Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Dundee United 2–1 Hibernian

Sunday 9 April 2023, 12:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 31 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 9,516

Dundee United Fletcher 8', McGrath 90' (pen)

Hibernian Kukharevych 70'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Goals21
xG1.441.47
Non-penalty xG0.651.47
Expected Points1.341.34

Dundee United 34%Draw 32%Hibernian 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 19%. Final score 2–1, 11%.

Hibernian goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+2%4%3%1%8%13%6%1%6%11%10%4%1%2%3%3%1%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTNiskanen on for Fotheringham, 61'Anaku on for Harkes, 88'Edwards on for Fletcher, 90+3'Kukharevych on for Campbell, 58'Henderson on for McKirdy and Stevenson on for Cabraja, 75'Tavares on for Youan, 86'Fletcher 8'McGrath 90' (pen)Kukharevych 70'Hibernian 1.47Dundee United 1.4400.511.520153045607590HTNiskanen on for Fotheringham, 61'Anaku on for Harkes, 88'Edwards on for Fletcher, 90+3'Kukharevych on for Campbell, 58'Henderson on for McKirdy and Stevenson on for Cabraja, 75'Tavares on for Youan, 86'Fletcher 8'McGrath 90' (pen)Kukharevych 70'1.471.44Dundee UnitedHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedHibernian

1.44 +0.55xG1.47 +0.20
0.65Non-penalty xG1.47
1.64 +0.77xG on target1.81 +0.68
10 0Shots15 0
4 +0.5Shots on target3 −1.8
3 +2.1Big chances3 +1.5
14 −3Touches in the opposition box31 +9
35% −10Possession65% +10
246 −110Passes463 +55
64% −5Pass accuracy78% +3
44% +1Field tilt56% −1
30 −5Final-third entries51 +7
12 +3.2Box entries16 +3.7
16.5 0Passes per defensive action7.6 −4
0 −4.7Corners4 −1.6
15 −1Tackles17 +2
9 −0.2Interceptions6 −2.9
30 +4Clearances8 −12
2 −1.2Saves2 0.0
10 0Fouls15 +2
1 −0.3Offsides0 −1.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Fletcher 50', 0.25 xGNiskanen 69', 0.10 xGHarkes 53', 0.05 xGBehich 43', 0.04 xGFletcher 45+2', 0.04 xGHarkes 65', 0.04 xGFotheringham 41', 0.02 xGMcMann 65', 0.02 xGFletcher 8', 0.08 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals72%0.47 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.47 xG, 1 goal12%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals12%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Nisbet 2', 0.45 xGCampbell 16', 0.12 xGKukharevych 82', 0.12 xGYouan 86', 0.08 xGFish 90+6', 0.07 xGHenderson 90+1', 0.06 xGNewell 15', 0.05 xGKukharevych 61', 0.05 xGNisbet 82', 0.05 xGCampbell 33', 0.04 xGNisbet 90+4', 0.04 xGCadden 18', 0.03 xGFish 3', 0.02 xGFish 43', 0.02 xGKukharevych 70', 0.28 xG, goal30%0.45 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.45 xG, 0 goals39%0.57 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal14%0.21 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals17%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.61 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.09 9 shots, 1 goal
0.04 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.39 6 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
28 min (29%) · Dundee United 0.87, Hibernian 0.71 xG
Dundee United ahead
70 min (71%) · Dundee United 0.57, Hibernian 0.76 xG

Line-ups

122274314252318169BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannSibbaldFotheringhamHarkesMcGrathBehichFletcherGoalGoal61'88'90+3'Dundee United 4-1-4-1Jim Goodwin11225263141122322315MarshallCaddenFishEgan-RileyCabrajaJeggoNewellMcKirdyCampbellYouanNisbetYellow cardYellow card75'75'58'86'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Lee Johnson

Dundee United substitutes

  • 61' Niskanen for Fotheringham
  • 88' Anaku for Harkes
  • 90+3' Edwards for Fletcher

Hibernian substitutes

  • 58' Kukharevych for Campbell · goal 70'
  • 75' Henderson for McKirdy
  • 75' Stevenson for Cabraja
  • 86' Tavares for Youan

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
BirighittiGK900.000.0000.0340
FreemanRB900.000.0200.0336
AyinaCB900.000.0110.04414
MulgrewCB900.000.0100.06711
McMannLB900.020.0000.0335
SibbaldDM900.000.0100.0544
FotheringhamRM610.020.0000.0202
HarkesCM880.100.0500.0445
McGrathCM9010.790.091−0.0116
BehichLM9010.040.5440.41110
FletcherST9010.370.021−0.1101
NiskanenDF290.100.0200.0640
AnakuFW20.000.000−0.0100
EdwardsDF00.000.0000.0110

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MarshallGK900.000.0000.0560
CaddenRB900.030.0200.0552
FishCB900.110.0200.12134
Egan-Riley CB900.000.0810.0286
CabrajaLB7510.000.1110.1864
Jeggo DM900.000.0210.0843
NewellDM900.050.1610.1578
McKirdyRW750.000.8340.4691
CampbellAM580.160.0510.1200
YouanLW860.080.0910.12112
NisbetST900.540.031−0.0110
KukharevychFW3210.450.0110.0101
HendersonMF150.060.0000.0301
StevensonMF150.000.0000.0210
TavaresMF40.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Freeman and Fotheringham: 3 passesFreeman and Harkes: 3 passesMcMann and Behich: 3 passesFotheringham and McGrath: 3 passesFotheringham and Harkes: 3 passesMcMann and McGrath: 4 passesSibbald and McGrath: 4 passesSibbald and Behich: 4 passesFotheringham and Fletcher: 4 passesMcGrath and Harkes: 4 passesMcGrath and Fletcher: 4 passesHarkes and Behich: 4 passesHarkes and Fletcher: 4 passesBehich and Fletcher: 4 passesBirighitti and Fletcher: 5 passesMulgrew and Fletcher: 6 passesFreeman and McGrath: 7 passesBirighitti: 7 completed passesFreeman: 13 completed passesAyina: 6 completed passesMulgrew: 10 completed passesMcMann: 8 completed passesSibbald: 9 completed passesFotheringham: 5 completed passesMcGrath: 17 completed passesHarkes: 11 completed passesBehich: 8 completed passesFletcher: 12 completed passes122274314251823169BirighittiFreemanAyinaMulgrewMcMannSibbaldFotheringhamMcGrathHarkesBehichFletcherStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

Marshall and Egan-Riley: 4 passesCadden and Newell: 4 passesFish and Jeggo: 4 passesJeggo and Newell: 4 passesNewell and McKirdy: 4 passesFish and Youan: 5 passesJeggo and Youan: 5 passesMcKirdy and Nisbet: 5 passesCadden and Jeggo: 6 passesCadden and McKirdy: 6 passesFish and McKirdy: 6 passesFish and Newell: 9 passesEgan-Riley and Jeggo: 9 passesEgan-Riley and Youan: 9 passesCabraja and Newell: 10 passesNewell and Youan: 10 passesCabraja and Youan: 11 passesEgan-Riley and Newell: 12 passesMarshall and Fish: 13 passesCadden and Fish: 28 passesEgan-Riley and Cabraja: 29 passesFish and Egan-Riley: 36 passesMarshall: 18 completed passesCadden: 28 completed passesFish: 56 completed passesEgan-Riley: 59 completed passesCabraja: 36 completed passesJeggo: 18 completed passesNewell: 32 completed passesMcKirdy: 12 completed passesCampbell: 9 completed passesYouan: 18 completed passesNisbet: 6 completed passes11225263141122322315MarshallCaddenFishEgan-RileyCabrajaJeggoNewellMcKirdyCampbellYouanNisbetStarters until 58' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
BirighittiFletcher10
MulgrewFletcher6
SibbaldBehich6
McMannBehich5
BehichHarkes5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
Egan-RileyFish20
FishEgan-Riley20
FishCadden19
Egan-RileyCabraja15
CaddenFish14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

4−0.514+7.413−3.47−0.460.011+4.711+5.28+0.312+4.21−5.75+0.16+1.38+4.15−1.06+0.14−0.77+3.67+4.61−2.32−1.02−0.22+0.72+0.90−1.81−0.50−0.60−0.21+0.51+0.70−1.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Hibernian

0−4.84−3.03−4.82−4.35−0.57+0.55+0.44−2.514+5.69+3.57+2.18+4.99+3.06−1.13−0.86+1.54+1.56+1.52−2.81−1.23+1.41+0.33+1.12−0.40−0.81+0.40−0.80−0.62+1.26−6.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 30 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.020.010.010.020.020.010.020.030.020.040.040.040.020.030.030.01−0.02−0.010.030.04−0.110.120.22LessMore

Hibernian

0.030.010.010.010.030.040.020.010.050.080.020.100.060.060.110.040.010.060.040.14−0.010.070.02−0.10−0.06−0.010.270.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackDundee United0.94 → 0.95Hibernian1.19 → 1.19Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.50 → 1.48Hibernian1.24 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
11th23%29%+6
Bottom60%44%−16
Hibernian
Top six87%76%−11
Livingston
Top six14%25%+11
Ross County
11th36%32%−4
Bottom19%27%+8

From the forecast before the match (9 April 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Expected goals1.121.29
Win32%40%
Expected Points1.231.48
Clean sheet28%33%

Dundee United 32%Draw 29%Hibernian 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Hibernian goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%7%3%1%9%8%4%1%6%7%5%2%2%3%2%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 9 April 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawHibernian win
Dundee United
11th23%29%23%19%
Bottom60%44%63%72%
Hibernian
Top six87%76%85%97%
Livingston
Top six14%25%16%4%
Ross County
11th36%32%37%38%
Bottom19%27%19%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–21 AprRangers (A)xG 0.39–2.02
  2. D1–118 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.12–1.75
  3. D1–18 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.04–1.17
  4. L1–34 MarAberdeen (H)xG 2.02–0.78
  5. L0–425 FebRoss County (A)xG 0.60–2.57
  6. L1–218 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.17–0.95

Hibernian

  1. L1–31 AprMotherwell (H)xG 0.90–1.79
  2. L1–318 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.90–3.96
  3. L1–48 MarRangers (H)xG 0.48–4.02
  4. W4–14 MarLivingston (A)xG 1.36–0.43
  5. W2–018 FebKilmarnock (H)xG 2.94–0.82
  6. W1–04 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.64–0.36

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedHibernian
Position12th6th
Played3030
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠7–⁠1812–⁠4–⁠14
Points22 (0.73 per game)40 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game0.961.40
Goals30–⁠5646–⁠49
xG per game0.89–⁠1.611.27–⁠1.32
Home: points, xG per game0.93, 0.96–⁠1.581.60, 1.43–⁠1.27
Away: points, xG per game0.53, 0.82–⁠1.641.07, 1.11–⁠1.38
ManagerJim Goodwin (4)Lee Johnson (30)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.25AttackDundee United0.94, 11thHibernian1.19, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.50, 12thHibernian1.24, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United attack: 0.94Hibernian attack: 1.191.190.94HibernianDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United defence: 1.50Hibernian defence: 1.241.501.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%+29%−6%−12%
Counter-attacks−29%+110%+57%+35%
Set pieces−43%+6%+6%−9%
Penalties−14%−14%−31%+71%
Headers−42%+33%+1%−18%
Left side−22%+53%+1%−26%
Centre−35%+16%−12%−3%
Right side−47%+15%+17%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdHibernian concededLeft side−22%−1%Centre−35%−3%Right side−47%−26%Open play−33%−12%Counter-attacks−29%+35%Set pieces−43%−9%Headers−42%−18%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdDundee United concededLeft side+1%+15%Centre−12%+16%Right side+17%+53%Open play−6%+29%Counter-attacks+57%+110%Set pieces+6%+6%Headers+1%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedHibernian

0.89xG1.27
1.61xG against1.32
45%Possession55%
10.4Shots14.7
15.8Shots against12.1
3.5Shots on target4.8
0.9Big chances1.5
17.2Touches in the opposition box21.6
356Passes408
69%Pass accuracy76%
4.7Corners5.6
43%Field tilt57%
35.4Final-third entries44.1
8.8Box entries12.3
16.6Passes per defensive action11.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level340.801.52
Ahead210.751.30
Behind351.061.87

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.081.36
Ahead241.571.26
Behind331.241.32

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.227–8
16–300.120.164–2
31–450.170.293–13
46–600.100.354–13
61–750.180.246–5
76–900.170.356–15

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.155–11
16–300.100.195–5
31–450.270.2210–6
46–600.260.297–11
61–750.210.1710–6
76–900.250.309–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTBirighitti 20Eriksson 9Newman 1Smith 15Ayina 4McGrath 2Edwards 28Mulgrew 11McMann 16Graham 10Freeman 17Smith 12Niskanen 1Sibbald 19Djoum 8Mulgrew 1Levitt 21Harkes 5McGrath 4Behich 23McMann 4Sibbald 1McGrath 14Harkes 13Pawlett 3Middleton 15Watt 5Fletcher 4Fletcher 19Watt 7Anaku 23-4-2-1 in 14 of 30 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (14), 4-3-3 (5), 5-3-2 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMarshall 30Cadden 22Porteous 4Fish 1Bushiri 13Porteous 12Fish 9Hanlon 25Cabraja 1Cabraja 13Stevenson 11Kukharevych 3Kenneh 13Campbell 8Egan-Riley 4Newell 15Jeggo 7Boyle 6Cadden 5Henderson 3Campbell 12Newell 6Cabraja 3Youan 15McGeady 4Newell 3Youan 7Nisbet 6Kukharevych 64-2-3-1 in 13 of 30 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 4-1-4-1 (6), 3-5-2 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
14 January 2023Hibernian2–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.80–0.87
11 October 2022Dundee United1–0HibernianxG 0.56–1.31
2 April 2022Hibernian1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.51–0.46
26 December 2021Dundee United1–3HibernianxG 0.54–1.80
16 October 2021Hibernian0–3Dundee UnitedxG 0.41–0.73
30 January 2021Dundee United0–2HibernianxG 0.51–1.34

8 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 2, Hibernian won 3, and 3 were drawn. Goals 9–10 and xG 0.74–1.27 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Fletcher231,927620.370.07
Watt121,018410.240.08
Middleton191,645220.120.14
McGrath211,756320.120.15

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nisbet8671910.580.01
Kukharevych10824410.390.12
Boyle10936510.330.13
Youan231,928660.240.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.