Sunday 30 March 2025, 14:30 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 31 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 4,088
Dundee United Graham 75'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Goals
0
1
xG
0.36
1.87
Expected Points
0.36
2.44
Ross County 6%Draw 20%Dundee United 75%
Most likely score 0–1, 20%. Final score 0–1, 20%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Ross CountyDundee United
0.36 −0.69xG1.87 +0.56
0.30 −0.70xG on target1.87 +0.49
5 −5Shots20 +9
1 −2.3Shots on target5 +1.1
1 −0.2Big chances5 +3.1
16 +1Touches in the opposition box35 +12
47% +8Possession53% +9
300 +14Passes341 +17
60% −4Pass accuracy63% −6
43% +7Field tilt57% +16
33 +4Final-third entries39 +9
10 +2.9Box entries10 +0.1
11.8 −5Passes per defensive action7.7 −8
4 −0.7Corners9 +4.8
18 0Tackles28 +10
13 +2.8Interceptions8 +0.8
55 +16Clearances41 −1
3 −0.1Saves1 −1.9
13 +2Fouls8 −4
3 +1.8Offsides0 −1.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Ross County
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
75'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
75 min (83%) · Ross County 0.36, Dundee United 1.43 xG
Dundee United ahead
15 min (17%) · Ross County 0.00, Dundee United 0.44 xG
Line-ups
Ross County substitutes
61'Grieves for Chilvers
61'Hale for Phillips
75'Robesten for Harmon
75'White for Samuel · yellow card 83'
82'Brown for Nisbet
Dundee United substitutes
61'Moult for Sibbald
71'Paton for Trapanovski
84'Campbell for Stephenson
Players
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Amissah
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
0
Tomkinson
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.05
7
20
Lopata
CB
90
0.00
0.21
1
0.02
2
19
Campbell
CB
90
0.04
0.03
0
0.02
2
19
Wright
RWB
90
0.00
0.04
1
0.03
1
11
Randall
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.02
4
11
Nisbet
CM
82
0.03
0.08
1
0.12
5
2
Harmon
LWB
75
0.00
0.15
0
0.09
3
3
Chilvers
AM
61
0.07
0.07
1
0.07
6
5
Samuel
ST
75
0.23
0.02
1
−0.07
0
0
Phillips
ST
61
0.00
0.01
0
−0.02
2
1
Grieves
MF
29
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Hale
FW
29
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
0
0
Robesten
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
3
White
FW
15
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
1
Brown
DF
8
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Walton
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Strain
RB
90
1
0.00
0.62
3
0.32
10
7
Sevelj
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
4
22
Graham
CB
90
1
0.45
0.15
1
0.16
8
12
Ferry
LB
90
0.00
0.39
2
0.39
10
12
Docherty
DM
90
0.06
0.03
1
0.03
4
5
Trapanovski
RM
71
0.12
0.01
0
0.01
3
4
Sibbald
CM
61
0.04
0.01
0
0.01
2
8
Stephenson
CM
84
0.24
0.05
1
−0.01
2
4
Middleton
LM
90
0.16
0.07
1
0.02
3
2
Dalby
ST
90
0.42
0.03
2
−0.09
0
2
Moult
FW
29
0.15
0.02
0
0.02
1
2
Paton
FW
19
0.24
0.20
1
0.07
2
0
Campbell
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Ross County
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Randall
Samuel
6
Harmon
Campbell
6
Tomkinson
Wright
5
Randall
Tomkinson
5
Campbell
Lopata
5
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Strain
Middleton
12
Middleton
Strain
11
Docherty
Graham
6
Sevelj
Strain
6
Ferry
Dalby
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Ross County
Against its average of 30 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 30 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Ross County
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Ross County
Top six
6%
<1%
−6
11th
7%
12%
+5
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Dundee United
Top six
90%
>99%
+10
St. Mirren
Top six
25%
21%
−4
11th
1%
1%
0
Kilmarnock
11th
24%
22%
−2
Bottom
4%
3%
−1
From the forecast before the match (30 March 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.37
1.16
Win
41%
31%
Expected Points
1.50
1.22
Clean sheet
31%
26%
Ross County 41%Draw 28%Dundee United 31%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.
From the forecast as it stood on 30 March 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Ross County win
Draw
Dundee United win
Ross County
Top six
6%
13%
2%
<1%
11th
7%
3%
8%
12%
Bottom
1%
<1%
1%
1%
Dundee United
Top six
90%
80%
94%
>99%
St. Mirren
Top six
25%
29%
25%
21%
11th
1%
2%
1%
1%
Kilmarnock
11th
24%
26%
23%
22%
Bottom
4%
4%
3%
3%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Position
9th
5th
Played
30
30
Won, drawn, lost
9–8–13
11–8–11
Points
35 (1.17 per game)
41 (1.37 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.14
1.24
Goals
31–51
38–40
xG per game
1.05–1.63
1.31–1.45
Home: points, xG per game
1.33, 1.40–1.21
1.40, 1.40–1.24
Away: points, xG per game
1.00, 0.69–2.05
1.33, 1.22–1.67
Manager
Don Cowie (45)
Jim Goodwin (42)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Ross County
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−49%
+34%
−10%
average
Counter-attacks
−24%
−19%
−12%
average
Set pieces
−10%
−14%
−6%
−2%
Penalties
+70%
+6%
+6%
+28%
Headers
−46%
+5%
+32%
+17%
Left side
−20%
+7%
−26%
−6%
Centre
−36%
+18%
+10%
−4%
Right side
−48%
+19%
−34%
+15%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−20%+15%Centre−36%−4%Right side−48%−6%Open play−49%averageCounter-attacks−24%averageSet pieces−10%−2%Headers−46%+17%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−26%+19%Centre+10%+18%Right side−34%+7%Open play−10%+34%Counter-attacks−12%−19%Set pieces−6%−14%Headers+32%+5%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Ross CountyDundee United
1.05xG1.31
1.63xG against1.45
39%Possession44%
10.1Shots11.4
15.0Shots against14.4
3.3Shots on target3.9
1.2Big chances1.9
15.3Touches in the opposition box22.8
286Passes324
64%Pass accuracy69%
4.7Corners4.2
36%Field tilt41%
28.7Final-third entries30.2
7.1Box entries9.9
16.5Passes per defensive action15.5
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
44
1.09
1.39
Ahead
19
0.98
1.25
Behind
27
1.03
2.29
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
54
1.25
1.29
Ahead
16
1.37
1.96
Behind
20
1.44
1.46
xG by period
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.18
2–4
16–30
0.15
0.20
4–7
31–45
0.23
0.33
5–13
46–60
0.18
0.22
8–5
61–75
0.12
0.27
2–5
76–90
0.24
0.44
10–17
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.14
3–2
16–30
0.20
0.21
5–8
31–45
0.18
0.27
5–7
46–60
0.19
0.15
7–3
61–75
0.17
0.29
3–9
76–90
0.44
0.39
15–11
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts