Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 1–3 Hibernian

Wednesday 26 February 2025, 19:45 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 28 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 10,674

Dundee United Graham 6'

Hibernian Kukharevych 18', Bowie 90', Hoilett 90+10'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Dundee United	Hibernian
Goals	1	3
xG	0.71	1.53
Expected Points	0.68	2.04

Dundee United 14%Draw 27%Hibernian 59%

Most likely score 0–1, 17%. Final score 1–3, 5%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.71 −0.66xG1.53 −0.07

0.36 −1.05xG on target2.14 +0.58

8 −4Shots9 −3

2 −1.9Shots on target4 0.0

1 −1.0Big chances3 +0.6

12 −11Touches in the opposition box24 +2

57% +13Possession43% −3

398 +74Passes299 −36

74% +5Pass accuracy68% −4

59% +18Field tilt41% −8

40 +10Final-third entries30 −4

5 −4.7Box entries12 +2.4

11.8 −4Passes per defensive action20.1 +5

1 −3.3Corners10 +4.2

16 −1Tackles8 −6

5 −2.6Interceptions7 −0.7

36 −4Clearances43 +11

1 −2.0Saves1 −1.9

11 −1Fouls9 −2

5 +3.8Offsides0 −2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Dundee United

Hibernian

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.42 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.05 1 shot, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks1.09 3 shots, 2 goals

0.29 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.38 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

1–01–11–2

Level: 78 min (77%) · Dundee United 0.58, Hibernian 0.67 xG
Dundee United ahead: 12 min (12%) · Dundee United 0.00, Hibernian 0.35 xG
Hibernian ahead: 11 min (11%) · Dundee United 0.14, Hibernian 0.50 xG

Line-ups

Dundee United substitutes

72' van der Sande for Paton
83' Sibbald for Stephenson
86' Babunski for Ferry
86' Fiorini for Campbell

Hibernian substitutes

67' Obita for N. Cadden
67' Gayle for Boyle · 1 assist
67' Bowie for Kukharevych · goal 90'
76' Hoilett for Campbell · goal 90+10'

Players

Dundee United

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Walton	GK	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.07	3	1
Adegboyega	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.07	7	9
Gallagher	CB	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.05	4	8
Graham	CB	90	1	0.07	0.04	0	0.14	10	13
Strain	RWB	90		0.14	0.49	2	0.30	7	5
Campbell	CM	86		0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	2
Stephenson	CM	83		0.02	0.01	0	0.01	1	1
Sevelj	CM	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	8
Ferry	LWB	86		0.00	0.21	2	0.11	5	6
Dalby	ST	90		0.49	0.02	1	−0.03	0	6
Paton	ST	72		0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	0	1
van der Sande	FW	18		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Sibbald	MF	7		0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	0
Babunski	MF	4		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Fiorini	MF	4		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	1	0

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	4	0
O'Hora	CB	90			0.00	0.15	1	0.20	7	6
Bushiri	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	16
Iredale	CB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.09	5	12
Miller	RWB	90			0.00	0.09	1	0.09	4	2
Moriah-Welsh	CM	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.05	7	7
Triantis	CM	90		1	0.00	0.32	1	0.10	4	9
N. Cadden	LWB	67		1	0.00	0.16	3	0.05	3	2
Campbell	AM	76			0.03	0.04	1	0.06	8	1
Boyle	ST	67			0.14	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Kukharevych	ST	67	1		0.34	0.00	0	−0.01	1	1
Obita	DF	23			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	7	3
Gayle	FW	23		1	0.01	0.00	1	0.00	1	0
Bowie	FW	23	1		0.51	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Hoilett	MF	14	1		0.50	0.00	0	0.11	3	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Hibernian

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

From	To	Passes
Gallagher	Adegboyega	17
Walton	Gallagher	12
Graham	Ferry	12
Gallagher	Graham	11
Adegboyega	Gallagher	10

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Smith	Kukharevych	5
Moriah-Welsh	Campbell	5
Campbell	N. Cadden	5
N. Cadden	Iredale	5
Iredale	Smith	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

Against its average of 27 matches

Hibernian

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

Hibernian

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Dundee United
Top six	98%	96%	−2
Hibernian
Top six	91%	98%	+7

From the forecast before the match (26 February 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Dundee United	Hibernian
Expected goals	1.32	1.25
Win	38%	35%
Expected Points	1.41	1.32
Clean sheet	29%	27%

Dundee United 38%Draw 28%Hibernian 35%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 26 February 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Dundee United win	Draw	Hibernian win
Dundee United
Top six	98%	>99%	98%	96%
Hibernian
Top six	91%	85%	92%	98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

Hibernian

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Dundee United	Hibernian
Position	4th	5th
Played	27	27
Won, drawn, lost	11–⁠7–⁠9	9–⁠10–⁠8
Points	40 (1.48 per game)	37 (1.37 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.31	1.49
Goals	33–⁠31	39–⁠38
xG per game	1.37–⁠1.40	1.60–⁠1.39
Home: points, xG per game	1.62, 1.46–⁠1.14	1.64, 1.79–⁠1.21
Away: points, xG per game	1.36, 1.27–⁠1.65	1.08, 1.41–⁠1.59
Manager	Jim Goodwin (39)	David Gray (29)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Dundee United		Hibernian
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−7%	+2%	−2%	−13%
Counter-attacks	−11%	−26%	−19%	+46%
Set pieces	−2%	−9%	+37%	−1%
Penalties	+14%	+14%	+59%	+14%
Headers	+32%	+9%	+19%	−8%
Left side	−24%	−5%	−8%	−22%
Centre	+13%	−8%	+17%	+4%
Right side	−31%	+9%	+2%	−2%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−24%−2%Centre+13%+4%Right side−31%−22%Open play−7%−13%Counter-attacks−11%+46%Set pieces−2%−1%Headers+32%−8%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side−8%+9%Centre+17%−8%Right side+2%−5%Open play−2%+2%Counter-attacks−19%−26%Set pieces+37%−9%Headers+19%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHibernian

1.37xG1.60

1.40xG against1.39

44%Possession46%

11.5Shots12.4

14.3Shots against11.7

3.9Shots on target4.0

2.0Big chances2.4

23.4Touches in the opposition box22.3

324Passes335

69%Pass accuracy72%

4.3Corners5.8

41%Field tilt48%

29.8Final-third entries34.2

9.7Box entries9.6

15.9Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	56	1.30	1.32
Ahead	15	1.54	1.87
Behind	19	1.41	1.26

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	39	1.58	1.31
Ahead	28	1.49	1.29
Behind	24	1.77	1.66

xG by period

Dundee United

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.14	2–2
16–30	0.21	0.19	4–5
31–45	0.17	0.27	3–6
46–60	0.20	0.17	6–3
61–75	0.18	0.29	3–8
76–90	0.45	0.33	15–7

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.24	3–6
16–30	0.30	0.24	7–5
31–45	0.27	0.14	10–6
46–60	0.20	0.18	4–4
61–75	0.37	0.19	6–2
76–90	0.31	0.40	9–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1)

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (12), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
3 November 2024	Hibernian	1–1	Dundee United	xG 1.09–1.31
19 October 2024	Dundee United	3–2	Hibernian	xG 1.79–0.71
9 April 2023	Dundee United	2–1	Hibernian	xG 1.44–1.47
14 January 2023	Hibernian	2–2	Dundee United	xG 0.80–0.87
11 October 2022	Dundee United	1–0	Hibernian	xG 0.56–1.31
2 April 2022	Hibernian	1–1	Dundee United	xG 1.51–0.46

11 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 4, Hibernian won 3, and 4 were drawn. Goals 15–14 and xG 0.95–1.22 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Moult	3	477	3	0	0.44	0.12
Dalby	21	1,875	12	0	0.44	0.05
Trapanovski	10	828	1	1	0.28	0.17
Thomson	5	500	1	0	0.24	0.06

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Kukharevych	13	1,009	3	0	0.55	0.02
Hoilett	12	998	2	1	0.30	0.27
N. Cadden	17	1,400	5	3	0.26	0.29
Boyle	18	1,693	7	4	0.38	0.12

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.