Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Rangers 1–1 Celtic

Sunday 4 May 2025, 12:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 35 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 49,883

Rangers Dessers 44'

Celtic Idah 57'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersCeltic
Goals11
xG1.461.10
Expected Points1.641.05

Rangers 44%Draw 31%Celtic 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 18%. Final score 1–1, 18%.

Celtic goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+5%7%4%10%9%2%8%13%8%2%3%5%3%1%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTIgamane on for Cerny and Hagi on for Bajrami, 66'Rice on for Hagi, 83'Danilo on for Diomande, 90+3'Bernardo on for Engels and Yang on for Forrest, 63'Schlupp on for Taylor, 79'Kenny on for Idah, 83'Dessers 44'Idah 57'Rangers 1.46Celtic 1.1000.511.520153045607590HTIgamane on for Cerny and Hagi on for Bajrami, 66'Rice on for Hagi, 83'Danilo on for Diomande, 90+3'Bernardo on for Engels and Yang on for Forrest, 63'Schlupp on for Taylor, 79'Kenny on for Idah, 83'Dessers 44'Idah 57'1.461.10RangersCeltic

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersCeltic

1.46 −0.53xG1.10 −1.50
1.64 −0.40xG on target1.26 −1.63
13 −6Shots8 −11
4 −2.5Shots on target3 −4.2
3 +0.1Big chances1 −3.5
21 −9Touches in the opposition box31 −7
40% −23Possession60% −15
319 −209Passes484 −245
78% −4Pass accuracy85% −4
38% −31Field tilt62% −21
36 −19Final-third entries41 −35
12 −5Box entries13 −9
18.3 +7.2Passes per defensive action6.3 −2.9
5 −1.6Corners6 −2.8
17 0Tackles15 +1
17 +9.0Interceptions8 +2.6
24 0Clearances39 +18
2 −0.1Saves3 +0.7
9 −1.8Fouls18 +8.7
3 +1.5Offsides2 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Raskin 80', 0.32 xGBalogun 1', 0.10 xGRaskin 77', 0.08 xGTavernier 54', 0.07 xGTavernier 83', 0.07 xGCerny 9', 0.06 xGRaskin 10', 0.05 xGSouttar 40', 0.03 xGIgamane 71', 0.03 xGCerny 41', 0.02 xGIgamane 70', 0.02 xGRaskin 78', 0.02 xGDessers 44', 0.58 xG, goal22%0.32 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.32 xG, 0 goals68%0.99 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal3%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals7%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Celtic

Idah 44', 0.48 xGIdah 16', 0.16 xGCarter-Vickers 33', 0.15 xGIdah 64', 0.10 xGRalston 65', 0.05 xGIdah 36', 0.03 xGHatate 86', 0.03 xGIdah 57', 0.10 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals91%0.99 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.99 xG, 1 goal5%0.05 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals5%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersCeltic

1.17 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.93 6 shots, 1 goal
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.23 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.17 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (86%) · Rangers 1.39, Celtic 1.00 xG
Rangers ahead
13 min (14%) · Rangers 0.07, Celtic 0.10 xG

Line-ups

312527228431810149KellyTavernierSouttarBalogunJefteBarronRaskinCernyDiomandeBajramiDessersGoal66'90+3'66'Rangers 4-2-3-1Barry Ferguson1256205327424149389SinisaloRalstonCarter-VickersScalesTaylorEngelsMcGregorHatateForrestMaedaIdahGoal79'63'63'83'Celtic 4-3-3Brendan Rodgers

Rangers substitutes

  • 66' Igamane for Cerny
  • 66' Hagi for Bajrami · off 83'
  • 83' Rice for Hagi · yellow card 88'
  • 90+3' Danilo for Diomande

Celtic substitutes

  • 63' Bernardo for Engels
  • 63' Yang for Forrest
  • 79' Schlupp for Taylor
  • 83' Kenny for Idah · yellow card 90'

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0221
TavernierRB900.140.1840.1539
SouttarCB900.030.0000.01211
BalogunCB900.100.0000.04511
JefteLB900.000.1110.2468
BarronDM900.000.0100.0327
RaskinDM900.480.0230.1074
CernyRW660.080.1010.0962
DiomandeAM9010.000.0410.0845
BajramiLW660.000.0000.0320
DessersST9010.580.0000.1822
IgamaneFW240.060.0400.0921
HagiFW170.000.0000.0210
Rice MF70.000.000−0.0100
DaniloFW00.000.0000.0100

Celtic

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SinisaloGK900.000.0000.0220
RalstonRB900.050.0400.0798
Carter-VickersCB900.150.0100.07911
ScalesCB900.000.0100.08714
TaylorLB790.000.0300.0956
EngelsCM630.000.2410.0743
McGregorCM900.000.0310.0018
HatateCM900.030.2810.0751
ForrestRW630.000.0310.0452
MaedaST9010.000.1730.0925
IdahLW8310.880.050−0.0312
BernardoMF270.000.0100.0122
YangFW270.000.0100.0421
SchluppDF110.000.0000.0001
Kenny FW70.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Kelly and Balogun: 4 passesKelly and Jefte: 4 passesSouttar and Cerny: 4 passesJefte and Diomande: 4 passesBarron and Bajrami: 4 passesDiomande and Cerny: 4 passesJefte and Raskin: 5 passesRaskin and Barron: 5 passesKelly and Tavernier: 6 passesTavernier and Diomande: 6 passesTavernier and Cerny: 6 passesBalogun and Jefte: 6 passesBalogun and Diomande: 6 passesJefte and Barron: 6 passesDiomande and Bajrami: 6 passesTavernier and Barron: 7 passesBalogun and Souttar: 7 passesBalogun and Raskin: 7 passesSouttar and Raskin: 7 passesBarron and Diomande: 7 passesCerny and Bajrami: 7 passesTavernier and Souttar: 13 passesKelly: 11 completed passesTavernier: 26 completed passesBalogun: 19 completed passesSouttar: 21 completed passesJefte: 21 completed passesRaskin: 17 completed passesBarron: 20 completed passesDiomande: 21 completed passesCerny: 12 completed passesBajrami: 13 completed passesDessers: 3 completed passes312275224381018149KellyTavernierBalogunSouttarJefteRaskinBarronDiomandeCernyBajramiDessersStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Celtic

Sinisalo and Taylor: 4 passesSinisalo and Hatate: 5 passesMcGregor and Hatate: 5 passesForrest and Idah: 5 passesRalston and Idah: 6 passesCarter-Vickers and Taylor: 6 passesHatate and Maeda: 6 passesRalston and McGregor: 9 passesScales and Hatate: 9 passesEngels and Forrest: 9 passesCarter-Vickers and Engels: 10 passesCarter-Vickers and McGregor: 10 passesScales and McGregor: 11 passesTaylor and McGregor: 11 passesRalston and Engels: 14 passesCarter-Vickers and Hatate: 14 passesTaylor and Maeda: 14 passesScales and Carter-Vickers: 15 passesTaylor and Hatate: 16 passesSinisalo and Carter-Vickers: 17 passesRalston and Carter-Vickers: 20 passesRalston and Forrest: 20 passesSinisalo and Scales: 22 passesScales and Taylor: 25 passesSinisalo: 28 completed passesRalston: 42 completed passesScales: 47 completed passesCarter-Vickers: 48 completed passesTaylor: 41 completed passesEngels: 25 completed passesMcGregor: 26 completed passesForrest: 20 completed passesHatate: 32 completed passesMaeda: 12 completed passesIdah: 8 completed passes1256520327424941389SinisaloRalstonScalesCarter-VickersTaylorEngelsMcGregorForrestHatateMaedaIdahStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
SouttarTavernier9
BalogunJefte7
SouttarBalogun7
TavernierSouttar6
DiomandeBarron6

Celtic

FromToPasses
RalstonCarter-Vickers17
TaylorScales16
ScalesSinisalo15
HatateTaylor14
Carter-VickersHatate12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

6+2.29+4.117+5.95−1.64−1.28+2.24−1.54−1.26−0.97−1.39+3.33−2.03−0.150.07+0.75+0.34+0.73+0.31−2.48+3.51−1.91−0.90−1.80−1.92−0.40−1.00−0.50−0.61+0.80−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Celtic

0−3.44+0.614+5.18+3.41−2.81−3.77+2.08+3.510+3.614+6.97+3.13−0.93−0.18+2.69+3.55+1.83−0.63+1.07+3.25+1.13+0.54+1.91−0.42−0.72−0.52+1.01+0.41+0.10−0.73+2.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 34 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.020.050.010.020.060.030.010.030.010.130.010.050.040.150.200.15LessMore

Celtic

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.050.030.030.040.010.040.050.020.030.030.020.030.06−0.01−0.060.080.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.82 → 1.81Celtic2.47 → 2.40Defence (lower is better)Rangers1.04 → 1.03Celtic0.76 → 0.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersCeltic
Expected goals1.201.71
Win26%49%
Expected Points1.041.71
Clean sheet18%30%

Rangers 26%Draw 25%Celtic 49%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 58%.

Celtic goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+6%8%5%2%6%5%2%4%7%6%3%1%2%3%2%1%9%12%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 4 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Rangers

  1. D2–226 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.27–1.90
  2. D2–213 AprAberdeen (A)xG 1.18–2.44
  3. L0–25 AprHibernian (H)xG 1.36–0.52
  4. W4–329 MarDundee FC (A)xG 2.70–2.97
  5. W3–216 MarCeltic (A)xG 1.17–1.88
  6. L1–21 MarMotherwell (H)xG 1.35–0.78

Celtic

  1. W5–026 AprDundee United (A)xG 3.06–0.44
  2. W5–112 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 1.81–0.29
  3. L0–16 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.32–0.52
  4. W3–029 MarHearts (H)xG 2.68–1.02
  5. L2–316 MarRangers (H)xG 1.88–1.17
  6. W5–21 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 3.37–1.63

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersCeltic
Position2nd1st
Played3434
Won, drawn, lost20–⁠7–⁠727–⁠3–⁠4
Points67 (1.97 per game)84 (2.47 per game)
Expected Points per game1.882.43
Goals70–⁠37102–⁠22
xG per game1.99–⁠1.052.60–⁠0.74
Home: points, xG per game2.31, 2.57–⁠0.592.71, 2.84–⁠0.66
Away: points, xG per game1.67, 1.48–⁠1.462.24, 2.37–⁠0.82
ManagerBarry Ferguson (7)Brendan Rodgers (72)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackRangers1.82, 2ndCeltic2.47, 1stDefence (lower is better)Rangers1.04, 2ndCeltic0.76, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRangers attack: 1.82Celtic attack: 2.472.471.82CelticRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRangers defence: 1.04Celtic defence: 0.761.040.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersCeltic
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+59%−26%+126%−46%
Counter-attacks+153%−53%+54%−13%
Set pieces+2%−19%+10%−59%
Penalties−79%−17%+67%−58%
Headersaverage−32%+36%−56%
Left side+30%−7%+87%−27%
Centre+41%−29%+94%−49%
Right side+95%−40%+70%−62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdCeltic concededLeft side+30%−62%Centre+41%−49%Right side+95%−27%Open play+59%−46%Counter-attacks+153%−13%Set pieces+2%−59%Headersaverage−56%

Celtic attacking

Celtic createdRangers concededLeft side+87%−40%Centre+94%−29%Right side+70%−7%Open play+126%−26%Counter-attacks+54%−53%Set pieces+10%−19%Headers+36%−32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersCeltic

1.99xG2.60
1.05xG against0.74
63%Possession75%
18.6Shots18.9
9.5Shots against7.4
6.5Shots on target7.2
2.9Big chances4.5
30.4Touches in the opposition box38.2
528Passes729
83%Pass accuracy89%
6.6Corners8.8
69%Field tilt83%
54.9Final-third entries76.4
17.0Box entries22.3
11.1Passes per defensive action9.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level342.050.99
Ahead372.080.92
Behind201.741.38

Celtic

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level312.580.77
Ahead482.810.70
Behind111.760.84

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.330.139–6
16–300.260.249–8
31–450.320.2012–8
46–600.330.1411–4
61–750.320.2316–8
76–900.430.1113–3

Celtic

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.300.118–4
16–300.390.1120–2
31–450.500.1521–5
46–600.430.1116–5
61–750.390.1114–1
76–900.590.1523–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTButland 26Kelly 8Tavernier 24Yilmaz 6Sterling 2Souttar 19Sterling 6Tavernier 1Propper 22Nsiala 10Balogun 9Jefte 27Yilmaz 5Curtis 1Diomande 18Barron 16Hagi 3Raskin 24Dowell 2Rice 1Cerny 25Cortés 2Lawrence 2Diomande 9Bajrami 6Igamane 5Hagi 11Bajrami 6Igamane 4Dessers 18Igamane 13Danilo 24-2-3-1 in 25 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (25), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Celtic

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWSchmeichel 30Sinisalo 4Johnston 29Ralston 5Carter-Vickers 27Welsh 1Trusty 20Scales 18Nawrocki 2Taylor 21Valle 7Schlupp 6Engels 22McCowan 12Bernardo 11McGregor 30Hatate 25Kühn 22Yang 5Forrest 4Idah 15Furuhashi 13Maeda 6Maeda 20Jota 7Yang 34-3-3 in 31 of 34 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (31), 4-5-1 (1), 4-1-2-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 March 2025Celtic2–3RangersxG 1.88–1.17
2 January 2025Rangers3–0CelticxG 2.27–0.13
1 September 2024Celtic3–0RangersxG 1.55–1.14
11 May 2024Celtic2–1RangersxG 2.81–1.02
7 April 2024Rangers3–3CelticxG 1.69–1.96
30 December 2023Celtic2–1RangersxG 0.64–0.97

19 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 7, Celtic won 8, and 4 were drawn. Goals 29–30 and xG 1.21–1.34 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Danilo7767540.870.21
Dessers201,7641320.720.03
Cerny262,1741120.330.31
Igamane221,8351110.430.20

Celtic

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Furuhashi151,3331030.930.08
Jota7570420.480.36
Engels221,899960.460.37
Idah161,4681000.680.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.