Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Aberdeen 1–1 Motherwell

Sunday 9 November 2025, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 12 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 17,843

Aberdeen Karlsson 61'

Motherwell Just 64'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenMotherwell
Goals11
xG0.800.68
Expected Points1.441.16

Aberdeen 35%Draw 40%Motherwell 25%

Most likely score 1–0, 21%. Final score 1–1, 18%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+13%4%5%7%5%2%20%21%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTKeskinen on for Armstrong and Molloy on for Gyamfi, 46'Clarkson on for Polvara, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Aouchiche on for Shinnie, 90+1'Hendry on for Stamatelopoulos and Said on for Maswanhise, 65'Priestman on for Fadinger and Charles-Cook on for Slattery, 79'Osong on for Just, 90+1'Karlsson 61'Just 64'Aberdeen 0.80Motherwell 0.6800.250.50.7510153045607590HTKeskinen on for Armstrong and Molloy on for Gyamfi, 46'Clarkson on for Polvara, Nisbet on for Lazetic, and Aouchiche on for Shinnie, 90+1'Hendry on for Stamatelopoulos and Said on for Maswanhise, 65'Priestman on for Fadinger and Charles-Cook on for Slattery, 79'Osong on for Just, 90+1'Karlsson 61'Just 64'0.800.68AberdeenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenMotherwell

0.80 −0.51xG0.68 −0.91
0.52 −0.36xG on target0.70 −0.85
6 −7Shots10 −2
2 −1.6Shots on target3 −0.8
1 −0.9Big chances0 −2.2
11 −10Touches in the opposition box25 −1
35% −13Possession65% +6
325 −88Passes611 +73
79% +1Pass accuracy89% +5
31% −15Field tilt69% +10
23 −10Final-third entries54 +9
4 −7Box entries14 −2
22.9 +7Passes per defensive action7.4 −6
4 −0.3Corners6 +2.1
27 +13Tackles21 +7
3 −3.6Interceptions10 +2.1
28 −2Clearances17 −4
2 −0.6Saves1 −2.7
15 0Fouls12 0
2 −0.3Offsides0 −2.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Lazetic 40', 0.44 xGMolloy 58', 0.10 xGGyamfi 28', 0.08 xGKarlsson 53', 0.04 xGMolloy 83', 0.03 xGKarlsson 61', 0.10 xG, goal12%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals60%0.48 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.48 xG, 0 goals15%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals12%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Welsh 32', 0.17 xGSlattery 17', 0.09 xGHendry 68', 0.09 xGSlattery 9', 0.06 xGWatt 31', 0.06 xGJust 89', 0.04 xGMaswanhise 17', 0.02 xGHendry 70', 0.02 xGMaswanhise 25', 0.01 xGJust 64', 0.09 xG, goal25%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals40%0.27 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 1 goal10%0.07 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals25%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenMotherwell

0.12 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.26 4 shots, 0 goals
0.10 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
0.58 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.40 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
90 min (97%) · Aberdeen 0.80, Motherwell 0.59 xG
Aberdeen ahead
3 min (3%) · Aberdeen 0.00, Motherwell 0.09 xG

Line-ups

12225388477162717MitovDevlinMilneKnoesterLobbanPolvaraShinnieGyamfiArmstrongLazeticKarlssonYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal90+1'90+1'46'46'90+1'Aberdeen 3-4-3Jimmy Thelin13221657452012188219WardKoutroumbisMcGinnWelshLongeloWattFadingerMaswanhiseSlatteryJustStamatelopoulosYellow cardGoal79'65'79'90+1'65'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 46' Molloy for Gyamfi
  • 46' Keskinen for Armstrong
  • 90+1' Aouchiche for Shinnie
  • 90+1' Clarkson for Polvara · yellow card 90+3'
  • 90+1' Nisbet for Lazetic

Motherwell substitutes

  • 65' Hendry for Stamatelopoulos
  • 65' Said for Maswanhise
  • 79' Priestman for Fadinger
  • 79' Charles-Cook for Slattery
  • 90+1' Osong for Just

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0120
DevlinCB900.000.0000.0745
MilneCB900.000.0000.02113
KnoesterCB900.000.0100.03411
Lobban RWB900.000.0510.0433
PolvaraCM900.000.1310.0118
Shinnie CM9010.000.0720.0936
Gyamfi LWB460.080.0000.0012
ArmstrongRW460.000.010−0.0110
LazeticST900.440.010−0.0203
KarlssonLW9010.140.1820.0443
MolloyDF440.140.0100.0105
KeskinenFW440.000.0300.0101
AouchicheMF00.000.0000.0001
Clarkson MF00.000.0000.0000
NisbetFW00.000.000––0

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WardGK900.000.0000.0200
KoutroumbisRB900.000.0400.11128
McGinnCB900.000.0310.08411
WelshCB900.170.0310.1255
LongeloLB900.000.0700.0521
Watt DM900.060.0610.0687
FadingerDM790.000.1110.2353
MaswanhiseRW650.040.0900.0823
SlatteryAM7910.160.3730.1631
JustLW9010.140.1300.1774
StamatelopoulosST650.000.0100.1004
HendryFW250.110.000−0.0101
SaidFW250.000.1300.0831
PriestmanMF110.000.0110.0310
Charles-CookFW110.000.0100.0010
OsongFW00.000.0000.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Mitov and Lazetic: 3 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 3 passesLobban and Polvara: 3 passesPolvara and Armstrong: 3 passesShinnie and Armstrong: 3 passesShinnie and Karlsson: 3 passesLazetic and Karlsson: 3 passesMilne and Armstrong: 4 passesMitov and Devlin: 5 passesMitov and Milne: 5 passesKnoester and Devlin: 5 passesKnoester and Polvara: 5 passesDevlin and Polvara: 5 passesMilne and Shinnie: 6 passesMitov and Knoester: 7 passesGyamfi and Shinnie: 7 passesDevlin and Milne: 9 passesKnoester and Gyamfi: 11 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 13 passesKnoester and Milne: 14 passesDevlin and Armstrong: 16 passesDevlin and Lobban: 17 passesMitov: 15 completed passesKnoester: 32 completed passesDevlin: 29 completed passesMilne: 20 completed passesLobban: 13 completed passesGyamfi: 11 completed passesPolvara: 11 completed passesShinnie: 20 completed passesArmstrong: 15 completed passesLazetic: 2 completed passesKarlsson: 6 completed passes15222387784162717MitovKnoesterDevlinMilneLobbanGyamfiPolvaraShinnieArmstrongLazeticKarlssonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

Maswanhise and Slattery: 5 passesWard and Watt: 6 passesKoutroumbis and Welsh: 6 passesJust and Stamatelopoulos: 6 passesFadinger and Just: 7 passesWatt and Just: 7 passesSlattery and Just: 7 passesKoutroumbis and Maswanhise: 8 passesWelsh and Just: 8 passesWelsh and Longelo: 10 passesWatt and Slattery: 11 passesWard and McGinn: 12 passesFadinger and Slattery: 12 passesWard and Welsh: 13 passesKoutroumbis and Fadinger: 13 passesKoutroumbis and Slattery: 13 passesMcGinn and Fadinger: 14 passesWelsh and Fadinger: 15 passesLongelo and Watt: 15 passesWelsh and McGinn: 17 passesLongelo and Just: 19 passesFadinger and Watt: 21 passesMcGinn and Watt: 22 passesKoutroumbis and Watt: 24 passesWelsh and Watt: 24 passesKoutroumbis and McGinn: 32 passesWard: 20 completed passesKoutroumbis: 54 completed passesWelsh: 52 completed passesMcGinn: 60 completed passesLongelo: 26 completed passesFadinger: 47 completed passesWatt: 66 completed passesMaswanhise: 6 completed passesSlattery: 30 completed passesJust: 27 completed passesStamatelopoulos: 5 completed passes13225716451220188219WardKoutroumbisWelshMcGinnLongeloFadingerWattMaswanhiseSlatteryJustStamatelopoulosStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
DevlinLobban15
KnoesterMilne12
ShinnieKnoester9
MilneKnoester9
LobbanDevlin9

Motherwell

FromToPasses
KoutroumbisMcGinn22
McGinnKoutroumbis20
WattKoutroumbis20
McGinnWatt17
McGinnWard16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

1−4.55−1.319+6.312+3.75+0.73−4.86−0.34−0.512+2.513+6.64−1.91−2.55+0.76+0.580.00−3.22−1.02−1.01−2.55−0.73+0.70−1.24+3.32+0.63+0.90−0.20−0.20−0.60−0.60−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Motherwell

1−3.43−3.57−3.04−2.840.07+0.913+7.06−0.46−1.63−2.89+2.87+3.85+1.95+1.34−0.611+7.29+4.420.02−0.91−3.33+0.30−1.510.07+5.40−2.41−0.11+0.41+0.31+0.41+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.030.010.030.01−0.010.010.040.02−0.02−0.010.020.08LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.030.020.020.020.010.030.060.030.04−0.010.050.110.020.050.100.040.030.090.050.10−0.020.020.170.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.23 → 1.23Motherwell1.29 → 1.28Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40 → 1.40Motherwell1.38 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
Top six30%27%−3
11th7%8%+1
Bottom3%3%0
Motherwell
Top six66%67%+1
11th1%1%0
Livingston
Top six2%3%+1
11th25%25%0

From the forecast before the match (9 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenMotherwell
Expected goals1.471.18
Win43%30%
Expected Points1.561.17
Clean sheet31%23%

Aberdeen 43%Draw 27%Motherwell 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%3%1%1%2%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawMotherwell win
Aberdeen
Top six30%40%27%18%
11th7%4%8%10%
Bottom3%2%3%5%
Motherwell
Top six66%57%67%79%
11th1%2%1%<1%
Livingston
Top six2%2%3%2%
11th25%27%25%24%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. W1–029 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.55–1.36
  2. L1–226 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.24–3.20
  3. W1–018 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.05–0.48
  4. W4–05 OctDundee FC (H)xG 2.80–0.31
  5. L0–227 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.00–2.03
  6. L0–223 SepDundee United (A)xG 1.33–1.33

Motherwell

  1. W2–029 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.08–0.48
  2. W2–125 OctLivingston (A)xG 2.16–2.45
  3. L1–218 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.01–1.35
  4. L2–35 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.39–2.62
  5. W2–027 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.03–1.00
  6. D1–113 SepDundee FC (A)xG 2.28–0.82

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenMotherwell
Position8th6th
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠63–⁠5–⁠2
Points10 (1.00 per game)14 (1.40 per game)
Expected Points per game1.381.47
Goals7–⁠1116–⁠13
xG per game1.31–⁠1.271.59–⁠1.43
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.35–⁠1.301.60, 1.61–⁠0.97
Away: points, xG per game1.20, 1.27–⁠1.251.20, 1.58–⁠1.88
ManagerJimmy Thelin (48)Jens Berthel Askou (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackAberdeen1.23, 6thMotherwell1.29, 5thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40, 6thMotherwell1.38, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovAberdeen attack: 1.23Motherwell attack: 1.291.291.23MotherwellAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovAberdeen defence: 1.40Motherwell defence: 1.381.401.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%−17%+37%+9%
Counter-attacks+43%+54%+14%−21%
Set pieces−20%−6%−51%average
Penalties−46%−46%+63%+8%
Headers−32%−9%−18%+4%
Left side+24%−2%+15%−20%
Centre−12%−9%−27%+24%
Right side−1%+5%+88%−28%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side+24%−28%Centre−12%+24%Right side−1%−20%Open play−2%+9%Counter-attacks+43%−21%Set pieces−20%averageHeaders−32%+4%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side+15%+5%Centre−27%−9%Right side+88%−2%Open play+37%−17%Counter-attacks+14%+54%Set pieces−51%−6%Headers−18%−9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenMotherwell

1.31xG1.59
1.27xG against1.43
48%Possession59%
12.9Shots12.3
12.8Shots against11.2
3.6Shots on target3.8
1.9Big chances2.2
21.4Touches in the opposition box26.3
413Passes538
78%Pass accuracy84%
4.3Corners3.9
46%Field tilt59%
33.3Final-third entries44.6
10.7Box entries15.6
15.6Passes per defensive action13.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.330.91
Ahead141.200.99
Behind261.332.12

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.251.45
Ahead191.581.98
Behind162.820.69

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.090–1
16–300.200.153–1
31–450.280.131–2
46–600.150.350–1
61–750.220.241–3
76–900.310.312–3

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.140–1
16–300.160.272–3
31–450.290.174–0
46–600.440.173–2
61–750.270.282–3
76–900.390.415–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 10Jensen 6Devlin 4Milne 8Dorrington 2Devlin 1Knoester 9Gyamfi 4Shinnie 2Molloy 2Armstrong 4Nilsen 4Clarkson 2Shinnie 5Palaversa 3Milanovic 4Aouchiche 2Devlin 1Aouchiche 5Polvara 2Jensen 2Karlsson 7Keskinen 3Nisbet 6Yengi 3Lazetic 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 10Koutroumbis 5O'Donnell 5Gordon 6O'Donnell 1Balmer 1McGinn 7Welsh 5Longelo 9Koutroumbis 1Fadinger 10Just 2Watt 8Maswanhise 9Said 1Slattery 3Said 3Watt 2Charles-Cook 4Said 3Just 2Stamatelopoulos 7Hendry 2Maswanhise 14-2-3-1 in 8 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (8), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 September 2025Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 2.03–1.00
29 March 2025Aberdeen4–1MotherwellxG 1.58–1.21
5 January 2025Motherwell2–0AberdeenxG 1.36–0.89
14 September 2024Aberdeen2–1MotherwellxG 1.85–1.67
27 April 2024Aberdeen1–0MotherwellxG 2.32–0.41
16 March 2024Motherwell0–1AberdeenxG 1.32–1.17

17 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 8, Motherwell won 6, and 3 were drawn. Goals 25–24 and xG 1.50–1.34 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Karlsson7575200.340.17
Armstrong5455110.260.17
Aouchiche7579100.250.06
Jensen9795000.060.06

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos7618420.910.05
Just6547130.250.26
Maswanhise10831510.300.11
Longelo9833320.160.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.