Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hibernian 3–1 Dundee United

Saturday 3 May 2025, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 18,399

Hibernian Boyle 3', Kukharevych 14', Gayle 87'

Dundee United Trapanovski 50'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianDundee United
Goals31
xG1.731.35
Expected Points1.621.11

Hibernian 45%Draw 27%Dundee United 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Final score 3–1, 6%.

Dundee United goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+4%6%4%2%7%8%3%6%8%3%4%6%4%2%1%2%2%13%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Hoilett, 62'Bowie on for Kukharevych, 69'Gayle on for C. Cadden, Miller on for Boyle, and N. Cadden on for Obita, 84'Middleton on for Babunski and Trapanovski on for van der Sande, 46'Campbell on for Adegboyega, 78'Boyle 3'Kukharevych 14'Gayle 87'Trapanovski 50'Hibernian 1.73Dundee United 1.3500.511.520153045607590HTCampbell on for Hoilett, 62'Bowie on for Kukharevych, 69'Gayle on for C. Cadden, Miller on for Boyle, and N. Cadden on for Obita, 84'Middleton on for Babunski and Trapanovski on for van der Sande, 46'Campbell on for Adegboyega, 78'Boyle 3'Kukharevych 14'Gayle 87'Trapanovski 50'1.731.35HibernianDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianDundee United

1.73 +0.17xG1.35 +0.07
4.34 +2.80xG on target1.53 +0.12
16 +4Shots14 +3
9 +5.1Shots on target4 +0.1
3 +0.5Big chances3 +1.1
32 +10Touches in the opposition box30 +7
46% 0Possession54% +10
349 +14Passes412 +87
71% −2Pass accuracy80% +11
50% +2Field tilt50% +10
39 +5Final-third entries36 +6
18 +8.0Box entries13 +3.1
18.8 +3Passes per defensive action19.7 +4
7 +1.3Corners4 −0.2
10 −3Tackles12 −5
4 −3.8Interceptions10 +2.4
31 −2Clearances45 +4
3 +0.3Saves5 +2.1
8 −3Fouls7 −5
2 +0.1Offsides3 +1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Gayle 90+6', 0.22 xGKukharevych 11', 0.19 xGHoilett 11', 0.18 xGBoyle 22', 0.10 xGCampbell 82', 0.09 xGKukharevych 14', 0.07 xGIredale 75', 0.07 xGTriantis 22', 0.05 xGKukharevych 68', 0.04 xGBowie 70', 0.04 xGTriantis 11', 0.03 xGKukharevych 45+1', 0.02 xGObita 80', 0.02 xGGayle 87', 0.22 xG, goalBoyle 3', 0.20 xG, goalKukharevych 14', 0.18 xG, goal4%0.07 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals59%1.02 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.02 xG, 2 goals33%0.56 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal4%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Strain 90+1', 0.30 xGAdegboyega 48', 0.26 xGDalby 48', 0.20 xGSevelj 81', 0.15 xGTrapanovski 47', 0.07 xGDocherty 61', 0.06 xGTrapanovski 90+1', 0.05 xGDalby 45', 0.04 xGDalby 18', 0.03 xGDocherty 33', 0.03 xGMiddleton 90+2', 0.03 xGGallagher 25', 0.02 xGStrain 49', 0.01 xGTrapanovski 50', 0.10 xG, goal41%0.56 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.56 xG, 1 goal44%0.59 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals8%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianDundee United

1.36 12 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.62 9 shots, 0 goals
0.26 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.11 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.72 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
3 min (3%) · Hibernian 0.20, Dundee United 0.00 xG
Hibernian ahead
94 min (97%) · Hibernian 1.53, Dundee United 1.35 xG

Line-ups

13533151226621231099SmithO'HoraBushiriIredaleC. CaddenTriantisLevittObitaHoilettBoyleKukharevychYellow cardGoalGoal84'84'62'84'69'Hibernian 3-4-1-2David Gray1163152231411102019WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherSeveljStrainDochertySibbaldFerryBabunskivan der SandeDalbyYellow card78'46'46'Dundee United 3-4-1-2Jim Goodwin

Hibernian substitutes

  • 62' Campbell for Hoilett
  • 69' Bowie for Kukharevych
  • 84' Miller for Boyle
  • 84' N. Cadden for Obita · 1 assist
  • 84' Gayle for C. Cadden · goal 87'

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Trapanovski for van der Sande · goal 50'
  • 46' Middleton for Babunski
  • 78' Campbell for Adegboyega

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0000.0430
O'HoraCB900.000.0110.0436
BushiriCB900.000.0000.00010
IredaleCB900.070.0000.06710
C. CaddenRWB840.000.0500.1154
TriantisCM9010.080.0220.0495
Levitt CM900.000.0420.1172
ObitaLWB840.020.1200.1175
HoilettAM620.180.0920.0772
BoyleST8410.300.1430.1021
KukharevychST6910.510.0200.0842
CampbellMF280.090.021−0.0320
BowieFW210.040.2010.1541
MillerDF60.000.1910.0312
N. CaddenDF610.000.2410.1811
GayleFW610.440.0000.0220

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0100.0770
AdegboyegaCB780.260.0700.1345
GallagherCB900.020.0100.08720
SeveljCB900.150.0100.05313
StrainRWB900.310.1820.2685
Docherty CM900.090.0210.1078
SibbaldCM900.000.0410.0018
FerryLWB900.000.1120.1589
BabunskiAM460.000.1210.2040
van der SandeST460.000.0100.0100
DalbyST900.270.0520.0312
TrapanovskiMF4410.220.5310.1940
MiddletonFW440.030.0610.1070
CampbellMF120.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Smith and Iredale: 4 passesIredale and Hoilett: 4 passesBushiri and Levitt: 4 passesC. Cadden and Triantis: 4 passesC. Cadden and Hoilett: 4 passesTriantis and Levitt: 4 passesO'Hora and C. Cadden: 5 passesO'Hora and Levitt: 5 passesC. Cadden and Boyle: 5 passesIredale and Obita: 6 passesIredale and Levitt: 6 passesTriantis and Kukharevych: 6 passesTriantis and Hoilett: 6 passesLevitt and Kukharevych: 6 passesBushiri and O'Hora: 7 passesKukharevych and Hoilett: 8 passesSmith and Bushiri: 10 passesO'Hora and Triantis: 10 passesObita and Levitt: 10 passesLevitt and Hoilett: 10 passesObita and Hoilett: 11 passesSmith: 14 completed passesIredale: 18 completed passesBushiri: 19 completed passesO'Hora: 19 completed passesC. Cadden: 13 completed passesObita: 18 completed passesTriantis: 22 completed passesLevitt: 25 completed passesBoyle: 9 completed passesKukharevych: 12 completed passesHoilett: 20 completed passes13153351221266109923SmithIredaleBushiriO'HoraC. CaddenObitaTriantisLevittBoyleKukharevychHoilettStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Sevelj and Docherty: 5 passesAdegboyega and Strain: 5 passesAdegboyega and Docherty: 5 passesDocherty and Dalby: 5 passesFerry and van der Sande: 5 passesSevelj and Babunski: 6 passesAdegboyega and Babunski: 6 passesAdegboyega and Dalby: 6 passesGallagher and Dalby: 6 passesStrain and Babunski: 6 passesSibbald and Ferry: 6 passesFerry and Dalby: 6 passesWalton and Sevelj: 7 passesSevelj and Ferry: 7 passesGallagher and Docherty: 7 passesSibbald and Docherty: 7 passesDocherty and Ferry: 7 passesBabunski and Dalby: 7 passesSevelj and Sibbald: 9 passesStrain and Docherty: 9 passesDocherty and Babunski: 10 passesGallagher and Babunski: 13 passesSevelj and Gallagher: 17 passesWalton: 9 completed passesSevelj: 33 completed passesAdegboyega: 15 completed passesGallagher: 33 completed passesStrain: 14 completed passesSibbald: 17 completed passesDocherty: 30 completed passesFerry: 18 completed passesBabunski: 27 completed passesvan der Sande: 11 completed passesDalby: 18 completed passes1516312142311102019WaltonSeveljAdegboyegaGallagherStrainSibbaldDochertyFerryBabunskivan der SandeDalbyStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
O'HoraC. Cadden9
LevittHoilett8
BushiriSmith7
LevittO'Hora7
TriantisO'Hora6

Dundee United

FromToPasses
GallagherSevelj11
SeveljGallagher9
FerrySibbald8
FerryDalby8
SibbaldSevelj7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

2−2.66−0.714−1.66−1.53−2.13−3.74−1.84−2.37+0.45−1.51−3.88+3.730.011+5.86+1.24+0.41−2.74+1.85+1.54−0.53+1.13+1.50−1.13+1.61−1.21+0.31+0.51+0.30−0.30−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Dundee United

4−1.13−5.517−2.510+0.74−2.28+1.712+4.53−4.316+7.212+4.67+1.59+4.42−1.76+0.312+6.63−0.32−1.10−2.25+2.44+0.80−2.40−1.10−1.31−0.30−2.010.01+0.70−0.70−0.50−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.020.010.030.010.010.040.030.080.020.020.050.040.040.010.060.040.010.070.050.030.020.060.14−0.010.25LessMore

Dundee United

0.030.020.010.020.030.010.010.060.040.020.050.050.100.010.01−0.010.080.09−0.010.070.100.070.050.270.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.49 → 1.49Dundee United1.16 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Hibernian1.15 → 1.15Dundee United1.42 → 1.44

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianDundee United
Expected goals1.850.88
Win60%17%
Expected Points2.030.74
Clean sheet42%16%

Hibernian 60%Draw 23%Dundee United 17%

Most likely score 1–0, 12%. Both sides score 50%.

Dundee United goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+7%5%3%5%1%4%1%7%6%3%3%3%1%1%1%12%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 3 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–126 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.93–0.83
  2. W4–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 2.00–0.14
  3. W2–05 AprRangers (A)xG 0.52–1.36
  4. W3–029 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–0.02
  5. D1–115 MarKilmarnock (A)xG 2.01–0.64
  6. W2–12 MarHearts (H)xG 0.61–0.69

Dundee United

  1. L0–526 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.44–3.06
  2. W1–012 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.17–0.95
  3. W1–06 AprHearts (A)xG 0.82–1.21
  4. W1–030 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.87–0.36
  5. L2–416 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.20–2.27
  6. D2–22 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.53–1.98

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianDundee United
Position3rd5th
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠11–⁠914–⁠8–⁠12
Points53 (1.56 per game)50 (1.47 per game)
Expected Points per game1.581.24
Goals54–⁠4241–⁠45
xG per game1.56–⁠1.241.28–⁠1.45
Home: points, xG per game1.88, 1.75–⁠1.051.41, 1.33–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game1.24, 1.37–⁠1.421.53, 1.24–⁠1.57
ManagerDavid Gray (36)Jim Goodwin (46)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHibernian1.49, 3rdDundee United1.16, 8thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian1.15, 3rdDundee United1.42, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian attack: 1.49Dundee United attack: 1.161.491.16Dundee UnitedHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprHibernian defence: 1.15Dundee United defence: 1.421.421.15

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−9%−22%−15%+2%
Counter-attacks+26%+30%−8%+4%
Set pieces+35%−10%+1%−1%
Penalties+66%+3%+3%+24%
Headers+12%−18%+31%+22%
Left side+13%−30%−23%−6%
Centre+8%−7%+7%−1%
Right side−4%−9%−33%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side+13%+13%Centre+8%−1%Right side−4%−6%Open play−9%+2%Counter-attacks+26%+4%Set pieces+35%−1%Headers+12%+22%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−23%−9%Centre+7%−7%Right side−33%−30%Open play−15%−22%Counter-attacks−8%+30%Set pieces+1%−10%Headers+31%−18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianDundee United

1.56xG1.28
1.24xG against1.45
46%Possession44%
12.4Shots11.4
11.1Shots against14.3
3.9Shots on target3.9
2.5Big chances1.9
22.5Touches in the opposition box22.9
334Passes325
73%Pass accuracy69%
5.7Corners4.2
48%Field tilt40%
33.9Final-third entries30.2
10.0Box entries9.9
16.0Passes per defensive action15.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.501.14
Ahead311.511.09
Behind191.771.66

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level531.241.25
Ahead181.351.79
Behind191.361.67

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.215–8
16–300.320.2212–5
31–450.240.1410–6
46–600.180.154–4
61–750.350.169–2
76–900.330.3514–17

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.133–2
16–300.190.226–9
31–450.170.285–9
46–600.180.167–5
61–750.170.275–9
76–900.430.3915–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSmith 21Bursik 13Iredale 21Miller 7Boyle 5Bushiri 22Ekpiteta 12O'Hora 27C. Cadden 19Miller 14Obita 1Triantis 24Levitt 8Kwon 5Newell 15Obita 11C. Cadden 1N. Cadden 14Kwon 7Triantis 5Campbell 13Hoilett 7Boyle 5Kukharevych 16Bowie 4Campbell 2Boyle 15Hoilett 9Gayle 73-4-1-2 in 16 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (16), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTWalton 34Adegboyega 26Strain 9Cleall-Harding 2Gallagher 30Sevelj 2Holt 19Graham 13Strain 12Stephens… 8StephensonFothering… 4FotheringhamStephen… 19StephensonThomson 4Trapanov… 3TrapanovskiBabunski 15Docherty 10Ferry 5Sevelj 22Sibbald 9Campbell 5Ferry 22Middleton 5Trapanov… 3TrapanovskiDalby 28van der Sande 7Babunski 1Middleton 11Trapanovski 6Ferry 43-5-2 in 7 of 34 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-3 (7), 3-4-2-1 (7), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 February 2025Dundee United1–3HibernianxG 0.71–1.53
3 November 2024Hibernian1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.09–1.31
19 October 2024Dundee United3–2HibernianxG 1.79–0.71
9 April 2023Dundee United2–1HibernianxG 1.44–1.47
14 January 2023Hibernian2–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.80–0.87
11 October 2022Dundee United1–0HibernianxG 0.56–1.31

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 4, Dundee United won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 17–16 and xG 1.25–0.93 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bowie4506510.540.03
Kukharevych171,276400.530.02
Hoilett161,318420.290.26
N. Cadden191,583550.250.27

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult4617300.440.11
Dalby282,4541420.390.06
Trapanovski141,170220.280.15
Babunski161,275110.150.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.