Saturday 20 September 2025, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 5,108
Dundee FC Murray 43', Westley 66', Jones 90+7' (pen)
Livingston C. Robertson 74' (og), Bokila 83' (pen)
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Goals
3
2
xG
2.74
1.51
Non-penalty xG
1.95
0.72
Expected Points
2.30
0.49
Dundee FC 70%Draw 21%Livingston 10%
Most likely score 3–1, 15%. Final score 3–2, 12%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee FCLivingston
2.74 +2.41xG1.51 +0.57
1.95Non-penalty xG0.72
2.93 +2.45xG on target2.31 +1.16
12 +6.6Shots10 +1.6
4 +2.2Shots on target6 +2.6
3 +2.2Big chances2 +0.8
29 +20.4Touches in the opposition box22 +5.6
41% +3Possession59% +17
325 −21Passes502 +174
78% +1Pass accuracy84% +15
52% +25Field tilt48% +14
37 +14Final-third entries43 +18
16 +12.8Box entries10 +2.6
24.1 −6Passes per defensive action12.8 −1
8 +5.0Corners3 −1.8
10 −6Tackles20 0
8 −0.8Interceptions3 −6.4
28 −13Clearances40 −5
5 +1.2Saves1 −1.2
10 +2.4Fouls12 −3.6
4 +3.2Offsides3 +2.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee FC
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
43'66'74'83'90+7'
0–01–02–02–12–2
0'HTFT
Level
57 min (58%) · Dundee FC 1.87, Livingston 0.67 xG
Dundee FC ahead
41 min (42%) · Dundee FC 0.88, Livingston 0.83 xG
Line-ups
Dundee FC substitutes
71'Jones for Yogane · goal 90+7' (pen)
76'Samuels for Congreve
76'Hay for Murray
76'Acquah for Westley · yellow card 82'
89'Reilly for F. Robertson
Livingston substitutes
59'McLennan for Yengi
59'May for Sylla · yellow card 90+1'
69'Carey for Tait
69'Susoho for Muirhead
69'Bokila for Pittman · goal 83' (pen)
Players
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McCracken
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
3
1
Wright
RB
90
0.00
0.06
0
0.15
6
6
Astley
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
8
C. Robertson
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.10
8
6
Graham
LB
90
0.13
0.04
1
0.06
2
7
Congreve
RM
76
2
0.17
1.57
4
0.53
12
2
F. Robertson
CM
89
0.05
0.05
0
0.00
7
0
Hamilton
CM
90
0.02
0.04
1
0.01
4
5
Yogane
LM
71
0.04
0.02
1
0.00
4
2
Westley
ST
76
1
0.59
0.01
0
0.03
3
2
Murray
ST
76
1
0.78
0.01
0
−0.01
1
1
Jones
MF
19
1
0.79
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Samuels
DF
14
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
4
Hay
FW
14
0.18
0.00
0
0.02
1
2
Acquah
FW
14
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
0
0
Reilly
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Prior
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Finlayson
RB
90
0.00
0.05
2
0.10
8
9
Blaney
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
7
9
Wilson
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.12
9
10
Montgomery
LB
90
0.03
0.03
1
0.05
4
9
Sylla
DM
59
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
3
Tait
DM
69
0.13
0.02
0
−0.01
3
1
Smith
RW
90
0.37
0.10
1
0.24
16
8
Pittman
AM
69
0.00
0.01
0
−0.04
0
5
Yengi
LW
59
0.00
0.01
0
−0.02
1
3
Muirhead
ST
69
0.17
0.00
0
0.03
1
0
McLennan
MF
31
0.00
0.17
1
0.20
2
3
May
FW
31
0.02
0.06
0
0.06
1
0
Carey
MF
21
0.01
0.02
0
0.03
2
1
Susoho
MF
21
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Bokila
FW
21
1
0.79
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee FC
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
McCracken
C. Robertson
14
C. Robertson
McCracken
12
Astley
Wright
11
Wright
Astley
10
Wright
Congreve
10
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Blaney
Finlayson
23
Blaney
Wilson
22
Finlayson
Smith
20
Wilson
Tait
19
Finlayson
Blaney
17
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee FC
Against its average of 5 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 5 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee FC
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee FC
Top six
3%
5%
+2
11th
26%
26%
0
Bottom
34%
26%
−8
Livingston
Top six
11%
7%
−4
11th
22%
24%
+2
Bottom
18%
26%
+8
Falkirk
Top six
11%
11%
0
11th
19%
18%
−1
Bottom
32%
33%
+1
From the forecast before the match (20 September 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Expected goals
1.43
1.17
Win
42%
30%
Expected Points
1.54
1.18
Clean sheet
31%
24%
Dundee FC 42%Draw 27%Livingston 30%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.
From the forecast as it stood on 20 September 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee FC win
Draw
Livingston win
Dundee FC
Top six
3%
5%
2%
2%
11th
26%
26%
25%
27%
Bottom
34%
26%
37%
44%
Livingston
Top six
11%
7%
11%
15%
11th
22%
24%
23%
18%
Bottom
18%
26%
16%
10%
Falkirk
Top six
11%
11%
11%
10%
11th
19%
18%
19%
22%
Bottom
32%
33%
32%
31%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Position
11th
7th
Played
5
5
Won, drawn, lost
0–3–2
1–2–2
Points
3 (0.60 per game)
5 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.41
1.12
Goals
3–6
6–8
xG per game
0.33–1.54
0.94–1.47
Home: points, xG per game
0.33, 0.36–1.54
1.50, 1.04–1.10
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 0.30–1.54
0.67, 0.88–1.72
Manager
Steven Pressley (5)
David Martindale (142)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee FC
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−64%
+18%
−32%
+53%
Counter-attacks
−87%
+15%
−60%
−38%
Set pieces
−55%
+28%
−43%
−14%
Penalties
−78%
+55%
+183%
−83%
Headers
−47%
+26%
−35%
+2%
Left side
−51%
+50%
−34%
+61%
Centre
−70%
+12%
−50%
−5%
Right side
−61%
+14%
−18%
+41%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Dundee FC attacking
Dundee FC createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−51%+41%Centre−70%−5%Right side−61%+61%Open play−64%+53%Counter-attacks−87%−38%Set pieces−55%−14%Headers−47%+2%
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−34%+14%Centre−50%+12%Right side−18%+50%Open play−32%+18%Counter-attacks−60%+15%Set pieces−43%+28%Headers−35%+26%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee FCLivingston
0.33xG0.94
1.54xG against1.47
38%Possession42%
5.4Shots8.4
15.0Shots against13.0
1.8Shots on target3.4
0.8Big chances1.2
8.6Touches in the opposition box16.4
346Passes328
77%Pass accuracy70%
3.0Corners4.8
27%Field tilt34%
23.4Final-third entries25.0
3.2Box entries7.4
30.1Passes per defensive action13.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee FC
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
0.40
1.37
Ahead
8
0.09
3.44
Behind
31
0.28
1.35
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
53
0.39
1.72
Ahead
19
1.50
0.56
Behind
18
2.02
1.66
xG by period
Dundee FC
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.02
0.07
0–1
16–30
0.02
0.10
0–1
31–45
0.07
0.29
1–2
46–60
0.16
0.31
2–0
61–75
0.01
0.37
0–0
76–90
0.06
0.40
0–2
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.04
0.16
0–0
16–30
0.09
0.07
2–0
31–45
0.10
0.43
1–2
46–60
0.21
0.29
0–2
61–75
0.24
0.13
1–2
76–90
0.26
0.40
2–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Dundee FC
Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)
Livingston
Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
7 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 3, Livingston won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 8–9 and xG 1.07–1.39 per game.
Key players
Dundee FC
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Murray
39
3,380
16
3
0.34
0.07
F. Robertson
19
1,913
1
4
0.05
0.12
Koumetio
14
1,248
0
0
0.04
0.09
Donnelly
10
976
1
0
0.05
0.06
Livingston
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Pittman
5
450
2
0
0.13
0.04
McGowan
5
450
0
0
0.00
0.09
Prior
5
450
0
0
0.00
0.00
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.