Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 1–0 St. Johnstone

Saturday 12 April 2025, 15:00 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 33 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Dan McFarlane · Attendance 10,160

Dundee United Adegboyega 24'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Goals10
xG1.170.95
Expected Points1.521.15

Dundee United 40%Draw 33%St. Johnstone 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–0, 14%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+11%10%5%1%7%2%8%9%5%1%3%3%1%14%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSibbald on for Middleton and Moult on for Trapanovski, 65'Paton on for Dalby, 70'Babunski on for Stephenson, 85'Sprangler on for Mitchell, 29'Kimpioka on for Holt and Steven on for Curtis, 52'Clark on for Griffith and McPake on for Duke-McKenna, 68'Adegboyega 24'Dundee United 1.17St. Johnstone 0.9500.511.50153045607590HTSibbald on for Middleton and Moult on for Trapanovski, 65'Paton on for Dalby, 70'Babunski on for Stephenson, 85'Sprangler on for Mitchell, 29'Kimpioka on for Holt and Steven on for Curtis, 52'Clark on for Griffith and McPake on for Duke-McKenna, 68'Adegboyega 24'1.170.95Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.17 −0.14xG0.95 −0.03
2.00 +0.60xG on target0.98 −0.01
10 −1.5Shots15 +5.3
4 +0.1Shots on target2 −1.1
3 +1.1Big chances0 −1.4
26 +3Touches in the opposition box15 0
44% 0Possession56% +4
329 +2Passes401 −33
73% +4Pass accuracy77% 0
33% −9Field tilt67% +23
30 0Final-third entries37 +2
10 +0.2Box entries9 +0.6
13.1 −2Passes per defensive action11.3 −5
6 +1.8Corners5 +1.1
13 −5Tackles13 −2
7 −0.3Interceptions4 −4.1
35 −7Clearances24 −9
2 −0.9Saves3 0.0
15 +3Fouls14 +4
1 −0.3Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Moult 78', 0.34 xGDalby 25', 0.12 xGGallagher 64', 0.11 xGFerry 86', 0.10 xGPaton 90+4', 0.08 xGFerry 8', 0.05 xGGallagher 75', 0.04 xGTrapanovski 37', 0.02 xGTrapanovski 65', 0.02 xGAdegboyega 25', 0.28 xG, goal44%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal38%0.44 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.44 xG, 0 goals16%0.19 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Douglas 90+2', 0.19 xGClark 87', 0.14 xGMcPake 90+1', 0.12 xGKimpioka 90+3', 0.11 xGSprangler 45+1', 0.08 xGDuke-McKenna 31', 0.06 xGMcPake 77', 0.05 xGSidibeh 72', 0.04 xGKirk 51', 0.03 xGClark 81', 0.03 xGCurtis 32', 0.02 xGGriffith 45+1', 0.02 xGSidibeh 87', 0.02 xGKimpioka 90+1', 0.02 xGSteven 90+6', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals62%0.59 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.59 xG, 0 goals18%0.17 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals20%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 7 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

0.51 4 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.48 9 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.57 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.47 6 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (25%) · Dundee United 0.45, St. Johnstone 0.00 xG
Dundee United ahead
73 min (75%) · Dundee United 0.72, St. Johnstone 0.95 xG

Line-ups

1373116217231115197WaltonCleall-HardingGallagherAdegboyegaStrainStephensonDochertyFerryMiddletonDalbyTrapanovskiGoalYellow card85'65'70'65'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin14530377621111627FisherBalodisMitchellDouglasCurtisHoltGriffithDuke-McKennaCareySidibehKirkYellow card29'52'52'68'68'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Simo Valakari

Dundee United substitutes

  • 65' Sibbald for Middleton
  • 65' Moult for Trapanovski
  • 70' Paton for Dalby
  • 85' Babunski for Stephenson

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 29' Sprangler for Mitchell
  • 52' Steven for Curtis
  • 52' Kimpioka for Holt · yellow card 74'
  • 68' Clark for Griffith
  • 68' McPake for Duke-McKenna

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0100.0430
Cleall-HardingCB900.000.0000.02311
GallagherCB900.150.0100.02219
AdegboyegaCB9010.280.0710.0934
StrainRWB900.000.1010.0354
Stephenson CM850.000.0000.0342
DochertyCM900.000.0510.10610
FerryLWB900.150.1520.0836
MiddletonRW650.000.041−0.0110
DalbyST7010.120.0120.0911
TrapanovskiLW650.040.0000.0741
SibbaldMF250.000.040−0.0802
MoultFW250.340.020−0.0601
PatonFW200.080.0100.0120
BabunskiMF50.000.1200.0500

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FisherGK900.000.0000.0570
BalodisCB900.000.0000.0258
MitchellCB290.000.0000.0101
Douglas CB900.190.0120.0588
CurtisRWB520.020.0000.0111
HoltCM520.000.0200.0022
GriffithCM680.020.0100.0243
Duke-McKennaLWB680.060.0100.0961
CareyRW900.000.3040.1583
SidibehST900.060.064−0.0123
KirkLW900.030.0800.1460
SpranglerMF610.080.0100.04410
StevenMF380.020.011−0.0121
Kimpioka FW380.140.010−0.0502
ClarkMF220.170.0210.0310
McPakeFW220.160.0510.1740

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Walton and Cleall-Harding: 5 passesAdegboyega and Docherty: 5 passesGallagher and Stephenson: 5 passesStrain and Stephenson: 5 passesCleall-Harding and Stephenson: 6 passesWalton and Adegboyega: 7 passesStrain and Docherty: 7 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 7 passesGallagher and Docherty: 8 passesCleall-Harding and Middleton: 8 passesStrain and Middleton: 8 passesStephenson and Docherty: 8 passesAdegboyega and Ferry: 9 passesFerry and Docherty: 9 passesWalton and Gallagher: 11 passesAdegboyega and Trapanovski: 11 passesGallagher and Cleall-Harding: 11 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 15 passesWalton: 20 completed passesAdegboyega: 25 completed passesGallagher: 30 completed passesCleall-Harding: 22 completed passesStrain: 17 completed passesFerry: 28 completed passesStephenson: 21 completed passesDocherty: 23 completed passesTrapanovski: 9 completed passesMiddleton: 15 completed passesDalby: 8 completed passes1163137211172371519WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherCleall-HardingStrainFerryStephensonDochertyTrapanovskiMiddletonDalbyStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Douglas and Griffith: 3 passesCurtis and Holt: 3 passesCarey and Kirk: 3 passesKirk and Sidibeh: 3 passesFisher and Douglas: 4 passesBalodis and Holt: 4 passesDuke-McKenna and Kirk: 4 passesDuke-McKenna and Sidibeh: 4 passesBalodis and Curtis: 5 passesFisher and Balodis: 6 passesFisher and Mitchell: 6 passesMitchell and Douglas: 6 passesDuke-McKenna and Carey: 6 passesBalodis and Mitchell: 7 passesMitchell and Holt: 8 passesFisher: 10 completed passesBalodis: 12 completed passesMitchell: 16 completed passesDouglas: 11 completed passesCurtis: 5 completed passesDuke-McKenna: 9 completed passesGriffith: 4 completed passesHolt: 8 completed passesCarey: 7 completed passesKirk: 5 completed passesSidibeh: 6 completed passes14530372167112716FisherBalodisMitchellDouglasCurtisDuke-McKennaGriffithHoltCareyKirkSidibehStarters until 29' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
WaltonGallagher10
GallagherAdegboyega9
AdegboyegaTrapanovski7
FerryDocherty7
AdegboyegaGallagher6

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
CareyDouglas11
DouglasFisher10
BalodisFisher9
SpranglerDouglas8
CurtisBalodis7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

2−3.15−3.717−2.61−5.44−2.59+1.512+4.95−4.07−0.55−0.66+1.44+0.36+0.43−2.65+1.75+2.13+0.94+1.58+4.93+0.81−0.12+0.72+0.84+2.10−1.01+0.71+0.30−0.41+0.22−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

St. Johnstone

3−2.54−3.511−7.43−4.22−3.611+3.78+0.416+9.611+4.22−5.83−2.32−2.54+0.63−1.56+0.330.06+3.42+0.34+1.43−0.51−1.21−0.50−1.03+1.82+0.30−0.71+0.70−0.41+0.71+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 32 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.040.010.010.030.020.010.02−0.010.030.010.020.03−0.010.030.04−0.010.040.060.050.05LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.030.050.020.030.010.010.050.070.020.040.030.040.050.04−0.01−0.01−0.02−0.020.080.110.09LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.18 → 1.19St. Johnstone0.99 → 0.99Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.38 → 1.36St. Johnstone1.56 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th15%11%−4
Bottom77%84%+7
Dundee FC
11th36%39%+3
Bottom12%8%−4
Ross County
11th26%28%+2
Bottom7%5%−2

From the forecast before the match (12 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.610.91
Win53%21%
Expected Points1.850.88
Clean sheet40%20%

Dundee United 53%Draw 26%St. Johnstone 21%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Johnstone goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%5%2%4%1%6%5%2%2%2%12%12%10%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 12 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawSt. Johnstone win
St. Johnstone
11th15%11%16%24%
Bottom77%84%77%57%
Dundee FC
11th36%39%35%31%
Bottom12%8%13%22%
Ross County
11th26%28%27%22%
Bottom7%5%7%13%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. W1–06 AprHearts (A)xG 0.82–1.21
  2. W1–030 MarRoss County (A)xG 1.87–0.36
  3. L2–416 MarDundee FC (H)xG 1.20–2.27
  4. D2–22 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.53–1.98
  5. L1–326 FebHibernian (H)xG 0.71–1.53
  6. W1–022 FebMotherwell (H)xG 1.25–1.09

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–06 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.52–2.32
  2. L0–329 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.02–2.12
  3. D0–015 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.64–0.58
  4. D1–11 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.59–1.59
  5. W1–026 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.26
  6. L1–223 FebHearts (H)xG 2.02–2.18

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
Position5th12th
Played3232
Won, drawn, lost13–⁠8–⁠118–⁠5–⁠19
Points47 (1.47 per game)29 (0.91 per game)
Expected Points per game1.271.07
Goals40–⁠4033–⁠57
xG per game1.31–⁠1.410.98–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game1.40, 1.40–⁠1.241.06, 1.12–⁠1.48
Away: points, xG per game1.53, 1.24–⁠1.570.75, 0.84–⁠1.57
ManagerJim Goodwin (44)Simo Valakari (25)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackDundee United1.18, 8thSt. Johnstone0.99, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.38, 7thSt. Johnstone1.56, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United attack: 1.18St. Johnstone attack: 0.991.180.99St. JohnstoneDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United defence: 1.38St. Johnstone defence: 1.561.561.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−11%−2%−33%+18%
Counter-attacks−12%+1%−60%average
Set pieces+1%−4%−26%+2%
Penalties+4%+25%+4%−38%
Headers+37%+13%−23%+15%
Left side−25%−8%−28%+29%
Centre+12%−5%−40%+10%
Right side−34%+12%−25%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−25%−1%Centre+12%+10%Right side−34%+29%Open play−11%+18%Counter-attacks−12%averageSet pieces+1%+2%Headers+37%+15%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdDundee United concededLeft side−28%+12%Centre−40%−5%Right side−25%−8%Open play−33%−2%Counter-attacks−60%+1%Set pieces−26%−4%Headers−23%+13%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedSt. Johnstone

1.31xG0.98
1.41xG against1.52
44%Possession52%
11.5Shots9.7
14.1Shots against13.9
3.9Shots on target3.1
1.9Big chances1.4
23.1Touches in the opposition box15.5
327Passes434
69%Pass accuracy77%
4.2Corners3.9
42%Field tilt45%
30.4Final-third entries34.9
9.8Box entries8.4
15.1Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level551.251.26
Ahead171.391.85
Behind181.441.46

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level371.071.61
Ahead141.041.61
Behind380.871.40

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.143–2
16–300.190.225–8
31–450.180.275–7
46–600.190.157–3
61–750.180.275–9
76–900.430.3715–11

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.193–7
16–300.090.282–13
31–450.190.226–8
46–600.190.257–12
61–750.140.186–6
76–900.270.409–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 32Adegboyega 21Fotheringham 3Campbell 2Gallagher 29Sevelj 1Holt 19Graham 13Strain 19Stephenson 8Adegboyega 3Sevelj 16Sibbald 7Docherty 5Babunski 11Ferry 10Middleton 3Ferry 13Stephenson 4Docherty 3Stephenson 10Sevelj 7Thomson 4Middleton 11Trapanovski 10Ferry 5Dalby 23van der Sande 7Middleton 13-4-2-1 in 7 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (7), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (6), 4-4-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Sinclair 10Fisher 9Cameron 12Wright 11Neilson 10Sanders 21Mitchell 5Kucheriavyi 1Mikulic 13Douglas 6Wright 9Curtis 8Clark 7Smith 14Carey 9MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 24Clark 3Sidibeh 2Holt 18Essel 4Griffith 3Raymond 13Wright 9Douglas 3Sidibeh 15Kirk 15Kimpioka 18Clark 8Griffith 23-5-2 in 7 of 32 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2024St. Johnstone1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.58–1.27
24 August 2024Dundee United2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.41–1.58
6 May 2023St. Johnstone1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.12–1.26
18 February 2023Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.17–0.95
2 January 2023St. Johnstone0–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.63–0.54
1 October 2022Dundee United1–2St. JohnstonexG 1.30–0.72

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 4, St. Johnstone won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–10 and xG 1.09–0.89 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult4592300.400.11
Dalby262,3251410.410.05
Trapanovski131,074220.280.16
Thomson5500100.240.06

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey121,345330.180.29
Clark181,514620.350.06
Sidibeh171,625320.270.09
Kirk191,590710.260.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.