.12713
Kyziridis LM900.150.7130.1081
KaboréST900.210.013−0.0237
SpittalMF170.000.0100.0100
BorchgrevinkMF170.000.2910.1642
McCartDF160.000.0000.0210
ForrestMF40.000.0000.0001
WilsonFW40.150.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Mitov and Milne: 4 passesMilne and Aouchiche: 4 passesDevlin and Aouchiche: 4 passesJensen and Keskinen: 4 passesKnoester and Aouchiche: 5 passesMilne and Polvara: 5 passesDevlin and Lobban: 5 passesLobban and Lazetic: 5 passesJensen and Lazetic: 5 passesPolvara and Keskinen: 5 passesKnoester and Polvara: 6 passesJensen and Aouchiche: 6 passesLobban and Keskinen: 7 passesKnoester and Armstrong: 8 passesJensen and Polvara: 8 passesAouchiche and Polvara: 8 passesKeskinen and Armstrong: 8 passesArmstrong and Lazetic: 8 passesDevlin and Polvara: 9 passesPolvara and Armstrong: 9 passesKnoester and Jensen: 11 passesJensen and Armstrong: 15 passesLobban and Aouchiche: 16 passesAouchiche and Armstrong: 17 passesMitov: 8 completed passesKnoester: 21 completed passesMilne: 14 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesLobban: 22 completed passesJensen: 25 completed passesAouchiche: 32 completed passesPolvara: 32 completed passesKeskinen: 13 completed passesArmstrong: 33 completed passesLazetic: 8 completed passes15222382878811627MitovKnoesterMilneDevlinLobbanJensenAouchichePolvaraKeskinenArmstrongLazeticStarters until 81' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hearts

Schwolow and Kent: 6 passesMcEntee and Steinwender: 6 passesMilne and Magnússon: 6 passesBraga and Magnússon: 6 passesBraga and Kyziridis: 6 passesDevlin and Magnússon: 6 passesDevlin and Kyziridis: 6 passesMagnússon and Kyziridis: 6 passesSchwolow and Findlay: 7 passesSteinwender and Devlin: 7 passesKent and Braga: 7 passesBraga and Kaboré: 7 passesSteinwender and Braga: 8 passesBraga and Devlin: 8 passesMcEntee and Braga: 12 passesMilne and Kyziridis: 12 passesSteinwender and Kent: 13 passesFindlay and Milne: 13 passesMilne and Devlin: 13 passesKent and Devlin: 15 passesFindlay and Devlin: 17 passesKent and Findlay: 21 passesSchwolow: 18 completed passesMcEntee: 19 completed passesSteinwender: 23 completed passesKent: 39 completed passesFindlay: 38 completed passesMilne: 28 completed passesBraga: 25 completed passesDevlin: 44 completed passesMagnússon: 20 completed passesKyziridis: 16 completed passesKaboré: 11 completed passes253115219181014228911SchwolowMcEnteeSteinwenderKentFindlayMilneBragaDevlinMagnússonKyziridisKaboréStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ArmstrongAouchiche9
ArmstrongJensen9
AouchicheLobban8
LobbanAouchiche8
AouchicheArmstrong8

Hearts

FromToPasses
KentDevlin14
FindlayKent13
DevlinKent12
DevlinMilne11
KentSteinwender10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

2−3.17+0.821+7.73−5.67+2.611+3.616+9.79+4.515+5.315+8.06+0.33−0.38+3.610+4.59+1.03+0.18+5.13+0.16+2.73−2.63+0.61−0.10−1.01−0.46+3.80−0.20−0.21+0.41+0.41+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Hearts

3−1.39+3.615+4.58+2.23+0.17−0.39+1.25−1.96−2.111+4.92−5.316+10.510+4.77−0.45−0.210+4.39+4.94+1.56+1.56+1.05+2.60−2.62+0.54+2.62−1.10−1.11+0.70−0.31+0.60−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.030.030.050.060.010.010.050.030.020.010.02−0.010.05−0.020.020.08LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.020.010.030.010.010.020.030.060.030.010.130.070.050.050.080.070.09−0.01−0.010.110.01−0.02−0.010.31LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.22 → 1.20Hearts1.58 → 1.59Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40 → 1.41Hearts1.07 → 1.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six25%34%+9
11th6%3%−3
Bottom3%1%−2
Hearts
Title10%7%−3
Celtic
Title86%89%+3
Falkirk
Top six53%51%−2

From the forecast before the match (23 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenHearts
Expected goals1.141.45
Win29%44%
Expected Points1.151.58
Clean sheet24%32%

Aberdeen 29%Draw 27%Hearts 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Hearts goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%4%1%8%9%4%2%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 23 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawHearts win
Aberdeen
Top six25%34%24%20%
11th6%3%6%8%
Bottom3%1%3%4%
Hearts
Title10%7%9%14%
Celtic
Title86%89%88%83%
Falkirk
Top six53%51%54%55%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D1–19 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.80–0.68
  2. W1–029 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.55–1.36
  3. L1–226 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.24–3.20
  4. W1–018 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.05–0.48
  5. W4–05 OctDundee FC (H)xG 2.80–0.31
  6. L0–227 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–2.03

Hearts

  1. D1–19 NovDundee United (H)xG 0.45–0.34
  2. W4–01 NovDundee FC (H)xG 3.43–0.10
  3. D2–229 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.57–1.01
  4. W3–126 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.57–0.88
  5. W3–018 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 2.88–0.43
  6. W1–04 OctHibernian (H)xG 0.80–0.39

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenHearts
Position8th1st
Played1112
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠2–⁠69–⁠3–⁠0
Points11 (1.00 per game)30 (2.50 per game)
Expected Points per game1.392.03
Goals8–⁠1229–⁠10
xG per game1.26–⁠1.221.79–⁠0.75
Home: points, xG per game0.83, 1.26–⁠1.202.43, 1.63–⁠0.76
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.27–⁠1.252.60, 2.02–⁠0.75
ManagerJimmy Thelin (49)Derek McInnes (12)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.22, 6thHearts1.58, 4thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40, 6thHearts1.07, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovAberdeen attack: 1.22Hearts attack: 1.581.581.22HeartsAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovAberdeen defence: 1.40Hearts defence: 1.071.401.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%−21%+15%−30%
Counter-attacks+38%+44%+21%−93%
Set pieces−10%−2%+65%−30%
Penalties−48%−48%+42%−100%
Headers−36%−10%+34%−43%
Left side+17%−5%+33%−47%
Centre−11%−13%+50%−49%
Right side−5%+6%−19%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHearts concededLeft side+17%−4%Centre−11%−49%Right side−5%−47%Open play−9%−30%Counter-attacks+38%−93%Set pieces−10%−30%Headers−36%−43%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdAberdeen concededLeft side+33%+6%Centre+50%−13%Right side−19%−5%Open play+15%−21%Counter-attacks+21%+44%Set pieces+65%−2%Headers+34%−10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenHearts

1.26xG1.79
1.22xG against0.75
47%Possession54%
12.3Shots15.3
12.5Shots against8.9
3.5Shots on target6.1
1.8Big chances2.4
20.5Touches in the opposition box30.8
405Passes431
78%Pass accuracy77%
4.3Corners6.0
44%Field tilt65%
32.3Final-third entries42.9
10.1Box entries14.3
16.2Passes per defensive action10.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level541.260.87
Ahead131.181.03
Behind241.332.12

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.270.48
Ahead342.510.95
Behind101.761.31

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.090–1
16–300.190.153–1
31–450.290.141–2
46–600.150.320–1
61–750.210.232–4
76–900.290.282–3

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.082–1
16–300.250.085–4
31–450.260.134–2
46–600.340.147–2
61–750.220.135–1
76–900.600.186–0

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 11Jensen 6Devlin 5Milne 9Dorrington 2Devlin 1Knoester 10Gyamfi 5Shinnie 2Molloy 2Armstrong 4Nilsen 4Polvara 2Shinnie 6Palaversa 3Clarkson 2Milanovic 4Armstrong 2Aouchiche 2Aouchiche 5Polvara 2Lobban 2Karlsson 8Keskinen 3Nisbet 6Yengi 3Lazetic 24-2-3-1 in 5 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (2)

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSchwolow 8Clark 4McEntee 8Kent 3Steinwender 1Halkett 11Steinwender 1Findlay 11Shankland 1Kingsley 6Milne 3Devlin 2Milne 5Braga 3Kaboré 1Baningime 7McEntee 2Magnússon 1Devlin 10Spittal 3Kyziridis 7Milne 3Spittal 1Shankland 11Findlay 1Braga 7Kaboré 2McEntee 14-4-2 in 8 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (8), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
4 August 2025Hearts2–0AberdeenxG 1.03–1.40
12 January 2025Aberdeen0–0HeartsxG 1.10–1.54
1 December 2024Hearts1–1AberdeenxG 1.15–0.62
6 October 2024Aberdeen3–2HeartsxG 0.69–2.02
27 January 2024Hearts2–0AberdeenxG 1.58–0.93
9 December 2023Aberdeen2–1HeartsxG 1.74–0.33

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Hearts won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–21 and xG 1.10–1.43 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Karlsson8665300.320.17
Armstrong6501110.240.16
Aouchiche7579100.250.06
Keskinen4472000.100.11

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Braga10888610.650.09
Kyziridis8770340.170.36
Shankland121,073710.400.10
Milne121,035130.070.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.