Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Dundee FC 3–2 Livingston

Saturday 20 September 2025, 15:00 · Dens Park · Round 10 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ross Hardie · Attendance 5,108

Dundee FC Murray 43', Westley 66', Jones 90+7' (pen)

Livingston C. Robertson 74' (og), Bokila 83' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCLivingston
Goals32
xG2.741.51
Non-penalty xG1.950.72
Expected Points2.300.49

Dundee FC 70%Draw 21%Livingston 10%

Most likely score 3–1, 15%. Final score 3–2, 12%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+5%3%1%3%3%3%4%2%7%6%2%2%1%13%12%15%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTJones on for Yogane, 71'Hay on for Murray, Acquah on for Westley, and Samuels on for Congreve, 76'Reilly on for F. Robertson, 89'McLennan on for Yengi and May on for Sylla, 59'Carey on for Tait, Bokila on for Pittman, and Susoho on for Muirhead, 69'Murray 43'Westley 66'Jones 90+7' (pen)C. Robertson 74' (og)Bokila 83' (pen)Dundee FC 2.74Livingston 1.5101230153045607590HTJones on for Yogane, 71'Hay on for Murray, Acquah on for Westley, and Samuels on for Congreve, 76'Reilly on for F. Robertson, 89'McLennan on for Yengi and May on for Sylla, 59'Carey on for Tait, Bokila on for Pittman, and Susoho on for Muirhead, 69'Murray 43'Westley 66'Jones 90+7' (pen)C. Robertson 74' (og)Bokila 83' (pen)2.741.51Dundee FCLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCLivingston

2.74 +2.41xG1.51 +0.57
1.95Non-penalty xG0.72
2.93 +2.45xG on target2.31 +1.16
12 +6.6Shots10 +1.6
4 +2.2Shots on target6 +2.6
3 +2.2Big chances2 +0.8
29 +20.4Touches in the opposition box22 +5.6
41% +3Possession59% +17
325 −21Passes502 +174
78% +1Pass accuracy84% +15
52% +25Field tilt48% +14
37 +14Final-third entries43 +18
16 +12.8Box entries10 +2.6
24.1 −6Passes per defensive action12.8 −1
8 +5.0Corners3 −1.8
10 −6Tackles20 0
8 −0.8Interceptions3 −6.4
28 −13Clearances40 −5
5 +1.2Saves1 −1.2
10 +2.4Fouls12 −3.6
4 +3.2Offsides3 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Hay 85', 0.18 xGGraham 48', 0.13 xGCongreve 64', 0.10 xGF. Robertson 54', 0.05 xGYogane 30', 0.04 xGWestley 65', 0.04 xGCongreve 31', 0.03 xGCongreve 38', 0.03 xGHamilton 15', 0.02 xGMurray 43', 0.78 xG, goalWestley 66', 0.55 xG, goal75%1.46 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.46 xG, 2 goals11%0.22 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals9%0.18 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals4%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Smith 90+3', 0.33 xGMuirhead 41', 0.14 xGTait 13', 0.13 xGMontgomery 68', 0.03 xGMuirhead 7', 0.02 xGSmith 33', 0.02 xGSmith 55', 0.02 xGMay 88', 0.02 xGCarey 89', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals85%0.60 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.60 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals8%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCLivingston

1.59 6 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.65 6 shots, 0 goals
0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
0.26 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
57 min (58%) · Dundee FC 1.87, Livingston 0.67 xG
Dundee FC ahead
41 min (42%) · Dundee FC 0.88, Livingston 0.83 xG

Line-ups

174322201048171915McCrackenWrightAstleyC. RobertsonGrahamCongreveF. RobertsonHamiltonYoganeWestleyMurrayOwn goalGoalGoal76'89'71'76'76'Dundee FC 4-4-2Steven Pressley281942732425158399PriorFinlaysonBlaneyWilsonMontgomerySyllaTaitSmithPittmanYengiMuirheadYellow cardYellow card59'69'69'59'69'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 71' Jones for Yogane · goal 90+7' (pen)
  • 76' Samuels for Congreve
  • 76' Hay for Murray
  • 76' Acquah for Westley · yellow card 82'
  • 89' Reilly for F. Robertson

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' McLennan for Yengi
  • 59' May for Sylla · yellow card 90+1'
  • 69' Carey for Tait
  • 69' Susoho for Muirhead
  • 69' Bokila for Pittman · goal 83' (pen)

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0100.0531
WrightRB900.000.0600.1566
AstleyCB900.000.0000.0458
C. RobertsonCB900.000.0100.1086
GrahamLB900.130.0410.0627
CongreveRM7620.171.5740.53122
F. RobertsonCM890.050.0500.0070
HamiltonCM900.020.0410.0145
YoganeLM710.040.0210.0042
WestleyST7610.590.0100.0332
MurrayST7610.780.010−0.0111
JonesMF1910.790.0000.0001
SamuelsDF140.000.0100.0004
HayFW140.180.0000.0212
Acquah FW140.000.0300.0100
ReillyMF10.000.0000.0200

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0112
FinlaysonRB900.000.0520.1089
BlaneyCB900.000.0000.0579
WilsonCB900.000.0100.12910
MontgomeryLB900.030.0310.0549
Sylla DM590.000.0000.0203
Tait DM690.130.020−0.0131
SmithRW900.370.1010.24168
PittmanAM690.000.010−0.0405
YengiLW590.000.010−0.0213
MuirheadST690.170.0000.0310
McLennanMF310.000.1710.2023
May FW310.020.0600.0610
CareyMF210.010.0200.0321
SusohoMF210.000.0000.0010
BokilaFW2110.790.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

C. Robertson and Hamilton: 4 passesAstley and Congreve: 4 passesGraham and Murray: 4 passesCongreve and Hamilton: 4 passesF. Robertson and Yogane: 4 passesF. Robertson and Murray: 4 passesMcCracken and Wright: 5 passesCongreve and Westley: 5 passesF. Robertson and Westley: 5 passesC. Robertson and F. Robertson: 6 passesGraham and F. Robertson: 6 passesC. Robertson and Graham: 8 passesGraham and Yogane: 8 passesF. Robertson and Hamilton: 8 passesMcCracken and Astley: 9 passesWright and Congreve: 9 passesC. Robertson and Yogane: 11 passesGraham and Hamilton: 11 passesAstley and F. Robertson: 12 passesWright and F. Robertson: 15 passesCongreve and F. Robertson: 16 passesWright and Astley: 21 passesMcCracken and C. Robertson: 24 passesMcCracken: 22 completed passesWright: 36 completed passesC. Robertson: 31 completed passesAstley: 24 completed passesGraham: 24 completed passesCongreve: 20 completed passesF. Robertson: 40 completed passesHamilton: 25 completed passesYogane: 12 completed passesMurray: 7 completed passesWestley: 6 completed passes173422201048171519McCrackenWrightC. RobertsonAstleyGrahamCongreveF. RobertsonHamiltonYoganeMurrayWestleyStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Livingston

Prior and Finlayson: 4 passesBlaney and Tait: 4 passesWilson and Pittman: 4 passesPrior and Tait: 5 passesFinlayson and Wilson: 5 passesFinlayson and Muirhead: 5 passesBlaney and Sylla: 6 passesFinlayson and Tait: 7 passesWilson and Sylla: 7 passesWilson and Yengi: 7 passesSylla and Tait: 7 passesMontgomery and Tait: 8 passesTait and Yengi: 8 passesWilson and Montgomery: 9 passesFinlayson and Sylla: 11 passesMontgomery and Yengi: 12 passesPrior and Blaney: 17 passesFinlayson and Blaney: 19 passesFinlayson and Smith: 19 passesPrior and Wilson: 22 passesBlaney and Wilson: 23 passesWilson and Tait: 30 passesPrior: 29 completed passesFinlayson: 37 completed passesBlaney: 37 completed passesWilson: 55 completed passesMontgomery: 24 completed passesSylla: 20 completed passesTait: 37 completed passesSmith: 13 completed passesPittman: 11 completed passesYengi: 16 completed passesMuirhead: 2 completed passes281942732425158399PriorFinlaysonBlaneyWilsonMontgomerySyllaTaitSmithPittmanYengiMuirheadStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McCrackenC. Robertson14
C. RobertsonMcCracken12
AstleyWright11
WrightAstley10
WrightCongreve10

Livingston

FromToPasses
BlaneyFinlayson23
BlaneyWilson22
FinlaysonSmith20
WilsonTait19
FinlaysonBlaney17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

5−1.25−3.49+0.46+1.03−3.07+1.62−7.490.08−0.25+1.23−2.62−0.42−1.48+3.47+3.03+0.42+0.81−1.64+2.03+2.22+1.61+0.80−1.220.02+1.600.03+2.600.00−0.610−12.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Livingston

4−1.65−2.219+0.210+1.46−0.28+1.87−3.811+0.88+4.46+1.02−1.28−2.010+3.65+2.22−1.62+0.21−2.83−2.43−0.21−0.60−1.410.01−2.02+1.200.00−1.21+0.80−2.02−9.82−8.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.040.010.010.010.010.020.040.020.030.030.020.060.05−0.020.020.010.120.04−0.010.010.170.01−0.040.010.36LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.010.010.020.030.040.010.040.010.020.030.040.070.030.020.010.020.080.060.03−0.020.030.060.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee FC1.04 → 1.08Livingston1.00 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.74 → 1.72Livingston1.61 → 1.67

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six3%5%+2
11th26%26%0
Bottom34%26%−8
Livingston
Top six11%7%−4
11th22%24%+2
Bottom18%26%+8
Falkirk
Top six11%11%0
11th19%18%−1
Bottom32%33%+1

From the forecast before the match (20 September 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCLivingston
Expected goals1.431.17
Win42%30%
Expected Points1.541.18
Clean sheet31%24%

Dundee FC 42%Draw 27%Livingston 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 September 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawLivingston win
Dundee FC
Top six3%5%2%2%
11th26%26%25%27%
Bottom34%26%37%44%
Livingston
Top six11%7%11%15%
11th22%24%23%18%
Bottom18%26%16%10%
Falkirk
Top six11%11%11%10%
11th19%18%19%22%
Bottom32%33%32%31%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. D1–113 SepMotherwell (H)xG 0.82–2.28
  2. L0–231 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.12–0.91
  3. D0–023 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 0.26–1.11
  4. D1–19 AugRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.97
  5. L1–23 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.13–1.42
  6. W2–018 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.48–0.53

Livingston

  1. D0–013 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.56–1.22
  2. L1–230 AugHearts (H)xG 0.50–1.42
  3. L0–323 AugCeltic (A)xG 0.24–3.02
  4. W3–19 AugFalkirk (H)xG 1.59–0.78
  5. D2–22 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.83–0.91
  6. D1–119 MayHibernian (H)xG 0.66–0.66

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCLivingston
Position11th7th
Played55
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠3–⁠21–⁠2–⁠2
Points3 (0.60 per game)5 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.411.12
Goals3–⁠66–⁠8
xG per game0.33–⁠1.540.94–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game0.33, 0.36–⁠1.541.50, 1.04–⁠1.10
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.30–⁠1.540.67, 0.88–⁠1.72
ManagerSteven Pressley (5)David Martindale (142)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee FC1.04, 10thLivingston1.00, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.74, 12thLivingston1.61, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepDundee FC attack: 1.04Livingston attack: 1.001.041.00LivingstonDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepDundee FC defence: 1.74Livingston defence: 1.611.741.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−64%+18%−32%+53%
Counter-attacks−87%+15%−60%−38%
Set pieces−55%+28%−43%−14%
Penalties−78%+55%+183%−83%
Headers−47%+26%−35%+2%
Left side−51%+50%−34%+61%
Centre−70%+12%−50%−5%
Right side−61%+14%−18%+41%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side−51%+41%Centre−70%−5%Right side−61%+61%Open play−64%+53%Counter-attacks−87%−38%Set pieces−55%−14%Headers−47%+2%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−34%+14%Centre−50%+12%Right side−18%+50%Open play−32%+18%Counter-attacks−60%+15%Set pieces−43%+28%Headers−35%+26%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCLivingston

0.33xG0.94
1.54xG against1.47
38%Possession42%
5.4Shots8.4
15.0Shots against13.0
1.8Shots on target3.4
0.8Big chances1.2
8.6Touches in the opposition box16.4
346Passes328
77%Pass accuracy70%
3.0Corners4.8
27%Field tilt34%
23.4Final-third entries25.0
3.2Box entries7.4
30.1Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.401.37
Ahead80.093.44
Behind310.281.35

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.391.72
Ahead191.500.56
Behind182.021.66

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.070–1
16–300.020.100–1
31–450.070.291–2
46–600.160.312–0
61–750.010.370–0
76–900.060.400–2

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.160–0
16–300.090.072–0
31–450.100.431–2
46–600.210.290–2
61–750.240.131–2
76–900.260.402–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTMcCracken 5Wright 4Ingram 1Astley 5C. Robert… 5C. RobertsonGraham 5Samuels 4Yogane 1Jones 4Westley 3Hamilton 2Digby 2F. Robertson 4Murray 3Hay 2Westley 1Dhanda 3Acquah 15-3-2 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (3), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 5Finlayson 4Lawal 1McGowan 5Wilson 4Blaney 1Montgomery 4Lawal 1Pittman 4Tait 2Sylla 3Carey 1Smith 3Pittman 1Winter 1Tait 2Sylla 1Wilson 1Yengi 2Winter 2Carey 1Muirhead 3Bokila 24-2-3-1 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 January 2024Livingston1–4Dundee FCxG 2.22–1.11
5 November 2023Dundee FC1–0LivingstonxG 0.67–1.49
28 October 2023Livingston0–2Dundee FCxG 0.14–2.02
15 May 2022Livingston2–1Dundee FCxG 1.48–1.58
26 February 2022Dundee FC0–4LivingstonxG 0.49–2.72
18 January 2022Livingston2–0Dundee FCxG 1.27–0.56

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 3, Livingston won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 8–9 and xG 1.07–1.39 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray393,3801630.340.07
F. Robertson191,913140.050.12
Koumetio141,248000.040.09
Donnelly10976100.050.06

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pittman5450200.130.04
McGowan5450000.000.09
Prior5450000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.