Matches › 2023/24

Hibernian 0–0 Celtic

Saturday 28 October 2023, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 10 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 18,548

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Goals	0	0
xG	0.57	1.49
Expected Points	0.66	2.05

Hibernian 13%Draw 29%Celtic 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 17%. Final score 0–0, 11%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianCeltic

0.57 −0.81xG1.49 −1.21

0.08 −1.33xG on target0.61 −2.40

6 −7Shots21 +3

1 −3.7Shots on target4 −3.9

1 −1.6Big chances3 −1.2

9 −30Touches in the opposition box35 −6

29% −25Possession71% +4

304 −115Passes742 +90

73% −2Pass accuracy88% +5

20% −31Field tilt80% +7

24 −16Final-third entries73 +9

6 −8Box entries13 −9

61.6 +49Passes per defensive action12.6 +2

3 −2.3Corners6 −1.7

18 +2Tackles15 −1

11 +3.2Interceptions3 −3.9

28 +8Clearances4 −14

4 +1.8Saves1 −1.1

4 −6.1Fouls12 +2.6

1 −0.1Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

Celtic

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianCeltic

0.40 2 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.26 18 shots, 0 goals

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.23 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–0

Level: 93 min (100%) · Hibernian 0.57, Celtic 1.49 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

74' Le Fondre for Vente
81' Levitt for Jeggo
82' Whittaker for Tavares

Celtic substitutes

26' Ralston for A. Johnston
57' Turnbull for Bernardo
57' Forrest for Maeda
65' Oh for Furuhashi
65' M. Johnston for Palma

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Marshall	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	0
Miller	RB	90	0.00	0.07	0	0.07	7	12
Fish	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	15
Bushiri	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	14
Obita	LB	90	0.00	0.11	1	0.12	7	3
Tavares	RM	82	0.00	0.00	0	0.11	2	3
Jeggo	CM	81	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	4
Newell	CM	90	0.01	0.01	1	−0.01	2	4
Youan	LM	90	0.03	0.02	1	0.06	5	3
Boyle	ST	90	0.37	0.01	1	0.02	3	0
Vente	ST	74	0.14	0.03	0	0.04	4	1
Le Fondre	FW	16	0.03	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Levitt	MF	9	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	4
Whittaker	MF	8	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Celtic

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hart	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
A. Johnston	RB	26	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	0
Carter-Vickers	CB	90	0.00	0.04	0	0.21	17	5
Scales	CB	90	0.00	0.19	1	0.34	18	0
Taylor	LB	90	0.05	0.10	4	0.15	4	1
O'Riley	CM	90	0.04	0.10	2	0.00	3	5
McGregor	CM	90	0.16	0.04	1	0.06	1	0
Bernardo	CM	57	0.03	0.01	0	−0.04	0	2
Maeda	RW	57	0.12	0.01	0	−0.07	1	0
Furuhashi	ST	65	0.07	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Palma	LW	65	0.16	0.04	1	0.07	6	2
Ralston	DF	64	0.08	0.05	1	0.08	2	3
Turnbull	MF	33	0.11	0.45	3	0.17	0	0
Forrest	FW	33	0.51	0.09	2	0.05	2	1
Oh	FW	25	0.09	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
M. Johnston	FW	25	0.07	0.04	0	0.10	6	2

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Celtic

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Fish	Marshall	11
Obita	Youan	9
Vente	Youan	9
Obita	Vente	9
Jeggo	Newell	8

Celtic

From	To	Passes
Carter-Vickers	Scales	47
Scales	Carter-Vickers	45
Taylor	Scales	39
Scales	Taylor	38
Ralston	Carter-Vickers	24

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 9 matches

Celtic

Against its average of 9 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

Celtic

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	62%	64%	+2
11th	3%	3%	0
Bottom	1%	1%	0
Celtic
Title	84%	81%	−3
Rangers
Title	16%	19%	+3
Kilmarnock
Top six	47%	49%	+2
11th	6%	6%	0

From the forecast before the match (28 October 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Expected goals	0.89	2.03
Win	15%	63%
Expected Points	0.67	2.11
Clean sheet	13%	41%

Hibernian 15%Draw 22%Celtic 63%

Most likely score 0–2, 11%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 28 October 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	Celtic win
Hibernian
Top six	62%	77%	64%	58%
11th	3%	1%	3%	4%
Bottom	1%	0%	1%	2%
Celtic
Title	84%	76%	81%	87%
Rangers
Title	16%	24%	19%	13%
Kilmarnock
Top six	47%	43%	49%	47%
11th	6%	7%	6%	6%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

Celtic

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	Celtic
Position	9th	1st
Played	9	9
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠3–⁠4	8–⁠1–⁠0
Points	9 (1.00 per game)	25 (2.78 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.48	2.30
Goals	13–⁠16	23–⁠6
xG per game	1.38–⁠1.19	2.70–⁠1.09
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.91–⁠1.10	2.50, 3.02–⁠0.94
Away: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.96–⁠1.27	3.00, 2.44–⁠1.21
Manager	Nick Montgomery (5)	Brendan Rodgers (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		Celtic
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−1%	−6%	+116%	+11%
Counter-attacks	−30%	+11%	+210%	−82%
Set pieces	+36%	−20%	+11%	−40%
Penalties	−29%	−29%	+183%	−100%
Headers	+25%	+6%	−11%	−33%
Left side	+13%	−6%	+73%	+17%
Centre	−8%	−15%	+110%	−19%
Right side	+26%	+2%	+83%	−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdCeltic concededLeft side+13%−22%Centre−8%−19%Right side+26%+17%Open play−1%+11%Counter-attacks−30%−82%Set pieces+36%−40%Headers+25%−33%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdHibernian concededLeft side+73%+2%Centre+110%−15%Right side+83%−6%Open play+116%−6%Counter-attacks+210%+11%Set pieces+11%−20%Headers−11%+6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianCeltic

1.38xG2.70

1.19xG against1.09

54%Possession67%

13.3Shots18.2

13.3Shots against9.8

4.7Shots on target7.9

2.6Big chances4.2

39.0Touches in the opposition box40.7

419Passes652

75%Pass accuracy83%

5.3Corners7.7

52%Field tilt73%

40.2Final-third entries64.3

14.4Box entries21.7

12.5Passes per defensive action11.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	1.15	1.36
Ahead	16	2.15	0.81
Behind	32	1.30	1.16

Celtic

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	38	2.38	0.73
Ahead	52	2.94	1.36
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.13	0.21	1–2
16–30	0.22	0.13	0–3
31–45	0.14	0.12	1–1
46–60	0.23	0.20	1–1
61–75	0.19	0.34	6–5
76–90	0.47	0.20	4–4

Celtic

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.30	0.15	3–0
16–30	0.54	0.14	5–1
31–45	0.25	0.14	3–0
46–60	0.73	0.08	3–1
61–75	0.28	0.28	3–2
76–90	0.60	0.30	6–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 4-4-2 (5), 4-3-3 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Celtic

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
24 May 2023	Hibernian	4–2	Celtic	xG 2.04–2.37
18 March 2023	Celtic	3–1	Hibernian	xG 3.96–0.90
28 December 2022	Hibernian	0–4	Celtic	xG 0.55–2.61
15 October 2022	Celtic	6–1	Hibernian	xG 2.74–0.44
27 February 2022	Hibernian	0–0	Celtic	xG 0.13–0.94
17 January 2022	Celtic	2–0	Hibernian	xG 2.94–0.57

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 10–26 and xG 0.95–2.30 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Youan	7	662	2	2	0.31	0.16
Boyle	8	737	1	0	0.13	0.21
Vente	7	515	2	0	0.19	0.11
Hanlon	5	450	0	1	0.20	0.06

Celtic

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
O'Riley	9	782	6	2	0.49	0.26
Furuhashi	9	707	5	2	0.48	0.19
Maeda	9	748	2	2	0.47	0.07
Taylor	9	779	1	1	0.11	0.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.