Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Hearts 3–0 Dundee FC

Saturday 11 May 2024, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 36 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 18,757

Hearts Vargas 35', Forrest 53', Shankland 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsDundee FC
Goals30
xG2.411.03
Expected Points2.320.50

Hearts 71%Draw 18%Dundee FC 10%

Most likely score 2–1, 12%. Final score 3–0, 9%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+1%1%6%8%4%1%7%2%5%2%4%5%2%1%1%11%12%9%10%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTSibbick on for Lembikisa and Wilson on for Vargas, 62'Denholm on for Devlin and Oda on for Forrest, 71'Fraser on for McKay, 79'Howley on for McGhee, 46'Costelloe on for Dodgson, 68'Mulligan on for Boateng, 78'Main on for Cameron, 83'Vargas 35'Forrest 53'Shankland 90'Hearts 2.41Dundee FC 1.0301230153045607590HTSibbick on for Lembikisa and Wilson on for Vargas, 62'Denholm on for Devlin and Oda on for Forrest, 71'Fraser on for McKay, 79'Howley on for McGhee, 46'Costelloe on for Dodgson, 68'Mulligan on for Boateng, 78'Main on for Cameron, 83'Vargas 35'Forrest 53'Shankland 90'2.411.03HeartsDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsDundee FC

2.41 +1.05xG1.03 −0.16
3.26 +1.85xG on target0.95 −0.29
16 +3Shots16 +4
8 +3.6Shots on target5 +1.2
4 +2.5Big chances0 −1.7
27 +1Touches in the opposition box25 +5
54% −1Possession46% +3
507 +50Passes425 +95
87% +12Pass accuracy84% +17
50% −5Field tilt50% +11
50 +8Final-third entries49 +16
18 +4.7Box entries14 +5.2
14.3 0Passes per defensive action17.0 0
2 −4.8Corners5 +0.1
13 −2Tackles17 +2
5 −1.2Interceptions9 +0.5
14 −7Clearances10 −18
5 +2.2Saves5 +1.8
8 −2.3Fouls8 −1.9
1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Vargas 20', 0.26 xGShankland 81', 0.11 xGShankland 3', 0.08 xGForrest 45+1', 0.08 xGForrest 19', 0.07 xGWilson 64', 0.06 xGDevlin 18', 0.04 xGMcKay 57', 0.04 xGMcKay 73', 0.04 xGCochrane 22', 0.03 xGMcKay 49', 0.03 xGKingsley 84', 0.02 xGShankland 90+3', 0.02 xGForrest 53', 0.73 xG, goalVargas 35', 0.47 xG, goalShankland 90', 0.35 xG, goal30%0.73 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.73 xG, 1 goal22%0.54 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.54 xG, 1 goal33%0.79 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.79 xG, 1 goal12%0.29 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals2%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Astley 34', 0.14 xGPortales 42', 0.11 xGMellon 89', 0.11 xGMellon 78', 0.10 xGMellon 89', 0.10 xGBakayoko 6', 0.07 xGDodgson 59', 0.07 xGMellon 33', 0.06 xGCameron 48', 0.06 xGMcCowan 59', 0.06 xGBoateng 48', 0.04 xGHowley 66', 0.04 xGCameron 39', 0.03 xGMellon 90+4', 0.02 xGDonnelly 60', 0.01 xGDonnelly 90', 0.01 xG13%0.14 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.14 xG, 0 goals59%0.61 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.61 xG, 0 goals16%0.17 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals12%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsDundee FC

2.31 14 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.60 10 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.37 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
35 min (36%) · Hearts 0.94, Dundee FC 0.27 xG
Hearts ahead
62 min (64%) · Hearts 1.47, Dundee FC 0.77 xG

Line-ups

181315196141777189GordonLembikisaKingsleyRowlesCochraneBaningimeDevlinForrestVargasMcKayShanklandGoalGoalGoal62'71'71'62'79'Hearts 4-2-3-1Steven Naismith224292561023173269McCrackenAstleyPortalesDonnellyMcGheeCameronBoatengMcCowanDodgsonMellonBakayokoYellow cardYellow cardYellow card46'83'78'68'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty

Hearts substitutes

  • 62' Sibbick for Lembikisa
  • 62' Wilson for Vargas
  • 71' Denholm for Devlin
  • 71' Oda for Forrest
  • 79' Fraser for McKay · 1 assist

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 46' Howley for McGhee
  • 68' Costelloe for Dodgson
  • 78' Mulligan for Boateng
  • 83' Main for Cameron

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0310
LembikisaRB620.000.1900.1572
KingsleyCB900.020.0100.1177
RowlesCB900.000.0100.0945
CochraneLB900.030.0300.12113
BaningimeDM900.000.0300.0223
DevlinDM710.040.010−0.0114
ForrestRW7110.880.0720.1262
VargasAM6210.730.0110.0522
McKayLW7920.110.9640.32112
ShanklandST9010.550.4010.2642
SibbickDF280.000.0220.0523
WilsonFW280.060.0100.0110
DenholmMF190.000.0010.0310
OdaFW190.000.000−0.0100
FraserMF1110.000.3210.0730

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McCrackenGK900.000.0100.0951
AstleyCB900.140.0000.04411
PortalesCB900.110.0000.0539
Donnelly CB900.020.1410.1551
McGheeRWB460.000.1110.0512
CameronCM830.100.0510.0973
BoatengCM780.040.0100.0335
McCowan CM900.060.1510.23101
DodgsonLWB680.070.134−0.1341
MellonST900.380.0100.0311
Bakayoko ST900.070.031−0.0320
HowleyMF440.040.3430.4063
CostelloeFW220.000.3230.0401
MulliganMF120.000.0100.0311
MainFW70.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Devlin and Baningime: 5 passesVargas and McKay: 5 passesGordon and Rowles: 6 passesLembikisa and Shankland: 6 passesKingsley and Devlin: 6 passesKingsley and Shankland: 6 passesBaningime and Shankland: 6 passesRowles and Devlin: 7 passesLembikisa and Devlin: 8 passesDevlin and McKay: 8 passesRowles and McKay: 9 passesCochrane and Baningime: 9 passesMcKay and Shankland: 9 passesKingsley and Forrest: 10 passesRowles and Baningime: 12 passesKingsley and Cochrane: 12 passesKingsley and Baningime: 12 passesCochrane and Devlin: 12 passesLembikisa and Baningime: 15 passesLembikisa and Forrest: 18 passesRowles and Cochrane: 19 passesLembikisa and Kingsley: 21 passesCochrane and McKay: 26 passesRowles and Kingsley: 27 passesGordon: 14 completed passesLembikisa: 40 completed passesRowles: 46 completed passesKingsley: 52 completed passesCochrane: 47 completed passesDevlin: 25 completed passesBaningime: 35 completed passesForrest: 24 completed passesVargas: 6 completed passesMcKay: 32 completed passesShankland: 20 completed passes181153191461777189GordonLembikisaRowlesKingsleyCochraneDevlinBaningimeForrestVargasMcKayShanklandStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Dundee FC

Astley and Boateng: 4 passesAstley and Cameron: 4 passesDonnelly and Cameron: 4 passesMcGhee and Boateng: 4 passesDodgson and Cameron: 4 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 4 passesMcCracken and Astley: 5 passesMcCracken and Mellon: 5 passesAstley and Portales: 5 passesDonnelly and Boateng: 5 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 5 passesBoateng and McCowan: 5 passesBoateng and Cameron: 5 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 5 passesMcCracken and Donnelly: 7 passesDodgson and McCowan: 7 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 9 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 9 passesMcCracken and Portales: 12 passesDonnelly and Portales: 13 passesDonnelly and Dodgson: 14 passesMcCracken: 22 completed passesAstley: 13 completed passesDonnelly: 27 completed passesPortales: 19 completed passesMcGhee: 10 completed passesDodgson: 18 completed passesBoateng: 18 completed passesMcCowan: 20 completed passesCameron: 22 completed passesBakayoko: 8 completed passesMellon: 2 completed passes224252963231710926McCrackenAstleyDonnellyPortalesMcGheeDodgsonBoatengMcCowanCameronBakayokoMellonStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
CochraneMcKay24
RowlesCochrane17
KingsleyRowles17
KingsleyLembikisa13
RowlesKingsley11

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
DonnellyDodgson12
DonnellyPortales12
PortalesDonnelly11
McCrackenPortales10
McCowanCameron9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

3−2.210+2.54−2.54−0.511+3.57+1.62−2.31−5.63−3.61−4.52−2.94−0.76+0.73−2.77+3.34+0.53+0.33−0.36+1.73+1.11−0.70−1.13+1.91−1.11+0.20−0.71+0.41+0.41+0.36−9.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Dundee FC

2−3.56−1.76−4.15−1.63−3.78+1.47+1.62−4.93−4.44−1.610+5.34+0.52−2.63−3.34−0.88+5.02−0.14+1.12−1.41−1.01−0.50−1.14+2.83+0.60−0.90−0.41+0.61+0.40−0.910−8.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.030.020.010.010.040.010.020.020.050.070.020.040.040.070.020.050.050.070.110.110.060.070.09−0.020.040.180.16LessMore

Dundee FC

0.030.040.010.010.040.020.010.020.020.030.020.010.030.020.110.090.040.03−0.010.11−0.030.03−0.150.030.100.42LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHearts1.36 → 1.40Dundee FC1.07 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.22 → 1.20Dundee FC1.50 → 1.53

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsDundee FC
Expected goals1.870.90
Win59%17%
Expected Points2.020.75
Clean sheet40%15%

Hearts 59%Draw 23%Dundee FC 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 11%. Both sides score 51%.

Dundee FC goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%5%3%5%1%4%1%7%6%3%3%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

  1. L0–34 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.43–2.78
  2. D0–027 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.95–0.89
  3. W4–213 AprLivingston (H)xG 3.81–0.97
  4. W2–16 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.37–0.89
  5. D1–130 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.61–1.55
  6. L1–216 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.27–1.74

Dundee FC

  1. L1–34 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 0.79–1.43
  2. L1–228 AprCeltic (H)xG 1.10–1.53
  3. D0–017 AprRangers (H)xG 0.51–1.06
  4. D0–013 AprAberdeen (A)xG 1.11–1.01
  5. L2–36 AprMotherwell (H)xG 0.47–2.62
  6. W2–130 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.03–1.28

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsDundee FC
Position3rd6th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost19–⁠6–⁠1010–⁠11–⁠14
Points63 (1.80 per game)41 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game1.371.16
Goals46–⁠3746–⁠59
xG per game1.36–⁠1.451.19–⁠1.64
Home: points, xG per game1.88, 1.58–⁠1.371.28, 1.30–⁠1.64
Away: points, xG per game1.72, 1.16–⁠1.531.06, 1.08–⁠1.64
ManagerSteven Naismith (31)Tony Docherty (35)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackHearts1.36, 3rdDundee FC1.07, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.22, 3rdDundee FC1.50, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts attack: 1.36Dundee FC attack: 1.071.361.07Dundee FCHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts defence: 1.22Dundee FC defence: 1.501.501.22

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−2%+2%−22%+13%
Counter-attacks−9%−35%−51%+31%
Set pieces−13%+17%+25%+8%
Penalties+26%+12%−30%+54%
Headers−25%+13%average+38%
Left side−5%−15%−11%+23%
Centre−14%+6%−7%+8%
Right side+9%+17%−23%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdDundee FC concededLeft side−5%+14%Centre−14%+8%Right side+9%+23%Open play−2%+13%Counter-attacks−9%+31%Set pieces−13%+8%Headers−25%+38%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdHearts concededLeft side−11%+17%Centre−7%+6%Right side−23%−15%Open play−22%+2%Counter-attacks−51%−35%Set pieces+25%+17%Headersaverage+13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsDundee FC

1.36xG1.19
1.45xG against1.64
55%Possession43%
13.4Shots11.5
13.4Shots against14.9
4.4Shots on target3.8
1.5Big chances1.7
26.1Touches in the opposition box20.2
458Passes330
76%Pass accuracy67%
6.8Corners4.9
55%Field tilt39%
41.8Final-third entries32.8
13.3Box entries8.8
14.0Passes per defensive action17.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.381.28
Ahead261.141.62
Behind201.621.60

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.201.39
Ahead201.011.92
Behind231.331.90

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.224–5
16–300.170.236–7
31–450.250.227–5
46–600.200.278–6
61–750.330.1611–7
76–900.270.3510–7

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.183–5
16–300.130.236–8
31–450.180.307–9
46–600.210.255–8
61–750.250.2410–9
76–900.290.4515–20

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTClark 34Gordon 1Kingsley 21Atkinson 7Sibbick 7Kent 33Halkett 4Rowles 28Oda 8Atkinson 7Lembikisa 6Nieuwen… 21NieuwenhofDevlin 12Denholm 6Baningi… 23BaningimeFraser 3Boyce 3Grant 15Lowry 7Haring 5Cochrane 19Forrest 7Vargas 3Shankland 32Vargas 9Cochrane 8Kingsley 63-5-2 in 19 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (19), 4-2-3-1 (14), 3-4-2-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 25McCracken 9Sharp 1Portales 18McGhee 8Ashcroft 7Shaughnessy 33Lamie 15Donnelly 14Dodgson 4McGhee 20McCowan 4Costelloe 2Cameron 25Mulligan 4Robertson 4Boateng 22Sylla 17Beck 2McCowan 28Tiffoney 1Beck 22Dodgson 5Tiffoney 3Bakayoko 31Robinson 8Main 4Tiffoney 12Rudden 9McCowan 13-5-2 in 16 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (16), 5-3-2 (7), 4-3-3 (4), 4-1-3-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
3 February 2024Dundee FC2–3HeartsxG 1.69–1.76
23 January 2024Hearts3–2Dundee FCxG 2.21–0.69
27 August 2023Dundee FC1–0HeartsxG 1.52–0.86
9 February 2022Hearts1–2Dundee FCxG 1.76–0.86
18 December 2021Dundee FC0–1HeartsxG 0.14–1.02
23 October 2021Hearts1–1Dundee FCxG 1.49–0.52

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 3, Dundee FC won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 9–8 and xG 1.52–0.90 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland343,0492140.460.19
Boyce7631130.360.20
Grant151,373440.370.16
Forrest181,804350.250.10

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10899300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
McCowan342,994950.180.14
Bakayoko312,615650.250.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.