Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 1–0 Celtic

Sunday 6 April 2025, 12:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 32 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 8,795

St. Johnstone Balodis 4'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Goals10
xG0.522.32
Expected Points0.322.53

St. Johnstone 5%Draw 15%Celtic 79%

Most likely score 0–2, 16%. Final score 1–0, 3%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+5%7%3%1%3%8%10%8%4%2%2%2%2%13%16%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTSprangler on for Carey, Kimpioka on for Kirk, Clark on for Sidibeh, and Steven on for Wright, 67'Taylor on for Schlupp and Yang on for Kühn, 46'Idah on for Maeda, 61'McCowan on for Engels, 66'Forrest on for Jota, 76'Balodis 4'Celtic 2.32St. Johnstone 0.5201230153045607590HTSprangler on for Carey, Kimpioka on for Kirk, Clark on for Sidibeh, and Steven on for Wright, 67'Taylor on for Schlupp and Yang on for Kühn, 46'Idah on for Maeda, 61'McCowan on for Engels, 66'Forrest on for Jota, 76'Balodis 4'2.320.52St. JohnstoneCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.52 −0.48xG2.32 −0.30
1.35 +0.37xG on target2.18 −0.70
9 −0.7Shots26 +7.3
4 +1.0Shots on target9 +1.8
1 −0.4Big chances2 −2.6
7 −9Touches in the opposition box55 +18
20% −33Possession80% +6
167 −275Passes685 −35
46% −32Pass accuracy88% −1
6% −40Field tilt94% +12
11 −25Final-third entries72 −3
3 −5.6Box entries33 +11.3
20.2 +4.4Passes per defensive action6.1 −3.3
4 +0.1Corners11 +2.3
13 −2Tackles9 −5
12 +4.0Interceptions4 −1.5
38 +5Clearances27 +7
9 +6.2Saves3 +0.7
13 +2.8Fouls10 +0.6
2 +0.4Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Sidibeh 41', 0.08 xGKimpioka 78', 0.08 xGBalodis 2', 0.05 xGKirk 8', 0.04 xGSidibeh 52', 0.04 xGDuke-McKenna 57', 0.02 xGGriffith 78', 0.02 xGDuke-McKenna 21', 0.01 xGBalodis 4', 0.19 xG, goal36%0.19 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.19 xG, 1 goal25%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals23%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals17%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Forrest 81', 0.34 xGMcCowan 90+2', 0.30 xGIdah 83', 0.26 xGHatate 61', 0.15 xGIdah 71', 0.13 xGIdah 90', 0.13 xGHatate 80', 0.10 xGIdah 90+2', 0.10 xGJota 75', 0.09 xGMaeda 29', 0.08 xGEngels 1', 0.07 xGHatate 26', 0.07 xGForrest 84', 0.06 xGIdah 90+4', 0.06 xGKühn 43', 0.05 xGMcCowan 86', 0.05 xGMcGregor 7', 0.04 xGKühn 31', 0.04 xGHatate 55', 0.04 xGMcCowan 80', 0.04 xGMcCowan 73', 0.03 xGMaeda 13', 0.02 xGJota 27', 0.02 xGForrest 80', 0.02 xGHatate 15', 0.01 xGJota 30', 0.01 xG30%0.69 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.69 xG, 0 goals46%1.06 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.06 xG, 0 goals13%0.29 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals11%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneCeltic

0.15 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.86 18 shots, 0 goals
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.10 1 shot, 0 goals
0.33 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.36 7 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
4 min (4%) · St. Johnstone 0.23, Celtic 0.07 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
90 min (96%) · St. Johnstone 0.29, Celtic 2.24 xG

Line-ups

11445377611211627FisherWrightBalodisMitchellCurtisHoltGriffithCareyDuke-McKennaSidibehKirkYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow card67'67'67'67'St. Johnstone 3-4-1-2Simo Valakari1222061527424110387SinisaloJohnstonCarter-VickersTrustySchluppEngelsMcGregorHatateKühnMaedaJota46'66'46'61'76'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 67' Clark for Sidibeh
  • 67' Sprangler for Carey
  • 67' Steven for Wright
  • 67' Kimpioka for Kirk

Celtic substitutes

  • 46' Taylor for Schlupp · yellow card 65'
  • 46' Yang for Kühn · yellow card 86'
  • 61' Idah for Maeda
  • 66' McCowan for Engels
  • 76' Forrest for Jota

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FisherGK900.000.0000.0001
Wright CB670.000.0020.0213
BalodisCB9010.230.000−0.09115
Mitchell CB900.000.0000.02111
Curtis RWB900.000.0100.0328
Holt CM900.000.000−0.0108
GriffithCM900.020.0000.0005
CareyLWB6710.000.2820.0112
Duke-McKennaAM900.030.000−0.0116
SidibehST670.120.0000.0543
KirkST670.040.2110.2012
ClarkMF230.000.0000.0002
SpranglerMF230.000.0510.0202
StevenMF230.000.0000.0001
KimpiokaFW230.080.010−0.0100

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinisaloGK900.000.0000.0100
JohnstonRB900.000.1830.2453
Carter-VickersCB900.000.2110.341510
TrustyCB900.000.0510.25118
SchluppLB460.000.0310.0333
EngelsCM660.070.0420.0820
McGregorCM900.040.1500.1553
HatateCM900.370.9040.3454
KühnRW460.090.1110.0742
MaedaST610.100.020−0.0402
JotaLW760.130.2320.1460
Taylor DF440.000.7010.1315
Yang FW440.000.2610.3660
IdahFW290.670.2820.1720
McCowanMF240.420.1210.2541
ForrestFW140.420.5320.4061

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Fisher and Balodis: 3 passesCurtis and Balodis: 3 passesCurtis and Holt: 3 passesWright and Griffith: 3 passesWright and Sidibeh: 3 passesFisher and Curtis: 4 passesBalodis and Mitchell: 4 passesMitchell and Griffith: 4 passesFisher and Mitchell: 5 passesWright and Duke-McKenna: 5 passesMitchell and Wright: 6 passesFisher: 12 completed passesCurtis: 7 completed passesBalodis: 8 completed passesMitchell: 11 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesCarey: 2 completed passesGriffith: 8 completed passesHolt: 7 completed passesDuke-McKenna: 2 completed passesSidibeh: 4 completed passesKirk: 2 completed passes13745141167211627FisherCurtisBalodisMitchellWrightCareyGriffithHoltDuke-McKennaSidibehKirkStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Celtic

Sinisalo and Carter-Vickers: 4 passesJohnston and Engels: 4 passesTrusty and Maeda: 4 passesSchlupp and Engels: 4 passesEngels and Kühn: 4 passesTrusty and Engels: 5 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 5 passesSchlupp and Hatate: 5 passesHatate and Kühn: 5 passesHatate and Jota: 5 passesSinisalo and Trusty: 6 passesTrusty and McGregor: 7 passesSchlupp and Jota: 7 passesJohnston and Kühn: 9 passesTrusty and Jota: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Kühn: 9 passesEngels and Hatate: 10 passesHatate and McGregor: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 11 passesSchlupp and McGregor: 11 passesEngels and McGregor: 11 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 12 passesJohnston and Carter-Vickers: 15 passesTrusty and Hatate: 17 passesTrusty and Schlupp: 25 passesTrusty and Carter-Vickers: 45 passesSinisalo: 10 completed passesJohnston: 17 completed passesTrusty: 63 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 53 completed passesSchlupp: 31 completed passesEngels: 25 completed passesHatate: 28 completed passesMcGregor: 31 completed passesKühn: 13 completed passesMaeda: 6 completed passesJota: 7 completed passes1226201527414210387SinisaloJohnstonTrustyCarter-VickersSchluppEngelsHatateMcGregorKühnMaedaJotaStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
FisherCurtis6
WrightMitchell4
FisherMitchell3
WrightDuke-McKenna3
CurtisBalodis3

Celtic

FromToPasses
TrustyCarter-Vickers45
Carter-VickersTrusty37
Carter-VickersJohnston17
JohnstonCarter-Vickers17
TrustyJota16

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

4−1.619+11.918−0.410+2.94−1.78+0.79+1.54−2.57+0.23−4.95−0.36+1.53−0.46+1.57+1.430.02−0.61−0.72−0.61−2.62−0.20−1.52+1.12+0.81−0.71+0.30−0.30−0.40−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Celtic

2−1.53−0.25−4.22−2.86+2.43−1.93−2.11−3.68+1.712+5.26+2.21−2.94+0.911+5.75−0.52−1.45+1.40−2.02−1.91−3.05+2.53+1.02+0.73+0.41−1.60−1.10−0.62+1.12+1.310.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.03−0.020.010.02−0.100.20LessMore

Celtic

0.010.020.030.010.030.010.060.030.090.050.120.060.130.060.080.010.110.240.220.130.360.340.320.38LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.00 → 0.99Celtic2.44 → 2.42Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57 → 1.56Celtic0.77 → 0.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th7%16%+9
Bottom90%72%−18
Dundee FC
11th40%34%−6
Bottom5%14%+9
Ross County
11th29%27%−2
Bottom3%7%+4

From the forecast before the match (6 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Expected goals0.672.54
Win7%78%
Expected Points0.372.48
Clean sheet8%51%

St. Johnstone 7%Draw 15%Celtic 78%

Most likely score 0–2, 13%. Both sides score 45%.

Celtic goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+4%7%4%2%2%7%9%7%5%2%2%2%3%2%2%10%13%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawCeltic win
St. Johnstone
11th7%16%9%6%
Bottom90%72%87%92%
Dundee FC
11th40%34%39%41%
Bottom5%14%7%4%
Ross County
11th29%27%29%29%
Bottom3%7%5%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–329 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.02–2.12
  2. D0–015 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.64–0.58
  3. D1–11 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.59–1.59
  4. W1–026 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.26
  5. L1–223 FebHearts (H)xG 2.02–2.18
  6. L1–315 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 0.67–1.40

Celtic

  1. W3–029 MarHearts (H)xG 2.68–1.02
  2. L2–316 MarRangers (H)xG 1.88–1.17
  3. W5–21 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.37–1.63
  4. W5–125 FebAberdeen (H)xG 2.72–0.85
  5. L1–222 FebHibernian (A)xG 1.78–0.67
  6. W3–015 FebDundee United (H)xG 1.64–0.16

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneCeltic
Position12th1st
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠5–⁠1925–⁠3–⁠3
Points26 (0.84 per game)78 (2.52 per game)
Expected Points per game1.102.41
Goals32–⁠5792–⁠20
xG per game1.00–⁠1.502.62–⁠0.77
Home: points, xG per game0.93, 1.16–⁠1.422.69, 2.90–⁠0.68
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.84–⁠1.572.33, 2.32–⁠0.87
ManagerSimo Valakari (24)Brendan Rodgers (69)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.00, 12thCeltic2.44, 1stDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57, 10thCeltic0.77, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone attack: 1.00Celtic attack: 2.442.441.00CelticSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprSt. Johnstone defence: 1.57Celtic defence: 0.771.570.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−32%+15%+126%−42%
Counter-attacks−60%average+57%−13%
Set pieces−27%+1%+10%−60%
Penalties+6%−37%+69%−58%
Headers−25%+15%+31%−56%
Left side−27%+24%+90%−27%
Centre−39%+10%+96%−46%
Right side−26%−6%+66%−60%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdCeltic concededLeft side−27%−60%Centre−39%−46%Right side−26%−27%Open play−32%−42%Counter-attacks−60%−13%Set pieces−27%−60%Headers−25%−56%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+90%−6%Centre+96%+10%Right side+66%+24%Open play+126%+15%Counter-attacks+57%averageSet pieces+10%+1%Headers+31%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneCeltic

1.00xG2.62
1.50xG against0.77
53%Possession74%
9.7Shots18.7
13.5Shots against7.5
3.0Shots on target7.2
1.4Big chances4.6
15.7Touches in the opposition box37.5
442Passes720
78%Pass accuracy89%
3.9Corners8.7
46%Field tilt82%
35.7Final-third entries75.3
8.6Box entries21.7
15.8Passes per defensive action9.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.061.61
Ahead121.201.45
Behind400.871.40

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level332.630.77
Ahead482.820.73
Behind91.581.00

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.192–7
16–300.090.292–13
31–450.200.236–8
46–600.190.267–12
61–750.140.176–6
76–900.270.369–11

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.290.116–3
16–300.380.1217–1
31–450.510.1619–5
46–600.460.1214–5
61–750.390.1114–1
76–900.580.1522–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Sinclair 10Fisher 8Cameron 12Wright 10Neilson 10Sanders 21Mitchell 4Kucheriavyi 1Mikulic 13Douglas 6Wright 9Curtis 7Clark 7Smith 14Carey 9MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 24Clark 3Svedberg 2Holt 17Essel 4Watt 3Raymond 13Wright 9Douglas 3Kirk 14Sidibeh 14Kimpioka 18Clark 8Griffith 23-5-2 in 7 of 31 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 30Sinisalo 1Johnston 26Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 24Welsh 1Trusty 19Scales 16Nawrocki 2Taylor 19Valle 7Schlupp 5Engels 19McCowan 12Bernardo 11McGregor 27Hatate 22Kühn 20Yang 5Forrest 3Idah 14Furuhashi 13Maeda 4Maeda 19Jota 5Yang 34-3-3 in 28 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (28), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
29 December 2024Celtic4–0St. JohnstonexG 4.68–0.06
28 September 2024St. Johnstone0–6CelticxG 0.32–3.38
16 March 2024Celtic3–1St. JohnstonexG 4.02–0.73
3 December 2023St. Johnstone1–3CelticxG 1.36–2.53
26 August 2023Celtic0–0St. JohnstonexG 2.02–0.28
5 February 2023St. Johnstone1–4CelticxG 0.26–2.02

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 0, Celtic won 13, and 2 were drawn. Goals 8–47 and xG 0.58–2.69 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey111,278320.190.28
Clark181,491620.350.06
Sidibeh161,558320.270.09
Kirk181,523710.270.04

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi151,3331030.930.08
Engels191,680960.510.37
Idah151,324800.630.14
Kühn201,5931080.440.32

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.